Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue grew 49% year over year to $68.03M on 53% membership growth to 831k; GAAP gross margin expanded to 66.3% and non-GAAP gross margin to 68.2% .
- Omada delivered its first quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA at $2.38M, while narrowing GAAP net loss to $3.18M .
- The company raised FY25 guidance: revenue to $251.5–$254.5M (from $235–$241M) and adjusted EBITDA to -$2M to breakeven (from -$9M to -$5M) — a clear positive surprise and likely stock reaction catalyst .
- Consensus vs. actuals: revenue beat Q3 by ~$6.8M and Q2 by ~$5.9M; Primary EPS comparisons are complicated by differing definitions (company reports GAAP EPS of -$0.06 while S&P “Primary EPS” differs), but directionally improved; we anchor on revenue outperformance as the cleanest signal (values with * from S&P Global) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record operating leverage: revenue +49% Y/Y with GAAP gross margin up ~350 bps to 66.3% and first positive adjusted EBITDA; management attributed margin gains to the self-built care platform and AI tools improving care team efficiency .
- Strategic expansion in GLP-1: announced a prescribing offering integrated with the GLP-1 Care Track, targeting “the right member on the right medication at the right time” across 50 states .
- AI product velocity: launched Meal Map and built on OmadaSpark to drive engagement and personalization; “We plan to keep weaving AI into many layers of our program” .
Selected quotes:
- “Our third quarter results demonstrate the strength of Omada’s multi-product platform...” .
- “2026 [will be] the year of the Gs… GLP-1s and GPTs and broader AI” .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP still loss-making: net loss was $3.18M in Q3; despite sequential improvement, profitability remains a journey .
- Cash declined sequentially to $198.6M primarily due to paying off ~$30M of debt (a strategic de-leveraging move), reducing flexibility near term versus Q2 levels .
- Hardware drag persists: hardware revenue of $5.09M versus hardware cost of $10.31M implies negative hardware gross margin in Q3; management’s model relies on services margins to offset device economics .
Financial Results
Headline P&L, Margins, Cash
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Company defines adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP gross margin as per its non-GAAP policy; reconciliations provided in the press release .
Segment Revenue Mix
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Member definition (billing event in prior 12 months) per company key metric disclosure .
Results vs. S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Implication: Clear revenue beats in both Q2 and Q3; EPS comparability is complicated by differing EPS definitions (company GAAP vs. S&P “Primary EPS”).
Guidance Changes
Company reiterated inability to reconcile forward adjusted EBITDA to GAAP net loss due to variability of excluded items .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q1 earnings call transcript available in our set; thus marked n/a.
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We also took important steps to deepen our innovation in GLP-1 care options and advance our AI capabilities, both aimed at delivering meaningful and sustainable outcomes for our members and cost savings for customers.”
- CEO on strategy: “2026… the year of the Gs. The first G is GLP-1s… The second G is GPTs and broader AI.”
- President on AI: Meal Map “combines instant nutrient feedback with personalized guidance… Early observations include signs of higher engagement and more consistent meal tracking” .
- CFO on margins/targets: “Our goal… is to get to 70% annualized gross margins… remain committed to hitting a +20% EBITDA margin” .
Q&A Highlights
- GLP-1 prescribing details: Enterprise model, branded meds via member’s chosen pharmacy; pricing to be incremental (intended to be revenue and margin accretive), specifics to come .
- 2026 investment cadence: Expect increased OpEx (R&D, S&M) to stand up prescribing and GLP-1/AI enhancements; more specifics by March call .
- Seasonality: Q4 sequential revenue modestly higher but seasonally slower around holidays; focus on pipeline build into 2026 .
- Multi-product attach and pipeline: Continued traction; double-digit Y/Y deal volume; 75% of new channel customers taking multiple programs .
- Gross margin ambitions intact alongside new offerings; AI expected to support efficiency and ARPU over time .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Omada delivered material revenue beats vs. S&P Global consensus in Q2 and Q3 (see table), reflecting stronger-than-expected membership growth and commercialization of GLP-1 Care Track (values with * from S&P Global) .
- EPS: Company reports GAAP EPS; S&P “Primary EPS” may reflect a different definition/normalization, so we anchor on revenue beats as the more comparable indicator while noting GAAP EPS improved sequentially in Q3 .
- Street recalibration: Raised FY25 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance should drive upward estimate revisions for 4Q and FY25, with 2026 margin commentary setting constructive expectations .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based growth with operating leverage: revenue +49% Y/Y, GAAP gross margin 66.3%, first positive adjusted EBITDA — a key inflection .
- Guidance raised on both top line and adjusted EBITDA, signaling sustained momentum into 4Q and 2026 .
- Strategic moat expanding via GLP-1 prescribing and AI (Meal Map, OmadaSpark), improving differentiation and potential ARPU/retention .
- Channel scale building (new partner reach ~180k individuals; 75% multi-product attach) supports durable membership growth into 2026 .
- Watch hardware economics (negative hardware gross margin) and continued GAAP losses even as adjusted metrics inflect; services margin mix remains critical .
- Cash of ~$199M post debt paydown provides runway for 2026 investments (GLP-1/AI) without leverage overhang .
- Near-term trading lens: narrative anchored on raised guide and first positive adjusted EBITDA; monitor 4Q seasonality and early prescribing traction updates .
Appendix — Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations are provided by the company in the press releases .