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OS Therapies Inc (OSTX)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • OS Therapies reported Q3 2024 results with a net operating loss of $2.875M and GAAP net loss per share of $0.18 on 15.897M weighted-average shares; management attributed the larger loss primarily to IPO-related expenses, while reiterating the company remains pre-revenue .
  • The quarter’s key catalyst is the expected December 2024 topline readout from the fully enrolled, potentially pivotal Phase 2b OST-HER2 trial in resected, recurrent osteosarcoma; management intends to promptly engage the FDA thereafter .
  • Corporate execution highlights: completion of final patient dosing in Phase 2b and acceptance into Johnson & Johnson JLABS, positioning the company for regulatory engagement and potential commercialization steps post-data .
  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q3 2024 were unavailable at time of analysis due to access limits, so we cannot benchmark EPS/revenue vs. Street; note the company is pre-revenue and did not provide financial guidance metrics .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Completed treatment phase for the Phase 2b OST-HER2 trial (41 patients dosed across 21 U.S. sites), with topline data expected in December 2024—keeps regulatory timeline intact .
    • Strategic platform progress and positioning: the company reiterated Fast Track, Orphan Drug, and RPDD designations for OST-HER2 and highlighted discussions with FDA regarding Breakthrough Therapy Designation, strengthening potential regulatory pathway .
    • Management tone on execution: “The third quarter was pivotal… we completed our initial public offering and finished dosing the final patient… We are now looking forward to releasing topline data in December and then engaging with the FDA…” — Paul A. Romness, Chairman & CEO .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Operating loss increased year over year as IPO-related expenses elevated operating costs; Q3 2024 operating loss was $2.875M vs. $2.006M in Q3 2023 .
    • No revenue yet; management reiterates the company is pre-revenue and anticipates monetization via potential Priority Review Voucher (PRV) upon approval and licensing as milestones de-risk—timing remains contingent on clinical and regulatory outcomes .
    • Street benchmarking unavailable: S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue for Q3 2024 could not be retrieved due to access limits, limiting comparison versus expectations .

Financial Results

Income Statement Snapshot (GAAP)

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenues ($USD Millions)N/A (pre-revenue) N/A (pre-revenue) N/A (pre-revenue)
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$2.006 $1.557 $2.875
EPS (GAAP, $)($0.38) ($0.26) ($0.18)
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)5.340 5.991 15.897

Notes:

  • Company confirmed pre-revenue status in both Q2 and Q3 communications .
  • Q3 2024 operating loss increase driven largely by IPO-related expenses .

Capitalization/Share Context (as disclosed)

  • Post-IPO (July 31, 2024): 20.85M common shares outstanding; 1.86M available to trade; no debt at IPO; raised $6.4M gross proceeds; management indicated cash runway through mid-2025 (context from Q2 press release) .

KPIs and Operational Milestones

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024
OST-HER2 Phase 2b enrollment/dosed41 patients dosed; 21 sites (fully enrolled) Final patient dosing completed; topline readout expected Dec 2024
Regulatory designationsRPDD (PRV eligibility upon approval), Fast Track, Orphan (US/EU) Same; FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation discussions ongoing
Corporate milestonesIPO announced post-Q2; $6.4M gross; no warrants; lockups; cash runway to mid-2025 Acceptance into Johnson & Johnson JLABS

Guidance Changes

Metric / ItemPeriodPrevious Guidance/DisclosureCurrent Guidance/DisclosureChange
OST-HER2 topline data timingQ4 2024Results expected in Q4 2024 Topline data expected December 2024 Maintained (narrowed timing)
Regulatory next stepsPost-readoutPursuing Breakthrough Therapy Designation; PRV eligibility upon approval Engage FDA after December topline; BTD discussions ongoing; PRV eligibility reiterated Maintained
Revenue outlookN/A (pre-revenue)Anticipates revenue via licensing as milestones de-risk Anticipates revenue via potential PRV sale upon approval and licensing as milestones de-risk Updated/Expanded
Cash runwayThrough mid-2025Through mid-2025 post-IPO (as of Q2) Not updated in Q3 release No update provided

No formal quantitative financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx, tax, etc.) was provided in Q3 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was available in the document set; themes derived from press releases/8-Ks.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Clinical execution (OST-HER2)Fully enrolled; 41 patients dosed; interim data noted; Q4 2024 results expected Final patient dosing completed; topline December 2024 Improving (timeline narrowed)
Regulatory strategyRPDD (PRV upon approval), Fast Track, Orphan; BTD pursuit signaled BTD discussions ongoing; plan to engage FDA post-topline Stable to improving
Financing/capital runwayIPO raised $6.4M; no warrants; lockups; runway to mid-2025 IPO completion referenced; no runway update; focus on upcoming data Stable
Commercialization visionLicensing post de-risking milestones; PRV mechanism explained Adds explicit plan to monetize PRV upon approval alongside licensing Expanding optionality
Partnerships/ecosystemNot highlightedAccepted into J&J JLABS Improving

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and readiness: “The third quarter was pivotal for OS Therapies as we completed our initial public offering and finished dosing the final patient… We are now looking forward to releasing topline data in December and then engaging with the FDA regarding getting this potentially life-saving cancer immunotherapy to patients…” — Paul A. Romness, Chairman & CEO .
  • Regulatory and monetization path reinforced: Company reiterated RPDD (PRV eligibility upon approval), Fast Track, and Orphan Drug designations; discussions with FDA regarding Breakthrough Therapy Designation are ongoing; post-approval PRV sale and licensing expected as revenue sources .
  • Platform strategy: OST-HER2 development focus in osteosarcoma with prior Phase 1 safety primarily in breast cancer and supportive preclinical data; ADC platform (tADC) continues to be advanced .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript or Q&A session was available in the document repository; therefore, no Q&A themes or guidance clarifications could be extracted .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to access limits; as a result, we cannot quantify beat/miss versus Street for this quarter (we default to S&P Global for consensus when available) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • December 2024 topline readout for OST-HER2 is the pivotal catalyst; management intends to quickly engage the FDA post-data, with multiple expedited designations supporting potential acceleration .
  • Operating loss increased versus prior year given IPO-related expenses; watch for normalization of run-rate post-IPO and any changes to cash runway disclosures following the data readout .
  • Monetization path articulated: if approved, the company expects to sell a PRV and pursue licensing revenues as milestones de-risk—key to funding the transition into commercialization .
  • Execution de-risking continues: final patient dosing completed; acceptance into J&J JLABS adds ecosystem support that may aid clinical, regulatory, and potential commercialization initiatives .
  • Pre-revenue status persists; trading setup remains binary around the December data; absence of Street consensus data this quarter limits benchmarking, but the narrative is squarely clinical/regulatory over financials .
  • Share structure context from Q2: 20.85M shares outstanding post-IPO with lockups and limited float (1.86M tradable) may amplify volatility around December readout; monitor any updates ahead of the event .

References

  • Q3 2024 8-K and press release (Item 2.02; Exhibit 99.1), published November 15, 2024 .
  • Q2 2024 8-K and press release, published August 15, 2024 .