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PI

PRICESMART INC (PSMT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid quarter: revenue grew 7.1% to $1.32B and EPS rose to $1.14, with 7.0% comparable sales (+8.5% cc) and gross margin up 20 bps; FX translation reduced net merchandise sales by 1.5% ($18.6M) .
  • Modest beats vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $1.14 vs $1.125*, revenue $1.317B vs $1.310B*, and adjusted EBITDA ~$79.3M vs ~$74.1M*; Q2 saw a slight EPS miss, while Q1 was a larger EPS miss despite revenue beats. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Positive operating drivers: transactions +6.0%, average ticket +1.9%, digital sales +19.8% to $79M (6.1% of sales, a record), platinum membership penetration up to 16.1%, and revenue margin improved to 17.4% .
  • Headwinds remain below the line: total other expense widened to a $7.2M loss (FX revaluation and currency conversion costs), though the effective tax rate improved to 28.4%; management continues to navigate USD liquidity constraints in select markets .
  • Potential catalysts: sustained comp strength (early Q4 comps +7.7%), Chile market evaluation, distribution network upgrades, and private label/membership momentum; watch FX convertibility/costs and tariff outcomes .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Digital channel sales reached $79 million, a 19.8% increase year over year, representing 6.1% of total net merchandise sales, our highest digital contribution to date.”
    • Membership quality mix improving: “Platinum accounts as of 05/31/2025 represented 16.1% of our total membership base” (vs 12.3% at 8/31/24), with renewal rate at 88% .
    • Margin execution: “Total gross margin for the quarter as a percentage of net merchandise sales increased 20 basis points to 15.8% … Total revenue margins increased 30 basis points to 17.4%” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • FX and USD liquidity pressures: “We recorded a $7.2 million net loss in total other expense … [from] unrealized losses… [and] premiums to convert local currency into U.S. Dollars” (up to $4.8M from $3.8M YoY) .
    • FX translation shaved net merchandise sales growth by 1.5% ($18.6M), masking stronger constant-currency momentum .
    • SG&A mix: “SG&A … increased to 13.2% of total revenues … primarily related to planned technology investments” (near-term opex drag) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)$1.258 $1.364 $1.317
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$58.3 $65.3 $56.2
Net Income ($USD Millions)$37.4 $43.8 $35.2
Diluted EPS ($)$1.21 $1.45 $1.14
Gross Margin % (on net merchandise sales)15.6% 15.8%
Total Revenue Margin % (on total revenue)17.1% 17.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, Non-GAAP)$79.1 $87.0 $79.0
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Billions)*$1.239$1.343$1.310
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)*$1.36$1.46$1.125
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*$81.0$90.0$74.1
  • Non-GAAP reconciliations provided by the company (Adjusted EBITDA adds back interest expense, taxes, D&A, adjusts for interest income and other expense) .
  • Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment performance (Q3 2025)

SegmentNet Merchandise Sales YoYNet Merchandise Sales YoY (CC)Comp Sales YoYComp Sales YoY (CC)
Central America+7.5% +7.6% +5.7% +5.9%
Caribbean+8.2% +9.7% +8.6% +10.1%
Colombia+10.1% +19.3% +9.9% +19.1%

KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Comparable Sales Growth+5.7% +6.7% +7.0%
Comparable Sales Growth (CC)+6.1% +7.9% +8.5%
Membership Accounts>1.9M ~2.0M
Renewal Rate (12-month)87% 88%
Platinum Members (% of base)14.5% 16.1%
Digital Sales ($, % of Net Merch.)$76.2M / 5.7% $79.0M / 6.1%
Avg Ticket YoY+1.9% +1.9%
Transactions YoY+3.9% +6.0%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Effective Tax RateFY2025 (annualized)~27%–29% (Q2 call) ~27%–29% (Q3 call) Maintained
Early Q4 Comps (4 weeks)4 weeks ended 6/29/2025N/A+7.7% (USD and CC) New datapoint
Annual DividendFY2025$1.26/share (declared 2/7/25) No change discussed in Q3Maintained
New Club Openings2025–2026Cartago (opened Apr-25); pipeline disclosed Quetzaltenango, Guatemala opening Aug-25; La Romana, DR spring 2026 Updated timing detail

Note: No explicit quantitative revenue/margin/OpEx guidance provided in Q3 materials; management emphasized ongoing tech investments and distribution enhancements .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Supply chain/DC expansionDCs in Miami, Costa Rica, Panama; DC build-outs planned in Guatemala, Trinidad, DR; China consolidation; own fleet; efficiency focus Panama DC upgrade for cold chain; new DCs in Guatemala, Trinidad, DR in FY26; continued China consolidation tests Improving infrastructure
Tariffs/macroTariff uncertainty; Free Trade Zone advantage; ~50% sourced locally/regionally; ~1/3 from U.S. No new reciprocal tariffs noted; strategy to diversify supply chain and leverage FTZ continues Managed risk
Digital/omnichannelQ2 digital $76.2M (5.7% of sales), +19.3% YoY; online pharmacy in CR Q3 digital $79M (6.1% of sales), +19.8% YoY; record digital mix; continued investment Improving mix
Membership & PlatinumQ2 members >1.9M; 87% renewal; Platinum 14.5% ~2.0M; 88% renewal; Platinum 16.1% Improving quality
FX/convertibilityUSD availability constraints; premiums to convert; lowering exposure in Honduras Other expense widened; convertibility premiums increased; USD liquidity still constrained in select markets Ongoing headwind
Regional trendsBroad-based positive comps across regions; Colombia strength CA +5.7% comps; Caribbean +8.6%; Colombia +9.9% (19%+ cc) Broad-based strength
LeadershipCEO transition plan announced Mar-25; continuity signaled CEO transition effective 9/1/25 reiterated; CFO transition effective 6/1/25 Transitioning smoothly

Management Commentary

  • Strategic priorities and Chile option: “We are currently evaluating Chile as a potential new market... excited about the potential opportunities this market offers us… [but] subject to completing our market analysis, finding appropriate sites, and securing permits.”
  • Distribution/logistics upgrades: “In fiscal year 2026, we plan to upgrade our Panama DC to support cold products and to open new DCs in Guatemala, Trinidad, and the Dominican Republic.”
  • Digital momentum: “Digital channel sales reached $79 million… representing 6.1% of total net merchandise sales, our highest digital contribution to date.”
  • Margin execution: “Total gross margin… increased 20 bps to 15.8%… Total revenue margins increased 30 bps to 17.4%.”
  • FX/convertibility costs: “Increase… primarily driven by an increase in unrealized losses… [and] an increase in our cost of premiums to convert local currency into U.S. Dollars from $3.8 million… to $4.8 million.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Currency convertibility (Trinidad/Jamaica structure): Management outlined up to $65M of financing (including a $15M USD loan repaid in TTD) to facilitate USD access and spread conversion over several years; exposure tied to TTD–USD, not JMD, minimizing third-currency risk .
  • Market expansion rationale (Chile): Attractive middle class, stability, and U.S.–Chile trade/tax relationships; potential for multiple locations starting with Santiago, with secondary cities possible; still under evaluation .
  • Pricing and FX premium: Team is modeling premiums into next year and aims to minimize member pricing impact, though work remains in process .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $1.14 vs $1.125* (beat), revenue $1.317B vs $1.310B* (beat), adjusted EBITDA ~$79.3M vs ~$74.1M* (beat).
  • Trajectory: Q2 EPS $1.45 vs $1.46* (slight miss) with a revenue beat; Q1 EPS $1.21 vs $1.36* (miss) with a revenue beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Modest Q3 beats were driven by comps strength, improved margin mix, and digital penetration; FX revaluation and conversion costs remain a headwind below-the-line, tempering EPS upside. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality top-line: Q3 comps +7.0% (+8.5% cc) with transactions +6% and stable pricing; early Q4 comps +7.7% support momentum .
  • Mix tailwinds: Gross margin +20 bps and total revenue margin +30 bps reflect favorable merchandise mix, private label, and membership monetization (Platinum to 16.1%) .
  • Digital scaling: Record 6.1% digital mix and $79M sales show traction; ongoing tech investments should support growth, though near-term SG&A runs a bit higher .
  • Structural logistics upgrades: DC buildouts (Panama upgrade; Guatemala/Trinidad/DR) and China consolidation should improve availability, lead times, and landed cost over time .
  • FX is the swing factor: Widened other expense (FX revaluation, conversion premiums) limited EPS leverage; management is proactively securing financing to improve convertibility in constrained markets .
  • Optionality from new markets: Chile evaluation adds medium-term growth optionality atop near-term new club openings (Guatemala Aug-25; DR spring-26) .
  • Net: Execution remains solid with modest beats and positive early Q4 reads; monitor FX/convertibility costs and tariff policy as primary variables for EPS sensitivity.

Footnote: Values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.