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Processa Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PCSA)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Processa reported year-end FY 2022 results alongside its Q4 2022 earnings release, remaining a pre-revenue company while prioritizing Next Generation Chemotherapies; cash was $6.5 million at 12/31/22 and, with a subsequent $6.4 million raise, management projects runway into Q3 2024 .
  • Net loss expanded to $27.4 million (–$1.70 EPS) for FY 2022, driven by a one-time non-cash intangible impairment of $7.3 million and higher stock-based compensation and clinical trial costs .
  • Clinical execution advanced: successful Phase 2A for PCS12852 (gastroparesis) positioning for potential out-licensing; dose escalations for Next Generation Capecitabine (NGC-Cap) with no catabolite-related AEs and an FDA meeting set for mid-April to finalize Phase 2B; timelines provided for NGC-Gemcitabine and NGC-Irinotecan .
  • Street EPS and revenue consensus for Q4 2022 were unavailable via S&P Global; no estimate comparison or beat/miss assessment could be made (consensus not retrievable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We completed a successful Phase 2A trial of PCS12852 in patients with gastroparesis, positioning the asset well for potential out-licensing or business development opportunities,” highlighting optionality to monetize non-oncology assets .
  • NGC-Cap dose escalations continued “with no observed adverse events associated with the catabolites of capecitabine” and an FDA mid-April meeting was set to align Phase 2B with Project Optimus, a key regulatory milestone .
  • Cash runway extended: $6.5 million at 12/31/22 plus $6.4 million raised post year-end; management believes the cumulative $12.9 million funds operations into Q3 2024 .

What Went Wrong

  • FY 2022 net loss widened sharply to $27.4 million (–$1.70 EPS), mainly due to a $7.3 million non-cash impairment and higher stock-based compensation and clinical costs, increasing burn vs. prior year .
  • PCS499 trial was discontinued due to enrollment difficulties, underscoring execution risk in non-oncology programs and reinforcing the strategic pivot to oncology NGCs .
  • Limited external coverage: no S&P Global Q4 2022 consensus estimates available, constraining the ability to benchmark results vs. Street expectations (consensus not retrievable).

Financial Results

Note: The company did not disclose quarterly revenue/EPS figures for Q4 2022; it furnished YTD (6M/9M) and FY metrics. The company is pre-revenue.

Annual Net Loss and EPS Trend

Metric6M 20219M 2021FY 20216M 20229M 2022FY 2022
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$5.3 $8.2 $11.4 $8.4 $14.4 $27.4
EPS ($USD)–$0.35 –$0.54 –$0.75 –$0.53 –$0.90 –$1.70

Operating KPIs and Cash Balances

MetricQ2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022 / FY 2022
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)$12.1 $9.1 $6.5
Subsequent Equity Raise ($USD Millions)N/AN/A$6.4
Cash Used in Operations ($USD Millions)$4.1 (6M) $7.1 (9M) $9.6 (FY)
Shares Outstanding (Millions)15.8 15.9 24.6 (as of Mar. 27, 2022)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.0 (pre-revenue) $0.0 (pre-revenue) $0.0 (pre-revenue)

R&D and G&A Trend

Metric6M 20229M 2022FY 2022
Research & Development ($USD Millions)$5.2 $8.3 $11.5
General & Administrative ($USD Millions)$3.2 $6.1 $8.8
Non-Cash Compensation Allocated ($USD Millions)$2.8 $6.1 $8.8

No segment breakdown or margin analysis is applicable given the company’s pre-revenue status .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayCorporateCash sufficient into Q3 2023 Cash plus raise adequate into Q3 2024 Raised/Extended
NGC-Cap (PCS6422 + capecitabine) Phase 2BDevelopment TimelinePhase 2B to be initiated in 2023 after FDA discussion (Project Optimus) FDA meeting mid-April; initiate Phase 2B in H2 2023; interim analysis mid-2024; enrollment complete by end-2024 Clarified/Timed
PCS12852 (gastroparesis)StrategyPlan Phase 2B in 2023 Completed Phase 2A; asset positioned for out-licensing/business development; focus shifts to oncology NGCs Strategic Shift
NGC-Gemcitabine (PCS3117)Development TimelineN/AFDA mid-2023; submit Phase 2B protocol to IND in Q4 2023; initiate trial in 2024 New Guidance
NGC-Irinotecan (PCS11T)Development TimelineN/AInitiate IND-enabling studies in 2023; complete by end-2024 New Guidance
Investor RelationsCorporateN/AEngaged IR/PR group; increase visibility and outreach to oncology KOLs and patient advocacy New Initiative

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2022, Q3 2022)Current Period (Q4 2022)Trend
Project Optimus / Regulatory ScienceAlign Phase 2B dose optimization for NGC-Cap with FDA’s Project Optimus Deep emphasis on Project Optimus across NGCs; FDA mid-April meeting to negotiate Phase 2B dosing/design Strengthening
Pipeline PrioritizationMultiple programs (NGC-Cap, PCS12852, PCS499) progressing Strategic pivot to oncology NGCs; PCS12852 for out-licensing; PCS499 discontinued due to enrollment Refocused
Trial Enrollment & ExecutionEnrollment efforts expanded; MTD for NGC-Cap targeted early 2023; PCS12852 enrollment near completion NGC-Cap 300 mg cohort enrollment confidence; Phase 2B multi-arm design contemplated pending FDA Advancing
Biomarker Strategy (PCS3117)N/AAnalytical biomarker work ongoing; Phase 2B to clinically validate biomarker mid/late 2023 planning Emerging
Cash Management & CompensationUse of equity incentives to conserve cash Pre-revenue focus; extensive stock-based comp; runway extended via $6.4m raise Stable/Extended
Shareholder EngagementN/AIR/PR engagement; increased visibility; social media presence; outreach to oncology community Increasing

Management Commentary

  • “We completed a successful Phase 2A trial of PCS12852 in patients with gastroparesis, positioning the asset well for potential out-licensing or business development opportunities.” (Dr. David Young, CEO)
  • “Our first NGC to move into Phase 2B will be Next Generation Capecitabine (NGC-Cap)… we look forward to meeting with the FDA in mid-April to discuss our NGC-Cap Phase 2B trial and hope to initiate the Phase 2B trial in colorectal cancer in the second half of 2023.” (Dr. David Young)
  • “Our cash balance on December 31, 2022 was $6.5 million… we believe the cumulative $12.9 million will be sufficient to… fund our operations into the third quarter of 2024.” (Jim Stanker, CFO)
  • “For 499, we discontinued the trial due to enrollment difficulties… we are now evaluating other indications with larger populations for future licensees or partners.” (Dr. David Young)
  • “We are expanding our visibility and public presence… engaging an IR/PR group… and plan to interact more with the oncology community, including key opinion leaders and patient advocacy groups.” (Dr. David Young)

Q&A Highlights

  • Project Optimus and dosing: FDA mid-April goals are to align on the best dosage regimen and study design for Phase 2B NGC-Cap; exposure monitoring will guide Phase 3 design (not MTD-centric) .
  • Indication scope for NGC-Cap: initial focus on patients typically prescribed capecitabine (e.g., metastatic colorectal), with broader potential across pancreatic and other solid tumors envisioned over time .
  • NGC-Cap Phase 1b cohort: confidence in completing the 300 mg cohort enrollment in “the next month or two”; reaching MTD mid-year informs Phase 2B specifics .
  • Phase 2B design expectations: likely 3–4 dosing arms plus potential control at established dose; final design subject to FDA negotiation .
  • PCS3117 biomarker plan: analytical validation underway; Phase 2B to clinically confirm biomarker utility; modality specifics withheld due to IP considerations .
  • NGC-Irinotecan mechanism: prodrug designed to preferentially load SN-38 into cancer cell membranes; improved selectivity anticipated, with quantitative data to be shared later .
  • Cost visibility: Phase 2B cost estimates deferred pending FDA design specifics; gemcitabine target population selection and market nuances will drive design and spend .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue for Q4 2022 were unavailable via S&P Global; no consensus-based beat/miss analysis can be provided (consensus not retrievable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory catalysts are near term: FDA mid-April meeting for NGC-Cap Phase 2B design is a primary stock catalyst; initiation in H2 2023 and interim readout mid-2024 could re-rate execution risk .
  • Strategic focus sharpened: oncology NGCs (capecitabine, gemcitabine, irinotecan) are now the core; PCS12852 positioned for out-licensing and PCS499 discontinued—expect capital allocation to favor oncology .
  • Runway extended into Q3 2024 via post-year raise; watch quarterly burn vs. elevated stock-based comp and upcoming trial starts for potential financing needs .
  • Differentiation via Project Optimus: experience with dose optimization and regulatory science may accelerate development and lower approval risk vs. peers lacking Optimus frameworks .
  • NGC-Cap safety signal (no catabolite-related AEs to date) supports the thesis of better tolerability at effective exposures; Phase 2B multi-arm design should clarify benefit-risk by dose .
  • Biomarker work in PCS3117 and selective delivery for NGC-Irinotecan point to potential efficacy/AE separation—data disclosures ahead are key for valuation .
  • With no Street estimates, trading may hinge on operational milestones and visibility efforts (IR/PR, KOL outreach); headline risk around FDA feedback and trial starts remains elevated .