PB
PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUST (PBT)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 distributable income rose to $8.44M (up 47% YoY) and $0.18 per unit (vs. $0.12 YoY), driven by higher royalty income and the absence of a Waddell Ranch NPI deficit that weighed on 2023; prior-quarter (Q1) distributable income was $5.49M and $0.12 per unit .
- Monthly distributions in the quarter were uneven given Waddell cash-timing: Apr $0.088214, May $0.020052 (omitted Waddell), Jun $0.072743 (included delayed May Waddell proceeds) .
- A key overhang persists: Blackbeard (Waddell operator) continues withholding monthly data, forcing a one‑month lag for Waddell proceeds in distributions and limiting visibility; a preliminary trial date is set for Apr 21, 2025 in PBT’s lawsuit seeking >$15M for allegedly impermissible charges .
- No formal guidance and no earnings call; near‑term stock catalysts are (i) litigation updates vs. Blackbeard, (ii) Waddell reporting cadence normalization, and (iii) commodity price trajectory that drives monthly royalty receipts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- YoY recovery in Q2: Royalty income increased to $8.80M (vs. $6.07M in Q2’23), lifting distributable income per unit to $0.18 (vs. $0.12) as 2023’s Waddell deficits did not recur in Q2’24 .
- Texas Royalty properties realized stronger gas pricing YoY in Q2 ($10.04/Mcf vs. $4.53/Mcf), supporting royalty cash flows despite lower Texas volumes .
- Inclusion of delayed Waddell proceeds improved June and July payouts; e.g., $2.247M (May) was included in June distribution ($0.072743/unit) and $2.177M (June) in July ($0.070169/unit) .
-
What Went Wrong
- Operator data opacity: “Blackbeard has refused to provide the Trustee information necessary to calculate the net proceeds” by monthly deadlines starting May, forcing a one‑month lag and limiting production/pricing disclosure for Waddell .
- Expense headwinds persist: Q2 G&A rose YoY to $0.396M (from $0.336M), with higher professional/printing/timing impacts, partially diluting distributable income .
- Ongoing legal uncertainty: Blackbeard’s counterclaims seek declaratory relief to allow disputed overhead deductions and limit information provided; trial preliminarily set for Apr 21, 2025, introducing timeline risk .
Financial Results
- Monthly distributions declared during Q2 2024
- Segment breakdown (royalty income)
- KPIs (as disclosed)
Notes: Q4 2023 distributable income not disclosed in 10‑K section; table shows “—” to avoid estimation .
Guidance Changes
PBT does not issue revenue/EPS/margin guidance.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q2 2024 earnings call or transcript available for PBT.
Management Commentary
- “Blackbeard has refused to provide the Trustee information necessary to calculate the net profits interest proceeds… As a result… if NPI proceeds are received… on or prior to the record date, they will be included in the [following month’s] distribution” (press releases and 10‑Q) .
- “The Trustee seeks to recover more than $15 million in damages… [alleging] incorrect overhead charges… duplicate charges… and other ineligible expenses,” with a preliminary trial date of April 21, 2025 .
- “For the quarter ended June 30, 2024, royalty income… $8,803,389 vs. $6,074,170 in Q2 2023… higher income partly reflects absence of a deficit position at Waddell that existed during portions of Q2 2023” .
- Texas Royalty properties pricing: “Average oil $78.00/Bbl; gas (incl. NGLs) $10.04/Mcf” .
- Operator‑provided plan: “Preliminary 2024 Waddell capex budget approximately $301.4 million (gross)” (not finalized) .
Q&A Highlights
No earnings call was held; therefore no Q&A or guidance clarifications to report.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (revenue/EPS) for PBT was not available; PBT is a royalty trust with modified cash‑basis reporting and no formal “EPS” beyond distributable income per unit, and we were unable to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q2 2024. Coverage appears limited for this issuer.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cash flows improved YoY in Q2: distributable income rose to $8.44M and $0.18/unit, aided by no Waddell deficit in Q2’24 and favorable Texas gas pricing mix .
- Expect continued month‑to‑month distribution volatility until Waddell reporting normalizes; proceeds received after the deadline will lag by one month in payout calculations .
- Litigation is the key non‑commodity catalyst through 2025; monitor motions, discovery outcomes, and any settlement overtures ahead of the Apr 21, 2025 preliminary trial date .
- Reserve disclosure risk: without a formal 2025+ development plan from the operator, PUDs cannot be reported, potentially reducing proved reserves—this may weigh on valuation multiples for distribution‑focused holders .
- Operator capex intentions (~$301M gross prelim.) suggest ongoing Waddell activity, but withheld monthly detail limits visibility on volumes, LOE, and capital recovery timing to the NPI .
- Macro remains a swing factor; Texas oil prices averaged ~$78 in Q2 and Texas gas (incl. NGLs) ~$10/Mcf, underscoring sensitivity to liquids pricing and NGL realizations .
- No formal guidance and no earnings calls; positioning should emphasize monthly press releases and 8‑Ks for cash timing, along with the 10‑Q for quarterly fundamentals.
References:
- Q2 2024 10‑Q (filed Aug 8, 2024): royalty/distributable income, segment details, pricing, litigation timeline, and risk factors .
- Monthly press releases/8‑Ks: May omission and June inclusion of Waddell proceeds; July/August distributions and continued data withholding .
- FY 2023 10‑K: Q4 2023 context and macro framing .