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BLUE OWL CAPITAL INC. (OWL)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered record fundraising and strong non-GAAP performance: FRE rose to $358.3M ($0.23 per adjusted share) and DE to $323.0M ($0.21), while GAAP revenues climbed 28% YoY to $703.1M; GAAP net income was $17.4M ($0.03 basic) as expenses and equity comp elevated .
- AUM advanced to $284.1B; FPAUM to $177.5B; permanent capital reached $204.6B. AUM not yet paying fees swelled to $28.6B, implying ~$379M annual management fees upon deployment—a key forward driver of fee growth .
- Platforms executed broadly: Credit gross originations were ~$9.7B; Real Assets saw net lease commitments of $4.2B at ~8% cap rates; Digital Infrastructure Fund III closed at $7B hard cap; alternative credit interval fund closed $850M .
- Guidance/catalysts: FRE margin guided to 57–58% for 2025 (maintained); OTF listing to add ~$135M annual management fees when fully reflected (only ~$6M captured in Q2; NTI step-up ~$3M expected in Q3); quarterly dividend maintained at $0.225; net lease fees guided roughly flat in Q3 due to fee step-downs .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Record Quarter of Capital Raising” across institutional and wealth channels; $12.1B equity raised in Q2; diversified flows across Credit ($5.8B) and Real Assets ($5.8B) .
- Strategic momentum: Digital Infrastructure Fund III final close at $7B hard cap; net lease seventh vintage first close ~$$2.1B plus ~$$1B co-invest; strong pipeline ($41B LOI) and ~8% cap rates on ~$4.2B commitments .
- Management emphasized secular positioning and durable, income-oriented strategies: “We intend to grow FRE management fees to over $5B and FRE to over $3B…we feel very much on track” (Co-CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP margin compressed to 12% (vs 28% YoY) with GAAP net income down to $17.4M (from $33.9M), reflecting higher compensation, amortization and G&A; diluted EPS fell to $0.02 (from $0.06) .
- FRE margin moderated to 57% (vs 59% YoY), with elevated FRE expenses as the firm invests in scaling distribution and new strategies .
- Q2 only captured ~$6M of OTF’s expected ~$33M quarterly run-rate (timing), and alternative credit interval fund management fees will begin in ~12 months; net lease fee step-down tempering Q3 management fee growth (near-term headwinds to fee trajectory) .
Financial Results
Segment Revenues (GAAP)
Segment Revenues (FRE)
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We raised $14 billion of new capital during the quarter…FRE revenues by 29%, FRE by 23%, and DE by 20% on a last 12-month basis” (Co-CEO) .
- “We are very pleased with the results…17th consecutive quarter of management fee and FRE growth…equity raised over the last 12 months increased nearly 90% YoY” (CFO) .
- “OTF…now the second-largest publicly traded BDC by net assets and largest tech-focused BDC…listing seamlessly amid turbulence” (Co-CEO) .
- “We intend to grow FRE management fees to over $5 billion and FRE to over $3 billion…we are very much on track” (CFO) .
- “Digital infrastructure…own mission-critical assets…tenants with average AA ratings…15–20-year leases…‘best risk-reward setup’ we’ve seen” (Co-CEO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Asset-backed origination and interval fund strategy: Management outlined deep origination across sub-channels, data science capability, and broadening endpoints (interval fund), highlighting a ~$7–$10T addressable market and >200bps spread over liquid alternatives .
- 401(k) pathway with Voya: CITs enable target-date inclusion; focus on prudent, income-oriented, low-volatility alts; multi-manager structures possible longer-term .
- Direct lending activity/spreads: Credit quality exceptional; moderation in refinancing; signs of pickup in activity into Q3 with strong underlying EBITDA and conservative LTVs .
- Digital infrastructure fundraising cadence: Next flagship vintage likely in market next year; DI wealth product targeted end-2025/early-2026; half of Fund III capital already soft-circled .
- Fee trajectory mechanics: OTF listing contributed ~$6M in Q2, NTI step-up ~$3M expected in Q3; net lease fee dynamics (ORF6 step-down vs ORF7 deployment) keep Q3 fees roughly flat; interval fund fees in ~12 months; catch-up fees a little over $7M in Q2 .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus via S&P Global for quarterly EPS, revenue, and EBITDA was unavailable at time of retrieval; therefore, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus for Q2 2025. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Near-term sell-side models likely need to incorporate: (i) OTF ~$135M annual fee run-rate (timing ramp), (ii) ~$379M expected annual management fees tied to AUM not yet paying fees, (iii) net lease fee step-down offset by ORF7 deployment, and (iv) interval fund fees starting ~12 months out .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Non-GAAP engine robust: FRE and DE posted healthy sequential and YoY gains with 17th consecutive quarter of fee/FRE growth; while GAAP margin compressed, fee sustainability is anchored by permanent capital (87% LTM) .
- Forward fee catalyst: $28.6B of AUM not paying fees implies ~$379M annual fees when deployed—an embedded driver of FRE growth over the next 12–24 months .
- OTF and net lease cadence: OTF adds ~$135M annual fees as it ramps (partial Q2 capture; NTI step-up expected Q3). Net lease fee dynamics temper Q3 but pipeline/commitments support medium-term growth .
- Digital infrastructure scale-up: DI Fund III $7B is active; wealth product launch next 6–12 months, with hyperscaler demand and AA-average tenant profile underpinning income-oriented, downside-protected returns .
- Alternative credit expansion: $850M interval fund and repeat forward-flow partnerships (e.g., LendingClub $3.4B) broaden fee base with attractive spreads, complementing direct lending .
- Globalization of flows: Institutional contributions led Q2; EMEA/APAC share up to 23%, diversifying fundraising sources and supporting scale .
- Trading lens: Near-term, look for Q3 updates on OTF ramp and net lease fee dynamics; medium-term, deployment of AUM not paying fees, DI fundraising/deployment, and interval fund fee turn-on should support upward estimate revisions and multiple resilience .
Citations:
Press release and earnings deck:
Earnings call transcript:
Prior quarters: Q1 2025 8-K ; Q4 2024 8-K .