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Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (PLYA)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 results were mixed: total revenue $235.5M, down 5.1% YoY; Adjusted EBITDA $63.7M, down 11.7% YoY; diluted EPS $0.10 vs $0.13 LY; underlying, ex-FX owned resort margins modestly improved versus last year after normalizing for BI and FX .
- Strength in Yucatán and legacy Dominican Republic offset Jamaica weakness and Pacific renovation disruption; management said Q2 “exceeded our expectations” on operations and demand execution, with FX headwinds less severe in June .
- Guidance shifted to the low end of the prior $250–$275M FY24 Adjusted EBITDA range given Hurricane Beryl demand impact and greater-than-expected Pacific construction disruption; Q3 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $17–$21M .
- Capital allocation remained shareholder-friendly: ~$36.7M repurchased in Q2 and ~$12M further in Q3-to-date; term loan spread reduced by 50 bps (SOFR+275), expected to save >$5M annually .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Yucatán delivered ADR growth (~3%) and FX-neutral margin expansion (~210 bps), with nearly 10% underlying EBITDA growth; management: “results in the Yucatan were... exceptional on a currency adjusted basis” .
- Legacy Dominican Republic underlying profits grew mid-single digits, and excluding BI impacts from both periods, underlying EBITDA growth was strong; flagship Cap Cana assets led performance .
- Operational efficiencies continued (procurement, staffing); underlying owned resort EBITDA margins increased ~20 bps YoY after adjusting for FX and BI in Q2 .
What Went Wrong
- Jamaica incurred a material demand hit from the U.S. State Department advisory: occupancy -10.3 pts, ADR -8.2%, RevPAR -19.7%, Owned Resort EBITDA -40.3%; margins -1000 bps YoY .
- Pacific renovations caused larger-than-anticipated guest disruption and cancellations, lowering occupancy -8.9 pts and EBITDA -18.5%; management increased expected full-year construction disruption to mid/high-teens vs prior ~$10M .
- Hurricane Beryl significantly impacted Q3 demand (expected EBITDA hit ~$6–$8M, revenue loss ~6–9%); FY24 now guided to the low end of $250–$275M .
Financial Results
Consolidated trend vs prior two quarters
Q2 YoY comparison (Total Portfolio)
Segment breakdown (Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023)
KPIs (Total vs Comparable Portfolios)
Non-GAAP/adjustment context: BI proceeds added ~50 bps to Q2’24 reported margins (vs ~180 bps in Q2’23); FX appreciation of MXN was a ~60–70 bps margin headwind in Q2 . Management’s reconciliation details the adjustments to EBITDA and net income .
Guidance Changes
Drivers of change: Hurricane Beryl (EBITDA hit ~$6–$8M in Q3) and larger Pacific disruption (incremental ~$3–$4M to Q3) pushed FY24 to low end; FX expected to be a modest tailwind in Q3 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our second quarter results exceeded our expectations, led by continued momentum in our Yucatan and Dominican Republic segments... FX being less of a headwind than expected in June.” — Bruce Wardinski .
- “Reported owned resort EBITDA margins declined 180 bps YoY... underlying owned resort EBITDA margins increasing 20 bps YoY in the second quarter” — Ryan Hymel .
- “Given the impact from Hurricane Beryl and the construction disruption in the Pacific Coast, we now expect our FY 2024 Adjusted EBITDA to be near the low end of our $250–275 million guidance range.” — Bruce Wardinski .
- “We repurchased approximately $37 million in Q2 and an additional $12 million thus far in Q3... leverage at or near 3x... repurchasing remains compelling.” — Ryan Hymel .
- “Our renovation plans are proceeding as expected... room product at our Los Cabos Resort looks spectacular... Zilara Cancun to undergo a full reinvention in 2025.” — Bruce Wardinski .
Q&A Highlights
- Construction disruption: jackhammering in Cabo ended by late August; disruption raised full-year Pacific impact from ~$10M to mid/high-teens; no assumption of cancellation-rate improvement embedded in outlook .
- Capital projects ROI: Los Cabos renovation is defensive (protect EBITDA/MICE); Zilara Cancun planned as a full reinvention with potential ADR uplift and room-count optimization (8–9 month closure) .
- MICE pacing: ~$65M 2024 on the books; 2025 ~$36M (~25% YoY decline) driven by Pacific renovation timing; expect marketing ramp as sample rooms come online .
- Costs: Insurance flat-to-down (~2% dollars), ~5–7% of cost base; wages expected +4–6% in Mexico steady-state portfolio .
- Beryl BI coverage: No BI claim—insufficient property damage to trigger coverage; parametric/loss-of-attraction options are prohibitively expensive .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for PLYA at the time of this analysis due to missing CIQ mapping in the database; as a result, we cannot provide vs-consensus comparisons and have omitted beat/miss designations for Q2 2024. We default to management’s guidance commentary in place of consensus comparisons [GetEstimates error].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Segment divergence persists: Yucatán and legacy DR are demonstrating resilient ADR/margin trends, while Jamaica remains pressured and Pacific renovation disruption peaked in Q2/Q3; normalization should follow once construction noise subsides .
- Guidance reset to low-end reflects extraordinary items (Beryl, construction); near-term Q3 is guided weak (Adj. EBITDA $17–$21M), but underlying mix and FX tailwinds could help into Q4 .
- Operational efficiency is tangible: procurement/staffing efforts and easing insurance headwind supported underlying margin stability even amid top-line pressure; monitor wage inflation offsets via ADR .
- Balance sheet/cost of capital improving: spread cut to SOFR+275 bps and robust cash ($233.9M) underpin continued buybacks (> $115M authorization remaining) and CapEx execution in 2025 .
- Watch catalysts: completion of Pacific heavy works (late Aug), Jamaica sentiment/recovery into high season, the Zilara Cancun 2025 reinvention timeline, and FX evolution (MXN) .
- Trading setup: near-term volatility tied to Q3 softness and headlines (storms/advisories); medium-term thesis favors margin normalization post-renovation, ADR mix improvements, and capital returns supporting equity value .