PP
Processa Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PCSA)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Processa reported year-end FY 2022 results alongside its Q4 2022 earnings release, remaining a pre-revenue company while prioritizing Next Generation Chemotherapies; cash was $6.5 million at 12/31/22 and, with a subsequent $6.4 million raise, management projects runway into Q3 2024 .
- Net loss expanded to $27.4 million (–$1.70 EPS) for FY 2022, driven by a one-time non-cash intangible impairment of $7.3 million and higher stock-based compensation and clinical trial costs .
- Clinical execution advanced: successful Phase 2A for PCS12852 (gastroparesis) positioning for potential out-licensing; dose escalations for Next Generation Capecitabine (NGC-Cap) with no catabolite-related AEs and an FDA meeting set for mid-April to finalize Phase 2B; timelines provided for NGC-Gemcitabine and NGC-Irinotecan .
- Street EPS and revenue consensus for Q4 2022 were unavailable via S&P Global; no estimate comparison or beat/miss assessment could be made (consensus not retrievable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We completed a successful Phase 2A trial of PCS12852 in patients with gastroparesis, positioning the asset well for potential out-licensing or business development opportunities,” highlighting optionality to monetize non-oncology assets .
- NGC-Cap dose escalations continued “with no observed adverse events associated with the catabolites of capecitabine” and an FDA mid-April meeting was set to align Phase 2B with Project Optimus, a key regulatory milestone .
- Cash runway extended: $6.5 million at 12/31/22 plus $6.4 million raised post year-end; management believes the cumulative $12.9 million funds operations into Q3 2024 .
What Went Wrong
- FY 2022 net loss widened sharply to $27.4 million (–$1.70 EPS), mainly due to a $7.3 million non-cash impairment and higher stock-based compensation and clinical costs, increasing burn vs. prior year .
- PCS499 trial was discontinued due to enrollment difficulties, underscoring execution risk in non-oncology programs and reinforcing the strategic pivot to oncology NGCs .
- Limited external coverage: no S&P Global Q4 2022 consensus estimates available, constraining the ability to benchmark results vs. Street expectations (consensus not retrievable).
Financial Results
Note: The company did not disclose quarterly revenue/EPS figures for Q4 2022; it furnished YTD (6M/9M) and FY metrics. The company is pre-revenue.
Annual Net Loss and EPS Trend
Operating KPIs and Cash Balances
R&D and G&A Trend
No segment breakdown or margin analysis is applicable given the company’s pre-revenue status .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We completed a successful Phase 2A trial of PCS12852 in patients with gastroparesis, positioning the asset well for potential out-licensing or business development opportunities.” (Dr. David Young, CEO)
- “Our first NGC to move into Phase 2B will be Next Generation Capecitabine (NGC-Cap)… we look forward to meeting with the FDA in mid-April to discuss our NGC-Cap Phase 2B trial and hope to initiate the Phase 2B trial in colorectal cancer in the second half of 2023.” (Dr. David Young)
- “Our cash balance on December 31, 2022 was $6.5 million… we believe the cumulative $12.9 million will be sufficient to… fund our operations into the third quarter of 2024.” (Jim Stanker, CFO)
- “For 499, we discontinued the trial due to enrollment difficulties… we are now evaluating other indications with larger populations for future licensees or partners.” (Dr. David Young)
- “We are expanding our visibility and public presence… engaging an IR/PR group… and plan to interact more with the oncology community, including key opinion leaders and patient advocacy groups.” (Dr. David Young)
Q&A Highlights
- Project Optimus and dosing: FDA mid-April goals are to align on the best dosage regimen and study design for Phase 2B NGC-Cap; exposure monitoring will guide Phase 3 design (not MTD-centric) .
- Indication scope for NGC-Cap: initial focus on patients typically prescribed capecitabine (e.g., metastatic colorectal), with broader potential across pancreatic and other solid tumors envisioned over time .
- NGC-Cap Phase 1b cohort: confidence in completing the 300 mg cohort enrollment in “the next month or two”; reaching MTD mid-year informs Phase 2B specifics .
- Phase 2B design expectations: likely 3–4 dosing arms plus potential control at established dose; final design subject to FDA negotiation .
- PCS3117 biomarker plan: analytical validation underway; Phase 2B to clinically confirm biomarker utility; modality specifics withheld due to IP considerations .
- NGC-Irinotecan mechanism: prodrug designed to preferentially load SN-38 into cancer cell membranes; improved selectivity anticipated, with quantitative data to be shared later .
- Cost visibility: Phase 2B cost estimates deferred pending FDA design specifics; gemcitabine target population selection and market nuances will drive design and spend .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue for Q4 2022 were unavailable via S&P Global; no consensus-based beat/miss analysis can be provided (consensus not retrievable).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Regulatory catalysts are near term: FDA mid-April meeting for NGC-Cap Phase 2B design is a primary stock catalyst; initiation in H2 2023 and interim readout mid-2024 could re-rate execution risk .
- Strategic focus sharpened: oncology NGCs (capecitabine, gemcitabine, irinotecan) are now the core; PCS12852 positioned for out-licensing and PCS499 discontinued—expect capital allocation to favor oncology .
- Runway extended into Q3 2024 via post-year raise; watch quarterly burn vs. elevated stock-based comp and upcoming trial starts for potential financing needs .
- Differentiation via Project Optimus: experience with dose optimization and regulatory science may accelerate development and lower approval risk vs. peers lacking Optimus frameworks .
- NGC-Cap safety signal (no catabolite-related AEs to date) supports the thesis of better tolerability at effective exposures; Phase 2B multi-arm design should clarify benefit-risk by dose .
- Biomarker work in PCS3117 and selective delivery for NGC-Irinotecan point to potential efficacy/AE separation—data disclosures ahead are key for valuation .
- With no Street estimates, trading may hinge on operational milestones and visibility efforts (IR/PR, KOL outreach); headline risk around FDA feedback and trial starts remains elevated .