Nayax - Earnings Call - Q3 2025
November 19, 2025
Transcript
Speaker 3
Hello, everybody, and welcome to Nayax Third Quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. Following management's formal presentation, instructions will be given for the question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Aaron Greenberg. Please go ahead, Aaron.
Speaker 1
Thank you, Operator, and everyone, for joining us today on this conference call. With me on the call today are Yair Nechmad, Nayax Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, and Sagit Manor, Chief Financial Officer. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the call for the question-and-answer session. Our press release and supplementary investor presentation are available on our investor relations website at ir-nyax.com. As a reminder, during this call, we will be making forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements on our call today are based on assumptions and therefore subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those projected. We have no obligation to update these statements except as required by law. You can read about these risks and uncertainties in our supplementary investor presentation released earlier today in our regulatory filings. In addition, today's call will include a discussion of non-IFRS measures.
Management believes non-IFRS results are useful in order to enhance our understanding of our ongoing performance. However, these measures should be considered as a supplement to and not as a substitute for IFRS financial measures. A reconciliation between Nayax's non-IFRS to IFRS measures can be found in our earnings press release issued earlier today. All key performance indicators are intended to evaluate our business and properly measure factors in a macroeconomic environment to guide and support our decision-making. These key performance indicators may be circulated in a manner different from our industry standards. Finally, please note that all figures in today's call will be reported in US dollars unless stated otherwise. Yair will start the call with key financial and operational highlights. Following that, Sagit will go through the details of financial results and discuss the outlook.
With that, I would like to turn the call over to Nayax's CEO, Yair Nechmad. Yair?
Speaker 4
Thank you, Aaron, and thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning to discuss our results for the third quarter and the progress we are making across the business. It was another strong quarter for Nayax, reflecting the continued execution of our strategy and our focus on profitable growth. We delivered strong operational and financial results highlighted by expanding margin, disciplined growth across our segments, and consistent progress towards our long-term objectives. We continue to gain market share across our core automated self-service business, with strong demand for our solution. We are adding new customers at scale while deepening relationships with existing ones. Our one-stop-shop solution, hardware management suite, and payments, all from one trusted provider, is a true differentiator for our customers in the automated self-service space and one that few others can offer. Our platform continues to demonstrate its value and stickiness with very low customer churn.
Customers are expanding their engagement with Nayax by adding more devices, processing more transactions, and adopting more of our services over time. As a result, we are seeing a steady increase in our output driven by processing revenue growth per connected device. This reflects our growing share in high transaction value verticals such as EV charging, amusement, and car wash, which are segments that drive significantly more revenue per customer. Recurring revenue, as a percentage of total revenue, continues to grow quarter over quarter. This sustained mix shift reflects our focus on building a more predictable, higher-margin revenue model that scales efficiently as our customer base grows. Our growth in managing connected devices is a key driver of growth as we continue to expand our product portfolio with our diverse payment hardware, including lower-cost embedded products.
I will now provide an update on three main focus areas: technology, customer and partnership, and M&A. On the technology front, we made great progress during the third quarter on several key technology initiatives. In Australia, we began rolling out the BIPUS Media, making the first commercial deployment of our next-generation Android payment platform. This is a meaningful step for us. The new device is our first truly Android-based, PIN-enabled device family, and it opened the door to a wider set of vertical and higher-value use cases in regions that require PIN. The product combines our payment infrastructure with new engagement capabilities, including a touchscreen interface and support loyalty advertising and promotional tools. We started our initial launch of the BIPUS Media in the U.K. and selective countries in Europe over the past months and plan more announcements about the product soon.
In addition to announcements, two large partnerships with Otel and Linkwell, we continue to build momentum with the Uno Mini, our embedded payment product. In China, six OEM partners completed their Uno Mini SDK certification, which now allows them to support EV contactless payment across EV charging stations and power bank machines. We have a strong pipeline of OEMs that are going through the certification process and expect sales in embedded products to scale over the coming quarters. Finally, with respect to technology initiatives, RetailPro has successfully integrated with 1BitDS, AI-powered inventory optimization engine. This integration blends RetailPro's operational tool with predictive AI analytics from 1BitDS, helping merchants utilize the RetailPro software to cut overstock and stay ahead of evolving customer demand patterns.
Turning to customers and partnerships, a key customer highlight this quarter is our success with ChartSmart, a US chargepoint operator managing thousands of ports and growing rapidly in the DC fast charging space, which has committed to using Nayax as its preferred payment solution. ChartSmart is one of the fastest-growing EV charging networks in the United States, underscoring how our payment technology continues to power growth in the electric vehicle charging vertical. Our platform enables large operators like ChartSmart to simplify daily operations, from payout and reconciliation to payment acceptance, allowing them to focus on growing their network. Our collaboration with Adyen continues to evolve as we jointly develop solutions in e-commerce and embedded banking. For example, we began a pilot of our new e-commerce offering for EV charging in October and already have a backlog ahead of a broader rollout.
In parallel, we are preparing to launch our embedded banking product in the U.S. in early 2026, including bank accounts and debit cards for our customers. This initiative brings us closer to our vision of being an end-to-end provider for our customers' business needs. We expect this initiative to drive higher recurring revenue per customer over time. On the M&A front, we remain active with a disciplined approach. We continue to pursue acquisitions that align with our key objectives of geographic expansion, technology enhancement, and strategic consolidation of distribution channels. Recently, we signed a letter of intent with exclusivity to acquire Integral Vending, our exclusive distribution partner in Mexico since 2015. Integral Vending has built a high-performing network across Mexico and developed a proprietary vending management system tailored for the Latin American market.
This acquisition will deepen our presence in the region, expand our software capabilities, and strengthen our ability to deliver a full suite of payment and management solutions across Latin America. It follows our recent two acquisitions in Brazil and represents the next step of our multi-year strategy to establish Nayax as the leading platform across the region. While we do not expect a material financial contribution in 2025, we believe this deal will create long-term strategic value in 2026 and beyond as we expand operations and distribution in Spanish and Portuguese-speaking markets. In November, we also completed the purchase of the remaining shares of Tigapo, bringing us to a full ownership of our arcade gaming business. Tigapo continues to deliver impressive growth and represents a highly scalable opportunity globally. Within the broader Nayax ecosystem, Tigapo will benefit from our customer network and international footprint.
As an update to the Nayax Capital purchase in Q2, we have successfully integrated it fully within our broader embedded payment initiative under consolidation team. In July, we launched our rental business in Australia, and we are rapidly growing our install base of both rental units and finance hardware. Nayax Capital allows us to provide a fully automated process of ordering the hardware, financing it, onboarding to Nayax, and invoicing, including the ability to automatically secure the financing against the gross processing receipt. This strategy produces a higher gross margin in the long term than selling the hardware outright, and the low-touch sales cycle will create substantial operational leverage in the coming years. Turning now to guidance for the full year, which Sagit will also discuss in greater detail.
At the beginning of the year, we set a target of revenue growth of 30%-35% for 2025, including inorganic growth from acquisition. While multiple planned transactions have been delayed, we have maintained strategic discipline and refrained from pursuing deals at any cost. Our M&A pipeline remains active, focused on opportunities that enhance our technology, customer base, and long-term profitability. We are reiterating our organic revenue growth guidance of at least 25%, which will be driven by enterprise hardware sales in the fourth quarter and maintain our strong recurring revenue growth. Enterprise sales accelerate in the third quarter, and we expect further momentum in the fourth quarter. Our hardware sales pipeline remains robust, and we are well-positioned to capture larger enterprise opportunities that align with our solutions and scales. Looking ahead, we remain confident in our strategy and the fundamentals of our business.
Our growing base of connected devices, recurring revenue, strong customer retention, and disciplined focus on profitability position us well for sustained growth. Our addressable market continues to expand as the world moves further towards digital payment and connected commerce. While M&A continues to play an important role, organic growth remains the primary driver and the foundation of our business. We've entered the fourth quarter with strong momentum and even greater conviction in the long-term opportunities ahead. With our expanding pipeline, a versatile revenue base, and strong financial discipline, we are well-positioned to continue outperforming the broader payment industry and deliver lasting value to our customers, partners, and shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to our CFO, Sagit Manor, who will review our financial results in greater detail and walk through our outlook. Sagit?
Speaker 5
Thank you, Yair, and good morning, good evening, everyone. I'll start by reviewing our KPIs and financial performance for the third quarter, and then I'll discuss our updated outlook for the full year 2025. Looking at the three key performance indicators for the quarter that we consider primary measures of growth. First, total transaction value increased by 35% over Q3 2024, reaching $1.8 billion and driving strong corresponding processing revenue growth of 33% for the quarter. At the same time, average transaction value increased from $2.15 to $2.40 while maintaining a similar take rate, displaying our strong positioning into emerging verticals such as EV charging, amusement, and car wash. Second, our customer base expanded by 21% compared to Q3 2024, with nearly 110,000 customers at the end of Q3.
Third, our install base of managed and connected devices grew 17% compared to Q3 2024, to more than 1.4 million devices at the end of the quarter. These KPIs reflect the momentum in our business and the underlying strengths of our platform as we continue to capture market share in automated self-service, driven by our technology platform and our growth in new verticals and geographies. Looking at our financial performance, revenue for the third quarter was $104.3 million, which is an increase of 26% over Q3 2024. We continue to take market share, adding nearly 5,000 new customers this quarter and more than 56,000 managed and connected devices. Organic revenue growth for the third quarter was 25%, showing sequential acceleration compared to both the first and the second quarters. We expect organic revenue growth to continue to accelerate in the fourth quarter, which I will discuss in our outlook.
In the third quarter, recurring revenue, which includes payment processing fees and SaaS subscription revenues, increased by 29% compared to last year's third quarter, reaching $77 million and represented 74% of our total revenue in Q3. More specifically, processing revenue grew by 33% to $48 million in Q3, driven by a 17% increase in our install base of managed and connected devices and a 35% increase in dollar transaction value. Our take rate for the quarter was 2.71%. Hardware revenue in the quarter grew 18% to $27 million compared to $23 million in last year's same quarter, with continued strong demand for our products, solutions, and technology. In the quarter, our install base grew by 17% compared to last year's third quarter, reaching more than 1.4 million devices as we added more than 56,000 devices to our install base this quarter. Moving now to profitability and margins for the quarter.
We continue to drive significant margin expansion through initiatives to improve efficiency in payment processing and optimize our hardware cost structure. Gross margin increased to 49.3% compared to 45.7% in last year's third quarter, driven by both higher recurring and hardware margins. Our recurring margin increased to 53.6% from 50.1% in the prior year quarter, mainly driven by an additional improvement in processing margin to 39.6% from 33% as a result of consolidating a majority of the payment volumes under five main payment acquirers, driving improved operational efficiency. We also continue to benefit from recent favorable renegotiations of key contracts with several bank acquirers and improved smart routing capabilities. On the hardware side, our margin increased to 37% compared to 34.4% in Q3 2024, driven by customer sales mix, the continuing optimization of our supply chain infrastructure, and better component sourcing.
For the full year, we expect hardware margin to be at the higher end of the range between 30%-35%. In terms of gross profit, we generated more than $51 million, an increase of 35% over last year's third quarter. Adjusted OpEx of $34 million was 32.2% of revenue and continues to improve as a percentage of revenue, a testament to our disciplined cost management. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $18.2 million, representing 17.5% of revenue, an improvement of more than $7.2 million compared to last year's third quarter, and demonstrating the continued scaling of operating leverage in the business. Operating profit was $7.8 million, an improvement of $6.4 million from last year's third quarter. This significant operating profit increase is mainly driven by improved gross margin. Net income for the quarter was $3.5 million compared to $0.7 million in the prior year period. Turning to our balance sheet.
On September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents and short-term deposits totaled $173 million, while short and long-term debt was $156 million. Both driven by notes and warrants offering completed in March 2025 of approximately $486 million net, maintaining a solid balance sheet and net cash position. Looking at cash flow, we generated $10.5 million from operating activities. Free cash flow for the quarter was $3.9 million, mainly due to the timing of cash settlement from processing activities. Turning now to our outlook and referring to our forward-looking information disclosure in our press release. For the full year 2025, Nayax is reiterating organic revenue growth guidance of at least 25%, driven by enterprise hardware sales in the fourth quarter and maintaining our strong recurring revenue growth.
With some delays in strategic M&A transactions, we are updating our financial outlook to a revenue range of $400-$405 million on a constant currency basis. This represents revenue growth of 27%-29%. We still anticipate an adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 15%, and the updated guidance for the full year reflects the lower expected inorganic contribution due to delayed M&A activity and is now between $60-$65 million, with at least 50% free cash flow conversion from adjusted EBITDA. As for our 2028 targets, we continue to project an annual revenue growth of approximately 35%, driven by a combination of organic growth and strategic M&A. We also continue to target a gross margin of 50% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30% as we continue to drive high margin revenues and operational efficiency.
In closing, we are well-positioned for our future growth as we continue to grow our install base globally and capture market share. We'll also continue to focus on scaling our recurring revenue streams, in particular our payment processing capabilities, which benefit from the conversion trend of cash-to-cashless transactions. I'll now turn the call over to the operator for our Q&A session. Operator?
Speaker 3
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question is from Josh Nichols with B. Reilly Securities. Please proceed.
Speaker 0
Yeah, thanks for taking my question, and great to see the company posting some record EBITDA margin here in the third quarter. I just want to touch on a little bit you mentioned during the call. There's a large number of these fast-growing EV partnerships, and if you could give us a little bit of an update on the timing of some of those shipments. I know Autel was looking to ramp to maybe like 100,000 devices by the end of next year. Is that still on target, and what's the expectation for the EV ramp?
Speaker 1
Hi, Josh. This is Aaron. Yeah, so the EV charging has been accelerating, as you mentioned. We've been announcing several partnerships. We also have been accelerating the OEM integrations on the embedded readers, which is a big growth driver for us in the future with regards to EV charging. We're getting a lot of momentum, especially in the North American market. I expect also over the coming quarters with the launch of the VPOS Media, which we talked about a little bit in the script as well, over the coming quarters in Europe and the U.K. with a PIN on glass, given that with DC charging with the high average transaction value, you need to have a PIN on glass device in order to be able to do those higher value transactions.
We see that with the launch of that, that we'll be able to do more in that market for the EV charging as opposed to in past years where we've been more focused on the North American market for EV charging. As we look forward, we already started to see some hardware revenues related to EV charging customers in Q3. We expect to see a significant acceleration of that in Q4. As we start looking into next year, the partnership with Autel and with the other OEMs are progressing as expected. We're seeing the first Uno Minis where our embedded readers were delivered at the end of Q2, actually. We're starting to see some acceleration of those volumes as well.
Speaker 0
That's good to hear for the EV ramp. I know there's been a couple of other things you mentioned, like car washes, amusement. Looking at some of the recent industry conference, I know smart coolers have been a big focus for the space. Any update you can provide us on what you guys have in terms of offerings on the smart cooler market and what you're seeing in terms of demand and potential growth activity that could be driving some acceleration there for next year?
Speaker 1
Yes, this is Aaron again. We signed some partnerships in the US market. We signed some partnerships in the US market with regards to the smart coolers for distribution with our VPOS Touch. We have been actively working in other markets as well. We signed a partnership with a large enterprise customer in Europe over the past several months to start delivering smart coolers in the European markets, which we hope to talk about over the coming months. We see this as a big growth driver in the future. Smart coolers, as opposed to micro markets, which is also a fast-growing space, have been best suited for us with all the integration technology that we have developed over the last 20 years. Being able to utilize our VPOS Touch and now the VPOS Media in other markets as well for the smart cooler market should see some acceleration.
I think that car washes, as you mentioned, is also a big growth area for us. We're also seeing a lot of growth in things like arcade gaming. After we finished the purchase of Tigapo over the last year, we saw significant growth in Tigapo's arcade gaming solution over the last 12 months. We expect that to continue to be, even though it's a smaller number at the moment, continue to be a large growth driver as well.
Speaker 4
Maybe just to add to.
Speaker 1
I appreciate that.
Speaker 4
One thing to add to it, Yair, there is a great opportunity that Nayax is exercising with all the OEM. In the cooler by itself, we are partnering with the cooler manufacturers, and we are embedding ourselves with the VPOS Media already right now with the cooler provider OEM. By that, we can expose ourselves to a greater market share in the cooler industry.
Speaker 0
I appreciate the update. I'll hop back in the queue. Thanks.
Speaker 3
Our next question is from Chris Kennedy with William Blair. Please proceed.
Speaker 2
Yeah, thanks for taking the question, and thanks for all the information. Just wanted to talk a little bit more about the embedded banking and the e-commerce opportunity that Yair, you mentioned in your opening comments. Just think about kind of the position for the business as we think out into 2026.
Speaker 4
Yes, it's a great question. Thank you, Chris, for the question. The embedded is alive and kicking in terms of internally almost done from Nayax's perspective and ready to launch. It will be launched during Q1, mostly in the U.S. market. Everything in terms of setting up the agreement and the way that we're operating will take live Q1. Following this in Q2 and Q3, rolling out the production. We have set targets for this. The impact of this in terms of how we're operating, I strongly push that we'll look very much to bring value out to our customers, mostly with the MCA, with the working capital potential solution that we have.
We will help our customers to work it seamlessly with their working capital issues or challenges with us, helping them with our other part of the division, which is Nayax Capital, that we close the loop for this.
Speaker 2
Great. Thank you for that. Any update on the e-commerce opportunity as well? Thank you.
Speaker 4
The same thing will happen also in the next year with the e-com. The e-com is mostly for the EV for the first start for the EV market, and then it will roll out to more and more segments in Nayax. All of this is going to happen in 2026.
Speaker 2
Great. Thank you very much.
Speaker 1
Chris, maybe if I could just add there, we did start pilot testing in the U.S. market for the e-commerce solution at the beginning of this month. As Yair said, full production with external customers will start at the beginning of the year.
Speaker 2
Okay. Thanks for that. Just as a follow-up, Siggy, you mentioned the higher average ticket. Can you just talk a little bit about average tickets across different verticals and kind of the range between traditional vending versus EV or amusement or car washes? Thanks for taking the questions.
Speaker 5
Of course. I'll start, and maybe Aaron can help as well. Thank you for the question. We do see that on a quarterly basis, the value of the transaction is growing faster than the number of transactions. It comes from the verticals that provide higher ticketing, like car wash, like laundromat, like the EV, of course, and other areas where other verticals that we are growing. We expect that to continue. With that, I'll let Aaron add some more information.
Speaker 1
Yeah. There are some of the higher growth verticals like EV charging. For example, on a DC charger, you can see average transaction value. Right now, we're seeing it somewhere around $18 on a transaction. Even with AC chargers, we see about $4-$5 per transaction on average at the moment. Those have been steadily rising as well with EV adoption over the last couple of years. Also, some of the other verticals as well are starting to see some significant growth, car washes and others that are rising that ATV. It is important to mention also that on the retail division, as we continue to grow the retail side of the business as well, the ATV will continue to go up as well.
I think it's important to stress that the ATV will likely continue to go up over time as we continue to expand these new verticals. The gross take rate is not what the focus has been on, as opposed to really the net take rate and making sure that as we continue to increase the ATV, that the net take rate that we've been taking continues to maintain steady or growing. As we've shown over the last several quarters, we've been able to get the processing gross margin up from the high 20s up to the high 30s, which is a huge testament to the financial negotiating power that we now have doing several billion transactions a year now. Growing that processing growth as much as we are gives us a lot of leverage to be able to go and do the negotiations with the acquiring banks.
Also, we have great smart routing capabilities that we've continued to add over the last several quarters that's allowing us to be able to shave off even fractions of a penny off of each transaction. Even in a $1-$2 transaction, a fraction of a penny is a huge difference with regards to the processing margin.
Speaker 2
Great. Thanks for all the information.
Speaker 5
Just to add a little bit of numbers, right? The dollar transaction value grew to $1.8 billion and grew 35% compared to the last quarter versus the number of transactions that grew 21%. We see that growth coming from new customers, but mostly from existing ones. It's the cash-to-cash-based conversion, more cash-based transactions going into. Add to that, verticals, geographies, and extra items there that create that growth of ATV. We're very proud of that. We're very proud of the high margin, as Aaron mentioned, on the processing. If you remember us talking about it a few years ago about if we reached the 100 basis points, we'll be happy. Today, we are way over that. We're continuing to grow as we are focusing on the main acquirers, consolidation, and really make the most of it.
Speaker 2
Great. Thanks for all the information.
Speaker 4
Maybe one last thing to add to this, Chris, one last thing to add to this. We also built a platform remotely to change pricing. It has helped existing customers to fit their pricing according to inflation. It is also increasing their capabilities to control price.
Speaker 2
Great. Thanks, everyone. Appreciate it.
Speaker 3
Our next question is from Tanis Leitner with Jefferies. Please proceed.
Speaker 5
Yes. Thanks for letting me on. I got also a couple of questions. The first one is maybe on your comments around acquirer optimization, given the processing has been growing nicely and the gross profits have been driven here on the recurring side. That would be interesting to understand. The second one is on M&A opportunity. We appreciate the prudence of rather quality over quantity, which led to the guidance cuts. Maybe you just can give us an update on your appetite. Has anything been changed in terms of size? Are you looking for bigger things which did not come through this year? Should we expect that next year will be a catch-up in M&A? Maybe just the last one in terms of giving us a broader update on the market dynamics in the U.S. We know that two of your competitors are essentially merging.
Has there been any change with the delay in that process? Has there been any opportunities? Thank you.
Speaker 4
Maybe I'll start regarding how we are routing transactions. We are doing this more and more and better and better. It's helped us to go currently now semi-automatic regarding how we're doing this with the acquirers. We'll move further and further to almost automatic regarding each and every BIN card will be routed according to the best price and the best data that we have. Since we have more than 3 billion transactions, we know exactly which acquirer is doing in terms of acceptance rate, which is the most important part. Then the rate that we're getting. We'll have the ability to increase the acceptance on one hand and to reduce the cost on the other hand. This will go more and more into holding our margin in a very, very tight way that we can control the margin.
We know that we can negotiate against the vendors regarding the acquirers because we have big volume. We can also have leverage against our customers because most of the customers, 76% of them, are small customers that cannot really have a leverage in terms of negotiating. All of this is keeping us, I think, on a good track that the margin will be according to what we expect to achieve, and we are in control. Maybe before passing this to Aaron to talk about the M&A, we are looking at 2028, and we see the market according to what we expect to reach our targets. That is part of what we believe is the ability of the Nayax team to bring to life this growth. With the M&A, sometimes it will be a potential delay. Maybe we should be more clear regarding the organic.
That will be the main topic that will guide the market and not really relating to an organic.
Speaker 0
Thanks, Tanis. This is Aaron. Thanks, Tanis, for the questions. On the M&A front, on the two points that you asked about, with regards to M&A appetite, we are continuing to be prudent with regards to the acquisitions that we're doing. Most of the acquisitions that we've looked at have tended to be on the smaller side, as you've seen in quarters past. However, we do have the appetite to do a larger acquisition, not transformational, but a larger acquisition if it makes sense strategically for us. As we look into the 2028 mark, we expect to see somewhere around probably $200 million of inorganic out of the billion with regards to, as we've looked from 2022 to 2028 when we first came out with the 2028 targets. We still expect that to be relatively the same.
That would mean, obviously, if we're continuing to do a few acquisitions a year, there's going to be a couple of larger acquisitions between now and 2028. I would expect that probably as we go into 2026, one of the few acquisitions will likely be larger, call it more than $100 million of enterprise value, but still not a transformational acquisition. It's very important to us that we keep the culture and the infrastructure of Nayax at the core and having the core management team and not having an acquisition turn us in the wrong direction. Anything that we end up doing really needs to fit within our culture, but also needs to be something that we can easily digest as a company. That's been very important to all of us as we look at this.
I will just mention as well that we raised the bond at the beginning of this year to be able to have the cash on hand to do acquisitions as needed. Obviously, if needed, there are other levers to be able to go and to purchase these companies as we go forward. With regards to the U.S. competition in M&A, obviously, we have been tracking the merger of Canal Open 365. They went into second review as publicly announced. We have been watching as everyone else. We do not have any other comments with relation to the M&A as it currently stands. However, I will say that we have not been afraid from a global perspective of this merger or any other mergers that are happening. There is consolidation that has been happening in our industry for several years. We expect the consolidation will continue to happen.
We are winning right now in market share taking because of our technology, because of our great customer service, because when a small customer and an enterprise customer comes to us, they know that they're going to get great end-to-end support. This is something that has been a big differentiator for us over the years. We're not the cheapest system out there in the world. We're not the cheapest monthly service fee depending on which region that you're in. In our opinion, we're the highest quality and able to touch all of these different verticals with one product, which makes us very resilient in the long run. In terms of the U.S. market, we always look at the U.S. market with regards to acquisitions.
However, we've been seeing better opportunities outside of the U.S. in Europe and Latin America and Asia versus the U.S. market just because of the market dynamics over the last couple of years. It does not exclude us from looking at the U.S. market as well. We obviously do look at acquisition targets in the U.S.
Speaker 5
Great. Thank you so much.
Speaker 3
Our next question is from Sanjay Chakirani with KBW. Please proceed.
Speaker 4
Thank you. Good morning. I want to talk a little bit about hardware. Obviously, it's a big contributor to the fourth quarter. You mentioned sort of accelerating enterprise. Could you just talk a little bit about the visibility there as well as the margins? It seems like the margins have been a bright spot there with continued improvement. What's the ceiling on those margins?
The ceiling is margin 100%, if you can. In terms of what we want to achieve is to be better than the market. We invested around, I think, the last two years a lot regarding putting the hardware in the heart of ourselves in terms of how we produce and how we are reaching out to the best source of the component and design of the product. Now we're launching also the VPOS Media, which is a fully Android, which should have been what we call increasing our hardware cost, but actually, it is not. We succeed to get what we call a very, very good way to operate our hardware manufacturing and the way that we are sourcing it. I believe that we can keep on running on the rails of the 30-35% as we said on the hardware side.
We have the flexibility to meet all the requirements of the market on top of the risk of the tariff, which is coming on and off into the U.S. market. The U.S. market is only 39% of our business. Basically, in terms of all the blending of the global, we can see that we can control the margin of the hardware.
Speaker 2
Got it. Just the visibility for that fourth quarter ramp?
Speaker 4
We're seeing a high demand. Q4 is always a big enterprise. We have a very, very good visibility to end this quarter with the expectations that we set to the market. The visibility is in our sales force. It's a good visibility.
Okay. Just one follow-up. In terms of the delay in the M&A, how much of that contributed to the third quarter versus it contributing to the fourth quarter? Just to follow up on, Yair, you mentioned sort of it might be better just to give the organic growth expectations because inorganic is sort of hard to sort of estimate timing. There is always lumpiness there. As we think about that 2028 guidance, how much of it is organic versus inorganic to get to that 35? Thank you.
Speaker 5
Maybe I'll start, and Yair and Aaron will continue. Regarding Q3, we are not giving a quarterly guidance. However, versus the consensus, absolutely, the gap between our organic financial results and the consensus comes from the lack of significant M&As that we were expecting to see. That impacted Q3. Obviously, Q4, that's the reason why we are updating our guidance with respect mainly to the inorganic growth of the business. As for 2028, I'll let Aaron speak about that and what's the M&A portion of it.
Speaker 0
Yeah. Thank you, Sagit and Sanjay. With regards to this year, I'll just say that there were multiple M&As that were delayed later in processes. As I mentioned to Hannes and to others, we're very prudent with regards to M&A. We want to make sure that we're doing the right acquisitions. We have a very detailed due diligence process with regards to these acquisitions. We're not just buying them on the fly. We have a dedicated team to work on this. We want to make sure that the ones that we are buying are not just contributing in the short term to revenue, but contribute to the long-term strategy of the business. Specifically, with regards to this year, we expected that the Integral Vending acquisition would have happened earlier in this year. It's one that we've been talking about for a while with Integral there in Mexico.
It is one strategically that we've really wanted to do for a while. We finally were able to get to terms on the LOI back in the last month and a half or so, which is a big plus for us. We are very excited about that. We believe that we'll be able to get that done by the end of the year. We are actively in the negotiations and due diligence process right now to get it closed. There was another acquisition at the time of the Q2 earnings that we were deep in the process of that we decided to drop out of in the due diligence process. Again, because of the prudent measures that we take during the process, we expected that we were going to complete that, which would have contributed for this year.
We have decided to move on to other acquisitions as well, or instead, sorry, that will contribute more into 2026 as opposed to 2025. As we look at the 2028 targets, I think Yair mentioned this. It is very difficult to predict the exact timing of M&A. The organic growth is the most important part to us in the long term. We do not see that slowing down. We have a lot of potential catalysts as we go forward as well, not just from the cash-to-cash list, but also the embedded banking services, e-commerce, and other solutions that we believe will continue to increase the ARPU over the coming years. As we look into 2028, we do still expect meaningful contribution from the M&A. I mentioned to Tanis, we expect about $200 million of inorganic revenues from 2022 to 2028.
I would still say another probably $150 million-plus basically is going to come from contribution of inorganic over the next three and a half years. There will still be some meaningful M&A that happens. Most of them will be smaller acquisitions, call it plus or minus $10 million of revenue per acquisition, something like that. As we have seen in the past quarters, there will be larger ones as well.
Speaker 4
Thank you.
Speaker 3
With no further questions, I would like to turn the conference back over to Yair for closing remarks.
Speaker 4
Thank you for joining us today and for your interest in Nayax. This quarter, again, showed the strengths of our business and our strategy as we help merchants move to cashless payment in many geographies and verticals. As we look ahead, we will stay focused on our plan, profitably growing in key markets and working closely with our partners. I want to thank our employees for their hard work and our customers, partners, and shareholders for their trust. Thank you.
Speaker 3
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.