PE
Pineapple Energy Inc. (PEGY)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2023 delivered strong top-line growth and margin expansion versus prior year: revenue $19.84M (+370% YoY), gross profit $7.14M (+691% YoY), and consolidated gross margin ~36% (vs ~21% in Q2 2022), driven by the SUNation acquisition and Hawaii organic growth .
- Sequentially, revenue declined from Q1’s strong $22.07M due to pull-forward of delayed installs into Q1 and seasonality, while adjusted EBITDA remained positive on a pro forma basis ($0.32M) .
- Guidance maintained: FY2023 revenue $80–$85M, positive adjusted EBITDA, and positive cash flow from operations—underscoring confidence in backlog and execution; backlog rose to $42M as of June from $38M in March .
- Management highlighted operational execution against an industry backdrop of weaker peer results, supply chain normalization, and improving vendor pricing; battery attach rate remains a strategic differentiator (HEC ~89%) with Long Island poised for a step-up in 2024 under time-of-day rates .
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for PEGY in Q2 2023; therefore, estimate comparisons cannot be made at this time (S&P Global data unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expansion and another quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA (pro forma): gross profit +691% YoY with margin improvement from supply chain normalization and better buying power; pro forma adjusted EBITDA improved to $0.32M from $(1.65)M .
- Operational momentum and market execution: residential kW installed +29% YoY; consolidated battery attach rate improved to 43% with HEC at 89% attach—“This was a monster quarter” in Hawaii per CEO .
- Backlog strength and capital actions: backlog increased to $42M as of June (from $38M in March), $7.5M debt financing to retire seller note (no equity dilution), and sale of legacy assets to focus solely on solar .
Management quotes:
- “We were able to deliver an excellent second quarter…counter to the weak results turned in by many of our larger public peers.”
- “Gross profit margins increased due to the SUNation acquisition, normalization of the supply chain and our ability to buy better as a larger organization.”
- “Kilowatts installed [Hawaii] were up 36% year-over-year…Battery attachment rate in Hawaii remained outstanding at 89%.”
What Went Wrong
- Sequential revenue decline vs Q1 due to timing effects (pull-forward from delayed Q4 installs into Q1) and typical seasonality; management noted this was expected and not a demand weakness .
- Net loss from continuing operations of $(0.33)M vs prior year income $1.69M, driven by lower other income (absence of large fair value remeasurement and gain on sale recorded in Q2 2022) .
- New York battery attach rate remained low at 5% (market structural factors), though expected to improve with 2024 time-of-day rates; near-term margin uplift from batteries in NY not yet quantified .
Financial Results
Segment/YTD and KPIs:
- Segment mix (YoY, pro forma): Residential revenue +31%, Service & Other +31%, Commercial −3% (timing of projects) .
- KPIs and operating metrics:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO, on outperforming peers: “We were able to deliver an excellent second quarter…counter to the weak results turned in by many of our larger public peers.”
- CFO, on margin sustainability: “Supply chain has normalized…as a larger organization…we just continue to gain leverage in buying power against our vendors.”
- CEO, on Hawaii performance: “Kilowatts installed…up 36% year-over-year…Battery attachment rate in Hawaii remained outstanding at 89%.”
- CFO, on pro forma growth drivers: Residential revenue +31%, service & other +31%, commercial −3%; attach rate improved from 38% to 43% .
- CEO, on strategy: “This environment in our industry is ripe for consolidation, and I believe in our ability to find the right companies…” .
Q&A Highlights
- Wildfires and backup power demand: Management noted tragedies in Maui did not directly impact operations (HEC is on Oahu) but underscored resilience value; extreme events tend to correlate with increased top-of-funnel demand for backup power .
- Sequential revenue decline: Driven by Q4 delays completed in Q1 and seasonality; not evidence of demand weakness; expect attach rate step-up in NY with TOU .
- Margin sustainability: Gross margins seen as sustainable amid normalized supply chain and increased vendor leverage; continued innovation and IRA-driven capacity cited .
- Battery economics in NY: Contribution margin effect not yet forecast; near-term pricing approach will be thoughtful; batteries historically resilience-driven vs pure ROI in NY .
- Florida expansion: Early-stage test; lease signed, lead-gen/sales underway; capital-light “test-and-learn” approach .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for PEGY Q2 2023 were unavailable; we cannot compare reported results to Wall Street estimates at this time (Values from S&P Global were unavailable).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Consolidated gross margin expanded to ~36% with supply chain normalization and better buying power—supporting positive pro forma adjusted EBITDA; focus on maintaining margin discipline .
- Backlog and sequential execution underpin maintained FY2023 guidance ($80–$85M revenue, positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow); backlog increased to $42M by June .
- Battery leadership in Hawaii (89% attach) positions PEGY to benefit as Long Island shifts to time-of-day rates in 2024, likely boosting attach and blended margins .
- Operating leverage opportunity from SUNation integration and corporate shared services; continued consolidation strategy in a buyer-friendly environment (multiples lower), emphasizing cultural fit and referral-driven growth .
- Near-term trading implications: Without Street estimates, catalysts center on margin durability, backlog conversion, and evidence of NY battery attach rate uplift; any acquisitions or additional financing at favorable terms could be incremental catalysts .
- Medium-term thesis: A “super-local” roll-up with strong customer experience metrics and grid-services/IP exposure (E-Gear licensing) offers multi-pronged growth vectors across installs, storage, and potential recurring revenue streams .
Bolded potential surprises/catalysts:
- Maintained FY2023 guidance despite industry headwinds and sequential revenue dip .
- Positive pro forma adjusted EBITDA for the second straight quarter amid supply chain normalization and cost control .
- Backlog growth to $42M into Q3 supports revenue visibility and confidence in guidance .