PRKS Q2 2025: On Track for $700M+ EBITDA Despite Weather Headwinds
- Resilient Attendance: SeaWorld Orlando’s attendance was consistently up—both for the full quarter and on a day-to-day basis through early August—suggesting solid consumer demand and effective regional marketing.
- Strong Forward Bookings: The company reported encouraging early trends with group bookings, Discovery Cove sales, and event-specific advance sales (e.g., Holla Scream), pointing to a promising revenue outlook for the rest of 2025 and into 2026.
- Focused Cost Management: Management’s commitment to an accelerated cost reduction plan—targeting up to $15,000,000 in savings in the second half—could help boost margins despite headwinds.
- Weather Headwinds and Calendar Anomalies: Management repeatedly noted that bad weather (e.g., during July and around the July 4 holiday) forced the company to run additional promotions and adjust pricing, which can compress margins and reduce per capita revenue.
- Declining Deferred Revenue and Pass Base: There was a significant decline in deferred revenue (down around 10% year-over-year) and a noted decline in the pass base by approximately 3% in July, which may indicate weakening customer commitment.
- Pressure on In-Park Spending and Cost Management: The management disclosed that in-park per capita spending was slightly negative in the quarter due to more aggressive promotions and weather-driven adjustments, highlighting challenges in sustaining strong revenue per guest.
Metric | Period | Previous Guidance | Current Guidance | Change |
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Attendance | Second Half of FY 2025 | no prior guidance | Expected to improve in the second half of FY 2025, supported by better weather comparisons, popular Halloween and Christmas events, and improved group bookings and Discovery Cove bookings | no prior guidance |
Cost Reduction | Second Half of FY 2025 | no prior guidance | Targeting up to $15 million in expense reductions for the second half of FY 2025 through an incremental and accelerated cost reduction program | no prior guidance |
Admissions Per Capita and In-Park Spending | Second Half of FY 2025 | no prior guidance | Anticipated improvement in admissions per capita and in-park spending, particularly during Halloween and Christmas events | no prior guidance |
Weather Impact | Second Half of FY 2025 | no prior guidance | Assumes normalized weather patterns for the second half of FY 2025, avoiding significant hurricane impacts like those experienced in late Q3 and Q4 of FY 2024 | no prior guidance |
Pass Sales | Second Half of FY 2025 | no prior guidance | Launching the 2026 Pass program with enhanced benefits, expected to drive growth in the pass base. Early signs from parks where the passes have been introduced are positive | no prior guidance |
Capital Expenditures (CapEx) | FY 2025 | Approximately $175 million to $200 million on core CapEx and $50 million on growth and ROI projects | Approximately $175 million to $200 million on core CapEx and $50 million on growth and ROI projects | no change |
Topic | Previous Mentions | Current Period | Trend |
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Resilient Attendance and Strong Consumer Demand | In Q3 and Q4, calls highlighted near‐record attendance, strong in‐park per capita spending, and positive consumer demand | In Q2 2025, despite some of the worst weather, attendance increased (especially in Orlando parks and at Discovery Cove) and forward booking trends remained strong | Consistent strong demand with weather-induced promotional pressures evident in Q2 2025 |
Robust Forward and Group Bookings | Q3 and Q4 discussions noted double-digit growth in group bookings and robust forward ticket sales for 2025 | Q2 2025 reported group bookings up mid to high single digits and early strong forward booking trends, especially for Discovery Cove and Halloween events | Continues to be a strength with a positive outlook, though the growth rates are slightly lower relative to earlier double-digit trends |
Cost Management: Proactive Savings vs. Rising Operating Expenses | Q3 emphasized modest cost pressures with efficiency initiatives, while Q4 detailed proactive savings of tens of millions offset by rising SG&A and operating expenses | Q2 2025 saw a 7.7% rise in operating expenses and disappointment in managing labor costs, although an accelerated cost reduction plan aiming to cut up to $15M was announced | Persistent cost challenges remain; the current period experiences higher expense pressure but with renewed efforts to mitigate these challenges |
Weather, Seasonal Variability, and Calendar Anomalies Impacting Operations | Q3 and Q4 covered impacts from hurricanes, adverse weather, and calendar anomalies (such as shifts due to Easter) that negatively affected attendance | Q2 2025 experienced some of the worst weather ever, with benefits from favorable calendar shifts almost entirely offset by weather-related demand challenges | A recurring challenge that is more pronounced in Q2 2025, forcing increased promotions and operational adjustments |
Declining Deferred Revenue and Pass Base | Q3 and Q4 discussed a decline in deferred revenue (with figures around a 3.3% decrease) and mixed pass base trends (flat or slight increases, supported by new benefits initiatives) | Q2 2025 reported a decrease in deferred revenue by about $22.7M and a 3% drop in the pass base, though early improvements are noted with the launch of 2026 Passes | Still a concern with deferred revenue declining and a slight drop in pass base; however, the focus is shifting with expectations of recovery from upcoming new pass initiatives |
Pressure on In-Park Spending and Admission Revenue Growth | Q3 showed modest increases (record per capita spending and a slight rise in admission per capita), and Q4 had a mix—improved in-park spending but a small decline in admission revenue due to promotional pricing | Q2 2025 saw a 0.4% decline in in-park spending and a 3.9% decline in admission per capita largely due to aggressive promotions amid severe weather conditions | In Q2 2025 the promotional adjustments have exerted greater downward pressure on per capita metrics versus previous periods, reflecting short-term margin challenges |
Investments in New Attractions and Upgraded Venues for Market Share | Both Q3 and Q4 outlined significant capital expenditures in new rides, attractions, and venue upgrades across multiple parks to boost market position | Q2 2025 continued this strategic investment with plans for an exciting 2026 lineup, IP partnerships, and digital as well as sponsorship initiatives to enhance guest experiences | A consistent, long-term growth strategy that remains a major focus, aiming to drive market share despite competitive pressures |
Digital Innovation Through Mobile App Enhancements | Q3 mentioned mobile app improvements with downloads rising to 12 million and a 35% increase in transaction value, whereas Q4 did not discuss this topic | In Q2 2025, the mobile app reached over 15.6 million downloads, further boosting F&B transaction values and reinforcing its role in CRM and digital transformation | An emerging and increasingly prioritized area, showing notable growth from Q3 to Q2 2025 and poised to impact revenue and guest engagement significantly |
Intensifying Competition in the Orlando Market | Q3 and Q4 addressed competitive pressures from new entrants (e.g. Epic Universe) while stressing historical resilience and a differentiated value proposition | Q2 2025 acknowledged new competition with Epic Universe; however, attendance at SeaWorld Orlando remained strong and the company maintained a positive, respectful stance toward competitors | Consistent awareness of external competitive dynamics with a confident, optimistic outlook, supporting a solid market position in Orlando |
Shifts in Promotional Strategies Affecting Margins | Q4 noted that while promotions might dilute per capita margins, the focus remains on maximizing total revenue; Q3 had minimal direct commentary on this | Q2 2025 saw stronger reliance on promotions (to counter weather impacts) that led to notable declines in admission and in-park spending per capita, intensifying margin pressures | Promotional strategies have become more forcefully deployed in Q2 2025, negatively impacting per capita metrics compared to earlier periods, signaling short-term margin concerns |
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Full-Year EBITDA
Q: Are you on track for $700M+ EBITDA this year?
A: Management expects a stronger second half—with better weather, holiday events, and cost savings execution—positioning the company to potentially hit over $700M in EBITDA, assuming no major hurricanes and improved admissions per cap. -
Deferred Revenue
Q: Why did deferred revenue drop this quarter?
A: Deferred revenue declined due to a shift in product mix and lower pass base sales, partly driven by weather-induced promotions, though forward booking trends, including strong group and Discovery Cove bookings, remain promising. -
Marketing & Visitation
Q: Did you boost marketing for higher park visitation?
A: Yes, management adjusted marketing and increased promotions to counteract poor weather and capitalize on the Epic opening, which helped drive positive attendance at key parks like SeaWorld Orlando. -
Consumer Spending
Q: Are guests spending less per visit?
A: In-park spending was slightly down due to increased promotional activity during adverse weather, but management expects a rebound during the holiday events, restoring in-park per capita spend. -
Busch Gardens Attendance
Q: What challenges affect Busch Gardens attendance?
A: Attendance at Busch Gardens has been impacted by inclement weather and less-than-ideal awareness, though improved promotions, especially around popular Halloween events, are expected to help turn the trend around. -
Orlando Performance
Q: Have you improved Orlando per cap metrics?
A: While detailed per cap figures weren’t provided, management noted that SeaWorld Orlando’s revenue was positive, bolstered by proactive marketing adjustments in response to competitive pressures and weather issues. -
MOUs & Hotel Strategy
Q: What about your MOUs and hotel initiatives?
A: The company anticipates signing two MOUs linked to international opportunities modeled after the Abu Dhabi deal, though specifics on capital allocation for hotel projects weren’t detailed. -
Season Pass Leverage
Q: Can holiday events drive summer pass sales?
A: Management sees an opportunity to leverage the popularity of Halloween and Christmas events to enhance season pass appeal for summer, aiming to create an integrated, year-round product offering.
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