Pure Storage - Q2 2025
August 28, 2024
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good day, and welcome to the Pure Storage second quarter fiscal 2025 financial results conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call, with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Paul Ziots, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Pure's second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings conference call. On the call, we have Charlie Giancarlo, Chief Executive Officer, Kevan Krysler, Chief Financial Officer, and Rob Lee, Chief Technology Officer. Following Charlie's and Kevan's prepared remarks, we will take questions. Our press release was issued after close of market and is posted on our website, where this call is being simultaneously webcast. The slides that accompany this webcast can be downloaded at investor.purestorage.com. On this call today, we will make forward-looking statements which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements regarding our financial outlook and operations, our strategy, technology and its advantages, our current and new product offerings, and competitive industry and economic trends. Any forward-looking statements that we make are based on facts and assumptions as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update them.
Our actual results may differ materially from the results forecasted, and reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance. A discussion of some of the risks and uncertainties related to our business is contained in our filings with the SEC, and we refer you to these public filings. During this call, all financial metrics and associated growth rates are non-GAAP measures other than revenue, remaining performance obligations, or RPO, and cash and investments. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are provided in our earnings press release and slides. This call is being broadcast live on the Pure Storage Investor Relations website and is being recorded for playback purposes. An archive of the webcast will be available on the IR website and is the property of Pure Storage.
Our third quarter fiscal 2025 quiet period begins at the close of business, Friday, October 18, 2024. With that, I'll turn it over to Charlie.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Thank you, Paul. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our Q2 FY 2025 earnings call. We were pleased with our Q2 revenue growth of 11% year over year. Pure continues to pick up market share and outpace the industry, both in innovation and in growth. During the quarter, we hosted customers and partners at our annual Accelerate conference. Our Las Vegas Accelerate, held in June, kicked off a series of local events across the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific, where thousands of customers and partners learned about our platform strategy and fusion vision, as well as Pure's offerings in AI, virtualization, and application modernization. Specifically, we introduced the next generation of Fusion, a first-of-its-kind storage cloud architecture, soon to be available as a non-disruptive upgrade to all of our global customers.
Fusion allows businesses to transform their Pure Storage systems into an automated data storage cloud that eliminates the data silos of existing enterprise data storage systems. We also unveiled the industry's first AI storage as a service for GPU clouds. Growing GPU and AI clouds need flexibility in their infrastructure as they are uncertain of their future growth and the type of workloads that they will need to address. Pure's Evergreen//One for AI provides them flexibility in both their consumption and price performance needs and matches cost to their revenue growth. Our Evergreen//One service offering remains strong. Evergreen//One removes the hard work, expense, and risk of operating a storage environment from enterprise IT organizations. It provides flexibility, it avoids overprovisioning and rigid planning, and it simplifies customers' operations with solid and guaranteed SLAs. It also significantly boosts efficiency in terms of capital costs, energy, and labor.
Options Technology, a financial technology company, started with one small Evergreen//One subscription back in 2019 and has grown over the last five years to eighteen petabytes of storage across multiple sites globally. Through Evergreen//One, Pure regularly enhances the delivery of their SaaS services, improving resiliency, efficiency, and overall performance. While the lengthening of large enterprise deal times impacted Evergreen//One growth in the first half, we continue to see strong deal activity. Artificial intelligence continues to be of great interest to our customers. Specifically, customers continue to study both the potential areas for AI use as well as how to accommodate AI in their infrastructure. We were pleased to have had NVIDIA join us at Accelerate to announce our expected NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD certification by the end of this year. The AI market for data storage has progressed as we have consistently predicted.
Pure sees three separate AI opportunities for our solutions. First, storage for machine learning and training environments, where Pure provides high-performance storage for public and private GPU farms. This quarter, we signed a deal with SoftBank Corporation, one of the big four telecommunications services in Japan. Pure is providing the storage layer behind many of SoftBank's cutting-edge services, including their new generative AI platform, created specifically to develop the market-leading large language model for the Japanese language. The second AI opportunity we foresee focuses on tailored storage for enterprise inference or RAG environments. Many, if not most enterprises, will use commercial LLMs or other models to operate on their own proprietary data in-house. These systems will use relatively small GPU environments to provide AI insight from their data. Pure is working closely with NVIDIA on a number of vertical market offerings to satisfy this market.
We continue to believe that our largest opportunity opened by AI is to address the siloed nature of enterprises' existing data storage architectures. Current data stores sit behind application stacks and generally have neither the performance nor the connectivity to serve data directly for AI engines and analytics. Customers that are the most advanced in their AI investigations all acknowledge that data access and preparation are major barriers to AI deployment. Pure Fusion will allow customers to upgrade their enterprise storage to function as a storage cloud, simplifying data access and management, and eliminating data silos to enable easier access for AI. The focus and uncertainty around AI has caused customers to begin to reevaluate their planning on how they will invest their IT dollars. We're also seeing large organizations increase their focus on managing escalating costs from software, cloud, and SaaS services.
Our Pure Cloud Block Store or Microsoft Azure VMware Solution is helping enterprises contain cloud storage costs, generally by more than 50%. Put simply, Cloud Block Store provides a more resilient and performant public cloud storage infrastructure for large enterprise cloud application deployments that is dramatically less expensive than cloud-native services. Furthermore, Cloud Block Store is fully compatible with enterprise storage interfaces and services, including disaster recovery and data protection. One case in point is a Fortune Global 500 food and beverage customer that faced a growing hyperscaler data footprint and accelerating costs, with limited visibility into its overall workload performance. By leveraging Cloud Block Store, reducing thousands of cloud-managed disks to just dozens of cloud block store volumes, equipped with data protection, ransomware remediation features, and advanced workload performance reporting, the company is looking to save 50% of its total storage bill.
Our discussions with hyperscalers to replace their core storage with Pure technology continues to progress positively. Our lead prospect has advanced from extensive evaluation of our core technology to testing an integrated solution, and we have been engaged in detailed contractual negotiations for many months. We remain confident that we will secure our first hyperscaler design win by year-end. The longer-term opportunity for Pure with hyperscalers is significant. To provide a sense of scale, the top 10 hyperscalers are projected to buy almost 70% of all disk drives, over 600 exabytes this year alone. Because of Pure's unique DirectFlash technology, we can offer hyperscalers better performance, reliability, and power and space savings than hard disks at a similar or better total cost of ownership.
With nearly fifteen years of experience with software and hardware flash management, we continue to far outdistance the industry in energy efficiency, density, and performance. Pure holds key intellectual property and unmatched multi-vendor, multi-process flash expertise that no other vendor can match and cannot be replicated with standard SSDs. Our latest 150-terabyte DirectFlash Module, shipping later this year, is but the next stop on our robust industry-leading flash roadmap. Energy and space savings generated by our DirectFlash advantage are significant. We reduce space, power, and cooling requirements by a factor of 5 to 10 compared to hard disks. In a world of greater power demands and limited electrical supply, the savings on electricity alone provides a compelling incentive to switch from hard disks in both hyperscaler as well as enterprise data centers.
Our //E family of products focus on replacing enterprise hard disk systems with more efficient and higher-performance Pure technology. It continues to grow strongly. Enterprises increasingly recognize that Pure DirectFlash technology has reached the price level where they can eliminate the last mechanical component from their data centers. As highlighted in our latest ESG report, power reduction on storage from Pure's DirectFlash technology can reduce total power usage in existing data centers by approximately 20%. Businesses are facing higher energy costs and greater power constraints while committing to higher sustainability goals. BT, the British multinational service provider, has set a target to achieve net zero carbon emissions in its operations by the end of March 2031. As a foundational storage provider to BT, we directly support their data center energy reduction program. We have enabled BT to grow its data storage while reducing its energy usage.
BT has measured Pure Storage to be about 18 times more efficient than their legacy storage benchmarks. Looking back over this past quarter, we have not seen a significant change in the overall macro environment or our customers' intentions to buy. We have, however, seen customers look to manage increasing costs in cloud, software, and SaaS. We believe that the storage market will be resilient in this IT economy, but we have yet to see a positive inflection. Overall, we are well-positioned in all of the segments in which we compete and believe we will continue to gain share in our market. We know we are gaining ground as our growing strength has forced competitors to intensify their efforts and mimic our messaging. It is clear now that legacy competitors in our market see Pure as the alpha competitor and have focused their messaging and strategies on us.
We appreciate the attention and look forward to the competition. We remain confident in our ability to expand our market share and maintain our strong leadership in storage. With that, I'll turn it over to Kevan.
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Thank you, Charlie. We are pleased to have delivered double-digit revenue growth during the first half of our fiscal year, and we continue to see strong sales performance for both our FlashArray//E and FlashBlade//E offerings. Revenue of $764 million in Q2 grew 11% year over year, and both revenue and operating profit of $139 million exceeded our guidance. Subscription services, annual recurring revenue or ARR, grew 24% to over $1.5 billion, which continues to be driven by our Evergreen//One service offering, in particular for our higher Velocity business. As a reminder, subscription services ARR excludes non-cancelable Evergreen subscription contracts where the effective service date has not started. Including non-cancelable subscription contracts where the effective service date has not started, subscription services ARR grew 25%.
Total RPO exiting Q2, which includes both subscription services and product orders, grew 24% year over year to $2.3 billion. As we have shared in previous quarters, product orders within RPO include a non-cancelable telco order from Q3 FY 2024 and orders relating to a Fortune 500 financial services company from Q4 FY 2024. At the end of Q2, RPO associated exclusively with our subscription service offerings grew by 21%. Additionally, total contract value sales for our storage-as-a-service offerings during Q2 reached $101 million, bringing TCV sales in the first half of FY 2025 to $157 million. Our Evergreen//One as a service business is strong, demonstrating robust pipeline growth and consistent success in converting opportunities valued at $5 million or less. This continues to underpin our confidence in the growth potential of our storage-as-a-service offerings.
Consistent with last quarter, we continue to experience extended closing timelines for larger Evergreen//One opportunities. Last year, we closed several large Evergreen//One deals in the first half, compared to three in the first half of this year. This impacts both year-over-year RPO growth and forecasted FY 2025 TCV sales for our storage-as-a-service offerings, which we now expect to be $500 million, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 25%. U.S. revenue for Q2 was $538 million, and international revenue was $226 million. Our new customer acquisition grew by 261 customers during Q2, and now we serve 62% of the Fortune 500. Total gross margins of 72.8% in Q2 continues to be very healthy and comparable year-over-year.
Subscription services gross margin strengthened to 76.4% as we leverage increased automation of our service logistics workflows, supporting delivery of our Evergreen subscription services. Our product gross margin of 69.5% in Q2 underscores the strong sales growth of our FlashBlade//E, FlashArray//E, and FlashArray//C solutions, driven by customers increasingly shifting their cost-sensitive workloads to all-flash. As we aggressively pursue our efforts to help customers transition their workloads to our all-flash solutions, we anticipate a modest strategic decline in product gross margins during the second half of the fiscal year. Operating profit and margin strength of approximately 18% were both positively impacted by revenue overachievement, strong gross margin performance, and operating expense discipline. Our headcount increased sequentially by nearly 250 to approximately 5,700 employees at the end of the quarter.
Pure's balance sheet and liquidity remains very strong, including $1.8 billion in cash and investments at the end of Q2. Cash flow from operations during the quarter was $227 million, and capital expenditures were $60 million. Our most significant capital expenditures during the quarter were concentrated in engineering for new test equipment, supporting key strategic growth initiatives, including our pursuit of hyperscaler infrastructure opportunities. As part of our objective of partially offsetting dilution, we began paying withholding taxes due on employee equity awards. In Q2, withholding taxes on equity awards was $76 million, which offsets dilution by approximately 1.1 million shares. We have approximately $395 million remaining on our existing repurchase authorizations. Now, turning to guidance.
For Q3, we anticipate revenue of $815 million, with an expected operating profit of $140 million, resulting in an operating margin of 17.2%. Projected operating profit takes into account a modest sequential decline in product gross margins that we expect during the second half of the fiscal year, driven by our expectations of continued sales growth of our //E family solutions, which are successfully targeting cost-sensitive workloads. Turning to our annual guidance for FY 2025, we are reaffirming our FY 2025 revenue target of $3.1 billion, representing growth of 10.5%, and our operating profit guidance of $532 million, with an operating margin of 17%.
The anticipated modest decline in product gross margins during the second half of the fiscal year validates our successful strategy of expanding into cost-sensitive workloads with our all-flash solutions, and has been contemplated in our annual guidance. In closing, we are pleased to deliver strong financial performance, which reaffirms the effectiveness of our strategic initiatives. Our focus on innovation and customer-centric solutions underscores our commitment to be a leader in the data storage industry. While we remain mindful of the broader macroeconomic environment, we are confident in our ability to capitalize on the growing demand for high performance, sustainable data storage solutions. With that, I will turn it back to Paul for Q&A.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thanks, Kevan. Before we begin the Q&A session, I'll ask you to please limit yourselves to one question consisting of one part, so we can get to as many people as possible. If you have additional questions, we kindly ask that you please rejoin the queue, and we'll be happy to take those additional questions as time allows. Operator, let's get started.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you would like to remove that question, please press star followed by one. Again, to ask a question, press star one. As a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking your question. We will pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question will come from Amit Daryanani from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Yep, good afternoon, everyone. You know, I guess my question really is, and I think one of the things I think folks are trying to square away is the Evergreen//One TCV target is getting lowered from $600 million to $500 million. You know, I would have thought that a downtick here would have meant perhaps better CapEx trends from your customers, such that it would actually help your fiscal year revenue growth profile. Clearly nothing that happened based on the fiscal year guide. So, you know, hoping you just unpack what's driving the downtick on the TCV expectations, and how do you see that flowing into your revenue guide, really? Thank you.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, absolutely, Amit. Well, I think your supposition would be correct if customers, the same customer who was switching from an Evergreen//One deal to a CapEx deal. What we've seen instead is large opportunities, large Evergreen//One opportunities, staying Evergreen//One opportunities longer than we expected, and therefore stretching out. You know, a little bit, whether that's based on caution, or whether that's based on by the customer, or whether that's based on other. We had indicated that customers are, you know, looking very closely at their subscription expenses now, given increases in software and SaaS expenses that were raised over the year. We've yet to really fully diagnose that, but what we're seeing is a lengthening of large deal size Evergreen//One opportunities.
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
I'll just add on to that. You know, we did see three opportunities close this quarter that were larger, and we're defining larger as greater than five million. Then just to reiterate, the question was really focused on why aren't we seeing an increase to our annual revenue guide. I will point out to Charlie's point, these larger deals that are Evergreen//One are still being actively worked, and they're just taking longer to close. If we saw those opportunities flip to a traditional product sale or CapEx, that's when we would be looking at an upward view of our annual guidance for revenue.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Amit. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Aaron Rakers from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Hi, guys. Thank you. This is Michael Sutton on behalf of Aaron. I just wanted to see if I can get any more color just on the hyperscale opportunity you guys kinda mentioned. Sounds like you're continuing discussions with the customer, you know, you expect by the end of the year. I'm curious if anything has changed, or maybe ask it another way, like, what's the biggest hurdle you kind of need to overcome to get the deal done? Then, separately, just on other opportunities you're pursuing, if there's any kind of anything to note there in terms of progress.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. You bet. The lead horse, it is. I wouldn't say there's the largest hurdle. There's just lots of little hurdles. A lot of that is just aligning business models, economic you know economic improvements to them, to you know pricing and economics for us. And there's a lot of logistical elements that go into this as well, especially when you're speaking with large hyperscalers, with large orders and large data centers, and complex their own complex supply chains. I would say just lots of little hurdles right now. Testing's going well, conversations are going well, but a lot of detail that has to be worked out.
Rob Lee (Chief Technology and Growth Officer)
Yeah, this is Rob. Just to add to that, you know, I would say overall, our engagements with our lead prospects are progressing very well, as Charlie mentioned in his prepared remarks. You know, what we've done over the last, you know, many months is really move forward on our testing and phases from, you know, initial proofs of concept to testing of that core IP, to now extensive testing of really an integrated, think of it as a co-engineered solution. As you'd imagine, this involves detailed performance operational testing, so on and so forth. With that, as Charlie mentioned as well, you know, accompanied with detailed contractual discussions around, you know, the commercial package.
You know, overall, you know, engagement goes well, and to the original question, I would say it's lots of little things as opposed to one big hurdle.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Michael. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Howard Ma from Guggenheim Securities. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Great. Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. My question is, can you tell us who your lead horse is? I'm joking, that's not my question. But my question is, it's a variation of the question that Amit asked. By lowering your as-a-service TPV sales estimate, but keeping the total revenue outlook unchanged, that obviously means you're getting less contribution from product sales. But Charlie, you just said that lower as-a-service sales is not because more customers are opting to buy CapEx instead. Does that mean if we look at the product line, does that mean there's increased risk in the product line? Or can you point to, you know, certain demand drivers that give you more confidence that, you know, that guidance is appropriately set? Thanks, guys.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, as we look at our sales and the pipeline, et cetera, you know, we're seeing CapEx sales continue as we had expected. We're seeing the base, if you will, what we call the Velocity sales of Evergreen//One, progress as expected. But we've specifically seen, you know, deals that we've been tracking all along, large deals for Evergreen//One, just not coming in when we expected, and lengthening out. They haven't changed in character. In other words, they've not switched those same accounts, those same opportunities, haven't switched from an Evergreen//One intention to a CapEx intention, but they've also not closed. That's specifically what we're seeing.
You know, we're seeing good growth in the Velocity business, and so the view there is that Evergreen//One continues to be of great interest, and the activity is good. It's just that the larger deal is taking longer to close.
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Yeah, and I think it's really important, this is Kevan, to decouple what we're seeing with our larger Evergreen//One deals and the longer period of time from the demand overall that we're seeing, which, look, we're not seeing any significant change in demand that informs our annual guide, which is, I think what you're asking as well, Howard.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Howard. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Pinjalim Bora from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Great. This is Jaden on for Pinjalim. Thanks for taking the question. How has the customer interest been on the new Fusion offering, and do you see customers looking at it to unify their storage estate as they prepare for AI inferencing?
Rob Lee (Chief Technology and Growth Officer)
Yeah, this is Rob. I'll take that one. Look, I mean, early interest has been great. As you know, we have been out talking to customers, partners alike, about the Fusion vision for, you know, the last year. I think what, you know, we're really looking forward to and really what we've seen, coming off of our Accelerate user conference, is the demand and I think the ability for customers in the existing install base with existing arrays to go and take advantage of that Fusion technology later this year. With our latest release of Fusion coming later this year, we'll be able to deliver all of the capabilities that Fusion is designed for.
Being able to fully automate the management multiple environments allow customers to manage their you know Pure Storage estate through policy declaration as opposed to individual operational steps, and really step back and unify that as one pool of resources, one storage cloud, if you will. Later this year, customers will be able to you know take advantage of all those capabilities on all of their existing arrays and data storage estates. You know, early interest has been great. I think as we roll into the later the release coming out later this year, it'll make it that much easier for customers to take advantage of those capabilities.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. I'll also say that the beta users that have been involved in this have been very pleased, and we've been very pleased by the fact that we see strong interest and utility in Fusion by both large customers and small. You know, even small customers are seeing a great benefit in being able to manage even their relatively smaller fleets through policy and further reduce the amount of labor that it takes to operate at almost every level.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Jaden. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Mike Cikos from Needham. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Hey, thanks for taking the question, guys. I just wanted to circle up, 'cause it seems like customers are continuing to choose maybe more of a CapEx type purchase, which is a little bit counterintuitive in this environment, given the macro. I'm just trying to get a better understanding on the customer preference. Does it tie in any way to potentially customers thinking about data repatriation to their on-prem environments, to help handle some of the ballooning costs behind these Gen AI workloads as they move into production environments?
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Yeah, I'll start this and then have Charlie come on. This is Kevan. Look, I think the what we're seeing with our Evergreen//One demand is actually quite strong, and we're really seeing that in our Velocity opportunities. These are opportunities that are less than five million. And they are tracking strongly and tracking with our expectations that we set at the beginning of the year. I really think the dynamic comes back to these larger Evergreen//One arrangements. And then there's probably a few dynamics that are probably at play there, but it's less about demand signals of preference to an as-a-service offering versus a traditional offering or CapEx.
Look, you know, customers are continuing to evaluate managing their costs in the cloud, software, and SaaS. I think when customers are evaluating larger as-a-service offerings, that certainly could be part of the consideration as well, and why we're seeing more time being taken as that evaluation is taking place. Charlie, any other thoughts on that?
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. No, Kevan, I think you answered it well.
Okay. Thanks.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Mike. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Jason Ader from William Blair. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Yeah, thank you. Hey, guys, just wanted to ask about the competitive environment. I know we've seen an increase in QLC-based arrays from some of your competitors. Can you just comment on how that has impacted or not some of the deals and some of the opportunities? And then also, can you comment on the NAND pricing environment right now, which I know has been rising?
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. Let me start on that. You know, I would say that our lead in QLC you know remains as strong as it ever has been. I wouldn't say...and that's, I think, identified by the fact that //E family of products you know that is really targeting the low end has been very, very successful. I wouldn't say that QLC has changed the competitive environment very much at all. I would say that competition's as tough as it's ever been. I think we are clearly everybody's top competitor right now that's in this market. You know what? We really do feel that the sights are squarely on us, and we are competing appropriately.
But I don't think it's a QLC activity at all. I think it's a size and scale and effectiveness situation with respect to us. I mean, if you look at our at our progress now, we're now the number two vendor of all flash systems into the enterprise, you know, firmly in that spot, and only a few points behind the number one in that area, and I think that I think everybody is feeling it at the moment. Competition's tough, but our lead in QLC remains.
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Then I'll just touch on the NAND pricing, which is really consistent with what our previous commentary. You know, flash pricing from our lens really is affecting top line. You know, the volatility again is highlighting the differentiated advantages we're seeing with our Purity software and our DirectFlash technology. That becomes more evident when we see the volatility in NAND pricing, such as the current environment. Look, we're having a lot of success in winning workloads across price-sensitive workloads for our customers, and that would be //E family as well as C. That will have a impact on gross margins as well.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Jason. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Asiya Merchant from Citigroup. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Great. Thank you for the question. The Evergreen ramp expected in the second half, maybe you can just, again, dial back into some confidence that you have, recognizing that these deals are taking longer to close, given macro and, you know, other dynamics that you talked about. What gives you the confidence that we, you know, ramp from $157 million here in the first half to $500 million for the full year? Thank you.
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Yeah, I appreciate the question. This is Kevan. You know, look, we certainly believe that the adjusted forecast for TCV sales of our as-a-service offerings at $500 million, growing 25%, is achievable and considers the dynamic that we're seeing with larger deals. Our current forecast of TCV sales does assume less contribution throughout the year from larger deals, but also assumes the continued higher Velocity business continuing to track strongly, similar to what we've seen in the first half.
The implied second half ramp of TCV sales is only slightly higher than what we typically seen from our traditional seasonality with our CapEx sales or traditional sales. Look, there's obviously work to do, and we need to execute in the back half, but we absolutely expect to achieve this forecast.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Asiya. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Jim Fish from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Hey, guys, this is Quinton on for Jim Fish. Thanks for taking our question. Understand it's still pretty early, but as you think about the backlog or your order book for the 150-terabyte flash module, how is that compared to kind of what you were seeing from the last upgrade cycle at this point in time? And I know it's a little bit apples and oranges here, but it seems like we're facing scrutiny in transformational budgets. You're seeing it in EG1. Is there any concern that that would impact customers' willingness or ability to kind of transform and move to this new module, or are people so focused on performance that's not really in your kind of concern list here? Thanks.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, thanks for the question. I think it's an interesting question. I don't think it would be very much in our concern list for the following reason. What the 150 really does is open up new opportunity for us at lower price points and to reduce our Pure's cost at similar price points for existing, you know, //E series transaction. To put it another way, if we're satisfying a particular performance point with 75s today, that we could also satisfy with 150s, the cost to us will be less, even if the price is the same. I think it's a margin enhancement for us, as well as allowing us then to get into even less expensive hard disk environments. I think we see it as a positive, not as...
You know, it's not something that if we don't ship is going to hurt us in any way. It's not something customers would wait for. I don't see it as if you will endangering any revenue opportunity.
Rob Lee (Chief Technology and Growth Officer)
Yeah, and this is Rob. Just to add to that, you know, I think it's important to step back and look at the 150 terabyte drive is just the next step in, as Charlie mentioned in his prepared remarks, a robust roadmap that we have on the flash, the direct flash end of the portfolio. Each step along the way, each density improvement that we make allows us to do two things. One is more aggressively compete for lower cost disk-based systems on an acquisition cost basis. But also, remember, it reduces the power and space requirements and obviously, the associated operating costs with those for our customers. The drivers for this are quite simple.
You know, the denser modules that we ship require less common equipment to support. Removing that common equipment obviously reduces the cost structure associated with that, but also reduces the space and power associated with it. Executing on this density and efficiency roadmap is what has allowed us to go aggressively, so aggressively to date, after the most cost-sensitive disk-based systems in the enterprise. Of course, as we've been discussing with you all, it really opens up the opportunity set as we look to the hyperscaler infrastructure environments.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Quinton. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Meta Marshall from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks. Maybe just diving into these Evergreen//One deals, I just wanted to get a sense, are some of those kind of with tier two customers or are these really kind of enterprise customers that we're talking about? You know, is the quantum a handful or is this really kind of just a couple of deals that are hung up? Thanks.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, Meta, it is enterprise customers because we're talking about large deals, and it does tend to be just a handful, you know, a handful per quarter. Because it's a handful per quarter, and they're not always easily predictable in terms of exactly when they'll transact, it does make it more challenging to forecast.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Meta. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Mehdi Hosseini from Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Yes, thanks for taking my question. Charlie, in the past earnings conference calls, you have talked about engaging ten or up to ten data centers, including hyperscalers. Could it be your traction with these data centers, large and small, be more focused on selling products which you're capturing in your product revenue? Until Enterprise and Evergreen one and Evergreen two were to pick up to hit that five hundred million run rate, you're not really gonna be able to scale that subscription model, but you are penetrating data centers, large and small, and that's captured in product revenue. Is that a right way of thinking about the current dynamics? Thank you.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, thanks, Mehdi. I would say if we're speaking about Evergreen//One, Evergreen//One is being sold into both large and small environments. You know, as Kevan put it, large deals and small deals. Actually, the run rate of, you know, in what I'd call the commercial market, small deals of Evergreen//One is very strong and very good. It's very good as well in large environments and even into, you know, cloud environments. We're selling quite a few into MSPs and other clouds as well. That's going well. All of that goes into our Evergreen//One.
When we classified a $500 million, for example, you know, those are all, regardless of who they sell into, identified as Evergreen//One. I hope that answers your question.
Thank you.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Mehdi. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from [Jeff Cohea] from Raymond James. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Yeah, thanks. This is [Jeff Cohea] in for Simon Leopold. Maybe you can give us an update on, like, how... what percentage of revenue at this point is AI? And maybe more importantly, like, given all the AI tailwinds, how does the order book... Like, what percentage of the order book is starting to become AI related? Thank you.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
We've not split out AI, but let's give you a little bit of a flavor on AI. As I identified in my prepared remarks, we really do foresee three, you know, three major segments, and it's really just the first one that has become, you know, real, I would say, real revenue at this point in time, not just for us, but for some other players out there as well. That is the, you know, the training environment. Now, we've been selling into training environments for over five years, probably closer to six years right now. Of course, the training environment really hit the news once it became large LLMs, right?
But there's been training environments for self-driving cars, for drug discovery, for, you know, various different medical technologies, as well as high-speed trading. That's all been training models, typically what are known as parameter-based models. More recently, obviously, there are generative AI models that have been getting a lot of the news. You know, our view is that in total, the total market for storage, for large language type models, training models, less than $1 billion a year, currently. I would say that we're getting our fair share of that, you know, considering where we are. That gives you sort of an order of magnitude, but we haven't broken it out specifically. The other two areas are the inference or RAG model inside of enterprises.
That's just starting to be discussed and investigated, I think not really started yet in terms of revenue, but we expect soon. Then the third area is a general, we believe, upleveling of existing storage environments to make data that's sitting currently in data silos inside of organizations much more available for use for inference. As you might imagine, that's third, a third on the list in terms of order of when revenue will appear, but we think it's the largest overall in the enterprise space. You know, a lot of what we've been working on has been in preparation to enable organizations to take advantage of that.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Jeff. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Kris Shankar from TD Securities. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Hi, this is Robert Mertens on for Kris. Thanks for taking my question. Just with the reiterated full year guide, assuming the midpoint of the October quarter outlook, that would imply that January quarter growth decelerates a bit to mid-single digits year on year. Could you just speak towards some of the puts and takes in the guide if fans and industry inflection is mid to high single digit growth, the new norm? Is there any sort of seasonality headwinds to expect in the January quarter?
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Yeah, I appreciate the question. This is Kevan. Look, glad to see that our total revenue is tracking with our expectations for the year, which again is double digits, and it's tracking as well in terms of what we saw for the first half of the year. But you got it. The primary factor in terms of what you see in terms of growth in first half and second half is largely due to seasonality. That would be the primary driver, and that's been consistent historically for many years with the exception maybe of one year following COVID.
But another consideration, as well, is that, you know, we are expecting a sales ramp of our as-a-service offerings, especially with our higher Velocity business in the second half of the year. You know, this would create some headwind as well to our expected total revenue growth, and that's been considered as well in our annual guide for total revenue.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Robert. Next question, please.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Eric Martinuzzi from Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Yeah, I wanted to see if we could put a finer point on the gross margin commentary for the product. Kevan, I think you said that, you know, the 69.5% was down year on year, and then, you know, for the... I can't recall if it was the full year or just the back half, but a modest strategic decline in product gross margin. Would you care to comment on that?
Kevan Krysler (CFO)
Sure, and thanks, Eric. Look, you know, we've been talking for some time about our sweet spot for product gross margins really being in the high sixties, and it's taken us a long time to achieve that. I actually think this is quite a positive for us in terms of what we're seeing in the high sixties. Now we are seeing in looking at a modest sequential decline that I talked about in my prepared remarks, and that's really coming from the strong momentum and demand from customers shifting their cost-sensitive workloads to our all-flash solutions, whether that's our family of //E solutions or FlashArray//C.
Look, we'll continue to aggressively pursue this transition, and that's really what's driving our expectation of seeing a modest reduction in our product gross margins in the back half of the year. As well, this has been considered in our annual guide for operating profit as well.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Eric. We have one more question, so this will be the last question.
Operator (participant)
Our last question will come from David Vogt from UBS. Please go ahead, your line is open.
Great. Thanks, guys. Thanks, Charlie. Thanks, Kevan, for all the detail. I just had a thematic question about the hyperscaler opportunity. We appreciate all the color, but can you maybe talk to how the hyperscalers are viewing your solution? What I mean by that is, what kind of workload, what kind of application, kind of what are the use cases that they're thinking about as you have these extensive discussions, so we can think about sort of how your product would dovetail with their existing architecture? Thank you.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, let me start, and I think Rob will add some color to this. Honestly, it's a very broad, it's a fundamental architectural shift for them. The more, you know, and obviously we're at different stages in the conversation with different hyperscalers, but the further we go down the path with any one of them, they're looking to make it an architectural shift in their infrastructure, whereby it would replace not only, you know, higher performance workloads, but lower performance workloads, including disk. And once implemented, no reason for it not to replace, for example, even their use of SSDs. You know, fairly broad.
Now, yeah, knock on wood, nothing's been signed yet, but the longer, you know, the further in we are in conversations with a hyperscaler, the more they test us, the more we discuss terms and conditions and structures, the broader the use cases are in those discussions.
Rob Lee (Chief Technology and Growth Officer)
Yeah, David, and this is Rob. Just to add on to that, you know, I really wanna emphasize a point that Charlie made, which is really going after this and looking at this as a broad set of workloads targeted at various performance and architectural replacement points. What I mean by that is, you know, these hyperscalers operate so many workloads, so many different environments. They get economies and simplicity of scale and operations by standardizing the infrastructure largely to serve all of those workloads. They generally don't build out special-purpose infrastructure for each workload one by one. Certainly within, you know, within and under that umbrella, they've got higher performance workloads, typically being served by flash today, all the way to lower performance workloads, largely being served by disk.
You know, we think in the long term, we've got a opportunity to go provide value across the board with our DirectFlash technology, but certainly as an initial step, you know, would be focusing on the replacement of the disk-based environments in that infrastructure. Hopefully that's helpful for you, David.
Yeah, thanks, Charlie. Thanks, Rob. That's great.
Paul Ziots (VP of Investor Relations)
Great question to end on. Charlie, has some final comments.
Charles Giancarlo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. I wanna thank you all again, as always, for joining us today on today's earnings call. You know, our platform strategy and our innovation is once again transforming the storage industry. We empower enterprises to address their fragmented data silos, which is going to be a critical step in unlocking their full potential of analytics and artificial intelligence. We believe that by providing a unified, versatile, and energy-efficient platform, we're going to enable businesses to embrace the technological change that they face and seamlessly integrate their data centers with their cloud environments as well. I wanna thank everyone, particularly our customers, employees, partners, our suppliers, and our investors. Your dedication, collaboration, and trust are the driving forces behind our success. Thank you all for your continued support and commitment. Goodbye.
Operator (participant)
That concludes the Pure Storage second quarter 2025 financial results conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.