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OS

OVERSEAS SHIPHOLDING GROUP INC (OSG)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 delivered steady growth: shipping revenues rose to $117.5M (+3.3% y/y, +1.3% q/q), diluted EPS was $0.19 (+35.7% y/y), and Adjusted EBITDA reached $43.9M (+7.3% y/y) .
  • Mix tailwinds: higher average daily rates, stronger Delaware Bay lightering volumes, and fewer repair days offset a 22-day increase in drydock days; operating income improved to $23.5M (+4.2% y/y) .
  • Management reiterated a constructive market backdrop tied to durable international freight rates that indirectly support Jones Act demand; the Board paid a second $0.06 quarterly dividend in April and OSG exercised a 5-year extension option for Overseas Tampa (2025–2030) .
  • No formal quantitative guidance; consensus from S&P Global was unavailable in our feed for OSG, so no beat/miss call can be made against Street numbers (S&P Global consensus mapping not available).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • EPS and earnings power: diluted EPS increased 35.7% y/y to $0.19; Adjusted EBITDA rose to $43.9M (+$3.0M y/y), driven primarily by higher TCE revenues .
  • Pricing and volumes: management cited higher average daily rates and increased Delaware Bay lightering volumes as key drivers of the revenue/TCE uplift; repair days were lower by five days y/y .
  • Strategic tone and shareholder returns: CEO emphasized “steadily improving cashflow and profitability” and highlighted the second quarterly dividend; “the Board expressed its confidence by declaring a second quarterly dividend at the end of March” .

What Went Wrong

  • Operational headwinds from drydock/repositioning: Q1 included a 22-day increase in drydock days, which moderated revenue growth despite rate and volume tailwinds .
  • General and administrative expense step-up: G&A rose to $10.4M vs $7.8M in Q1’23, partly pressuring operating leverage (implied by the income statement) .
  • TCE performance mixed across assets: realized rates and revenue days varied by segment; e.g., international MR spot rates were lower vs the prior year in the non‑Jones Act fleet, and total revenue days fell to 1,731 (from 1,772) .

Financial Results

Core results vs prior periods (GAAP unless noted)

MetricQ1 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Shipping Revenues ($M)$113.8 $116.0 $117.5
Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) Revenues ($M, non‑GAAP)$104.7 $110.1 $110.7
Operating Income ($M)$22.5 $25.9 $23.5
Net Income ($M)$12.1 $20.4 $14.6
Diluted EPS ($)$0.14 $0.26 $0.19
Adjusted EBITDA ($M, non‑GAAP)$40.9 $47.3 $43.9

Note: TCE revenues and Adjusted EBITDA are non‑GAAP measures; see company-provided reconciliations .

Segment economics – Vessel Operating Contribution (non‑GAAP)

($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Specialized businesses$29.6 $31.3
Jones Act MR tankers$9.4 $11.3
Jones Act ATBs$7.4 $9.2
Total Vessel Operating Contribution$46.4 $51.8

KPIs – TCE rates and revenue days

CategoryAvg Rate Q1 2023Rev Days Q1 2023Avg Rate Q1 2024Rev Days Q1 2024
Jones Act MR Product Carriers – Fixed$64,417 847 $70,975 866
Non‑Jones Act MR Product Carriers – Spot$41,384 246 $27,391 182
Non‑Jones Act MR Product Carriers – Fixed$33,319 14 $53,451 91
ATBs – Fixed$42,479 265 $47,992 273
Lightering – Spot$104,512 90 $126,069 91
Alaska – Fixed$60,115 270 $64,937 228
Total revenue days1,772 1,731

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue/EPS/EBITDA guidance2024Not providedNot providedN/A (no formal guidance)
Dividend per share (quarterly)Ongoing$0.06 declared Dec 6, 2023; paid Jan 4, 2024 $0.06 declared Mar 14, 2024; paid Apr 10, 2024 Maintained
Bareboat charter – Overseas TampaJun 2025–Jun 2030Option available5‑year option exercised Extended

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ-2 (Q3 2023)Q-1 (Q4 2023)Current (Q1 2024)Trend
Market backdrop, rates, and demandStrong refining margins and international tanker rates supported TSP vessels; lightering volumes boosted performance .“Strong fundamentals” and >$860M forward charter book value as of early March 2024; multiple new fixtures added .Durable international freight rates seen as supportive of Jones Act demand; constructive outlook reiterated .Supportive and durable
Contract coverage / forward book90% of 2024 available trading days for Jones Act fleet fixed; expected TCE >$30M/month through YE 2024 .Expanded forward charter cover; employed Alaskan Explorer into new trade lane .Continued constructive tone; specific % coverage not reiterated on release .Stable/positive
Operational cadence (drydock/repositioning)Increased drydock days y/y; fewer vessels vs 2022 .Drydock days up; fleet realignment continues .22 more drydock days moderated revenue; repositioning discussed on call .Transitional but manageable
Regulatory/macro (CARB, geopolitics)N/A in release context.N/A in release context.Discussed CARB Tier 4 implications and West Coast capacity dynamics in Q&A; geopolitical disruptions sustaining int’l freight rates .Watchlist, potentially supportive
Sustainability / efficiency initiativesN/A in release context.N/A in release context.Efficiency steps: robotic hull cleaning, graphene propeller coatings, silicone hull paints (prepared remarks) .Incremental progress

Management Commentary

  • “OSG’s first quarter results continued the recent trend of steadily improving cashflow and profitability… the Board expressed its confidence by declaring a second quarterly dividend at the end of March.” — Sam Norton, President & CEO .
  • “Disruptions to historical trading patterns… have kept international freight markets at or near historical highs… with positive implications for our Jones Act vessels.” — Sam Norton .
  • Prepared remarks highlighted efficiency initiatives (robotic hull cleaning, graphene-based propeller coatings, silicone-based hull paints) as part of emissions-reduction targets .

Q&A Highlights

  • Renewable diesel trade: Management described growing Gulf Coast production and the potential for 6–10 vessels dedicated to the trade in the medium term, supportive for Jones Act utilization .
  • International MR realized rates: Weaker realized rates tied to repositioning and contract timing under the Government of Israel contract; limited MSC preference cargoes in the quarter .
  • CARB Tier 4 impacts: If West Coast ATBs must meet Tier 4 and reposition to the Gulf, OSG expects MR tankers could backfill West Coast demand, with near-term inefficiencies from lot-size mismatches .
  • Expense cadence: G&A reflected above-target performance compensation and professional fees for evaluating a non-binding acquisition offer; management characterized these as unique and not indicative of forward run-rate .
  • Transaction context: Management noted the Board’s ongoing evaluation of Saltchuk’s non-binding $6.25/share indication of interest and declined further comment during Q&A .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our S&P Global feed (missing mapping), so we cannot assess a beat/miss against Street numbers (no alternative validated consensus identified) [SpgiEstimatesError returned by tool].
  • Results context vs company trajectory: Revenue and EPS improved y/y; TCE revenues improved sequentially and y/y; Adjusted EBITDA increased y/y but declined sequentially vs Q4’s seasonally strong base .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Constructive demand backdrop: Durable international freight rates and geopolitical disruptions continue to indirectly bolster Jones Act demand, supporting rate strength and utilization .
  • Balanced execution amid maintenance cycle: Q1 grew revenues despite 22 more drydock days; investors should expect periodic noise from drydocks and repositioning but resilient underlying earnings capacity .
  • Non‑GAAP momentum: TCE revenue and Vessel Operating Contribution indicate solid commercial performance across specialized businesses, MR tankers, and ATBs .
  • Shareholder returns and capital allocation: Second consecutive $0.06 quarterly dividend and extension of Overseas Tampa underpin confidence and earnings visibility into 2025–2030 .
  • Potential corporate catalyst: Ongoing Saltchuk process is a key stock narrative driver pending further disclosure; management provided no updates on the call .
  • Watch regulatory dynamics: CARB Tier 4 requirements could reshape West Coast product logistics; near-term inefficiencies possible, but OSG views capacity substitution as feasible .
  • Expectations management: With no formal guidance and unavailable S&P Global consensus, focus on sequential TCE progression, coverage of available trading days, and the forward charter book trajectory as proxies for near-term earnings power .

Sources

  • Q1 2024 8‑K/press release (full): shipping revenues, TCE revenues, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, non‑GAAP reconciliations, segment KPIs, dividend, Overseas Tampa extension .
  • Q4 2023 8‑K/press release (prior quarter): results, forward charter book commentary .
  • Q3 2023 8‑K/press release (Q‑2): results and forward coverage commentary .
  • Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (third‑party hosts): Seeking Alpha and others for prepared remarks and Q&A color .

Non‑GAAP measures (TCE revenues, Vessel Operating Contribution, Adjusted EBITDA) are company-defined; see reconciliations in the filings and press releases .