OI
ON24 INC. (ONTF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $36.68M and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.06; non-GAAP operating loss was $0.36M and adjusted EBITDA was $0.72M, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of non-GAAP profitability and fourth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow .
- ARR ended at $127.3M (Core) and $129.7M (Total), down $2.3M sequentially, driven by two large customer downsells despite the highest new and expansion ARR of the year; Enterprise NRR was 91% and gross retention improved to the low-80s for 2024, both up mid-single digits YoY .
- Management guided to a return to ARR growth in 2025 with FY25 Core revenue of $136.3–$139.3M, total revenue of $138.6–$141.6M, ~76% gross margin, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.02–$0.05; Q1’25 revenue is guided to $34.0–$34.5M and non-GAAP loss per share of $(0.03) to $(0.01) .
- Catalysts: accelerating AI-powered ACE adoption (>20% of growth ARR bookings), improving retention/NRR, disciplined cost structure, and explicit framework to resume ARR growth in 2025; near-term overhangs include macro-tight marketing budgets and the Q4 downsells .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- AI-powered ACE momentum: “ACE accounted for over 20% of our growth ARR bookings in Q4,” with the “highest level of new bookings” and customers now “crossed double digits as a percentage of our customer base” .
- Retention and NRR improved: gross retention reached the highest level in three years; Enterprise Core NRR was 91% (up mid-single digits YoY), supported by multi-year and multi-product adoption (51% of ARR in multi-year; 39% of customers using 2+ products) .
- Profitability and cash generation: non-GAAP EPS positive for the 7th consecutive quarter and adjusted EBITDA positive; free cash flow positive for the 4th consecutive quarter .
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What Went Wrong
- Sequential ARR decline: Core ARR fell $2.3M QoQ (to $127.3M), impacted by two significant downsells despite robust new and expansion activity .
- YoY revenue contraction: total revenue declined to $36.68M from $39.34M in Q4’23 amid tight marketing budgets; management cited 2024 as “one of the toughest years” for marketing spend .
- Non-core product headwind: Virtual Conference revenue continued to shrink (Q4 VC total revenue $0.64M vs $1.05M in Q4’23), reflecting de-emphasis of the product .
Financial Results
Sequential trend (oldest → newest)
YoY comparison
Segment/product revenue mix (oldest → newest)
KPIs and operating metrics
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q4 2024 reference data): stock-based compensation $10.898M; restructuring $0.388M; amortization of acquired intangibles $0.135M; non-GAAP net income $2.549M .
Guidance Changes
Q4 2024 guidance vs. actuals
New guidance issued at Q4 2024
Notes: Management expects adjusted EBITDA to be positive for FY25 and for each quarter starting in Q2’25; Q1 is seasonally the trough for revenue and profitability .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “We improved our retention rates, executed on our product innovation roadmap, consistently exceeded our profitability targets, and laid the foundation for a return to growth.” – Sharat Sharan, CEO .
- AI differentiation: “Our AI-powered ACE had its best quarter yet… enabling personalized engagement and AI-generated content, driving immediate ROI.” – Sharat Sharan .
- Enterprise momentum: “We saw continued strength in regulated verticals, including life sciences and financial services… elevating our platform, including ACE, as foundational technology.” – Sharat Sharan .
- Profitability discipline: “We delivered positive adjusted EBITDA and positive non-GAAP EPS in Q4 for the seventh consecutive quarter… total non-GAAP expenses were almost $20 million lower than 2023.” – Steve Vattuone, CFO .
- 2025 roadmap: “We expect to return to ARR growth during the year… with ending 2025 Core ARR higher than ending 2024 levels; gross margins ~76%; adjusted EBITDA positive for 2025.” – Steve Vattuone .
Q&A Highlights
- Macro budgets and demand: Management characterized 2024 as one of the toughest years for marketing budgets (per Gartner), but noted “green shoots” in tech and winbacks, with stabilization and expected NRR improvement in 2025; stance remains cautiously optimistic .
- OpEx and margins: 2025 is about balancing growth with profitability; selective investments in AI and go-to-market for regulated industries while maintaining adjusted EBITDA and EPS profitability for the year, with Q1 as the trough .
- Free cash flow: CFO expects free cash flow positive again in 2025, excluding potential one-time/restructuring items .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus revenue and EPS estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limitations. As a proxy, we compared results to company-issued guidance (beats across revenue and EPS) and to prior periods. We will update comparatives versus Wall Street consensus upon availability.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution beat: Q4 revenue and EPS exceeded company guidance; non-GAAP profitability and FCF remain intact, underscoring disciplined cost control and a resilient margin profile .
- ACE-led catalyst: AI-powered ACE is scaling (now >20% of growth ARR bookings) and differentiating ON24 in enterprise-first, regulated verticals—an important lever for ARR re-acceleration in 2025 .
- ARR inflection targeted: Despite two large Q4 downsells, mgmt expects ending 2025 Core ARR to grow YoY; Q1 tends to be seasonal trough with improving trajectory through the year .
- Quality of ARR: Multi-year contracts (51% of ARR) and multi-product adoption (39% of customers) provide durability and expansion potential as macro stabilizes .
- Cash and capital returns: ~$182.7M in cash and marketable securities supports ongoing investments and buybacks; 2024 delivered 4 consecutive FCF-positive quarters .
- Risk checks: Macro marketing budgets remain tight; Virtual Conference continues to decline; watch for magnitude/timing of ARR improvements and execution of enterprise go-to-market .
- Trading lens: Near-term sentiment likely improves on guidance beats and the ARR growth framework, with AI/ACE adoption and retention/NRR improvements as key KPI catalysts over the next 1–2 quarters .