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PTC THERAPEUTICS, INC. (PTCT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue of $178.9M and diluted EPS of -$0.83; both exceeded Wall Street consensus estimates of $173.6M revenue and -$1.03 EPS, respectively. Bold beat on both top and bottom line. [ir.ptcbio.com/news-releases/news-release-details/ptc-therapeutics-provides-corporate-update-and-reports-second-3] [ir.ptcbio.com/node/17926/pdf] Revenue Consensus Mean: $173.6M*, Primary EPS Consensus Mean: -$1.03* (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Sephience (sepiapterin) achieved EU marketing authorization (broad label, all ages) on June 23 and FDA approval on July 28 (broad label ≥1 month); global launch underway in the U.S. and Europe, positioning a new growth pillar.
  • DMD franchise revenue was $96M, with Translarna $59.5M and Emflaza $36.4M; Evrysdi royalties were $57.6M.
  • FY2025 guidance maintained: total revenue $650–$800M; GAAP R&D+SG&A $805–$835M; non-GAAP R&D+SG&A $730–$760M.
  • Subsequent event: FDA issued a CRL for vatiquinone in FA (Aug 19), citing lack of substantial evidence of efficacy and request for an additional adequate study—an overhang for the pipeline near-term.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Beat estimates: revenue $178.9M vs $173.6M* and EPS -$0.83 vs -$1.03*; better royalty contribution from Evrysdi. Revenue/EPS consensus values*, S&P Global.
    • Major regulatory wins: Sephience broad-label approvals in EU and U.S.; management: “expect Sephience to be the foundational product for PTC’s future growth and path to profitability.”
    • Balance sheet remains strong: cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities $1,989.2M at June 30, 2025.
  • What Went Wrong

    • Core franchise decline: Translarna ($59.5M) and Emflaza ($36.4M) were down YoY vs Q2 2024 ($70.4M and $47.3M).
    • Elevated operating spend vs prior year in SG&A (GAAP $85.3M vs $69.5M) reflecting launch and portfolio support.
    • Post-quarter regulatory setback: FDA CRL for vatiquinone requires another adequate, well-controlled study, delaying potential revenue contribution.

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenue ($M)$213.2 $189.9 $178.9
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.85) $10.04 $(0.83)

Segment and Royalty Detail

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
DMD Franchise Revenue ($M)$144.0 $134.0 $96.0
Translarna Net Product Revenue ($M)$93.7 $86.2 $59.5
Emflaza Net Product Revenue ($M)$50.5 $47.8 $36.4
Evrysdi Royalty Revenue ($M)$58.2 $36.4 $57.6

Operating Expenses (Run-Rate Visibility)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
GAAP R&D ($M)$124.8 $109.0 $113.0
Non-GAAP R&D ($M)$116.0 $100.3 $104.0
GAAP SG&A ($M)$84.7 $81.0 $85.3
Non-GAAP SG&A ($M)$76.3 $71.6 $75.7

Balance Sheet & Shares

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Cash & Marketable Securities ($M)$1,139.7 $2,027.2 $1,989.2
Total Debt ($M)$285.4 $285.7 $286.0
Shares Outstanding (M)77.70 79.23 79.38

Estimates vs Actuals (Q2 2025)

MetricConsensus*Actual
Revenue ($M)173.6*178.9
Primary EPS ($)-1.03*-0.83

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total RevenueFY 2025$600–$800M (Q4’24) $650–$800M (Q2’25) Raised (Q4→Q1), Maintained in Q2
GAAP R&D + SG&AFY 2025$805–$835M (Q4’24) $805–$835M (Q2’25) Maintained
Non-GAAP R&D + SG&AFY 2025$730–$760M (Q4’24) $730–$760M (Q2’25) Maintained

Note: Q1 2025 set revenue to $650–$800M; Q2 maintained the same range.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Sephience (PKU) launch scope and differentiationEmphasis on diet liberalization, broad patient applicability; centers of excellence and dietitian engagement; preparedness for U.S./EU launch and payer receptivity. EU authorization (June 23) and FDA approval (July 28); launch initiated in U.S. and Germany; broad labels (all ages). Positive acceleration
DMD franchise durability (Translarna, Emflaza)Ongoing defense; EU pathway via Article mechanisms; resilience in LatAm/MENA; Emflaza brand loyalty despite generics. Q2 Translarna/Emflaza YoY decline; franchise $96M; continued U.S./RoW strategies implied. Mixed/pressured
Evrysdi royalty trajectoryConsistent royalty stream; quarterly variability; positive YoY in Q1. Q2 royalty $57.6M on Roche H1 CHF 869M sales. Positive
Vatiquinone (FA) regulatory pathPriority Review; no AdCom expected at mid-cycle; broad unmet need (pediatric + adult) positioning. Post-quarter FDA CRL: additional adequate study required. Negative inflection
PTC518 (HD) with NovartisSurrogate endpoint dialogue (HTT lowering); positive PIVOT-HD signals; BD economics; planning for Phase 3/AA. Continued collaboration; aim to meet FDA in Q4 2025 on Phase 3/AA path. Steady progress
Capital allocation & BD>$2B cash enabling launches/BD; ability to reach cash flow breakeven without capital raise. Q2-end cash ~$2.0B; internal launch investments continue. Stable/strategic

Management Commentary

  • “We have initiated the global launch and expect Sephience to be the foundational product for PTC’s future growth and path to profitability.” — Matthew B. Klein, CEO (press release)
  • On Sephience launch preparedness and demand drivers (diet liberalization) discussed throughout prior calls; teams prioritized Germany/U.S., leveraging early-access and payer dialogues.
  • On cash runway and execution: “We closed the quarter with over $2 billion on our balance sheet… provides the ability to reach cashflow breakeven without raising additional capital.” (Q1 remarks)

Q&A Highlights

  • Sephience payer and access dynamics: payers receptive to differentiated Phe control and diet liberalization; prior authorization expected to follow label with minimal step edits for poorly controlled/failed patients.
  • DMD and Translarna continuity: country-by-country mechanisms in EU and sustained demand in LATAM/MENA; preparedness for potential U.S. approval.
  • Launch cadence and operational readiness: bolus of patients anticipated at launch; case management and staffing aligned to compress time-to-therapy.
  • Vatiquinone AdCom and unmet need: prior FDA interactions indicated no AdCom at mid-cycle; pediatric market with no approved therapy was a key focus.

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $178.9M vs $173.6M* and EPS -$0.83 vs -$1.03* — both beats. Scenario likely aided by stronger Evrysdi royalties and maintained DMD contribution despite Emflaza generics. Revenue/EPS consensus values*, S&P Global.
  • Estimate revisions: Following EU/U.S. approvals for Sephience and maintained 2025 guidance, Street models may lift H2 revenue for initial Sephience contributions while trimming FA assumptions post-CRL until a new study plan emerges.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clean beat quarter: revenue and EPS exceeded consensus; quality of beat supported by royalty strength and manageable OpEx. Revenue/EPS consensus values*, S&P Global.
  • Sephience is live in major markets with broad labels; near-term revenue inflection driver with concentrated prescriber base and payer receptivity to differentiation.
  • DMD franchise headwinds persist YoY but remains an important cash generator; watch Translarna ex-EU pathways and Emflaza erosion pace.
  • Guidance intact at $650–$800M; implies confidence in H2 contributions (Sephience/U.S., Germany, and royalties) amid portfolio transitions.
  • Vatiquinone CRL resets FA timing; reduces near-term optionality pending FDA alignment on additional study—monitor update cadence.
  • Balance sheet (~$2.0B cash) underwrites launches and clinical plans without near-term financing; optionality for selective BD remains.
  • Medium-term: execution on Sephience ramp and clarity on FA/Translarna U.S. outcomes will be primary stock drivers; in parallel, 518/HD path with Novartis is a strategic longer-term call option.

Acronyms and Notes: Evrysdi® is Roche’s SMA therapy; royalties recognized by PTC. DMD = Duchenne muscular dystrophy; PKU = phenylketonuria; FA = Friedreich’s ataxia; H2 = second half. Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Sources: Q2 press release and 8-K exhibit (financial statements, guidance, and business updates) ; Sephience EU authorization and FDA approval releases ; Q1 and Q4 earnings materials for trend context and call Q&A ; Vatiquinone CRL (Aug 19) .