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PI

PRICESMART INC (PSMT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered solid top-line and profitability: revenues rose 5.6% to $1.36B and diluted EPS was $1.45, with adjusted EBITDA at $87.0M; comparable sales grew 6.7% (7.9% constant currency) .
  • Versus Wall Street: revenue beat consensus by ~1.6% (actual $1.364B vs $1.342B*), EPS was essentially in line to a slight miss ($1.45 vs $1.46*), and EBITDA missed (actual ~$87.96M vs $90.0M*) — reflecting FX and conversion costs in “other expense” and higher planned tech investments .
  • Execution highlights: strong non-food and health services growth; digital net merchandise sales hit a record $76.2M (5.7% mix), up 19.3% YoY; Platinum membership penetration increased to 14.5% .
  • Guidance/tone: management guided an annualized ETR of ~27–29% and flagged tariff uncertainty but noted regional sourcing and FTZ operations as mitigating factors; near-term comp sales for the first 4 weeks of Q3 were up 8.7% (10.2% cc) .
  • Potential stock catalysts: continued comp momentum and omnichannel adoption, execution on DC build-out and regional sourcing (tariff mitigation), and dividend increase (annual $1.26/share) supporting total return profile .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based comp strength: comparable net merchandise sales +6.7% (+7.9% cc), with category drivers in non-food (+7.9%) and health services (+15.5%) .
  • Digital and membership momentum: digital net merchandise sales reached $76.2M (5.7% of sales), +19.3% YoY; Platinum membership penetration increased to 14.5%, up from 12.3% at FY24-end and 9.6% in the prior year quarter .
  • Operational expansion: opened ninth Costa Rica club (Cartago), bringing total clubs to 55, with Guatemala (Quetzaltenango) slated for summer 2025; DC network enhancements progressing across multi-club markets .

Management quote: “Our operations within a free trade zone in both the U.S. and Costa Rica provide us with a significant advantage… to keep our supply chain as efficient and as cost-effective as possible and minimize the impact of related costs to our members” .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin mix and FX headwinds: gross margin rate declined 10 bps YoY to 15.6%; FX and conversion costs pressured “other expense” despite reduced revaluation losses .
  • SG&A rate up 20 bps: SG&A as a percentage of revenue rose to 12.4% vs 12.2% prior year, driven by planned technology investments .
  • EBITDA vs consensus: EBITDA missed Street expectations (actual ~$87.96M vs $90.0M*), reflecting ongoing conversion premiums and strategic investment spend .

Analyst concern (Q&A): tariff uncertainty and potential reciprocal tariffs; while management highlighted mitigants (local/regional sourcing and direct Asia-to-market shipping), they acknowledged the fluid environment .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)$1.226 $1.258 $1.364
Net Merchandise Sales ($USD Billions)$1.193 $1.224 $1.335
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$49.2 $58.3 $65.3
Net Income ($USD Millions)$29.1 $37.4 $43.8
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.94 $1.21 $1.45
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$70.7 $79.1 $87.0

Margin and rate comparison (YoY, Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024):

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Gross Margin % (of Net Merchandise Sales)15.7% 15.6%
Total Revenue Margin %17.1% 17.1%
SG&A % of Revenues12.2% 12.4%
Effective Tax Rate30.5% 27.2%

Vs Wall Street consensus (Q2 2025):

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.3425*$1.3639 +1.6% beat
EPS ($USD)$1.46*$1.45 -0.01 miss
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$90.0*~$87.96*~2.3% miss

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (Q2 2025 YoY):

RegionNet Sales YoY (Reported)Net Sales YoY (Constant Currency)Comp Sales YoY (Reported)Comp Sales YoY (Constant Currency)
Central America (30 clubs)+5.4% +4.6% +5.6% +4.9%
Caribbean (14 clubs)+6.4% +8.6% +8.3% +10.5%
Colombia (10 clubs)+6.6% +16.0% +8.6% +17.7%

KPIs and operating metrics (Q2 2025):

KPIValue
Comparable net merchandise sales YoY+6.7% (7.9% cc)
Membership accounts>1.9M (+4.1% YoY), 87% 12‑month renewal
Platinum membership penetration14.5% (vs 12.3% at FY24‑end; 9.6% prior‑year quarter)
Digital net merchandise sales$76.2M; 5.7% of sales; +19.3% YoY
Orders via app/website+14.4% YoY; Avg transaction value +3.9% YoY
Basket metricsAvg ticket +1.9%; transactions +3.9%; items/basket +1.8% YoY
Private label mix27.4% of merchandise sales (+30 bps YoY)
Cash, cash equivalents & restricted cash$145.5M
Short‑term investments~$116.9M
Local currency balances with convertibility issues$77.3M (Trinidad, Honduras)
Inventory per club+$878k (+9.4% YoY); days on hand +1 day (+3.1%)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Effective Tax RateFY2025 onwardN/A~27%–29%New guidance; lowered vs prior-year effective rates
Comparable Sales (early Q3 indicator)4 weeks ended Mar 30, 2025N/A+8.7% (10.2% cc)Positive trend signal
DividendFY2025$1.16/share (FY2024)$1.26/share (two $0.63 payments)Raised 8.6%
Club footprintFY2025Planned CR/GT openingsCosta Rica ninth club opened; Guatemala (Quetzaltenango) targeted for summer 2025Executed/maintained timeline
Real estate pipelineFY2026+N/A“Up to 6 locations” in due diligence/permittingNew disclosure of pipeline depth

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Omnichannel/digitalContinued growth off a small base (no specific mix disclosed in PRs) Record $76.2M digital sales; 5.7% mix; +19.3% YoY; app/web orders +14.4% Accelerating adoption
Membership strategyBroad growth; comps supported by traffic and ticket Platinum penetration 14.5%; renewal 87%; >1.9M accounts (+4.1%) Stronger loyalty/mix shift
Supply chain/DC build-outFY2024: DC network as a focus; plans for Guatemala DC Expanding DCs (Guatemala, Trinidad, Dominican Republic) and China consolidation; own truck fleets Structural improvement
Tariffs/macroNot highlighted in PRsSignificant uncertainty; mitigants via FTZ and regional sourcing; ~50% local/regional; ~1/3 U.S. sourcing Managed risk; watch policy path
Category performanceFY2024 comps +6.2% in Q4; FY2025 Q1 comps +5.7% Foods +5.3%; non-food +7.9%; food services/bakery +4.7%; health services +15.5% Broad-based strength
Real estateQ4 2024: planned CR & GT openings Costa Rica (Cartago) opened; Guatemala (Quetzaltenango) targeted Executing pipeline

Management Commentary

  • Robert Price: “One benefit for PriceSmart is that about 50% of the products we sell are sourced either locally or in the region and about 1/3 of the products we source come from the United States… we’re not as dependent on Asia and Europe as perhaps other merchants are” .
  • Michael McCleary: “Total gross margins… decreased 10 bps to 15.6%… SG&A… increased to 12.4%… primarily related to planned technology investments… On a go-forward basis, we estimate our annualized effective tax rate will be approximately 27% to 29%” .
  • Michael McCleary: “We are… enhancing our distribution and logistics network… expected opening of distribution centers in China and in each of our multi-club markets… to keep our supply chain as efficient and as cost-effective as possible” .
  • Michael McCleary: “Digital channels… represented a record high of $76.2 million or 5.7% of total net merchandise sales… significant growth opportunities… continue to invest in this part of our business” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariff exposure: Management is not aware of reciprocal 10% tariffs in operating countries yet; mitigants include direct Asia-to-market shipping via regional DCs and significant local/U.S. sourcing; environment remains fluid .
  • Store pipeline: Up to six locations in various due diligence/permitting stages; timing not disclosed; reflects deep pipeline vs recent history .
  • Near-term comp cadence: First four weeks of Q3 comps +8.7% (10.2% cc), aided by Easter timing shift (this year in April vs last year in March) .
  • Vendor dynamics: Expect cooperation from Asia suppliers; potential cost adjustments considered amid U.S. tariff changes; focus on cost containment and consolidation .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 results vs consensus: revenue beat (~+1.6%), EPS slight miss, EBITDA miss; suggests top-line resilience with modest rate/mix pressure and continued strategic spend. Revenue Consensus: $1,342.5M* vs Actual: $1,363.9M; EPS Consensus: $1.46* vs Actual: $1.45; EBITDA Consensus: $90.0M* vs Actual: ~$87.96M*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Forward look: Street modeling (limited coverage) implies continued mid-single-digit revenue growth and steady EPS cadence into Q3/Q4, though tariff outcomes and FX can drive estimate revisions. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Broad-based comp and category strength underpin resilient demand; non-food and health services were notable drivers alongside steady food growth .
  • Omnichannel is scaling: $76.2M digital sales, 5.7% mix, with improving order growth and higher ATV — a structural tailwind for traffic, convenience, and share of wallet .
  • Margin picture stable-to-mixed: gross margin down 10 bps YoY and SG&A up 20 bps due to strategic tech investments; operating income up 2.6% YoY .
  • FX/conversion costs remain a watch item; management reduced revaluation losses but conversion premiums rose; continued mitigation via DCs, vendor cooperation, and FTZ operations .
  • Tax rate guidance lowered to ~27–29% structurally, supporting EPS leverage as scale and optimization initiatives accrue .
  • Capital returns: Board raised annual dividend to $1.26/share (+8.6%), reinforcing confidence and total-return appeal .
  • Execution catalysts: new Costa Rica club opened; Guatemala slated for summer; expanding in-country DCs and fleets to improve in-stocks, landed costs, and speed-to-market .

Supporting Documents and Data:

  • Q2 2025 8‑K (Item 2.02) and press release with full financial statements and non‑GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (full) .
  • Prior quarters for trend context: Q1 2025 press release with full statements ; Q4 2024 press release with full statements .
  • Dividend announcement (Feb 2025): $1.26/share annual dividend .