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    On Holding (ONON)

    ONON Q1 2025: $10-Priced Cloud6 Drives Demand and Pricing Power

    Reported on Jul 28, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$51.31Last close (May 12, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$55.01Open (May 13, 2025)
    Price Change
    $3.70(+7.21%)
    • Strong Brand Momentum: Executives highlighted the impact of high-profile campaigns (e.g., Zendaya, Cloud6) and viral ad initiatives that have significantly boosted the brand's awareness and demand across all regions.
    • Successful Product Innovation with Pricing Power: The Cloud6 launch, introduced at a $10 higher base price without affecting demand, underscores On's ability to innovate while commanding premium pricing, reinforcing its market-leading position.
    • Resilient Omnichannel Performance: Robust growth across D2C, retail, and wholesale channels is evident from strong same-store performance and controlled store expansion, supporting sustainable long-term growth.
    • Tariff and FX Uncertainty: Increased tariff pressures—such as the 10% additional tariff on Vietnam imports during the pause period—and volatile foreign exchange rates create uncertainty around margins and cost structures.
    • Automation and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing reliance on new automation initiatives, notably the Atlanta warehouse project which is still in live testing, introduces execution risks that could disrupt order processing if implementation issues arise.
    • Controlled Expansion in Wholesale and Retail: A cautious approach to expanding wholesale door counts and the deliberate restraint in adding new retail outlets may limit market penetration and revenue growth if consumer demand moderates.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Gross Profit Margin

    FY 2025

    around 60.5%

    60% to 60.5%

    lowered

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin

    FY 2025

    17% to 17.5%

    16.5% to 17.5%

    lowered

    Net Sales Growth

    FY 2025

    at least 27% / CHF 2.94B

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Regional Growth

    FY 2025

    Slightly higher growth expected in H1 vs H2

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    FX Impact

    FY 2025

    No sizable FX impact expected

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Revenue Share from Stores

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    10%

    no prior guidance

    Wholesale Door Growth

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    mid-single digits

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Brand Momentum and Celebrity Endorsements

    Emphasized in Q4 2024 with global awareness, celebrity partnerships (Zendaya, Roger Federer, Elmo) and in Q3 and Q2.

    Maintains exceptional momentum and innovative celebrity campaigns (Zendaya, Elmo, Federer) driving strong consumer demand.

    Consistent emphasis with positive sentiment across periods; the focus remains on driving global brand awareness and leveraging high-profile endorsements to sustain growth.

    Product Innovation and Premium Pricing

    Highlighted in Q4 2024 with launches of Cloudsurfer 2 and upcoming Cloudboom Max , in Q3 with breakthroughs like Cloudsurfer Next and LightSpray related innovation , and in Q2 with strong innovation in performance products and strategic pricing.

    Continued rollout of new products (Cloudsurfer 2, Cloud 6, future Cloudsurfer Max) and price increases to reinforce premium positioning.

    Persistent focus on new product launches and premium pricing with a proactive approach that strengthens brand differentiation and future growth prospects.

    Supply Chain, Inventory, and Operational Execution Challenges

    Addressed across Q4 with discussions on operational disruptions and inventory management , Q3 with improvements via warehouse automation and inventory shifts , and Q2 with challenges around the Atlanta warehouse transition.

    Continued focus on scalability (LightSpray, Atlanta automation), strategic inventory management and mitigation of global trade uncertainties.

    While challenges persist, improvements in automation and inventory management indicate a shift toward more resilient operations; sentiment moves from reactive to proactive.

    Omnichannel and DTC/Wholesale Channel Performance

    Discussed robustly in Q4 with record DTC shares , in Q3 with multichannel growth and expanding retail presence , and in Q2 showing strong DTC and wholesale performance with high growth rates.

    Emphasizes an integrated strategy with significant year-over-year growth in DTC and wholesale channels, supported by investments in technology and retail relationships.

    Consistent and optimistic outlook with steady channel performance; continuous investments in omnichannel capabilities underpin a balanced growth strategy.

    Tariff, FX, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

    Q4 noted FX gains and caution due to macroeconomic conditions , Q3 discussed tariff adjustments and FX losses , and Q2 focused on stable FX impacts.

    Highlights continued impact of a 10% tariff, volatility from FX depreciation and proactive pricing to counter uncertainties, alongside cautious consumer outlooks.

    Increasing focus on external economic risks with proactive measures (e.g., price increases) emerging to mitigate effects; sentiment shifts toward cautious optimism.

    Retail Expansion and Apparel Sales Growth

    Q4 reported major retail store openings and strong apparel sales growth , Q3 detailed aggressive expansion and record apparel share in own stores , and Q2 showed robust store network growth and double-digit apparel sales increases.

    Continues aggressive retail expansion globally with new flagship openings and record apparel sales (notably a 93% year-over-year growth in apparel) driving premium brand experience.

    A consistently positive trend with accelerated store expansion and record apparel performance that reinforces brand equity and future revenue potential.

    Innovative Manufacturing Technologies (LightSpray) and Sustainability

    Q4 emphasized ramp-up plans and integration in sustainability efforts , Q3 detailed breakthrough potential and public recognition (Time’s 200 Best Inventions) , and Q2 focused on efficiency gains and CO2 reduction benefits.

    Focused on scaling LightSpray technology globally; enhancing capital-intensive, automated, and sustainable manufacturing while underpinning product innovation.

    Strong and consistent focus as a transformative driver; enhanced scalability and sustainability benefits position it as a key pillar for competitive future advantage.

    Risk of Overdependence on One-off Brand Events

    Q2 highlighted that major brand initiatives were designed for long-term growth rather than one-off boosts ; Q3 and Q4 did not explicitly address this risk.

    Not mentioned explicitly in Q1 2025; previous emphasis on integrated, sustainable brand campaigns reduces focus on isolated events.

    Decreasing focus on one-off events as the company builds a diversified, long-term brand strategy; the risk is implicitly mitigated by a broader marketing approach.

    1. Growth Outlook
      Q: Which regions, channels drive growth outlook?
      A: Management expects 28% constant currency growth with strong global momentum—especially in Asia Pacific, Europe, and the U.S.—supported by a robust order book for later quarters.

    2. Tariff Mitigation
      Q: Tariff impact mitigation and price adjustments?
      A: They factored current tariffs (e.g., a 10% tariff in Vietnam) into guidance and plan to raise prices starting Fall/Winter to offset such impacts.

    3. Brand & Americas
      Q: How is brand and U.S. growth performing?
      A: Executives highlighted vibrant brand awareness globally, noting that strong U.S. same-store results and effective campaigns are driving growth.

    4. Store Performance
      Q: How do store rollouts perform overall?
      A: Retail stores outside China have far exceeded expectations, playing a key role in building the premium brand and moving toward a 10% revenue share target.

    5. Apparel & Wholesale
      Q: What fuels apparel success and its wholesale impact?
      A: Improved sizing, targeted campaigns, and refined retail presentations have boosted record apparel sales and helped wholesale partners optimize their offerings.

    6. Cloud 6 & Q1 Momentum
      Q: How is Cloud 6 resonating with consumers?
      A: The Cloud 6 launch, priced $10 higher than its predecessor, has resonated well across demographics, contributing to record Q1 sales without price sensitivity.

    7. Wholesale Ordering
      Q: Are wholesale orders showing caution?
      A: Management reported no cancellations; wholesale partners are maintaining strong demand supported by high brand awareness.

    8. Wholesale Doors
      Q: What about growth in wholesale door counts?
      A: The outlook remains steady with mid-single digit growth in door openings, as expansion continues in a controlled manner.

    9. Leadership Transition
      Q: How is leadership transition affecting strategy?
      A: Despite Marc’s departure, Martin Hoffmann assured that the long-term strategy is unchanged, and a new CFO is under active search to bolster leadership.

    10. Automation & LightSpray
      Q: What's the status on automation and LightSpray?
      A: Progress is solid with Atlanta warehouse automation in live testing and upcoming LightSpray launches signaling future scalability.

    Research analysts covering On Holding.