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OL

ONE LIBERTY PROPERTIES INC (OLP)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 showed steady operating performance: rental income rose 7.7% YoY to $24.2M, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.18 (vs. $0.23 YoY) as higher interest expense and a larger share count compressed per-share results .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly missed ($24.17M actual vs. $24.59M estimate*) and EPS was a penny light ($0.18 actual vs. $0.19 estimate*); coverage remains thin (1–2 estimates)*. Expect modest estimate fine-tuning rather than wholesale revisions. Values retrieved from S&P Global .
  • Strategy execution remained a positive: OLP closed four industrial properties for $88.3M, lifting industrial base rent mix to ~75%, and sold two non‑industrial assets for a $1.1M gain .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity intact: $96.4M of available liquidity at May 1; quarterly dividend maintained at $0.45 and declared for July 9, 2025 payout, marking the 130th consecutive dividend .
  • Near-term stock drivers: industrial mix expansion and stable AFFO ($0.48/sh) vs. interest expense headwinds and the impact of a higher share count on per‑share metrics .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Portfolio transformation: “approximately 75% of our base rent being derived from [industrial]” following $88.3M of industrial acquisitions; management emphasized stability of cash flow from the industrial platform .
    • Top-line growth: rental income +7.7% YoY to $24.2M, driven by seven industrial property acquisitions and partially offset by dispositions .
    • Capital recycling: sold two non‑industrial assets for $3.7M gross proceeds, recognizing a $1.1M gain, continuing the shift toward industrial .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Per-share compression: diluted EPS fell to $0.18 from $0.23 YoY; management cited a ~376k increase in weighted average shares from equity incentive and DRIP programs as a drag on per‑share metrics .
    • Interest expense headwind: total interest expense increased to $5.43M (+15.2% YoY) on higher average debt and rates, pressuring GAAP EPS .
    • Operating cost drift: real estate expenses rose to $5.04M (+12.7% YoY), though a substantial portion is rebilled to tenants .

Financial Results

  • GAAP and non‑GAAP results vs. estimates (oldest → newest)
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$22.211 $23.856 $24.170
Revenue Consensus Mean ($M)$21.8335*$22.7850*$24.5915*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.23 $0.49 $0.18
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)$0.14*$0.19*
FFO/share, diluted ($)$0.43 $0.46 $0.44
AFFO/share, diluted ($)$0.46 $0.50 $0.48

Notes: Asterisks indicate S&P Global consensus values. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

  • YoY/Sequential context (computed from cited GAAP values):

    • Revenue grew: $22.211M → $23.856M → $24.170M .
    • Net income attributable to OLP ($M): $5.177 → $10.532 → $4.155 .
    • Net income margin (%): 23.3% (5.177/22.211) → 44.1% (10.532/23.856) → 17.2% (4.155/24.170) .
  • KPI snapshot

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Properties (count)105
Occupancy (by sf)~98.5%
Industrial % of base rent~70% >75% (post-close plan) ~75%
Available liquidity ($M)~$129.8 (11/1/24) $110.1 (2/28/25) $96.4 (5/1/25)
Cash & equivalents ($M)$25.7 $42.3 $8.2
Total debt ($M)$426.1 $420.6 $471.0
Stockholders’ equity ($M)$304.2 $307.4 $303.2
Dividend per share ($)$0.45 (declared 3/5/25) $0.45 (declared 6/5/25; payable 7/9/25)

Estimate comparison highlights (Q1 2025):

  • Revenue: $24.170M actual vs. $24.5915M consensus* → modest miss. Values retrieved from S&P Global .
  • EPS (GAAP diluted): $0.18 actual vs. $0.19 consensus* → slight miss. Values retrieved from S&P Global .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Base rent (excl. tenant reimbursements)FY 2025N/A~$77.4M (includes $235k from a tenant that filed bankruptcy in Apr-2025) New disclosure
Contribution from four Q1 acquisitions (ex‑variable rent)From Q2 2025 (quarterly run‑rate)N/ARental income ~$1.6M; D&A ~$0.85M; Mortgage interest ~$0.81M New disclosure
Quarterly dividendQ2 2025$0.45/sh (Q1 2025) $0.45/sh (payable 7/9/25) Maintained

Notes: OLP does not issue formal revenue/EPS/FFO guidance; disclosures above are company estimates and policy updates from filings/press releases.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We were unable to locate a Q1 2025 earnings call transcript on OLP’s investor site or major transcript aggregators; the company’s news page lists press releases only for the period .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Industrial portfolio shiftQ3: ~70% base rent industrial; acquired $33M Council Bluffs asset . Q4: ~$133M industrial added since 1/2024; >75% base rent industrial targeted .~75% base rent industrial; closed four industrial assets for $88.3M .Continued positive mix shift
Acquisitions/dispositionsQ3: $2.1M gain on three property sales; new Council Bluffs mortgage 6.08% . Q4: $6.7M gain on sales; $44.7M industrial acquisitions in 2024; early 2025 buys underway .$88.3M acquisitions; $1.1M gain on two sales; new mortgage debt $52.1M at ~6.2% .Active recycling; higher-rate debt backdrop
Interest expenseQ3: Interest expense $4.93M . Q4: Interest expense $5.06M .Interest expense $5.43M (+15.2% YoY) .Rising headwind
Occupancy/tenantsQ3/Q4: Stable occupancy, selective retail exits .~98.5% occupancy; base rent includes $235k from a tenant that filed bankruptcy in Apr-2025 .Solid occupancy; isolated credit watch
Macro/tariffs & ratesOngoing macro caution in releases .MD&A flags tariffs, interest rate volatility as risks .Risk backdrop persistent

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and portfolio mix: “We… strengthened our industrial platform with approximately 75% of our base rent being derived from this property sector… We have progressed our portfolio towards greater cash flow stability…” — Patrick J. Callan, Jr., President & CEO .
  • Execution detail: Closed four industrial properties for $88.3M; estimated quarterly impact beginning April 1, 2025: rental income ~$1.6M, D&A ~$0.85M, interest ~$0.81M .
  • Liquidity posture: Available liquidity of $96.4M at May 1, 2025 (cash $8.9M, $87.5M under revolver) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available on the company’s investor relations site or common transcript platforms at the time of this review; therefore, no Q&A disclosures or clarifications beyond the 8‑K/press release/10‑Q could be assessed .

Estimates Context

  • Coverage remains thin: 1 estimate for EPS and 2 for revenue in Q1 2025; Q4 2024 had only revenue coverage. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Q1 2025 vs. S&P Global consensus: Revenue $24.170M vs. $24.5915M estimate* (miss); EPS $0.18 vs. $0.19 estimate* (miss). Values retrieved from S&P Global .
  • Prior two quarters context (S&P Global): Q3 2024 revenue $22.211M vs. $21.8335M estimate* (beat); Q4 2024 revenue $23.856M vs. $22.7850M estimate* (beat). Values retrieved from S&P Global .

Notes: Asterisks indicate S&P Global consensus values. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Industrial mix at ~75% of base rent is the central thesis and should support steadier cash flows; continued acquisitions reinforce this trajectory .
  • AFFO/share held at $0.48 despite higher interest expense and more shares outstanding; watch the pace of accretive deployment versus financing costs to protect per‑share distributions .
  • Interest expense is the primary P&L headwind near‑term (+15.2% YoY); refinancing cadence and fixed/swapped coverage remain important monitoring points .
  • Liquidity of $96.4M provides flexibility for selective acquisitions and debt management while maintaining the $0.45 quarterly dividend (130th consecutive) .
  • Tenant credit remains largely stable with ~98.5% occupancy; monitor disclosed bankruptcy‑affected base rent exposure ($235k inside 2025 base rent) for collection/leaseback outcomes .
  • With thin Street coverage, small estimate variances can appear as “misses” but may have limited informational content; focus on leasing, cash rent growth, and accretion from recent acquisitions (quarterly contribution guidance provided) .

Appendix: Detailed Financial Statements and Reconciliations

  • GAAP income statement and non‑GAAP FFO/AFFO reconciliations are provided in the Q1 2025 press release and 8‑K/10‑Q exhibits .