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PL

PARTNERRE LTD (PRE-PJ)·Q3 2015 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2015: Strong underwriting but reported loss due to one-time AXIS termination fee and investment losses; operating EPS $4.42, diluted EPS $(5.08). Underlying Non-life combined ratio improved to 82.8% on heavy favorable prior-year development; Tianjin added 5.4 pts ($60m) to catastrophe load .
  • One-time items dominated: $315m AXIS amalgamation termination fee ($6.58/sh) in other expenses and net after-tax investment losses ($2.54/sh) drove the GAAP loss; operating ROE 14.0% in the quarter on solid technical performance .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.70 per share payable Dec 1, 2015; no formal guidance issued .
  • Potential stock catalysts: normalization after one-time AXIS fee, clarity on Tianjin ultimate loss (initial estimate $50–$70m pre-tax announced Oct 13), and continued reserve releases supporting combined ratio resilience into Jan renewals despite competitive market conditions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Underwriting outperformance: Non-life combined ratio improved to 82.8% (vs 84.2% YoY), with 22.2 pts (≈$246m) favorable prior-year reserve development across every Non-life sub-segment .
    • Life & Health steady: Allocated underwriting result $18m (vs $20m YoY), with favorable prior-year development in A&H partially offsetting GMDB adverse development .
    • Management tone on client positioning: “We continue to distinguish ourselves…as a stable and focused partner…with long-term financial flexibility” heading into the >60% January renewal season, highlighting franchise strength despite M&A noise .
  • What Went Wrong

    • One-time transaction impact: $315m AXIS termination fee recorded in other expenses drove GAAP loss; per-share impact ~$(6.58) in Q3 .
    • Investment markets drag: Pre-tax net realized/unrealized losses of $133m on widening US/EU credit spreads and global equity declines pressured results (partially offset by lower risk-free rates); after-tax EPS impact ~$(2.54) .
    • Tianjin loss: Q3 included ~$60m related to Tianjin explosions (~5.4 pts on combined ratio), highlighting large-loss susceptibility in a competitive market .

Financial Results

Overall quarterly comparisons (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$1,459.3 $1,192.5 $1,399.2
Net Premiums Earned ($USD Millions)$1,234.7 $1,327.8 $1,412.1
Diluted Net Income per Share ($)$4.76 $(2.16) $(5.08)
Diluted Operating EPS ($)$3.09 $2.35 $4.42
Non-life Combined Ratio (%)82.8% 90.3% 82.8%
Operating ROE (Annualized) (%)9.8% 7.5% 14.0%
Book Value/Share (Diluted) ($)$129.86 $127.24 $120.67
Tangible Book/Share (Diluted) ($)$118.40 $115.90 $109.46

Segment breakdown – Q3 2015

Segment (Q3 2015)Net Premiums Earned ($USD Millions)Technical Ratio (%)Notable Items
North America$408 78.1% 25.1 pts (≈$102m) favorable prior-year development
Global (Non-U.S.) P&C$186 92.7% 12.1 pts (≈$22m) Tianjin losses; 20.7 pts (≈$38m) favorable PYD
Global Specialty$404 83.2% 4.6 pts (≈$19m) Tianjin; 25.6 pts (≈$104m) favorable PYD
Catastrophe$112 33.6% 14.5 pts (≈$16m) Tianjin; 1.3 pts favorable PYD
Life & Health (allocated result)n/a (NPE $302) n/aAllocated underwriting result $18m

Key KPIs – Q3 2015

KPIQ3 2015Context
Favorable Prior-Year Development~$246m (22.2 pts) Broad-based across all Non-life sub-segments
Tianjin Loss Impact~$60m (5.4 pts) Recorded across Global P&C, Specialty, Cat, and North America
Effective Tax Rate12.9% (operating) / 3.4% (non-operating) Mix of operating vs investment/non-operating items
Net Investment Income$117m (down 1% YoY) Up 3% FX-neutral; reinvestment headwinds
Total Capital$7.6B Down 3% YTD on losses and dividends

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per common shareQ4 2015 (payable Dec 1)$0.70 per share (prior quarterly run-rate) $0.70 per share Maintained
Formal Financial GuidanceFY/Q4 2015None providedNone providedn/a

Note: Management highlighted competitive renewals and M&A distractions but provided no formal revenue or margin guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We were unable to locate the Q3 2015 earnings call transcript in filings or public archives; themes below are derived from the company’s press releases/financial supplements for Q1–Q3 2015.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2015)Current Period (Q3 2015)Trend
Market/pricing environmentPersistent competitive reinsurance pressures; some stabilization at June/July renewals (Q2) “Reinsurance markets remain competitive across the board” into Jan renewals; positioning as stable, long-term partner Competitive; franchise differentiation emphasized
Prior-year reserve developmentSignificant favorable PYD across all Non-life segments (Q1/Q2) Favorable PYD remains elevated (22.2 pts; $246m) across all Non-life sub-segments Consistently supportive
Catastrophe/large lossesQuiet cat in 1H; limited cat burden (Q1/Q2) Tianjin explosion hits Q3 (~$60m; 5.4 pts) Higher large-loss activity in Q3
Investments/marketsQ2 impacted by higher risk-free rates; MTM losses Widening credit spreads and equity declines drive $133m pre-tax losses Continued market volatility
Strategic/M&AAXIS amalgamation costs in H1 $315m AXIS termination fee and expenses recorded One-time drag now recognized

Management Commentary

  • “Despite the noise, and the impact of the Chinese Tianjin loss in August, our underlying results remain strong…we posted a 1.4 point improvement in our Non-life combined ratio to 82.8%…operating ROE of 14%” — Interim CEO David Zwiener .
  • “As we look ahead to the important January renewal season…reinsurance markets remain competitive across the board…we continue to distinguish ourselves…as a stable and focused partner with long-term financial flexibility” — President Emmanuel Clarke .

Q&A Highlights

The Q3 2015 earnings call transcript could not be located in our document system or public web archives; as a result, specific Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications from the call are unavailable [functions.ListDocuments; Internet search yielded no transcript].

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable for PRE-PJ due to missing SPGI/Capital IQ mapping, so beats/misses vs consensus cannot be assessed for Q3 2015 (GetEstimates error: missing mapping for PRE-PJ). Where estimate comparisons are absent, interpret results on an absolute and sequential/YoY basis using company disclosures [functions.GetEstimates].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core underwriting remains robust: combined ratio back to low-80s despite Tianjin, supported by broad-based favorable reserve releases; watch for sustainability of PYD into 2016 given competitive pricing .
  • GAAP loss masks quality: large one-time AXIS fee and investment MTM losses drove negative EPS; operating EPS and ROE point to solid fundamentals .
  • Cat exposure manageable: Tianjin net loss (~$60m) was dispersed across sub-segments; discipline in Cat and retro usage evident in low Cat technical ratio (33.6%) .
  • Capital and BVPS dipped on losses/dividends; path to rebuild via earnings and calmer markets—monitor credit spreads and equity sensitivity .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.70; absent formal guidance, near-term catalysts are Jan renewals, reserve development trajectory, and investment market stabilization .
  • Trading lens: Expect the narrative to shift from one-offs to underwriting durability; stock may react to clarity on Tianjin ultimate loss and renewal outcomes given competitive backdrop .

Supporting Detail (Prior Quarter Context)

  • Q2 2015: Operating EPS $2.35; diluted EPS $(2.16); Non-life combined ratio 90.3% on lower PYD vs Q3; investment losses driven by higher long-end rates .
  • Q1 2015: Operating EPS $3.09; diluted EPS $4.76; Non-life combined ratio 82.8% with strong PYD and no major cats; tangible BVPS up 3.2% q/q .

Appendix: Q3 2015 Event and One-time Items

  • AXIS termination fee & expenses: $315m in other expenses (~$6.58/sh) recorded in Q3 2015 .
  • Tianjin explosion: initial pre-tax net loss estimate $50–$70m (announced Oct 13) and allocated across multiple Non-life lines; Q3 recorded ~$60m (~5.4 pts) .
  • Investment markets: $133m pre-tax realized/unrealized losses on credit spread widening and equity declines .