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Poseida Therapeutics, Inc. (PSTX)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 delivered a sharp inflection: collaboration revenue rose to $71.7M with positive EPS of $0.21 and net income of $20.2M, driven by Roche/Astellas milestones and R&D reimbursements .
  • The company extended cash runway guidance to early 2026 on $230.9M cash/short-term investments and continued near-term milestones from Roche; cash flow positive for the first nine months of 2024 .
  • Clinical momentum: P-BCMA-ALLO1 showed 91% ORR (100% in BCMA‑naïve; 86% in BCMA/GPRC5D‑exposed) with differentiated safety; program received FDA RMAT designation and advanced into Phase 1b under Roche .
  • Strategic updates: Roche expanded the CAR‑T collaboration (third program nominated) and Astellas nominated a second solid tumor target; PSTX introduced wholly-owned P‑BCMACD19‑ALLO1 targeting autoimmune/hematologic indications .
  • Near‑term catalysts: November R&D Day and December ASH presentations on allogeneic CAR‑T programs are positioned as stock drivers; formal Q3 earnings call transcript was not available, so call commentary reflects the Sept. 28 special clinical data call .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong execution on partnerships with Roche and Astellas delivered $130M in non‑dilutive milestones/upfronts YTD and $49M in R&D reimbursements, supporting cash flow positivity for the first nine months of 2024 .
  • P‑BCMA‑ALLO1 demonstrated 91% ORR with favorable safety (no DLTs, low CRS/ICANS, no GvHD/Parkinsonism), and FDA granted RMAT designation; Phase 1b launched using optimized lymphodepletion .
  • Management tone confident: “Poseida continues to make excellent progress… we have generated $130 million in non-dilutive, partnership related milestones and payments… cash flow positive… extended our cash runway,” (Kristin Yarema, Ph.D., CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating expenses remain elevated: R&D rose to $41.9M (+12% YoY) and G&A to $10.1M (+25% YoY), reflecting expanded clinical activity and higher professional/personnel costs .
  • Competitive landscape: Initial clinical disclosure for P‑CD19CD20‑ALLO1 was deferred to 2025 to enable a more complete dataset amid competition targeting CD19/CD20 .
  • Estimates comparison unavailable: S&P Global consensus mapping failed for PSTX, limiting explicit beat/miss analysis of Q3 versus Street expectations [SpgiEstimatesError].

Financial Results

Quarterly Trend (Q1 → Q3 2024)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$28.142 $25.973 $71.748
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$42.921 $45.547 $41.914
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$9.798 $12.182 $10.092
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$52.719 $57.729 $52.006
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(24.274) $(31.371) $20.235
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.25) $(0.32) $0.21
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$(2.253) $(2.259) $(2.295)
Other Income, net ($USD Millions)$2.556 $2.644 $2.831

YoY Comparison (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023)

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$9.352 $71.748
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$37.482 $41.914
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$8.092 $10.092
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(31.778) $20.235
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.35) $0.21

Margins (Calculated)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Net Income Margin %(86.3%) (120.8%) 28.2%

Revenue Composition

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Collaboration Revenue ($USD Millions)$28.142 $25.973 $71.748
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$28.142 $25.973 $71.748

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ3 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Short‑Term Investments ($USD Millions)$230.852
Cash Runway GuidanceInto early 2026
Milestones/Upfronts YTD 2024 ($USD Millions)$130 ($80 Roche YTD incl. Oct.; $50 Astellas)
Milestones/Upfronts 9M 2024 included in cash ($USD Millions)$115 ($50 Astellas; $65 Roche)
R&D Reimbursements YTD 2024 ($USD Millions)$49

Notes: $130M reflects full-year-to-date including October; $115M reflects receipts in first nine months included in quarter-end cash .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayCorporateSufficient to fund operations into 2H 2025 (Q2 disclosure) Sufficient to fund operations into early 2026 (Q3 disclosure) Raised runway by ~6–9 months
Near‑term Milestones2024Additional Roche milestones anticipated in 2H 2024 Continued Roche milestones including Phase 1b initiation (Q3) and Oct candidate nomination Maintained/Executing
Program Updates2H 2024Multiple data readouts expected across BCMA, CD19CD20, MUC1‑C Updates across allo CAR‑T pipeline before year‑end; ASH presentations in Dec; R&D Day Nov 14 Maintained with timing specificity

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Using Q1 and Q2 press releases; Q3 special clinical data call in lieu of formal earnings call transcript.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024)Previous Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Roche Collaboration$45M milestones H1; alignment on Phase 1b P‑BCMA‑ALLO1 Phase 1b initiation anticipated; additional milestones Expanded collab; $80M Roche milestones YTD; Phase 1b initiated; new dual CAR‑T candidate nominated Strengthening
Astellas Collaboration$50M upfront; convertibleCAR partnership; gene therapy scope Formal nomination of first solid tumor target; momentum Formal nomination of second solid tumor target Expanding
Autoimmune StrategyPlatform potential; exploring opportunities Actively working to identify optimal opportunity Introduced P‑BCMACD19‑ALLO1 for autoimmune/hematologic; IND‑enabling Advancing
P‑BCMA‑ALLO1 ClinicalAACR data; orphan drug designation IMS data planned for Sept 91% ORR; 100% ORR in BCMA‑naïve; 86% ORR in BCMA/GPRC5D‑exposed; RMAT designation Positive efficacy/safety
Manufacturing & OutpatientIn‑house GMP scale; booster molecule Platform/analytics enhancements Outpatient feasibility discussed; safety manageable; inventory on demand Operational readiness
Genetic Medicines (P‑KLKB1‑101, P‑FVIII‑101)ASGCT preclinical NHP/rodent data; INTERACT granted ASGCT data highlights; INTERACT scheduled Sept ACAAI data: high‑fidelity editing; successful INTERACT for FVIII Continued progress
Competitive/RegulatoryOrphan for BCMA; regulatory engagements Interims planned; competitive awareness RMAT for BCMA; defer CD19CD20 interim to 2025 for fuller dataset Balanced prudence

Management Commentary

  • “Poseida continues to make excellent progress… we have generated $130 million in non‑dilutive… payments… cash flow positive… extended our cash runway… We look forward to sharing updates on our CAR‑T programs…” — Kristin Yarema, Ph.D., President & CEO .
  • “P‑BCMA‑ALLO1… 91% ORR… differentiated safety… no dose‑limiting toxicities… low CRS/ICANS… no graft vs. host disease or Parkinsonism… average time from treatment decision to clinical response of only 3.5 weeks (median 16 days)” .
  • On outpatient and safety: lower infection rates and manageable CRS/ICANS were highlighted, supporting outpatient feasibility .

Q&A Highlights

  • Outpatient administration: Investigators report most patients treated outpatient; CRS/ICANS rates/severity lower and manageable with tocilizumab; no ICU/pressors needed .
  • Efficacy durability: Expectation for response deepening over time; MRD assessments ongoing and to be shared at future venue .
  • Retreatment and access: 5 retreatments to date (77 infusions in 72 unique patients), underscoring allo on‑demand availability and logistical advantages versus autologous .
  • Dose optimization: Phase 1b exploring higher cell doses; current cohort shows potent efficacy with attractive safety .
  • Portfolio focus: Roche remains aligned and supportive on P‑BCMA‑ALLO1 Phase 1b; BCMA+CD19 program returned to PSTX at IND‑enabling stage to pursue heme/autoimmune opportunities .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q3 2024 were unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for PSTX in our SPGI data connector, so a formal beat/miss versus Street is not provided [SpgiEstimatesError].
  • Given the magnitude of the revenue upside and swing to profitability, Street estimates likely require upward revision to collaboration revenue trajectories and cash runway assumptions; investors should watch for consensus updates following Roche/Astellas milestone disclosures .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The Q3 print marks a fundamental pivot: significant collaboration revenue and positive EPS indicate the model can deliver profitability in milestone‑rich periods .
  • Clinical validation strengthens: P‑BCMA‑ALLO1’s high ORR and safety plus RMAT designation de‑risk development and support Phase 1b expansion; upcoming ASH data could be a catalyst .
  • Partnerships are accretive: Roche collaboration expansion and Astellas target nominations underpin non‑dilutive funding and broaden optionality .
  • Cash runway extended into early 2026, aided by $230.9M cash at quarter‑end and expected near‑term Roche payments—reduces financing risk in the medium term .
  • Operating spend remains elevated with multiple trials advancing; monitor R&D intensity versus milestone cadence to assess sustainability of profitability .
  • Allo CAR‑T outpatient potential and on‑demand availability are differentiated commercial levers versus autologous/bispecific standards, with retreatment optionality noted by clinicians .
  • Near‑term trading lens: watch R&D Day (Nov. 14) and ASH (Dec.) for data updates, Roche milestone disclosures, and any autoimmune program progress—each a potential stock mover .
Notes:
- Formal Q3 2024 earnings call transcript for PSTX was not available in our document system; call commentary reflects the Sept. 28 special clinical data call transcript **[1661460_PSTX_3402449_0]**–**[1661460_PSTX_3402449_18]**.  
- All figures reflect GAAP as disclosed; no non‑GAAP adjustments were presented in the press release **[1661460_0000950170-24-123306_pstx-ex99_1.htm:6]**.