PI
PRICESMART INC (PSMT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid quarter: revenue grew 7.1% to $1.32B and EPS rose to $1.14, with 7.0% comparable sales (+8.5% cc) and gross margin up 20 bps; FX translation reduced net merchandise sales by 1.5% ($18.6M) .
- Modest beats vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $1.14 vs $1.125*, revenue $1.317B vs $1.310B*, and adjusted EBITDA ~$79.3M vs ~$74.1M*; Q2 saw a slight EPS miss, while Q1 was a larger EPS miss despite revenue beats. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Positive operating drivers: transactions +6.0%, average ticket +1.9%, digital sales +19.8% to $79M (6.1% of sales, a record), platinum membership penetration up to 16.1%, and revenue margin improved to 17.4% .
- Headwinds remain below the line: total other expense widened to a $7.2M loss (FX revaluation and currency conversion costs), though the effective tax rate improved to 28.4%; management continues to navigate USD liquidity constraints in select markets .
- Potential catalysts: sustained comp strength (early Q4 comps +7.7%), Chile market evaluation, distribution network upgrades, and private label/membership momentum; watch FX convertibility/costs and tariff outcomes .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “Digital channel sales reached $79 million, a 19.8% increase year over year, representing 6.1% of total net merchandise sales, our highest digital contribution to date.”
- Membership quality mix improving: “Platinum accounts as of 05/31/2025 represented 16.1% of our total membership base” (vs 12.3% at 8/31/24), with renewal rate at 88% .
- Margin execution: “Total gross margin for the quarter as a percentage of net merchandise sales increased 20 basis points to 15.8% … Total revenue margins increased 30 basis points to 17.4%” .
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What Went Wrong
- FX and USD liquidity pressures: “We recorded a $7.2 million net loss in total other expense … [from] unrealized losses… [and] premiums to convert local currency into U.S. Dollars” (up to $4.8M from $3.8M YoY) .
- FX translation shaved net merchandise sales growth by 1.5% ($18.6M), masking stronger constant-currency momentum .
- SG&A mix: “SG&A … increased to 13.2% of total revenues … primarily related to planned technology investments” (near-term opex drag) .
Financial Results
- Non-GAAP reconciliations provided by the company (Adjusted EBITDA adds back interest expense, taxes, D&A, adjusts for interest income and other expense) .
- Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance (Q3 2025)
KPIs and operating metrics
Guidance Changes
Note: No explicit quantitative revenue/margin/OpEx guidance provided in Q3 materials; management emphasized ongoing tech investments and distribution enhancements .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic priorities and Chile option: “We are currently evaluating Chile as a potential new market... excited about the potential opportunities this market offers us… [but] subject to completing our market analysis, finding appropriate sites, and securing permits.”
- Distribution/logistics upgrades: “In fiscal year 2026, we plan to upgrade our Panama DC to support cold products and to open new DCs in Guatemala, Trinidad, and the Dominican Republic.”
- Digital momentum: “Digital channel sales reached $79 million… representing 6.1% of total net merchandise sales, our highest digital contribution to date.”
- Margin execution: “Total gross margin… increased 20 bps to 15.8%… Total revenue margins increased 30 bps to 17.4%.”
- FX/convertibility costs: “Increase… primarily driven by an increase in unrealized losses… [and] an increase in our cost of premiums to convert local currency into U.S. Dollars from $3.8 million… to $4.8 million.”
Q&A Highlights
- Currency convertibility (Trinidad/Jamaica structure): Management outlined up to $65M of financing (including a $15M USD loan repaid in TTD) to facilitate USD access and spread conversion over several years; exposure tied to TTD–USD, not JMD, minimizing third-currency risk .
- Market expansion rationale (Chile): Attractive middle class, stability, and U.S.–Chile trade/tax relationships; potential for multiple locations starting with Santiago, with secondary cities possible; still under evaluation .
- Pricing and FX premium: Team is modeling premiums into next year and aims to minimize member pricing impact, though work remains in process .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $1.14 vs $1.125* (beat), revenue $1.317B vs $1.310B* (beat), adjusted EBITDA ~$79.3M vs ~$74.1M* (beat).
- Trajectory: Q2 EPS $1.45 vs $1.46* (slight miss) with a revenue beat; Q1 EPS $1.21 vs $1.36* (miss) with a revenue beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Modest Q3 beats were driven by comps strength, improved margin mix, and digital penetration; FX revaluation and conversion costs remain a headwind below-the-line, tempering EPS upside. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality top-line: Q3 comps +7.0% (+8.5% cc) with transactions +6% and stable pricing; early Q4 comps +7.7% support momentum .
- Mix tailwinds: Gross margin +20 bps and total revenue margin +30 bps reflect favorable merchandise mix, private label, and membership monetization (Platinum to 16.1%) .
- Digital scaling: Record 6.1% digital mix and $79M sales show traction; ongoing tech investments should support growth, though near-term SG&A runs a bit higher .
- Structural logistics upgrades: DC buildouts (Panama upgrade; Guatemala/Trinidad/DR) and China consolidation should improve availability, lead times, and landed cost over time .
- FX is the swing factor: Widened other expense (FX revaluation, conversion premiums) limited EPS leverage; management is proactively securing financing to improve convertibility in constrained markets .
- Optionality from new markets: Chile evaluation adds medium-term growth optionality atop near-term new club openings (Guatemala Aug-25; DR spring-26) .
- Net: Execution remains solid with modest beats and positive early Q4 reads; monitor FX/convertibility costs and tariff policy as primary variables for EPS sensitivity.
Footnote: Values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.