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United Parks & Resorts Inc. (PRKS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $384.4M (-1.2% YoY) and diluted EPS was $0.50 (-19.4% YoY); Adjusted EBITDA was $144.5M (-4.0% YoY). Management highlighted weather headwinds (Hurricane Milton) as the primary driver of attendance (-1.6% YoY) and profitability pressure .
- Per-capita metrics remained resilient: total revenue per capita rose to $78.75 (+0.4% YoY), with in-park per capita spending a record $35.14 (+3.5% YoY), offsetting softer admissions per capita (-1.9% YoY) .
- 2025 outlook: Company expects “meaningful growth and new records” in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, contingent on weather normalizing; 2025 CapEx guided to ~$225M ($175M core, $50M ROI) and ~$50M gross cost savings planned, with $8M annual interest savings from refinancing .
- Stock reaction catalysts: sustained per-cap growth, execution on $50M cost efficiencies, and evidence that Epic Universe’s May opening lifts Orlando visitation without materially diluting PRKS attendance or pricing power (management argues Epic is a net positive and PRKS is differentiated on value and experience) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- In-park per capita spending hit a quarterly record ($35.14, +3.5% YoY), demonstrating continued pricing power and ancillary monetization despite attendance headwinds .
- Management reiterated confidence in 2025 growth with bookings momentum: international sales growth “up mid-single digits” and group bookings “up double digits,” supporting expected revenue and Adjusted EBITDA records (weather-normalized) .
- Quote: “We have high confidence in our ability to continue to deliver operational and financial improvements that will lead to meaningful increases in shareholder value” .
What Went Wrong
- Weather materially impacted attendance: Q4 attendance down ~79k (-1.6%) with an estimated 167k guests lost due to Hurricane Milton; revenues fell modestly (-1.2% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA declined (-4.0% YoY) .
- Admissions per capita decreased (-1.9% YoY) as promotional pricing mix weighed on ticket yield; SG&A rose (+10.6% YoY) driven by increased marketing initiatives, pressuring margins .
- Transcript discrepancy: CFO remarks referenced prior-year Q4 net income at ~$2M, but press release shows $40.1M for Q4 2023 (likely a transcript error); investors should anchor to press-release financials .
Financial Results
Segment/Mix (Net revenues):
KPIs:
Cash Flow and Leverage (quarterly highlights):
- Q4 2024: Net cash from operations $112.5M; CapEx $26.2M; Free Cash Flow $86.2M; Net total leverage 2.94x; liquidity ~$798.4M .
Note on estimates: S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to access limits; no estimate comparison included (see “Estimates Context”) [GetEstimates error].
Guidance Changes
No explicit guidance provided for OpEx, OI&E beyond interest savings, tax rate, or dividends in Q4 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have now grown in park per capita for 18 of the last 19 quarters and total revenue per capita for 7 straight years. Our revenue strategies are working and continue to demonstrate our pricing power and the strength of consumer spending in our parks.” — CEO Marc Swanson .
- “Assuming no worse weather than we experienced in 2024, we expect meaningful growth and new records in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA in 2025.” — CEO Marc Swanson .
- “We are comfortable with current leverage levels… In 2025, we currently expect to spend approximately $225 million of CapEx, split between $175 million of core CapEx and $50 million of expansion in ROI CapEx.” — CEO Marc Swanson .
- “As of December 31, 2024, we had approximately $798.4 million in total available liquidity… In December, we refinanced our Term Loan B… that will save the company approximately $8 million in annual interest expense.” — CFO James Mikolaichik .
Q&A Highlights
- 2025 record potential vs weather and Epic: Management reiterated expectation for record Adjusted EBITDA with normalized weather; Epic believed to expand market visitation with PRKS positioned to capture share via differentiated product/value .
- Consensus gap: Management stated 2025 Street Adjusted EBITDA consensus at ~$701M and intends to outperform materially; investors should note this is management’s characterization of consensus, not formal guidance .
- Early 1Q trends: January Florida cold snap; attendance up on a day-to-day basis through the Sunday prior to the call; Easter timing shift expected to hurt Q1 and benefit Q2 by ~150–175k visits .
- Pricing strategy: Aim to grow pricing over time, but will prioritize total revenue; dynamic pricing on app (e.g., front-of-line) and across admissions; confidence supported by investment in new attractions/venues .
- Cost savings: ~$50M gross in 2025 (labor optimization, utilities, purchasing); some savings redeployed into marketing to drive growth .
- Real estate monetization: Exploring underlying land value unlock (e.g., sale-leaseback); Board receiving inbound interest; hotels timeline pushed beyond 2026 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to access limitations; therefore, no formal comparison vs Street is included here [GetEstimates error].
- Management referenced 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Street consensus at ~$701M and indicated internal plans are “significantly higher,” but provided no numeric guidance; treat this as qualitative context rather than company guidance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Weather was the primary Q4 headwind; excluding Hurricane Milton’s impact, attendance would have increased ~2% YoY, supporting the resilience thesis and setting a baseline for 2025 normalization .
- Per-cap strength remains intact, with record in-park spending; pricing power and mix initiatives continue to offset admissions yield pressure, implying durable monetization levers .
- 2025 plan prioritizes disciplined capital deployment ($225M CapEx) and ~$50M cost savings with tangible $8M interest savings, offering multiple paths to margin expansion and FCF growth .
- Epic Universe likely expands the Orlando demand pool; PRKS expects to capture share via differentiated SeaWorld experiences and value-oriented passes—watch for evidence in spring/summer traffic and per-cap trends .
- Near-term trading: Positive catalysts include confirmation of Q1/Q2 attendance growth (post-Easter shift), sponsorship revenue ramps, and progress on real estate monetization; risks include continued adverse weather and promotional mix pressuring admissions per cap .
- Medium-term thesis: Attendance recovery toward historical levels (2019/2008) plus sustained per-cap growth and cost discipline underpin management’s illustrative EBITDA potential; execution on hotels/IP partnerships/sponsorships offers further optionality .
Supporting detail and source tables (press release and transcript):
- Q4 press release with detailed P&L, KPIs, non-GAAP reconciliations and balance sheet .
- Q4 earnings call transcript with strategic themes, 2025 framework, and Q&A clarifications .
- Prior quarter materials used for trend analysis (Q3 press release and transcript; Q2 press release) .