PP
PILGRIMS PRIDE CORP (PPC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered strong profitability despite seasonally softer volumes: Adjusted EBITDA rose 69.9% YoY to $525.7M (12.0% margin) while GAAP EPS increased 73.7% YoY to $0.99; revenue declined 3.5% YoY to $4.37B on a 14-week prior-year comp .
- Mix and cost execution underpin results: U.S. margins benefited from robust Big Bird cutout values, demand in Case Ready/Small Bird, and Prepared Foods brand growth; Europe expanded margins through footprint/back-office optimization; Mexico saw counter-seasonal commodity strength .
- Management flagged non-GAAP charges (litigation $95M; pension settlement $10.9M), while highlighting operational excellence and diversified portfolio strategy as drivers of margin resilience across cycles .
- 2025 outlook: CapEx $450–$500M, effective tax rate ~25%, SG&A $130–$135M/quarter, D&A
$440M; strong liquidity ($3.1B cash + available credit) and net leverage ~0.5x LTM Adjusted EBITDA position PPC to fund organic growth and portfolio upgrades . - Capital return catalyst: Special cash dividend of $6.30/share (~$1.5B) announced March 14, 2025, signaling balance sheet strength and confidence in branded growth; projects include expanding Prepared Foods capacity and small bird, converting a big bird plant to case-ready, and protein conversion expansion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Demand and mix: “Our diversified portfolio…unlock consumer value through differentiated offerings,” driving U.S. Case Ready and Small Bird demand across retail, QSR, and deli; Big Bird margins expanded on strong seasonal pricing and operational improvements .
- Europe margin progress: >100bps YoY margin improvement driven by manufacturing optimization, back-office integration, and branded innovation (Richmond, Fridge Raiders) growing ahead of categories .
- Mexico momentum: Counter-seasonal commodity values strengthened; fresh branded products up ~10%; ramp-up at Mérida with continued capacity investments to support key customers .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue softness vs tough comp: Net sales down 3.5% YoY due to a 14-week prior-year period (53-week FY), despite strong pricing/mix and margin gains .
- U.S. Street expectations: Bank of America noted U.S. performance “came in a bit below expectations relative to the Street,” reflecting grain-based contract pass-throughs and portfolio stability that mutes commodity upside in some subchannels .
- Operational headwinds: Weather (Douglas/Live Oak storms, short facility downtime for air-chill conversion) and industry hatchability challenges constrained supply growth in parts of Q4/Q1, though PPC’s geographic diversification mitigated impact .
Financial Results
Consolidated trend (oldest → newest)
Q4 YoY comparison
Segment/geography breakdown (Q4)
Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Q4)
KPIs
Note: Fabio Sandri stated Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $536M in prepared remarks; the press release/8-K report $525.7M. Use 8-K/press release figures for financials .
Guidance Changes
Management also highlighted non-GAAP items impacting Q4 GAAP results: litigation settlement charges ($95M) and pension settlement charges ($10.9M) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “While we experienced a positive market environment…we elevated our performance across all regions through…operational excellence, expanded relationships with key customers, and…value-added portfolio.” – Fabio Sandri, CEO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA in the U.S. for Q4 came in at $371.6 million… profitability significantly improved year-over-year as commodity market pricing improved, grain costs were lower and the business achieved further operational improvement.” – Matthew Galvanoni, CFO .
- “Europe continued to make strong progress in its profitability journey… launched new and innovative products that are growing ahead of the categories…” – Fabio Sandri .
- “Margins increased [in Mexico]…commodity values increased throughout the quarter…ramp-up for production in Mérida is proceeding as planned.” – Fabio Sandri .
- “We recorded $95 million in litigation-related settlement charges [and] $10.9 million of pension settlement charges… This pension obligation termination is now fully complete.” – Matthew Galvanoni .
Q&A Highlights
- Commodity dynamics and supply: Elevated Big Bird cutout values in Q4; Q1 typically sees demand rebound with commodity prices rising; production growth tempered by hatchability and weather impacts .
- U.S. segment vs Street: Street viewed U.S. seasonal results as light; management emphasized stable grain-based pricing in Case Ready/Small Bird and >$100M annual operational improvements limiting volatility while capturing upside .
- Mexico outlook: Strong demand, live market volatility; branded and prepared growth; management expects continued affordability-driven demand, with biosecurity mitigating disease risk .
- Pricing into summer: Breast meat demand expected to remain strong; USDA projects protein availability growth ~1.2% with beef decline supporting chicken; setup favors firm commodity pricing into summer .
- Cash flow/working capital: 2024 saw >$300M working capital uplift; 2025 working capital impact expected to be more flattish given mixed grain outlook (corn higher, soy lower) .
- CapEx and capacity: 2025 CapEx $450–$500M focused on sustaining ops and routine growth; expanding Prepared Foods capacity, small bird, and protein conversion to upgrade mix and reduce risk .
- Tariffs/export policy: Monitoring potential tariffs; Mexico is key trade partner; domestic dark meat demand supports pricing; geographic production diversity mitigates AI/export disruptions .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at time of analysis due to a data request limit, so we could not provide revenue/EPS estimate comparisons for Q4 2024. We attempted retrieval but encountered an SPGI quota error. As a qualitative indicator, Bank of America’s question suggests the U.S. segment was “below expectations relative to the Street” in Q4 .
- We will update vs-consensus comparisons once S&P Global data access is restored.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin resilience is durable: diversified portfolio (Case Ready/Small Bird/Prepared) and operational excellence enable PPC to capture commodity upside while limiting downside; Europe’s optimization and Mexico’s brand momentum broaden earnings power .
- Non-GAAP adjustments matter: $95M litigation and $10.9M pension charges impacted GAAP; Adjusted EPS ($1.35) better reflects core profitability in Q4 .
- Near-term setup constructive: Strong cutout values, tight protein availability (beef down), firm retail/QSR demand support continued margin strength into 1H25; monitor hatchability/weather risks .
- Capital deployment accelerates branded growth: Special dividend indicates balance sheet strength; management outlined organic investments to expand Prepared Foods capacity, small bird, case-ready conversion, and protein conversion .
- 2025 model inputs: Use CapEx $450–$500M, SG&A $130–$135M/qtr, D&A ~$440M, tax ~25%, and net interest
$65–$75M; liquidity remains ample ($3.1B) with maturities well-staggered (2031–2034) . - Watch U.S. pacing vs Street: Seasonal dynamics and grain-based contracts can temper upside vs commodity moves; Street expectations may need to recalibrate to portfolio stability and non-GAAP normalization .
- Sustainability initiatives create optionality: RNG commissioning at Sumter and scope 1/2 intensity reductions support customer partnerships and potential margin benefits over time .
Appendix: Additional context from prior quarters
- Q3 2024: Revenue $4.585B; GAAP EPS $1.47; Adjusted EBITDA $660.4M (14.4% margin); Europe posted record Adj. EBITDA; hurricane Helene inventory write-down and ongoing restructuring charges noted .
- Q2 2024: Revenue $4.559B; GAAP EPS $1.37; Adjusted EBITDA $655.9M (14.4% margin); Prepared Foods double-digit growth; South Georgia protein conversion plant ramp .