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Borealis Foods Inc. (OXUS)·Q4 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2023 did not have a standalone 8‑K 2.02 earnings press release or an earnings call transcript; the closest primary sources are Borealis’ FY2023 audited results filed in the 8‑K/A on April 15, 2024 and management letters in April/May 2024 referencing Q4 developments and gross margin progress .
  • FY2023 net revenue was $29.985M, gross loss improved to $(1.304)M from $(7.071)M in FY2022, and net loss was $(27.479)M; management attributes Q4 gross margin improvement to product mix and stabilization of commodity inputs, with European distribution commencing in Q4 and institutional sales slipped to Q1 2024 timing .
  • Post‑quarter, the business combination closed (Feb 7, 2024) with ~$50.3M of convertible debt converting to equity and a $25M debt facility (prime +4.75% term, prime +4.5% revolver) outstanding, impacting interest expense and liquidity planning .
  • Consensus estimates for Q4 2023 were not available via S&P Global due to missing ticker mapping; no Street comparison could be made (See Estimates Context).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Mix shift and margin: “Continued refinement of product mix is positively impacting gross margin – … achieved gross profit for the past two quarters (with reference to the pre‑business combination entity as to Q4 2023)” .
  • Market expansion: European distribution commenced in Q4 2023 after regulatory clearance, supporting international growth .
  • Go‑to‑market amplification: Chef Woo availability in ~600 Sam’s Club locations via Feeding America’s “Fight Hunger. Spark Change.” program enhances retail endpoints and mission alignment .

What Went Wrong

  • Capacity under‑utilization and fixed cost absorption: plant capacity utilization was ~12%; low utilization and energy/labor costs weighed on cost of goods sold and gross profit in 2023 .
  • Interest expense/income statement pressure: interest expense rose to $7.277M in 2023 with debt financing (term facility prime+4.75%) contributing to higher other expense and net losses .
  • Liquidity/going concern: recurring operating losses and commodity cost shocks resulted in substantial doubt about going concern prior to business combination; management expects to resolve but requires additional capital through March 31, 2025 .

Financial Results

FY performance (annual; Q4 specifics not separately disclosed). The table shows improvement year over year, contextualizing Q4 commentary on margin progress.

Metric ($USD)FY 2022FY 2023
Revenues, net$25,296,594 $29,984,968
Cost of Goods Sold$32,367,494 $31,288,687
Gross Profit (Loss)$(7,070,900) $(1,303,719)
Selling, General & Administrative$15,991,560 $18,645,431
Loss from Operations$(23,062,460) $(19,949,150)
Interest Expense$(3,215,822) $(7,276,583)
Net Loss$(26,281,925) $(27,479,247)

Notes:

  • MD&A indicates gross margin improved by $5.766M YoY and highlights Q4 contributions from product mix and input cost stabilization; however, exact Q4 quarterly figures are not disclosed in SEC filings .

Segment breakdown: Not disclosed; principal products are Chef Woo and Ramen Express. Points of distribution ~22,000 across U.S., Canada, Mexico, Europe (including ~18,000 U.S., ~3,300 Canada) .

Guidance Changes

Formal numeric guidance was not issued for Q4 2023. Strategic guidance and operational expectations disclosed in CEO letters:

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
School (Woodles) shipments2H 2024Not previously quantifiedRamp expected beginning Q3 2024, significant sales impactRaised visibility
Gross margin trajectoryQ4 2023 onwardNot previously quantifiedMix refinement and marketing expected to drive margin and bottom‑line scalePositive narrative
Go‑to‑market retail endpoints2024N/AChef Woo available in ~600 Sam’s Club via Feeding America programNew initiative
Going concern resolution2024N/AExpect resolution by end of 2024 with execution and shareholder supportNew target

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2023 earnings call transcript was filed. Themes from MD&A and shareholder letters:

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2–Q3 2023)Current Period (Q4 2023)Trend
Raw materials & energyCommodity spikes peaked in 2022; began stabilizing by end of Q1 2023 Stabilization supported margin progress; energy costs rose with new lines Improving inputs; energy cost diligence
Capacity utilizationPersonnel ramp with new lines (Q2 2022); training costs elevated Capacity utilization ~12% constrained fixed cost absorption Need to drive volume/leverage fixed costs
Regional expansionEU regulatory preparation in 2023 European distribution commenced Q4 2023 Positive
Institutional sales (schools)Development underwayShifted to Q1 2024 timing due to calendar Timing slip, pipeline intact
Product mix & marketingOngoing R&D and marketing investmentMix refinement plus influencer/brand programs expected to drive demand Positive demand catalysts

Management Commentary

  • “Continued refinement of product mix is positively impacting gross margin – … achieved gross profit for the past two quarters (with reference to the pre‑business combination entity as to Q4 2023)” .
  • “Sales to schools poised for significant sales ramp… we expect school systems to start serving Woodles… beginning in the third quarter [2024], we expect… significant, positive impact on our sales.” .
  • “Inclusion in the Feeding America ‘Fight Hunger. Spark Change.’ Program … made our Chef Woo ramen available in approximately 600 Sam’s Clubs across the U.S.” .

Q&A Highlights

No Q4 2023 earnings call transcript was available; no analyst Q&A highlights were filed [ListDocuments returned 0 for earnings‑call‑transcript].

Estimates Context

  • Street consensus for Q4 2023 EPS/Revenue was unavailable via S&P Global due to missing mapping for the OXUS/BRLS transition; therefore, no beat/miss analysis versus consensus could be performed (S&P Global data unavailable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin trajectory improving: FY2023 gross loss narrowed materially; management indicates Q4 gross profit achieved via mix and cost stabilization—execution on volume leverage (capacity utilization) is the key next step .
  • Liquidity posture reset post‑merger: ~$50.3M of convertible debt converted to equity; $15M term facility outstanding; interest burden was elevated in 2023—monitor financing plans through March 2025 .
  • Growth vectors: European distribution launched in Q4; retail amplification via Sam’s Club/Feeding America; institutional (schools) ramp targeted for Q3 2024 .
  • Risk monitor: customer concentration, capacity under‑utilization, commodity/energy cost volatility, and going concern disclosure (management expects resolution in 2024) warrant continued diligence .
  • Near‑term trading implications: Absent quarter‑specific disclosures or consensus comparisons, stock reaction likely linked to execution headlines (EU rollout, school shipments) and capital updates; watch 8‑K updates and MD&A for quarterly cadence .
  • Medium‑term thesis: If Borealis converts pipeline (schools/NGOs/military) and sustains mix/price discipline while driving utilization, fixed cost absorption could move the model toward operating leverage; continued investment in marketing (influencers) supports brand pull .

Source Discovery Notes (Step 1)

  • 8‑K 2.02 earnings press release for Q4 2023: Not found; February 13, 2024 8‑K contains Item 2.02 referencing financial statements but no standalone Q4 earnings press release .
  • Q4 2023 earnings call transcript: Not found in the document catalog [ListDocuments earnings‑call‑transcript returned 0].
  • Other relevant Q4 2023 press releases: December 7, 2023 8‑K regarding extension and charter amendment (corporate), not earnings content .
  • FY2023 audited results and Borealis MD&A: Located in 8‑K/A (April 15, 2024) and 10‑K (April 15, 2024) for comprehensive financials and qualitative analysis .
  • CEO shareholder letters (April 16, 2024; May 23, 2024) provide qualitative Q4 references to gross margin and growth initiatives .