PREMIER FINANCIAL CORP (PFC)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 EPS was $0.46 GAAP and $0.54 ex-transaction costs; EPS beat third-party consensus of $0.51, while “revenue” of $62.76M missed the $64.55M consensus. Net interest margin (TE) improved 4 bps q/q to 2.50% as deposit repricing began to flow through, but nonperforming assets rose on two multifamily relationships .
- Balance sheet mix improved: brokered deposits fell to $287.4M (from $382.7M in Q2), FHLB borrowings declined to $345.0M, CET1 rose to 12.17%, and liquidity remained strong (total liquidity/adjusted uninsured deposits 241.5%) .
- Management reiterated merger progress with WesBanco (0.80x WSBC shares per PFC share), targeting close in Q1 2025; dividend of $0.31 per share was declared for payment on Nov 15, 2024 .
- Stock reaction catalysts: EPS beat driven by lower provision benefit and stable fee income; ongoing NIM inflection via deposit repricing; offsets include credit normalization (NPA uptick) and modest loan contraction .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- NIM stabilization: TE NIM increased to 2.50% (+4 bps q/q) as deposit repricing actions reduced total cost of funds from June to September and wholesale funding costs eased; average interest-bearing deposit costs rose only 5 bps to 3.15% .
- Funding mix improvement: Brokered deposits fell $95.3M q/q; FHLB borrowings decreased $48.0M q/q; tangible equity increased to $714.1M as AOCI improved .
- Capital/liquidity strong: CET1 12.17% (10.32% incl. AOCI), total liquidity/adjusted uninsured deposits 241.5% .
- Management quote on deposit pricing elasticity and repricing program (from earlier call): “we began a repricing program… Early results are encouraging… we expect more forward… pricing movement...” .
- What Went Wrong
- Credit normalization: Nonperforming assets rose to $82.3M (0.94% of assets) from $64.6M in Q2 and $39.9M a year ago, driven by two multifamily commercial relationships .
- Loan balances contracted: Total loans (incl. HFS) decreased $110.4M q/q, primarily on an $87.2M decline in commercial loans; mortgage banking income also fell linked-quarter on gain-on-sale/MSR valuation .
- Efficiency drift: Core efficiency ratio worsened to 62.7% from 62.0% in Q2 (vs 56.5% a year ago), reflecting lower revenues and certain expense pressures (e.g., data processing) .
Financial Results
Actual vs consensus (Q3 2024):
- EPS: $0.54 ex-items vs $0.51 consensus; beat +$0.03 .
- Revenue: $62.76M vs $64.55M consensus; miss −$1.79M .
KPIs and balance sheet mix:
Note: S&P Global consensus was unavailable via our estimates tool; estimates here are from Zacks/Nasdaq articles and may differ in definition from bank “core revenues” reported by the company .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: A Q3 2024 earnings call transcript could not be located in our filings/document system; we reference Q1 2024 call for prior commentary and Business Wire press releases for Q2 and Q3 updates -.
Management Commentary
- Deposit strategy and repricing (Q1 call): “we began a repricing program to get ahead of the Fed… testing elasticity of our deposit portfolios… early results are encouraging, and we expect more forward… pricing movement” .
- Funding and wholesale usage (Q1 Q&A): “we would not expect to have to lean into wholesale funding. We’re changing the mix between FHLB [and] broker depending on relative pricing” .
- Commercial deposits behavior (Q1 Q&A): Clients used cash to fund CapEx/working capital rather than borrow, depressing NIB balances earlier in the year, with balances starting to replenish in April .
- Credit migration (Q1 Q&A): Movement from Special Mention to Substandard concentrated in an existing accruing credit with a path to normalization over coming quarters .
Note: No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was available in our system; Q3 commentary above relies on the company’s Q3 press release narrative and earlier Q1 call commentary for continuity - -.
Q&A Highlights
Note: Q3 2024 Q&A not available. Key recurring Q&A themes from Q1 2024:
- Liability mix/wholesale funding: Management guided to keeping wholesale broadly flat, optimizing between brokered and FHLB on relative pricing .
- Credit migration: Reclassification within an existing accruing credit; anticipated improvement after operational adjustments by the borrower .
- Deposit inflows and behavior: Commercial clients temporarily used cash for CapEx; balances stabilized by March and began to improve in April .
- Deposit repricing: Program to lower funding costs and test product elasticity; early retention acceptable while trimming rates .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus was unavailable via our estimates tool for PFC at this time; therefore, we reference third-party consensus from Zacks/Nasdaq. EPS (ex-items) of $0.54 vs $0.51 beat; “Revenue” of $62.76M vs $64.55M missed (Zacks uses a revenue definition that approximates TE NII + noninterest income; company discloses “core revenues” of $62.42M) .
- Additional Zacks detail: TE NIM matched two-analyst average (2.5%); core efficiency ratio trailed (67.2% vs ~60%); TE NII came in below estimate ($50.26M vs $51.5M) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Expect the stock to key off EPS beats vs soft topline prints; margin stabilization plus visible funding mix improvement can support multiple, but NPA trajectory is a watch-item; merger milestones remain an upside catalyst .
- Margin inflection: Deposit repricing and lower wholesale costs are flowing through, lifting NIM—sensitivity to further rate path and pace of customer migration remains material .
- Credit normalization: NPA/Assets rose to 0.94% due to multifamily exposures; reserve coverage steady; watch criticized loan trends and any spillover into net charge-offs .
- Balance sheet defense: Brokered and FHLB balances down, liquidity strong (241.5% of adjusted uninsured deposits), CET1 up—supports resilience into merger close .
- Fee income mix: Mortgage banking softer q/q; wealth management stable; overall noninterest income steady—limits revenue volatility but not a primary growth driver near term .
- Merger path: Q1 2025 closing target intact; shareholders approved subsequently (per later disclosures), with strategic/scale benefits expected to follow integration .
- Dividend continuity: $0.31/share declared; capital levels accommodate payout while preserving flexibility as the merger proceeds .
Appendix: Additional Press Releases (Q2/Q3 context)
- Q3 2024 press release (Business Wire): results and dividend announcement - .
- Q2 2024 press release and merger announcement (Business Wire): EPS $0.45; merger terms and timeline .