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PILGRIMS PRIDE CORP (PPC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • PPC delivered another solid quarter: revenue $4.76B (+4.3% YoY), GAAP EPS $1.49, Adjusted EPS $1.70, and Adjusted EBITDA $686.9M (14.4% margin) . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$0.13B and EPS (adjusted) exceeded by ~$0.12; Q1 saw mixed results (EPS slight miss; revenue beat), while Q4 2024 was EPS beat/revenue miss*.
  • U.S. strength and EU margin expansion offset Mexico headwinds (FX and disease); U.S. adjusted operating margin rose to 14.7%, EU to 5.4%, while Mexico fell to 15.4% from 18.3% last year . Management cited legal settlements ($58M) in GAAP results and higher commodity chicken input costs pressuring Prepared Foods profitability .
  • Capital allocation/capex updated: Board declared a $2.10/share (~$500M) special dividend; 2025 capex now “slightly less than $750M,” at $650–$700M; net interest expense guided to $115–$125M; tax rate ~25% . A $400M prepared foods plant in GA is expected to lift U.S. prepared sales by 40% at full capacity (1H’27) .
  • Key near-term stock catalysts: special dividend timing, Prepared Foods expansion trajectory (Walker County spend cadence), and commodity cut-out/hatchability dynamics that influence U.S. margins and estimate revisions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • U.S. business and branded Prepared Foods momentum: “Prepared continued to realize significant growth as net sales increased by 20%… Just Bare recently achieved over 10% market share… Pilgrim’s received… People Magazine’s 2025 Food Award for Best Chicken Nugget” . U.S. net revenue rose to $2.82B and adjusted EBITDA to $482.7M .
  • EU margin expansion from efficiency and mix: Europe adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 8.2% in Q2 (7.4% last year), driven by “integration of support functions and manufacturing optimization programs” and key customer partnerships . Adjusted operating margin reached 5.4% (vs 4.7% LY) .
  • Capital returns and liquidity: Board approved a special dividend of $2.10/share (~$500M), with net leverage still ~1.15x post-payout and ample liquidity; bonds mature 2031–2034 and credit facility runs to 2028 .

What Went Wrong

  • Mexico faced FX and disease headwinds: Q2 Mexico adjusted EBITDA fell to $92.3M (from $115.1M LY) amid a 13% YoY FX drag and “bird disease challenges,” though margins remained >16% . Adjusted operating margin declined to 15.4% from 18.3% YoY .
  • GAAP headwind from legal settlements: $58.5M of litigation settlements weighed on GAAP operating income; management is addressing ongoing matters (Broiler litigation) .
  • Prepared Foods profitability pressure: Despite strong sales growth, “higher commodity chicken input costs were the headwind to prepared foods profitability,” tempering margin flow-through . In deli, “reduction in the growth of rotisserie birds… impacting prices” vs 2024 .

Financial Results

Headline Results and Margins

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($B)$4.37 $4.46 $4.76
GAAP EPS ($)$0.99 $1.24 $1.49
Adjusted EPS ($)$1.35 $1.31 $1.70
GAAP Operating Margin (%)7.0% 9.1% 10.8%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$525.7 $533.2 $686.9
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)12.0% 12.0% 14.4%

Consensus vs. Actual (S&P Global)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Estimate ($B)$4.68*$4.446*$4.63*
Revenue Actual ($B)$4.37 $4.46 $4.76
SurpriseMiss ~$0.31B*Beat ~$0.01B*Beat ~$0.13B*
EPS Estimate ($)$1.155*$1.34*$1.578*
EPS Actual ($, adjusted)$1.35 $1.31 $1.70
SurpriseBeat ~$0.20*Miss ~$0.03*Beat ~$0.12*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Net Sales (Geography)

($M)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
U.S. Net Sales2,613.2 2,743.2 2,820.4
Europe Net Sales1,259.2 1,231.5 1,371.3
Mexico Net Sales499.6 488.3 565.7
Total4,372.1 4,463.0 4,757.4

Segment Profitability (Adjusted Operating Margin)

(%)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
U.S.11.5% 11.9% 14.7%
Europe6.4% 5.3% 5.4%
Mexico6.4% 7.5% 15.4%

Key Line Items (GAAP and Non-GAAP)

Metric ($M unless noted)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Revenue4,372.0 4,463.0 4,757.4
Gross Profit553.3 554.9 715.3
SG&A235.3 133.8 199.5
Operating Income306.7 404.5 512.3
Net Interest (expense, net)22.8 16.8 31.5
Net Income235.8 296.3 356.0
Diluted EPS ($)0.99 1.24 1.49
Adjusted EBITDA525.7 533.2 686.9
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)12.0% 12.0% 14.4%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
CapexFY 2025≈$750M (Q1 call) $650–$700M (Q2 call) Lowered
Net Interest ExpenseFY 2025$110–$120M (Q1 call) $115–$125M (Q2 call) Raised
Effective Tax RateFY 2025≈25% (Q1 call) ≈25% (Q2 call) Maintained
Special Dividend2025$1.5B paid Apr 17 (prior) $2.10/share (~$500M) payable Sep 3; record Aug 20 New payout
Walker County Plant Spend2025–27N/A~$50–$70M in 2025; $250–$300M in 2026; remainder 2027 New detail
Prepared Foods Capacity Impact1H 2027N/AU.S. prepared sales +40% at full capacity New target
Mexico/Merida, Veracruz & Prepared1H 2026On schedule (Q1) Remain on schedule (Q2) Maintained
Russellville ConversionQ1 2026In progress (Q1) On track for Q1 2026 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Prepared Foods/BrandsQ4: strong branded growth and plans to expand capacity ; Q1: Prepared +20% YoY; e‑commerce +35% Prepared net sales +20% YoY; Just Bare >10% share; new $400M GA plant; +40% U.S. prepared sales at full capacity Accelerating
Supply/HatchabilityQ4: industry growth constrained by hatchability; USDA +1.4% 2025 ; Q1: hatchability at record lows; live ops challenges Hatchability below 2024; supply growth led by weight; USDA ~1.5% 2025 Persistent constraint
U.S. Cutout/CommodityQ4: strong cutout values ; Q1: cutouts solid; wings softer Jumbo cutout favorable; tenders strong; wings late recovery; BSB volatility Constructive
Mexico Volatility/FXQ4: stronger margins, balanced supply ; Q1: 8.4% adj EBITDA margin; FX headwind 16%+ margins but 13% YoY FX drag; disease impacts; projects on track Mixed
Capital AllocationQ4: Capex $450–$500M baseline, growth options ; Q1: FY25 capex ≈$750M; interest $110–$120M FY25 capex $650–$700M; special dividend $2.10; interest $115–$125M Capital return + capex refined
Labor/VisasOverstaffed to 105% to mitigate humanitarian visa revocations; staffing stable Proactive mgmt
Tariffs/TradeQ4: evolving AI restrictions, partner protocols ; Q1: limited tariff impact expected Tariff risk monitored; no significant disruptions beyond China to date Stable

Management Commentary

  • “Prepared continued to realize significant growth as net sales increased by 20%… Just Bare recently achieved over 10% market share… Pilgrim’s… Best Chicken Nugget for our cheesy jalapeño offering.” – CEO Fabio Sandri .
  • “With the strength of our liquidity positions, the Pilgrim's Board… declared a special dividend of $2.10 per share… we estimate the U.S. prepared foods business will increase its net sales by over 40%… upon reaching full capacity at this new plant.” – CFO Matt Galvanoni .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA margins in Q2 were 17.1% in the U.S… 8.2% in Europe… Mexico… greater than 16%, even though facing year-over-year FX headwinds of 13% and bird disease challenges.” – CFO .
  • “We were… 105% staffed… to prepare for… impacts in the labor market [from visa revocations]… we’ve been able to fully staff our plants.” – CEO .
  • “USDA estimates growth of 1.5% in 2025, suggesting sufficient supply to meet strong chicken demand… [beef declines support chicken].” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capex cadence and Walker County spend: 2025 ~$50–$70M, 2026 $250–$300M, residual 2027; first-half 2027 start-up; plant supports NAE/veg-fed Just Bare growth .
  • Mexico profitability bridge: 13% YoY FX headwind and disease weighed on Q2; Q3 FX impact expected “on par” with LY; live market volatility persists; expansions add ~20% net sales at full utilization .
  • Capital allocation/interest: Special dividend reduces cash; net interest guided to $115–$125M; opportunistic bond repurchases remain a tool .
  • Labor dynamics: Overstaffing mitigated potential disruptions from humanitarian visa changes; wage inflation manageable; plants fully staffed .
  • Supply/demand balance: Industry bottleneck at hatcheries; supply growth via weights (big bird); retail and QSR demand supportive into 2H .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025: Revenue $4.757B vs $4.629B est (beat ~$0.13B); Adjusted EPS $1.70 vs $1.58 est (beat ~$0.12) .
  • Q1 2025: Revenue $4.463B vs $4.446B est (beat ~$0.02B); Adjusted EPS $1.31 vs $1.34 est (miss ~$0.03) .
  • Q4 2024: Revenue $4.372B vs $4.680B est (miss ~$0.31B); Adjusted EPS $1.35 vs $1.16 est (beat ~$0.20) .
    *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Momentum in U.S./EU and the special dividend likely support upward revisions to FY25 adjusted EPS and capital return frameworks; Mexico FX/volatility and legal settlement cadence are watch items for GAAP. Prepared Foods capacity expansion underpins medium-term mix and margin upgrades .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • U.S. outperformance and EU execution drove a clean beat on revenue and adjusted EPS; GAAP optics were affected by $58M legal settlements that do not recur in adjusted figures .
  • Prepared Foods is a structural growth and margin driver: +20% YoY in Q2 and a $400M plant adds 40% sales at maturity; expect mixed shift and reduced volatility over time .
  • Mexico remains profitable but volatile; FX and live-market dynamics can swing quarterly results despite solid demand; expansions (1H’26) target +20% sales, dampening volatility longer term .
  • 2025 capex trimmed to $650–$700M with clear spend cadence; net interest slightly higher on lower cash post-dividends; tax rate ~25% .
  • Near-term trading lens: Cutout values, hatchability/supply trends, and wings recovery are key to Q3/Q4 margin trajectory in U.S.; Prepared Foods momentum and special dividend timing are stock catalysts .
  • Medium-term thesis: Diversification (brands, prepared, geographies) plus operational excellence supports double-digit U.S. fresh margins through cycles and EU margin uplift; incremental prepared capacity should re-rate earnings quality .
  • Monitor legal settlement run-rate and any tariff/AI-related trade shifts—management sees limited disruption beyond China so far; liquidity and maturities provide flexibility .