Primoris Services - Q1 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good morning.My name is Emma, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Primoris Services Corporation's first quarter 2023 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, Press the Star one. We ask today that you limit yourself to one question and 1 follow-up. Thank you. Blake Holcomb, Vice President, Investor Relations, you may begin your conference.

Blake Holcomb (VP of Investor Relations)

Good morning, and welcome to Primoris' first quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Joining me today with prepared comments are Tom McCormick, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Ken Dodgen, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to make everyone aware of certain language contained in our safe harbor statement. The company cautions that certain statements made during this call are forward-looking and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from our projections and expectations. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our reports filed with the SEC. Our forward-looking statements represent our outlook as of today, 10th May 2023. We may disclaim any obligation to update these statements except as required by law. In addition, during this conference call, we will make reference to certain non-GAAP financial measures.

A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures are available on the investor section of our website in our first quarter 2023 earnings release, which was issued yesterday. I would like to now turn the call over to Tom McCormick.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Thank you, Blake. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our first quarter 2023 financial results and update on our operational performance and market outlook. Primoris kicked off 2023 with a solid first quarter. Our teams around the country executed their jobs safely and efficiently to help us exceed our goals for safety, revenue, and gross profit, as well as establish another record high for backlog. We accomplished these milestones in the face of economic uncertainty caused by failing financial institutions and the increasing likelihood of a recession on the horizon. I am proud of our employees' response to these challenges, and I want to thank them for their contributions to our success. Their efforts in the first quarter have set a solid foundation for us to continue executing at a high level for the remainder of the year and achieve our annual objectives.

Now let's look at our operational performance more closely by segment. Beginning with the utility segment, we were able to outperform our expectations for the quarter in all of our key metrics: revenue, gross profit, and backlog. The first quarter is generally our lowest revenue and margin quarter compared to the remainder of the year. This is often due to delays from winter weather conditions and the allocation of MSA work from customers that often begins to ramp up in the back half of the quarter. Stronger than anticipated work in Southern California and milder weather conditions in other geographies allowed us to execute on more backlog than anticipated. We saw solid growth in our legacy power delivery and communication business that complemented the contributions from our PLH and B Comm acquisitions, where we continue to make significant progress in our integration process.

The combined businesses are operating smoothly, and we are making progress in negotiating increases to MSA rates that are not in line with the current market. In fact, we submitted several high-profile power delivery MSA renewals during the quarter that we expect will help cement our future backlog at updated market rates. These and other successful customer engagements resulted in our booking more than $650 million in new business in the segment during the quarter. We also made some modifications to our organizational structure in the segment during the quarter that we believe will allow us to better serve the needs of our customers and operate more efficiently. First, we brought in additional talent that will strengthen our leadership teams, particularly in power delivery.

Second, we made changes to align our leadership to focus on our commercial efforts by product and service lines rather than by region in order to better target the breadth of our customers' needs across multiple geographies. Finally, we are focusing increased attention on bidding and winning more project work in our power delivery business. Primoris has made substantial progress over the years in establishing strong, long-term relationships with customers and increasing our mix of revenue that comes from MSAs across all of our businesses. This will remain a focus for us going forward, as we believe it drives stability and predictability of our revenue in this segment. However, we believe that our current volume of major projects, including transmission and substation work, which represent less than 10% of current backlog, can be further optimized.

We have both the necessary expertise and market opportunity to improve our balance of project and MSA work, specifically in our power delivery operations. A greater balance between project and MSA work will deepen our client relationships by broadening our service offerings in a growing market and should enable us to expand segment margins. Turning to the energy segment, we saw similar seasonal outperformance driven by strong top line and margin growth from our renewables, industrial, and pipeline services businesses compared to the first quarter of 2022. In renewables, we had another quarter of solid execution from our solar business, which is experiencing a very robust project pipeline.

We continue to strive to operate in a manner that will allow us to achieve market outperformance in an industry that continues to experience some bumps in the road from both a macro and political perspective. While overall a driver of anticipated growth in the coming years, the delay on the Inflation Reduction Act guidance is still causing some hesitation by our customers in the near term until full guidance is issued. However, given our solid backlog of projects, we do not expect this delayed guidance to have a material impact on our ability to meet our performance objectives this year. We anticipate the IRA guidance will be issued to the market in the coming quarters and will reaffirm the expected opportunities and increased backlog from the pipeline of projects we have in the quarters ahead.

Additionally, while there has been improvement in recent months, the market is still experiencing some module tariff delays in early to mid-2023. However, by remaining disciplined in the partners we choose to work with and who have worked hard to secure module supply, we do not currently see significant risk to our projects. Furthermore, we expect that the supply chain for modules will continue to improve through the course of the year. Finally, due to the rapid growth of the market, there has been price movement on other materials used in the construction of projects. We have been able to mitigate these inflationary impacts by pre-buying equipment and materials when necessary, locking up manufacturing allocations, self-performing the work for our clients, and lowering our pricing risk due to market changes prior to executing a contract.

Renewables opportunities outside of solar also continue to present themselves in the markets we serve as our economy looks to transition to more diverse and less carbon-intensive energy sources. During the quarter, we booked the first of what we believe will be many opportunities for carbon capture utilization and storage pipeline projects, or CCUS. These pipelines will fit well with our engineering construction capabilities and can play a key part in a lower carbon future. In addition to CCUS opportunities, we also are pursuing a sales funnel of more than 50 hydrogen biomass and renewable natural gas projects that could lead to hundreds of millions of dollars more in revenue over the next several years. Our traditional energy portfolio of services is also off to a strong start in 2023.

We are beginning to see green shoots supported by infrastructure investment legislation and a growing LNG export market in the Gulf Coast that is driving increased bidding activity. While it remains only 10% of our overall revenue, we believe we've seen the trough in our pipeline services. In fact, we are seeing a steady growth in bid volumes for small and medium regional projects and have returned the business to positive margins following a difficult environment in 2022. The market remains competitive and permitting challenges persist. We are optimistic that further improvement in revenue and margins is on the horizon. With that, I'll turn it over to Ken for more on our financial results.

Ken Dodgen (CFO)

Good morning, everyone. Our revenue of $1.26 billion was a first quarter record for Primoris and up over $472 million from the prior year, driven by growth in both of our segments. The energy segment was up $302 million or 71% from the prior year. Our renewables business contributed over $100 million of that growth, along with our pipeline and industrial businesses.

The utility segment also saw strong growth of $170 million, up 47% from the prior year, driven by expected growth in our power delivery and communications businesses. Gross profit for the first quarter was approximately $100 million, an increase of $43 million from the prior year, primarily due to higher revenue, improved revenue mix, and higher gross margins.

Gross margins were 7.9% for the quarter, which was an improvement over 7.2% in the prior year. Looking further at our segment results, in the utility segment, gross profit was $33.6 million, up over 50% compared to the prior year due to higher revenue and slightly better gross margins at 6.3%. This was driven by top-line growth in our power delivery and communications businesses, along with some milder weather during the quarter that allowed our gas operations to see improved productivity. As is typical in this segment, we expect to see gross margins improve the remainder of the year to achieve our 9%-11% range following the seasonal lows in Q1.

In the energy segment, gross profit, which now includes pipeline, was $66.2 million for the quarter, a $32 million increase from the prior year due to both higher revenue and improved margins. Gross margins came in at 9.1%, which is an improvement from 8% in the first quarter of last year. The higher gross margins were a result of improved mix from renewables work, which accounted for 1/3 of our revenue during the quarter, and improved margins in our industrial and pipeline businesses. Similar to our utility segment, we expect to see revenue and gross profit gradually increase in the coming quarters as we continue to grow our renewables business and make progress on our sizable backlog in the entire segment.

Taking a look at our SG&A expenses in the first quarter was $78 million, an increase of almost $23 million over the prior year, but in line with our expectations. The increase in SG&A is primarily due to the additional PLH SG&A and incremental cost to support our strong organic growth. However, as a percent of revenue, SG&A declined to 6.2% from 7.1% in the prior year due to stronger revenue growth, demonstrating improved operating leverage in the quarter. We expect SG&A for the full year to continue to trend in the low of 6% range. Net interest expense in the first quarter was $18.5 million compared to $2.9 million in the prior year. The increase was due to higher average debt balances and higher average interest rates.

We continue to anticipate our full-year interest expense to range between $73 million and $77 million. Our effective tax rate was 28% for the quarter. We expect this rate to be consistent for the full year, depending on the states in which we work and on non-deductible components of per diem expenses. Earnings for the quarter were improved across the board from the prior year. EPS increased by $0.05 per share. Adjusted EPS increased by $0.17 per share. More importantly, net income increased to $1.3 million, an increase of $3 million from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $52.8 million, an increase of over $30 million or 133.5% from the prior year. Turning next to cash flow, Q1 saw cash used in operations of $115.3 million.

The primary driver was higher accounts receivables, unbilled revenue, and retention as a result of the significant revenue growth. In addition, utilities customers generally have longer payment terms and require greater documentation to support our invoices, which also contributes to higher accounts receivable and higher contract assets. We are taking steps to improve both our billing and collections in order to maximize our ability to convert revenue to cash. We are also working to reduce retention requirements, improve payment terms, or include more upfront cash payments for mobilization and demobilization in many of our new contracts. We are confident that as we make progress on these initiatives over the next couple of years, we will see a more balanced working capital position as well as improved cash flow. We ended the quarter with $94.8 million of cash and net debt of approximately $1 billion.

Borrowing capacity under our revolver was $177.7 million, providing total available liquidity of $272.5 million at quarter end. Total backlog at the end of the quarter was a little under $5.6 billion compared to $4 billion in the prior year, an increase of 38%, resulting in another record backlog. Fixed backlog increased to $3.5 billion, up over $1.1 billion or 47%, primarily due to strength in our energy segment. MSA backlog was at 25% or $408 million to a little over $2 billion, driven by organic growth in our communications and power delivery businesses along with acquisitions. We expect 100% of our utilities backlog and 60% of our energy backlog to convert into revenue over the next four quarters.

Finally, turning to our full-year earnings guidance, we are reiterating our full-year EPS guidance of $2.10-$2.30 per share, adjusted EPS guidance of $2.50-$2.70 per share, and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $350 million-$370 million for the full year 2023. While Q1 exceeded our expectations, a portion of it was driven by projects and revenue that we expected later in the year. With this strong start to 2023, we are optimistic that we can move toward the higher end of our guidance ranges if our end markets continue this positive trend. With that, I'll turn it back over to Tom.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Thanks, Ken. Before we open up the call to your questions, I'd like to restate a couple of key points and areas of emphasis for Primoris in 2023. First, across all our companies, we are committed to safety, quality, and productivity, and in that order. We believe that executing well in these areas will allow us to be the employer of choice to attract top talent, to grow our

share of work with our existing customers, open the door to new customers, and improve profitability to grow the company to the benefit of our shareholders. Next, we are beginning to see the early signs of the benefits of recent federal legislation to increase infrastructure investment in communications, highways and bridges, renewable energy, and electric grid improvements.

Although still awaiting clarity in the administration of financial resources in many cases, the overall trend appears to be heading in a positive direction in many of our markets. Third, we have updated our commercial strategy in the utility segment that we believe will allow us to offer better service to our customers and be more productive in managing our skilled labor. This includes a more product line-centric sales and operating structure and increasing our mix of project work, specifically in power delivery, which now represents more than half of the segment. Finally, we are optimistic that 2023 will be a year of great opportunity for Primoris. A year with the potential to set new records in revenue and backlog as a company, but also to lay the foundation for improving our profitability and consistently generating free cash flow.

Converting our revenue to cash and paying down debt remains a top capital allocation priority for us. We believe that reducing our leverage through a combination of growth and debt reduction will offer us flexibility to make further investments in Primoris to the benefit of our employees, customers, and shareholders. We will now open up the call for your questions.

Operator (participant)

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Again, we ask today that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Your first question comes from the line of Steven Fisher with UBS. Your line is now open.

Steven Fisher (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Thanks, and good morning. Tom, you mentioned a desire to have more MSA versus project mix. Can you talk a little bit about, you know, what you think what the mix is you're trying to achieve there? Is there a general target range that you wanna have?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yes, Sid, we've talked about it in the past. We've said somewhere between 75/30 or 75/25 or 80/20, something a little bit more. Right now, we're about 10% project mix, and what the projects do is they give you an opportunity

to provide services to your client on small cap and larger capital projects at a little bit higher margins that'll drive your margins up. Plus it keeps your pencil sharp and keeps our operations and our project management people keen. I'd like to get it a little bit higher than that 10% certainly. Somewhere around 75/25 I think would be ideal. 70/30, we'd even go as high, but probably no more than that.

Steven Fisher (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. It's good to see the carbon capture project into backlogs. Can you just talk about to what extent there's any kind of first of a kind elements to that project and how you're managing that first of a kind risk?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Well, it's not really first of a kind. It's a pipeline project. It's a little bit smaller diameter, so it's not what we typically see in the 24-36 inch or 42 inch gas pipelines. Probably a lot more number of tie-ins because it ties into a number of facilities. The piece of the work that we're doing is about 166 miles. It's pretty typical pipeline project for us, to be honest with you.

Steven Fisher (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Terrific. I'll turn it over.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of Lee Jagoda with CJS Securities. Your line is open.

Lee Jagoda (Senior Managing Director)

Good morning. Just starting with the MSA renewals that you talked about on the call. Can you kind of give us some quantification of the size and scale of the renewals that you've submitted and maybe the timing that you expect and the potential margin uplift versus current levels, assuming that you get what's in those contracts?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah, Lee. I don't know how many are outstanding right now, to be honest with you, but in any particular quarter, we're probably negotiating, you know, anywhere from probably $25 million-$50 million of contracts, depending on the depending on the quarter. Then with respect to margins, you know, in aggregate because we've already you know, done a lot of the heavy lifting, but still have more to go, especially as we talked about last quarter, for the PLH customers. I would, you know, I would hope and expect that, you know, we've got at least a full, you know, 100 basis points improvement coming over the course of the next, you know, year to year and a half at most.

Lee Jagoda (Senior Managing Director)

Got it. Then, just can you kind of dive into the segments a little bit more, because now that we've rolled them up, we really can't see, you know, whether there are any meaningful puts and takes within the various businesses that impact margins. Is there anything either outsized positive or outsized negative that you would look at as something that could persist over the next several quarters that would either be beneficial or a potential headwind to margins as you look at the next couple of quarters?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

I think the biggest thing we're seeing now is its consistency within each one of the segments. I think there's some improvements that we talk about late in the latter part of the year going into the next year that pipeline will bring to the energy segment. The balance of the businesses in energy are actually performing pretty well, and civils, you know, continues to contribute and be consistent in their performance. You get into utilities, I think there's still some benefit, there's some improvement that will be made in power delivery, but communications and gas are continuing to perform well. I think some of the power delivery will be just as Ken talked about, it'll be just renewing some of those MSAs, but some of them are performance factors.

Lee Jagoda (Senior Managing Director)

Perfect. Thanks very much.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of Sean Eastman with KeyBank. Your line is open.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

Hi team. Thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, just on the cash, are we still on pace for that, you know, kind of $100 million-$150 million operating cash flow range? Maybe I missed it.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah. Good question, Sean. Yes, we absolutely are. A lot of this this quarter was just timing a project starting that impacted it. Yes, we're still right on track for that.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, excellent. Just relative to some of the commentary on the power delivery business development efforts, you know, some of that seemed new. I just wanted to understand, make sure I understand what you guys are trying to do there, where the margin enhancement element comes from. You know, also if you could comment on the strength in the legacy power delivery operation that you highlighted in the first quarter. That'd be interesting to hear about as well.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

I think the improvement's gonna come from taking on more project work, increasing that percentage of our overall versus MSA, which we spoke about earlier. Then there's some performance. Our power delivery group it has very, you know, pockets of excellence, I would say, is if you look at the different regions that they work.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

Mm-hmm

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

... and we have some areas where they need improvement. You saw in the announcement, we talked about adding some management to help strengthen that management team, and that's what we've done, and they've taken over some of these areas that needed help. We expect to see, and we hope, and we will see benefit to those individuals joining the company. I think, I think from that standpoint, as they renew these MSAs and we take on a little bit more project work, we'll help them expand their margins. You're gonna see improvement there.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

In terms of taking on more project work, is that, you know, a function of, you know, the pipeline of, you know, more project-based work having firmed? Yeah, I just want to understand kind of the background there.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

The opportunities are there. It's having the capabilities within the company. It's in that we have the capabilities within the company to do that work EPC and perform it. Just doing that type of work takes a specialty type of people with the right experience, and we have those people in the company. Have had some, but not enough to really take on, you know, just an objective to grow that market, but we do now, and we're looking to grow in it.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

Got it. Okay. Last quick, just to confirm, you know, just relative to the noise and the operating environment. Sounds like you guys are saying you're still on track to achieve that kind of big 30% plus growth outlook for the solar operation. Is that correct?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

That is correct.

Sean Eastman (Equity Research Analyst)

Excellent. I'll turn it over. Thanks.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of Julio Romero with Sidoti & Company. Your line is open.

Julio Romero (Equity Research Analyst)

Thanks. Hey, good morning. Maybe staying on solar. I'm not sure if you guys broke out how much the solar revenue was in the quarter?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

I said it was about a third of the segment revenue for energy.

Julio Romero (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Got it. Could you speak to the conversion rate of the backlog you did on the solar, and if we should expect to see the same kind of rate as we progress throughout the year?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah. Conversion rate has been very consistent there. As we've talked about before, we have a great set of customers. We have been adding customers every year for the past few years. I don't think we've seen any degradation of our conversion rate. If anything, it's maintained or gotten a little bit stronger.

Julio Romero (Equity Research Analyst)

Got it. Just last one is just on the. You talked about the delay on the IRA guidance still causing some hesitation on the solar side. Can you just maybe talk to how you think orders might trend after that IRA guidance is issued and just give us a sense of how much pent-up demand might be there?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah. I'm not sure I can give you how much the demand might be, but our expectation is that they will definitely accelerate, the opportunities will accelerate. Once clients get a you know, clear definition of what those expectations and requirements are and understand what contractors they can work with that meet those requirements, we expect it to accelerate.

Julio Romero (Equity Research Analyst)

Great. Thanks very much.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of Adam Thalhimer with Thompson Davis. Your line is open.

Adam Thalhimer (Director of Research and Senior Research Analyst)

Hey, good morning, guys. Nice quarter. Hey, can you level set us a little bit in terms of, how you expect the ramp to take place this year from Q1 into Q2 and then Q2 into Q3, and then probably a seasonal fall off in Q4? I'm just thinking on the EBITDA side.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah. On the EBITDA side, I mean, you know, I can't give you the exact cadence of that, but it's going to be, you know, progressively higher as we move from Q2 into Q3 just like normal. Depending on the timing of projects, especially some of the solar projects, we may see a little bit less of a drop off in Q4 than we have in previous years. Overall, it should be, you know, very similar and a good strong year for us.

Adam Thalhimer (Director of Research and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay. Helpful. Second question would be under your utility MSAs, I guess we're into May now, so are you seeing any budget cuts from your customers due to macro? Would you say your customers still have a lot of work to get done for the rest of the year?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

We have not seen any cuts. Our expectations are that our clients have a lot of work to get done by the end of the year.

Adam Thalhimer (Director of Research and Senior Research Analyst)

Sounds good. Thanks, Tom.

Operator (participant)

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Brent Thielman with D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.

Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Thanks. Good morning, Tom, Ken. When you think about the contract renewal process in utilities, it sounds like that process sort of continues into next year as these various contracts come up. Does that ultimately keep you from getting to the upper end of the margin range for that segment this year? Or, I guess, another way to ask this, what other elements could get you stumping to that this year?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Yeah. Just. Sorry. Tom and I were looking at each other on that one. Look, what's going to drive us to the top end of our range on utilities is two things. First of all, continued contract negotiations. There's no question about that. The second one is what Tom re-referenced, which was our mix of MSA versus project work. Right now, it's below our target level. As that mix trends toward, you know, upward kind of 10% up to as much as 25%, like our we're targeting right now, that will drive the margins up toward the upper end of the range as well.

Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

There's still a shot at that this year, Ken, I guess is what I'm asking?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Right now we're expecting kind of the midpoint of our range, call it probably high nines to around 10% this year. Yes, if we're able to pick up some more project work toward the end of the year, we could definitely see margins trend above the 10% range, maybe closer to 10.5% overall for the year. You should see them trend up as the year progresses.

Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Yep. Yep. Okay. Maybe just taking a step back, your guys' views of PLH, I mean, owned it for a few quarters now. I mean, how do you feel like it's integrating into the overall company? You know, any thoughts there?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

I think the integration is going well. We definitely are happy to have the craft resources and the equipment and, you know, key members of their management team are performing well. We have some pockets of that business that are actually performing better than we had expected. I think they're a welcome addition to Primoris.

Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay. Yeah, just lastly, what sort of opportunities are you starting to see become available for LNG on the Gulf Coast for performance and, you know, how significant could these be?

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Well, you know, we're not a general contractor when it comes to large LNG facilities, but we do subcontract work for a number of the contractors, and it's created a number of opportunities for us. I think it, you know, from a standpoint for specific businesses, it's a great opportunity for our energy group on an industrial side. Other businesses it won't affect.

Brent Thielman (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay. All right. Thanks, guys.

Operator (participant)

There are no further questions at this time. I turn the call back over to Tom for closing remarks.

Tom McCormick (President and CEO)

Thank you, operator. We appreciate your questions and your investment in Primoris. I'll just close by recapping what I see as the three key takeaways from this quarter. Our strong first quarter results have set us on a solid path toward achieving our 2023 goals. We see opportunities to advance our strategic growth markets in renewables, communications, and power delivery, driven by secular market tailwinds and through offering services to our customers that leverage expertise across our segments. Finally, we will remain disciplined in how we bid work, diligent in the execution of projects, and mindful of the allocation of resources to improve profitability and generate consistent cash flow. Thank you. We look forward to updating you next quarter.

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's Conference Call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.