PRICESMART INC (PSMT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid top-line and profitability: revenues rose 5.6% to $1.36B and diluted EPS was $1.45, with adjusted EBITDA at $87.0M; comparable sales grew 6.7% (7.9% constant currency) .
- Versus Wall Street: revenue beat consensus by ~1.6% (actual $1.364B vs $1.342B*), EPS was essentially in line to a slight miss ($1.45 vs $1.46*), and EBITDA missed (actual ~$87.96M vs $90.0M*) — reflecting FX and conversion costs in “other expense” and higher planned tech investments .
- Execution highlights: strong non-food and health services growth; digital net merchandise sales hit a record $76.2M (5.7% mix), up 19.3% YoY; Platinum membership penetration increased to 14.5% .
- Guidance/tone: management guided an annualized ETR of ~27–29% and flagged tariff uncertainty but noted regional sourcing and FTZ operations as mitigating factors; near-term comp sales for the first 4 weeks of Q3 were up 8.7% (10.2% cc) .
- Potential stock catalysts: continued comp momentum and omnichannel adoption, execution on DC build-out and regional sourcing (tariff mitigation), and dividend increase (annual $1.26/share) supporting total return profile .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based comp strength: comparable net merchandise sales +6.7% (+7.9% cc), with category drivers in non-food (+7.9%) and health services (+15.5%) .
- Digital and membership momentum: digital net merchandise sales reached $76.2M (5.7% of sales), +19.3% YoY; Platinum membership penetration increased to 14.5%, up from 12.3% at FY24-end and 9.6% in the prior year quarter .
- Operational expansion: opened ninth Costa Rica club (Cartago), bringing total clubs to 55, with Guatemala (Quetzaltenango) slated for summer 2025; DC network enhancements progressing across multi-club markets .
Management quote: “Our operations within a free trade zone in both the U.S. and Costa Rica provide us with a significant advantage… to keep our supply chain as efficient and as cost-effective as possible and minimize the impact of related costs to our members” .
What Went Wrong
- Margin mix and FX headwinds: gross margin rate declined 10 bps YoY to 15.6%; FX and conversion costs pressured “other expense” despite reduced revaluation losses .
- SG&A rate up 20 bps: SG&A as a percentage of revenue rose to 12.4% vs 12.2% prior year, driven by planned technology investments .
- EBITDA vs consensus: EBITDA missed Street expectations (actual ~$87.96M vs $90.0M*), reflecting ongoing conversion premiums and strategic investment spend .
Analyst concern (Q&A): tariff uncertainty and potential reciprocal tariffs; while management highlighted mitigants (local/regional sourcing and direct Asia-to-market shipping), they acknowledged the fluid environment .
Financial Results
Margin and rate comparison (YoY, Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024):
Vs Wall Street consensus (Q2 2025):
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (Q2 2025 YoY):
KPIs and operating metrics (Q2 2025):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Robert Price: “One benefit for PriceSmart is that about 50% of the products we sell are sourced either locally or in the region and about 1/3 of the products we source come from the United States… we’re not as dependent on Asia and Europe as perhaps other merchants are” .
- Michael McCleary: “Total gross margins… decreased 10 bps to 15.6%… SG&A… increased to 12.4%… primarily related to planned technology investments… On a go-forward basis, we estimate our annualized effective tax rate will be approximately 27% to 29%” .
- Michael McCleary: “We are… enhancing our distribution and logistics network… expected opening of distribution centers in China and in each of our multi-club markets… to keep our supply chain as efficient and as cost-effective as possible” .
- Michael McCleary: “Digital channels… represented a record high of $76.2 million or 5.7% of total net merchandise sales… significant growth opportunities… continue to invest in this part of our business” .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff exposure: Management is not aware of reciprocal 10% tariffs in operating countries yet; mitigants include direct Asia-to-market shipping via regional DCs and significant local/U.S. sourcing; environment remains fluid .
- Store pipeline: Up to six locations in various due diligence/permitting stages; timing not disclosed; reflects deep pipeline vs recent history .
- Near-term comp cadence: First four weeks of Q3 comps +8.7% (10.2% cc), aided by Easter timing shift (this year in April vs last year in March) .
- Vendor dynamics: Expect cooperation from Asia suppliers; potential cost adjustments considered amid U.S. tariff changes; focus on cost containment and consolidation .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results vs consensus: revenue beat (~+1.6%), EPS slight miss, EBITDA miss; suggests top-line resilience with modest rate/mix pressure and continued strategic spend. Revenue Consensus: $1,342.5M* vs Actual: $1,363.9M; EPS Consensus: $1.46* vs Actual: $1.45; EBITDA Consensus: $90.0M* vs Actual: ~$87.96M*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Forward look: Street modeling (limited coverage) implies continued mid-single-digit revenue growth and steady EPS cadence into Q3/Q4, though tariff outcomes and FX can drive estimate revisions. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based comp and category strength underpin resilient demand; non-food and health services were notable drivers alongside steady food growth .
- Omnichannel is scaling: $76.2M digital sales, 5.7% mix, with improving order growth and higher ATV — a structural tailwind for traffic, convenience, and share of wallet .
- Margin picture stable-to-mixed: gross margin down 10 bps YoY and SG&A up 20 bps due to strategic tech investments; operating income up 2.6% YoY .
- FX/conversion costs remain a watch item; management reduced revaluation losses but conversion premiums rose; continued mitigation via DCs, vendor cooperation, and FTZ operations .
- Tax rate guidance lowered to ~27–29% structurally, supporting EPS leverage as scale and optimization initiatives accrue .
- Capital returns: Board raised annual dividend to $1.26/share (+8.6%), reinforcing confidence and total-return appeal .
- Execution catalysts: new Costa Rica club opened; Guatemala slated for summer; expanding in-country DCs and fleets to improve in-stocks, landed costs, and speed-to-market .
Supporting Documents and Data:
- Q2 2025 8‑K (Item 2.02) and press release with full financial statements and non‑GAAP reconciliations .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (full) .
- Prior quarters for trend context: Q1 2025 press release with full statements ; Q4 2024 press release with full statements .
- Dividend announcement (Feb 2025): $1.26/share annual dividend .