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Presto Automation Inc. (PRST)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2024 revenue was $4.45M, down 32.6% year over year, while EPS was -$0.33; revenue beat by $0.38M but EPS missed by $0.20 versus consensus, driven by mix and ongoing restructuring costs .
  • Management exited the Touch pay-at-table business to focus exclusively on Presto Voice AI, piloting “Pure AI” (no human-in-the-loop) and Spanish-language ordering capabilities to accelerate accuracy and deployment at drive-thru customers .
  • Liquidity actions included $3M financing and lender forbearance extensions, but the outlook noted near-term financing needs and going-concern risks absent additional capital; Q4 FY2024 revenue guidance was set at $1.6–$1.9M .
  • Stock catalysts: narrative shift to end-to-end Voice AI, near-term revenue guide lower than recent run-rate, and heightened liquidity risk may drive volatility around capital raises and customer rollouts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strategic focus: Presto “took decisive action to focus exclusively on its leading Presto Voice AI solution for drive-thru operators by winding down the Touch pay-at-table solution,” clarifying the roadmap and resource allocation .
  • Product progress: Successful pilots of “Pure AI” for fully automated order-taking and Spanish Voice AI, with early evidence of faster ML improvement and inclusive guest experience, positioning for broader rollouts after on-site testing .
  • Revenue beat: Q3 revenue of $4.45M exceeded the ~$4.07M consensus by $0.38M, underscoring stability in the core despite product portfolio simplification .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability/margins: Net loss of ($18.1)M and Adjusted EBITDA loss of ($12.2)M reflect heavy operating costs, impairments, and financing impacts; gross profit was $0.17M, highlighting thin gross margin amidst cost of revenue and depreciation .
  • Liquidity and going concern: Company disclosed lender forbearance and near‑term capital needs with risk factors indicating substantial doubt about continuing as a going concern without additional financing .
  • EPS miss: EPS of -$0.33 missed consensus by $0.20, reflecting higher opex and financing costs; prior decline in platform and transaction revenues tied to Touch contract terminations and lower hardware upgrades earlier in the year .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$4.89 $4.893 $4.452
Diluted EPS ($)-$0.27 -$0.31 -$0.33
Net Income ($USD Millions)$5.4 N/A($18.095)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)($8.8) N/A($12.2)

Notes:

  • Q3 YoY revenue change: -32.62% YoY .
  • Q1 net income was positive due to non-GAAP adjustments and fair value effects; management provides reconciliations in press releases .

Segment Revenue Breakdown

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Platform$2.1 N/A$2.191
Transaction$2.8 N/A$2.261
Total$4.9 $4.893 $4.452

Actual vs Estimates (Q3 2024)

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$4.452 $4.072 +$0.380
EPS ($)-$0.33 -$0.13 (derived from $0.20 miss) -$0.20

KPIs (selected)

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Voice AI installed locations (units)400+ N/APure AI pilot and Spanish Voice AI pilot underway (qualitative)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 FY2024N/A$1.6–$1.9New; below recent $4.5–$4.9M quarterly run rate
Liquidity/Forbearance ConditionsNear-termN/AForbearance extended with capital raise thresholds; negotiation to transfer lender position contingent on $20M consideration and ≥$12M operating capital evidenceHeightened liquidity constraints and conditional forbearance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 FY2024)Current Period (Q3 FY2024)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesEmphasis on Voice AI adoption; California $20 minimum wage as a catalyst; platform and transaction revenue declines tied to Touch customer changes Pilots of Pure AI (no human-in-the-loop) and Spanish Voice AI ordering; exit Touch to focus on Voice Narrative consolidates around Voice AI; product acceleration and simplification
Product portfolio strategyDual track (Voice, Touch) with cost reduction and efficiency initiatives Winding down Touch, exclusive focus on Voice Portfolio rationalization completed
Liquidity/CapitalCapital raised via equity in Q1; canceled Q2 earnings call, 10-Q filed; ongoing lender amendments $3M financing; forbearance extensions; conditional lender transfer discussions; going concern risks emphasized Liquidity risk heightened; financing milestones critical
Revenue trajectoryQ1/Q2 revenue ~ $4.9M each Q3 revenue $4.45M; Q4 guide $1.6–$1.9M Guide implies sequential decline tied to portfolio changes and rollout phasing
Regulatory/legal riskStandard forward-looking risk factors Explicit going-concern risk and covenant compliance challenges if capital not raised Risk disclosure intensifies

Management Commentary

  • “We are encouraged by the significant progress we are making in our Voice AI solution across many operating metrics as we continue its roll-out to our drive-thru customers.” — Gee Lefevre, Interim CEO .
  • “Presto took decisive action to focus exclusively on its leading Presto Voice AI solution for drive-thru operators by winding down the Touch pay-at-table solution.” .
  • Liquidity position was updated with $3M financing and forbearance terms, including potential lender debt transfer contingent on $20M and ≥$12M operating capital, highlighting near-term capital priorities .

Q&A Highlights

  • The public transcript confirms participants (Interim CEO and Interim CFO) and notes that reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures are in the press release; access to full Q&A details is limited behind paywalls, but management reiterated guidance for Q4 FY2024 on the call .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus via tool was unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping; however, third-party aggregators indicate Q3 revenue consensus ~$4.07M (actual $4.45M, surprise +$0.38M) and EPS miss of $0.20 (actual -$0.33), implying consensus EPS ~ -$0.13. These suggest a revenue beat and EPS miss for the quarter .
  • Given the Q4 guide of $1.6–$1.9M, Street models likely need to adjust down near-term revenue and refine EBITDA/FCF trajectories to reflect portfolio exit and deployment timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Focus shift to Voice AI is strategically sound; Pure AI and Spanish features can improve accuracy and scalability, but monetization depends on pace of deployments and customer adoption in drive-thru .
  • Near-term revenue guide ($1.6–$1.9M) is a reset versus recent ~$4.5–$4.9M run-rate; expect model revisions and increased sensitivity to rollout milestones .
  • Liquidity remains the key risk; watch for additional equity/debt transactions, lender negotiations, and covenant updates as potential stock movers .
  • EPS miss reflects opex and financing drag; margin improvement likely requires scale in Voice deployments and COGS efficiencies (e.g., lower depreciation/impairments) .
  • Segment dynamics show Platform and Transaction both trending lower vs prior year; portfolio simplification (exiting Touch) should align resources to Voice but may pressure near-term revenue before replacement growth materializes .
  • Trading lens: headlines around financing, forbearance, and large customer pilots will likely drive volatility; upside hinges on demonstrated conversion of pilots to scaled deployments and proof points in Pure AI accuracy metrics .
  • Monitor quarterly results pages and SEC filings for updated guidance and liquidity disclosures (including any 8-Ks on financings or lender agreements) .