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Public Storage (PSA)·Q3 2017 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Core FFO per share increased 3.2% year over year to $2.61, while GAAP diluted EPS declined to $1.61 due to hurricane-related losses, higher preferred allocations from redemption activity, and foreign currency losses; total revenues rose to $686.4M (+3.5% YoY).
  • Same-store performance was resilient: revenues +2.4% YoY, realized annual rent per occupied square foot +3.4% to $17.52, and gross margin improved to 73.9%; occupancy moderated 80 bps YoY to 94.5%.
  • Management recorded $7.8M casualty loss and $5.2M incremental tenant reinsurance losses tied to Hurricanes Harvey and Irma; these items were excluded from Core FFO. The company expects approximately $10.0M of capex to repair damage and does not expect insurance proceeds given losses below deductibles.
  • Capital markets actions support balance sheet flexibility: $1.0B senior notes issued (2.370% due 2022, 3.094% due 2027), $300M Series G preferred issued, and $462.5M Series T preferred redeemed; dividend maintained at $2.00 per common share.
  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable due to system limits; beat/miss vs Street cannot be assessed this quarter. (Estimates unavailable via S&P Global)

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Core FFO per share rose to $2.61 (from $2.53), driven by +$15.7M self-storage NOI, with same-store revenues +2.4% and non-same-store contribution +$5.1M. “Revenues for the Same Store Facilities increased 2.4%… due primarily to higher realized annual rent per occupied square foot.”
  • Pricing power intact: realized annual rent per occupied square foot increased 3.4% to $17.52; REVPAF up 2.6% to $16.56, supporting margin expansion to 73.9%.
  • External growth and development: seven facilities acquired in Q3 ($47.3M), eight additional facilities acquired/under contract post-quarter ($67.8M), and nine developments/expansions completed ($144.5M); $378M remaining development spend expected primarily over next 18 months.

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP diluted EPS fell to $1.61 (from $1.78) as hurricanes and preferred redemptions increased non-operating charges; foreign exchange translation losses on euro debt also rose.
  • Occupancy softened: weighted average occupancy declined 80 bps YoY to 94.5% and period-end occupancy fell to 93.2% (from 94.2%).
  • Operating cost headwinds: property taxes +4.5% YoY; repairs & maintenance and payroll increased; advertising & selling expense up 16.9% YTD.

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2016Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)663.148 645.547 664.312 686.361
Diluted EPS ($USD)1.78 1.62 1.59 1.61
FFO per Share ($USD)2.51 2.34 2.31 2.35
Core FFO per Share ($USD)2.53 2.37 2.51 2.61
Operating Income ($USD Millions)352.949 326.688 356.565 360.111
Self-Storage NOI ($USD Millions)457.252 435.800 453.004 472.923

Segment breakdown (self-storage):

SegmentQ3 2016Q3 2017
Same-Store Revenues ($USD Thousands)551,418 564,394
Non-Same-Store Revenues ($USD Thousands)71,739 81,844
Same-Store Cost of Operations ($USD Thousands)145,145 147,498
Non-Same-Store Cost of Operations ($USD Thousands)20,760 25,817
Same-Store NOI ($USD Thousands)406,273 416,896
Non-Same-Store NOI ($USD Thousands)50,979 56,027

KPIs (same-store portfolio):

KPIQ3 2016Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017
Weighted Avg Occupancy (%)95.3% 93.1% 94.5% 94.5%
Realized Annual Rent/Occupied Sq Ft ($)16.95 16.81 16.97 17.52
REVPAF ($)16.14 15.63 16.03 16.56
Gross Margin (%)73.7% 72.3% 73.2% 73.9%

Non-GAAP notes: FFO/Core FFO exclude depreciation and certain items (e.g., FX, preferred redemption accounting, hurricane losses); see reconciliations.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance/UpdateCurrent Guidance/UpdateChange
Dividend per common shareQ4 2017 (payable Dec 28, 2017)$2.00 per share (Q2 declaration; payable Sep 28, 2017) $2.00 per share declared Oct 25, 2017; payable Dec 28, 2017 Maintained
Development pipeline remaining spendNext ~18 months$376M expected to be incurred primarily in next 18 months (as of Jun 30, 2017) $378M expected to be incurred primarily in next 18 months (as of Sep 30, 2017) Slight increase (+$2M)
Facilities under development (NR sq ft)As of quarter-end3.9M development; 1.7M expansions (as of Jun 30, 2017) 2.8M development; 1.9M expansions (as of Sep 30, 2017) Development backlog declined; expansions increased
Hurricane repair capexFY 2017/2018Not applicable~$10.0M expected capex to repair damage; no insurance proceeds expected (losses below deductibles) New item

No formal revenue/EPS margin guidance was provided in the press release.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Transcript retrieval failed due to a database inconsistency; themes below reflect press release and prior-quarter press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2017 and Q2 2017)Current Period (Q3 2017)Trend
Occupancy and PricingOccupancy 93.1% (Q1) and 94.5% (Q2) with realized rent per occupied sq ft of $16.81 (Q1) and $16.97 (Q2); REVPAF $15.63 (Q1), $16.03 (Q2). Occupancy 94.5% with realized rent per occupied sq ft up to $17.52; REVPAF $16.56; margin improved. Pricing strength; occupancy stable vs Q2 but below prior-year
Operating costsProperty taxes +4.5% YoY; advertising & selling up 29.9% (Q1) and 41.7% (Q2). Property taxes +4.5% YoY; advertising & selling up 16.9% YTD; repairs & maintenance elevated. Persistent cost inflation (taxes/marketing/maintenance)
FX and OI&EFX loss impacted EPS in Q2; FX loss moderation in Q1 vs prior year. FX loss increased vs prior year, pressuring EPS. Continued FX volatility headwind
External growthQ1: 4 acquisitions; Q2: 3 acquisitions; development/backlog robust. Q3: 7 acquisitions; 9 developments/expansions completed; additional 8 facilities acquired/under contract post-Q3. Accelerating external growth execution
HurricanesNot applicable in Q1/Q2.$7.8M casualty loss; $5.2M incremental tenant reinsurance losses; ~115 properties in Houston and ~125 in Florida temporarily closed; ~13 properties removed from same-store pool. One-time storm impact; recovery underway

Management Commentary

  • “Revenues for the Same Store Facilities increased 2.4%… due primarily to higher realized annual rent per occupied square foot. Cost of operations… increased by 1.6%… due primarily to increased property taxes, repairs and maintenance and payroll.” (Press release)
  • “We recorded an aggregate $7.8 million casualty loss… We expect to incur approximately $10.0 million of capital expenditures to complete the repair of hurricane damage… we do not expect to receive any insurance proceeds.” (Press release hurricane update)
  • “The increase in net operating income for the Non Same Store Facilities is due primarily to the impact of 321 self-storage facilities acquired, developed or expanded since January 2015.” (Press release)
  • Capital markets update: “$1.0 billion… senior notes… 2.370% due 2022… 3.094% due 2027… Issued $300 million Series G Preferred… Redeemed $462.5 million 5.75% Series T Preferred.” (Press release)
  • Dividend policy: “Board… declared a regular common quarterly dividend of $2.00 per common share… payable on December 28, 2017.” (Press release)

Q&A Highlights

Transcript for Q3 2017 was unavailable due to a database inconsistency; call Q&A themes and specific management responses could not be retrieved.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2017 revenue and EPS could not be retrieved due to system limits; as a result, beat/miss vs Street estimates cannot be assessed this quarter. (Estimates unavailable via S&P Global)

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core fundamentals remain solid with pricing power and margin expansion; core FFO grew to $2.61 despite hurricane and FX headwinds.
  • Watch occupancy and cost inflation: occupancy remains below prior-year levels and property taxes/maintenance costs continue to rise, potentially moderating same-store NOI growth.
  • One-time storm impact largely excluded from Core FFO; expect ~$10M recovery capex and some ongoing operational normalization in affected markets.
  • Balance sheet optionality enhanced by $1.0B senior notes issuance and preferred capital actions; dividend sustained at $2.00, supporting income-oriented thesis.
  • External growth acceleration through acquisitions and development completions should support forward NOI, but ramp timing and occupancy in development assets (e.g., lower occupancy in developed facilities) warrant monitoring.
  • FX volatility tied to euro-denominated debt remains a non-operating swing factor for GAAP EPS; core metrics provide cleaner operating trend signals.
  • Near term: limited estimate visibility due to unavailable S&P Global consensus; medium term: continued rent growth and development pipeline execution underpin the thesis, with cost discipline a key lever for margin resilience.

Sources

  • Q3 2017 8-K and press release, including selected financial data, NOI reconciliations, same-store/non-same-store operating metrics, hurricane update, capital markets, and dividend declaration.
  • Q2 2017 8-K and press release for prior-quarter trend context.
  • Q1 2017 8-K and press release for prior-quarter trend context.