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PEGASYSTEMS INC (PEGA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered a clean beat on revenue and EPS versus Wall Street consensus as cloud momentum and Blueprint-driven sales acceleration translated to strong top-line and profitability; total revenue was $381.35M and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.30, ahead of consensus revenue ~$351.9M and EPS ~$0.20, with GAAP diluted EPS $0.24 . Values marked with * in estimates tables are from S&P Global.
  • Annual Contract Value (ACV) rose 14% year over year to $1.557B, with Pega Cloud ACV up 27% YoY; backlog increased 19% (18% CC), underscoring durable demand and pipeline visibility .
  • Management highlighted accelerating adoption of Pega GenAI Blueprint, expanding partner-led “Powered by Blueprint,” and cloud margins “approaching 80%” as structural drivers of growth and margin expansion .
  • Capital returns remain a tangible catalyst: year-to-date buybacks totaled $393M (8.7M shares), and the company maintained its quarterly dividend regimen ($0.03/share for Q4 2025) .
  • Guidance practice unchanged (no intra-year updates); modeling commentary pointed to ongoing mix shift to cloud (term license revenue to decline over time) and revenue recognition lags as ACV converts to revenue over subsequent quarters .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong beat vs consensus: revenue $381.35M vs ~$351.95M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.30 vs ~$0.20*; driven by cloud momentum and Blueprint’s impact on sales cycles . Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
  • ACV and backlog acceleration: ACV up 14% YoY to $1.557B; Pega Cloud ACV up 27% YoY; backlog up 19% YoY (18% CC), reinforcing visibility and durability .
  • Management execution and margin trajectory: CFO noted Pega Cloud margins “approaching 80%,” with record operating cash flow ($346.8M YTD) and free cash flow ($338.3M YTD), supporting sizable buybacks .

Selected quotes:

  • “Pega Cloud ACV growth accelerated again, and we’ve generated $347M in operating cash flow allowing us to have a significant year of buybacks.” — Ken Stillwell, COO & CFO .
  • “Our differentiated AI strategy continues to resonate…clients and partners embrace Pega Blueprint.” — Alan Trefler, CEO .
  • “We provide annual guidance at the start of each fiscal year and do not typically update it.” — Ken Stillwell .

What Went Wrong

  • Ongoing term license headwinds: Management reiterated the structural decline of term license revenue as mix shifts to cloud; investors should expect further declines and variability due to accounting duration effects .
  • Foreign exchange volatility: FX continued to create noise for reported results intra-year; management excludes FX in non-GAAP metrics and notes lag dynamics between ACV and revenue recognition .
  • Federal sector disruption: Temporary slowdown in services/projects due to government shutdown dynamics; while long-term strategic projects persist, near-term rollouts may be delayed .

Financial Results

Headline metrics vs prior periods and estimates

MetricQ3 2024 (oldest)Q2 2025Q3 2025 (newest)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$325.05 $384.51 $381.35
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.08) $0.17 $0.24
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.19 $0.28 $0.30
EBIT Margin %-2.823%*4.482%*3.793%*

Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Actual vs Wall Street consensus (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD)$351,946,780*$381,350,000
Primary/Normalized EPS ($)$0.1999*$0.30
EBITDA ($USD)$42,152,630*$17,559,000*
Gross Margin %72.5%*72.232%*

Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Segment revenue breakdown (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

Segment ($USD Thousands)Q3 2024Q3 2025YoY Change
Pega Cloud$144,108 $184,549 +$40,441; +28%
Maintenance$80,702 $79,649 -$1,053; -1%
Subscription services (Cloud+Maint)$224,810 $264,198 +$39,388; +18%
Subscription license$45,420 $60,600 +$15,180; +33%
Subscription total$270,230 $324,798 +$54,568; +20%
Consulting$54,364 $56,394 +$2,030; +4%
Perpetual license$456 $158 -$298; -65%
Total revenue$325,050 $381,350 +$56,300; +17%

KPIs and cash metrics

KPIQ3 2024 / PriorQ3 2025 / CurrentChange
ACV ($USD Millions)$1,360 $1,557 +14%
Pega Cloud ACV ($USD Thousands)$640,574 $815,370 +27%
Backlog GAAP ($USD Millions)$1,475 (Sep-2024) $1,755 (Sep-2025) +19%
Backlog Constant Currency ($USD Millions)$1,475 $1,745 +18%
Operating Cash Flow (YTD, $USD Thousands)$250,697 (9M’24) $346,796 (9M’25) +38%
Free Cash Flow (YTD, $USD Thousands)$245,776 (9M’24) $338,311 (9M’25) +38%
Share Repurchases (YTD)N/A8.7M shares; $393M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Annual guidance practiceFY 2025Annual guidance set at fiscal year startNo intra-year update; practice reaffirmed Maintained
Term license revenue trendOngoingExpect structural decline over timeReiterated decline and variability due to mix/duration Maintained (clarified)
Pega Cloud marginsQ3 2025Expanding“Approaching 80%” in Q3 commentary Raised qualitatively
Revenue recognition lag for CloudOngoingACV converts to revenue over subsequent quartersReaffirmed lag of “a few quarters” before ACV becomes revenue Maintained
DividendQ4 2025$0.03/share quarterly$0.03/share declared and paid Oct 15, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
GenAI Blueprint adoptionBecame ubiquitous in every sales campaign; >1,000 orgs building Blueprints; partner-branded Blueprints launched (Accenture, Capgemini, etc.) Blueprint accelerating sales cycles/new logos; “Powered by Blueprint” gaining momentum with 5 partners; examples of <100-day go-live deployments Accelerating
AI approach (design-time vs runtime)“Predictable AI”: design-time LLM + runtime workflows; differentiation vs prompt-driven competitors Reinforced unique architecture; orchestration reliability vs LLM control at runtime Consistent, gaining recognition
Cloud migration & marginsCloud ACV up 23–28% YoY; backlog strong; commentary on lag between ACV and revenue Cloud ACV +27% YoY; margins “approaching 80%”; mix shift pressuring term license Strengthening
Pricing evolutionWork-based (usage) pricing highlighted to align vendor/client incentives Reiterated usage-based model; seat-based pricing viewed as structurally misaligned Structural shift continuing
Federal/public sectorMomentum and FedRAMP High positioning; some reshuffling/on-hold projects noted Short-term service/project slowdown amid shutdown; long-term IT modernization bipartisan priority Mixed near term; constructive long term
Partner ecosystemHiring leadership; AWS SCA; marketplace availability; partner influence rising “Powered by Blueprint” unlocking partner IP and reach; expected to meaningfully expand aperture Expanding
Legacy modernizationNew features to ingest legacy assets (videos/screenshots) for rapid design Multiple <100-day legacy-to-modern app conversions; strong client interest Accelerating

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and differentiation: “Our approach with Pega GenAI Blueprint is to leverage the power of LLMs at design time with the power of a robust workflow engine at runtime, delivering the best of AI plus the best of reliability.” — Alan Trefler .
  • Sales acceleration and partner reach: “Blueprint…has been a game changer…partners are adopting it at an accelerated pace.” — Alan Trefler .
  • Profitability and capital returns: “We’ve generated $347M of operating cash flow…we have purchased $393M of Pega stock…demonstrating our confidence….” — Ken Stillwell .
  • Margins and mix: “Pega Cloud margins continue to expand, approaching 80% in Q3…term license revenue will decline over time as mix shifts to Pega Cloud.” — Ken Stillwell .
  • Guidance policy: “We provide annual guidance at the start of each fiscal year and do not typically update it.” — Ken Stillwell .

Q&A Highlights

  • ACV acceleration drivers: Blueprint impacting business “in a positive way” and now the “exclusive way” to go to market; partner adoption accelerating .
  • Federal dynamics: Projects slowed during shutdown but remain long-term and strategic; strong positioning via Pega Cloud for Government and FedRAMP High .
  • Pricing: Shift to work-based pricing to align incentives; management views seat-based pricing as structurally flawed .
  • Term license outlook: Expect structural decline; mix-related variability and accounting duration effects highlighted .
  • Orchestration layer: Pega positioned as a reliable agent orchestration fabric via workflows vs LLM control at runtime; neutral interoperability with other agents .
  • New logos & partner scale: “Powered by Blueprint” enables partners to sell their IP and expand reach beyond Pega practices; potential order-of-magnitude growth leverage .

Estimates Context

  • Versus S&P Global consensus, Q3 2025 revenue beat by ~$29.4M and non-GAAP diluted EPS beat by ~$0.10; gross margin was in line with expectations while EBITDA came in below consensus (likely reflecting FX volatility and mix) . Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
  • Mix and recognition dynamics suggest street models should continue to reflect: (a) lag between ACV growth and revenue recognition, (b) persistent shift from term license to cloud revenues, and (c) expanding Pega Cloud margins and disciplined OpEx .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Pega’s architectural AI differentiation and Blueprint-led go-to-market are translating into tangible growth (ACV/backlog) and beats versus consensus; the narrative supports estimate upward revisions on revenue and EPS near term .
  • Cloud mix and margin trajectory are core to the medium-term thesis; with margins “approaching 80%,” operating leverage is likely to expand even as term license revenues decline .
  • Partner-led scale (“Powered by Blueprint”) is the next leg of growth, potentially accelerating new logos and workloads without proportional salesforce expansion; watch for additional hyperscaler collaborations and partner IP rollouts .
  • Capital returns are material and ongoing: $393M YTD repurchases and continued dividends offer support to per-share value and investor return profiles .
  • Near-term modeling: factor FX and ACV→revenue lags; sequential revenue was slightly down vs Q2 given seasonality and mix, but YoY growth and profitability remain healthy .
  • Federal sector risk is transitory; long-term IT modernization tailwinds remain intact; Pega’s FedRAMP High and government-specific offerings support backlog durability .
  • Monitor term license decline pace and cloud conversion timing; beats/misses will hinge on mix and timing of go-lives converting backlog to revenue .

Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global. All other figures and statements are cited from company documents and the earnings call.