PI
Penumbra Inc (PEN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $354.7M (+17.8% YoY; +4.5% QoQ) with gross margin at 67.8%; revenue beat consensus by ~$13.9M (4.1%) and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.97 beat consensus by ~$0.05; GAAP diluted EPS was $1.17 . Q3 2025 Revenue Consensus Mean*: $340.8M; EPS Consensus Mean*: $0.921. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- FY 2025 revenue guidance raised to $1.375B–$1.380B (from $1.355B–$1.370B in Q2; $1.340B–$1.360B in Q1); U.S. Thrombectomy growth guidance maintained at 20%–21%; gross and operating margin guidance maintained .
- Strong U.S. performance: U.S. revenue $275.0M (+21.5% YoY); U.S. thrombectomy $192.0M (+18.5% YoY); U.S. VTE +34% YoY; U.S. embolization & access $83.0M (+29.2% YoY), aided by the new embo-dedicated sales team and RubyXL launch .
- Strategic catalysts: Level 1 STORM-PE data published in Circulation showed CAVT superiority vs anticoagulation alone (clinical and functional endpoints); Thunderbolt 510(k) advancing with thorough responses submitted; management targets >70% gross margin by end of 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based growth and mix-driven margin expansion: GM 67.8% (+180 bps QoQ) on favorable product/region mix and productivity; adjusted EBITDA margin 18.8% .
- Venous leadership and faster adoption: U.S. VTE +34% YoY led corporate growth; “the reaction to [STORM-PE] data within the medical community has been really just incredibly positive,” accelerating shifts to CAVT from older technologies .
- Embolization execution: Dedicated 50+ embo sales team delivered 21.2% sequential embolization revenue growth; “rep team fit seamlessly,” supporting RubyXL and Swift Coil momentum (including MMA embolization) .
What Went Wrong
- Stroke softness: Macro U.S. stroke market “showed a slight decline,” creating a drag on the neuro thrombectomy growth rate despite share gains .
- International still mixed: International revenue +6.6% reported but only +3.0% in constant currency; China headwinds are easing but still present .
- Near-term SG&A pressure: SG&A up $8.9M sequentially due to full quarter impact of embo team investment; expected leverage ahead as buildout completes .
Financial Results
Segment Revenue Breakdown
Geographic Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Non-GAAP context: Adjustments include stock-based compensation, depreciation/amortization, tax impacts, litigation expenses, and immersive business wind-down/impairment; full reconciliations provided in exhibits .
Guidance Changes
Long-term target: Management remains on track to achieve >70% gross margin by end of 2026 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We generated total revenue of $354.7 million…gross margin of 67.8%…operating income of $48.8 million, or 13.8% of revenue.”
- “STORM-PE…we are highly optimistic [it] will act as a major catalyst…significantly increasing the number of patients receiving intervention with CAVT.”
- “Our new embo-dedicated 50-plus member sales team delivered strong 21.2% sequential growth in embolization revenue in the quarter.”
- “We are now in the stage [with Thunderbolt] where we address any final questions or provide any required clarifications.”
- “Sequentially, our SG&A expenses increased by $8.9 million…With this buildout now complete, we are positioned to capture sales and operation leverage.”
Q&A Highlights
- Thunderbolt FDA timeline: New product 510(k) review can take time; thorough responses submitted; team “ready to launch” upon clearance; no observed shutdown delays so far .
- Margin drivers: Favorable regional/product mix, RubyXL yield stabilization/productivity; tariffs not material; expect sequential improvement to continue .
- Thrombectomy growth mix: Venous and arterial strong; stroke softness is cyclical; expect ebbs/flows with innovation as catalyst .
- International outlook: China headwinds waning; ex-China double-digit growth; minimal headwind expected early next year .
- Market development: PERT consortium effort to expand membership; hospitals updating protocols post STORM-PE; potential expansion into smaller hospitals, DVT opportunities alongside PE .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Where estimates may adjust: upward revisions to FY revenue and embolization growth assumptions; improved GM trajectory toward ≥67% FY and into 2026; potential neuro catalyst (Thunderbolt) and faster venous adoption post STORM-PE may lift out-year growth/margin forecasts .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear top-line and EPS beats with mix-driven margin expansion; Q3 revenue +17.8% YoY, GM 67.8%, adjusted EBITDA margin 18.8% .
- FY 2025 revenue guidance raised to $1.375B–$1.380B; thrombectomy growth, GM and OM targets maintained, signaling confidence in execution .
- STORM-PE Level 1 evidence and clinician momentum are unlocking venous intervention growth; expect protocol updates at hospitals and broader PE/DVT treatment adoption .
- U.S. embolization & access now a second engine of growth (RubyXL, Swift/MMA) with 29.2% YoY and 21.2% sequential gains; embo-dedicated sales force should drive durable compounding .
- Stroke softness likely transient; Thunderbolt 510(k) could be a neuro catalyst; management remains prudent but optimistic .
- International recovery underway ex-China; headwinds easing with expectation of minimal impact early next year .
- Balance sheet strength (cash + marketable investments $470.3M, no debt) supports investment and optionality as mix shifts to higher-margin franchises .
Notes:
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Sources
- Q3 2025 8-K and press release: revenue/margins/segment/geography, guidance, reconciliations
- Earnings call transcript (Q3 2025): prepared remarks, Q&A (Thunderbolt, STORM-PE, margins, tariffs, international, embolization)
- STORM-PE press releases (Oct 27, Nov 3): clinical efficacy/safety and functional outcomes; publication in Circulation
- Prior quarters (Q1/Q2 2025) 8-Ks: revenue/margins/guidance context