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PARSONS CORP (PSN)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter despite GAAP loss from financing: revenue rose 31% YoY to $1.54B; adjusted EBITDA up 56% to $141M (9.2% margin). GAAP diluted EPS was ($1.01) due to a $211M loss on extinguishment of debt from a partial repurchase of 2025 converts; adjusted EPS was $0.70 .
  • Federal Solutions led with 43% revenue growth (41% organic) on cyber and other wins; Critical Infrastructure grew 16% on Middle East and North America strength .
  • Book-to-bill was 1.4x on record $2.08B awards; backlog reached a record $9.03B (TTM book-to-bill 1.2x). Operating cash flow was a seasonal use of $63M on timing and higher incentive comp; DSO improved to 63 days (down 6 days QoQ) .
  • FY24 guidance raised across all metrics: revenue to $6.1–$6.4B, adjusted EBITDA to $535–$575M, and operating cash flow to $380–$440M; drivers are strong Q1 execution, large awards, and pipeline. Midpoint implies ~8.9% adjusted EBITDA margin and EBITDA growth > revenue growth .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Record results for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, contract awards, and total backlog” reflecting four consecutive quarters of 20%+ organic growth; management raised full-year guidance as a result .
    • Federal Solutions organic growth of 41% driven by cyber and rapid ramp on recent awards; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 10.2% (up 130 bps) .
    • Middle East momentum continued (e.g., new $87M and $53M awards in Saudi Arabia) and selection as delivery partner for the $16B Hudson Tunnel Project (booking expected in Q2), underpinning CI demand and visibility .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP net loss of $107M driven by $211M pre-tax debt extinguishment charge from repurchasing 2025 converts above par as stock traded above the conversion price; GAAP EPS ($1.01) vs adjusted EPS $0.70 highlights non-operational impact .
    • Operating cash flow consumption of $63M in Q1 (vs $9M in Q1’23) due to timing of receipts and higher incentive compensation; though management said performance exceeded internal cash expectations, the use of cash is a near-term headwind .
    • CI margins remain below double digits (7.7%), with CI progress expected more gradually; one challenged program wraps late Q3/early Q4 with limited “hockey stick” margin effect this year .

Financial Results

Overall performance trend (oldest → newest):

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,418.6 $1,494.2 $1,535.7
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$83.3 $77.4 $101.8
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.42 $0.39 ($1.01)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$127.8 $128.1 $141.1
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)9.0% 8.6% 9.2%
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.69 $0.69 $0.70
Net Cash from (Used in) Ops ($USD Millions)$204.0 $190.0 ($63.4)

Year-over-year comparison (Q1):

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024YoY Commentary
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,173.5 $1,535.7 +31% on 29% organic growth; ramp of recent wins and backlog execution
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.23 ($1.01) Non-cash debt extinguishment loss drove GAAP loss
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$90.4 $141.1 +56% on accretive mix and cost control
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)7.7% 9.2% +150 bps from higher-margin contracts and cost discipline
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.43 $0.70 +$0.27, tracking EBITDA growth

Segment breakdown:

SegmentMetricQ4 2023Q1 2024
Federal SolutionsRevenue ($USD Millions)$843.2 $909.6
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$82.5 $92.6
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)9.8% 10.2%
Critical InfrastructureRevenue ($USD Millions)$651.0 $626.1
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$45.7 $48.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)7.0% 7.7%

Key performance indicators:

KPIQ1 2023Q1 2024TTM
Net Bookings ($USD Billions)$1.38 $2.08 $6.7
Book-to-Bill (x)1.2x 1.4x 1.2x
Backlog ($USD Billions)$8.37 $9.03
DSO (days)63 (down 6 days QoQ)
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)($9.0) ($63.4)

Non-GAAP/adjustments: Adjusted results exclude acquisition amortization, equity comp, transaction costs, and the $211M loss on extinguishment; tax effects applied where noted .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024$5.8B – $6.0B $6.1B – $6.4B Raised
Adjusted EBITDA (incl. NCI)FY 2024$505M – $545M $535M – $575M Raised
Operating Cash FlowFY 2024$350M – $410M $380M – $440M Raised
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (midpoint)FY 2024~8.9% (implied) ~8.9% (implied) Maintained midpoint margin, higher dollars

Management noted midpoint implies ~40 bps YoY margin expansion and adjusted EBITDA growth exceeding revenue growth .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’23)Previous Mentions (Q4’23)Current (Q1’24)Trend
AI/cyber and offensive/defensive capabilitiesExpanded via SealingTech; offensive leadership; cyber ~13% of rev, above-average margins Continued strength in offensive cyber; SealingTech integration; cross-sell with IPKeys Cyber and critical infrastructure protection driving growth; NOAA space traffic contract; offensive/defensive breadth emphasized Improving
PFAS remediation opportunityOngoing work; strong demand outlook Highlighted PFAS lab and projects; momentum New EPA standard; $40B TAM; Parsons well positioned across investigate-remediate-treat Improving
Middle East program visibility (e.g., NEOM)Double-digit CI growth; major wins; INDOPACOM/Guam housing ME growth >30%; visibility across KSA/UAE; risk manageable Continued double-digit growth; new $87M and $53M awards; NEOM schedule clarified, scope intact Stable to improving
U.S. infrastructure (IIJA)Funds rolling; peak likely 2027; Tier-1 states focus Strong U.S. demand; consistent CI B2B ≥1.0x Gateway Hudson Tunnel partner; U.S. awards (VDOT ITS O&M) Improving
CI margin trajectoryCI near 10% in Q3’23 (incl. change order); challenged programs winding down Aim for CI ~9% by 2025; one legacy finished Q1, second to finish Q3 Gradual improvement; second program to wrap late Q3/early Q4; limited hockey stick Gradual improvement
Hiring/retention & DSOHealthy hiring/retention supporting growth Continued improvement; clearance processing improved DSO down 6 days to 63; hiring/retention strong Improving

Management Commentary

  • “Our momentum continued with record quarterly results for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, contract awards, and total backlog.” – Carey Smith, CEO .
  • “We achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4x… and are increasing our 2024 guidance ranges for all financial metrics.” – Carey Smith .
  • “Q1 revenue increased 31% with 29% organic growth… Adjusted EBITDA up 56% and margin expanded 150 bps to 9.2% driven by accretive contracts and cost control.” – Management summary .
  • “EPA’s new PFAS standards and funding create a significant growth opportunity; we estimate a $40B addressable market.” – Carey Smith .
  • “The $214M pre-tax charge from the new 2029 convert/refi of the 2025 notes impacted GAAP EPS by ~$1.50; excluding it, GAAP EPS would have been $0.49.” – Matt Ofilos, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Win rate and growth durability: Q1 competitive win rate was 78% (up from 66% FY23 and 49% prior), underpinning outsized organic growth across all four business units .
  • Federal growth drivers: 41% organic growth in Federal Solutions from cyber (CS, CCMS, “Bold Venture”), rapid ramp on confidential work, and SealingTech contribution .
  • Margins: Intentional mix shift to more fixed-price work to aid Federal margins; CI margin improvement to be gradual as a challenged program winds down late Q3/early Q4 .
  • Guidance mechanics: FY24 revenue raise (~$350M) is ~half from Q1 outperformance (Q1 was ~$175M above plan), with the balance spread over Q2–Q4; ~$4.5M milestone-related profit pickup in Q1 .
  • Pipeline and visibility: Pipeline ~$56B; awarded-not-booked ~$14B (about half options, half single-award ceilings) with ~50% expected to convert over three years; $4.5B awaiting notice of award; 11 pending >$100M .
  • Convert refinancing: New 2029 convert funded partial repurchase of 2025 notes; hedges cap dilution up to ~$131.76; GAAP loss on extinguishment was excluded from adjusted results .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q1 2024 (revenue/EPS/EBITDA) was unavailable due to vendor rate limits at time of analysis; as a result, we cannot provide a definitive beat/miss vs Street for Q1. We note management said Q1 revenue was roughly $175M above internal plan, but this is not equivalent to consensus .
  • Where estimate comparisons are required in future updates, we will anchor to S&P Global consensus values once available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Growth quality remains high: four straight quarters of 20%+ organic growth, with Q1 Federal +41% organic and CI +15% organic YoY; momentum supported by high win rates, new awards, and low recompete exposure (<5% of revenue in 2024, <10% in 2025) .
  • Profitability progressing ahead of plan: Q1 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 9.2% (+150 bps YoY), track to FY24 midpoint ~8.9% on higher revenue base; mix shift to more fixed-price Federal and CI program wind-down aid the trajectory .
  • Visibility is strong: record $9.0B backlog (61% funded per call), $14B awarded-not-booked, and a $56B pipeline—plus mega-project exposure (Hudson Tunnel partner; JFK roadways; Saudi programs) .
  • Balance sheet/capital deployment: New 2029 convert raised capital at attractive terms and capped dilution; M&A remains the primary capital priority (2–3 deals in 2024) targeting >10% growth and >10% EBITDA margin targets .
  • Watch items: Q1 operating cash outflow from timing and higher incentive comp; CI margins still below double digits and improvement is gradual; fixed-price mix and budget dynamics (CRs) require ongoing monitoring .
  • Catalysts: Booking of Hudson Tunnel scope in Q2; continued double-digit ME growth; PFAS remediation ramp under new EPA standards; further large awards converting from $4.5B awaiting notice .

Appendix: Source Documents Reviewed

  • Q1 2024 8-K 2.02 and press release (full financials, guidance, KPIs) .
  • Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
  • Q4 2023 8-K 2.02 and Q4 2023 call transcript (prior-quarter comparatives, guidance baseline) .
  • Q3 2023 8-K 2.02 and Q3 2023 call transcript (two quarters prior for trend) .
  • Related press release: SealingTech SN 4500 product (portfolio context) .