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ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $321.0M, down 11% q/q and ~8% y/y; diluted EPS was -$0.17, with adjusted EBITDA of $53.0M as seasonal and holiday downtime reduced utilization while the company kept fleets staffed to prepare for January restarts .
- Management introduced 2025 capital spending guidance of $300–$400M (completions $150–$200M; PROPWR $150–$200M, largely financed), and expects 14–15 active frac fleets in Q1 2025; PROPWR orders now total ~140 MW with deliveries beginning mid-2025 into early 2026 .
- Free cash flow improved sequentially to $13.4M from -$5.0M in Q3; liquidity rose to $161.0M (cash $50.4M; $111.0M ABL capacity) .
- Strategic narrative centers on next-gen electrification (four FORCE fleets under term contracts; fifth expected in 2025) and the launch of PROPWR to address rising Permian power demand; management cites stable pricing at the high end of Permian completions and ongoing attrition among lower-end competitors as supportive of margins .
- Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at time of analysis—daily request limit exceeded—so beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed; we will update when accessible.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We maintained stable pricing, delivered strong free cash flow, and continued to optimize our fleet with next-generation equipment… [PROPWR] opens a new avenue for growth” (CEO) .
- Sequential improvement in free cash flow and stronger liquidity despite revenue decline; total liquidity reached $161.0M and free cash flow rose to $13.4M .
- Four FORCE electric fleets are operating under term contracts; a fifth is expected in 2025, with high utilization and strong customer feedback (maintenance capex and operating intensity materially lower than Tier II diesel) .
What Went Wrong
- Seasonal and holiday impacts reduced hydraulic fracturing and wireline utilization, driving q/q declines in revenue (-11%) and adjusted EBITDA (-26%) .
- A noncash goodwill impairment of $23.6M in wireline contributed to the Q4 net loss; prior quarter included a $188.6M noncash impairment on Tier II diesel assets—highlighting residual portfolio headwinds .
- Wireline pricing remained weaker, and competitive pressure persists for conventional diesel fleets; management noted continued softness and plans more integration to bolster performance .
Financial Results
Quarterly Comparison (oldest → newest)
Note: Adjusted EBITDA margin is computed from cited revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.
Year-over-Year (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
Segment Breakdown (Q4 2024)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We maintained stable pricing, delivered strong free cash flow, and continued to optimize our fleet with next-generation equipment… [PROPWR] opening a new avenue for growth” .
- CFO: “Fourth quarter revenues decreased 11%… Adjusted EBITDA decreased 26%… net loss included a noncash goodwill impairment of $24M… We anticipate full-year 2025 capex of $300–$400M, split between completions and PROPWR” .
- CEO on market structure: “~85 full-time frac fleets in the Permian; ~90% operated by top seven brands—healthy consolidation” .
- CEO on PROPWR scope: Initial 140 MW ordered; targeting deliveries mid-2025 to early 2026, with oilfield (drilling, completions, production, midstream) first, and industrial/data center opportunities thereafter .
Q&A Highlights
- PROPWR earnings capacity and timeline: Management guided to ~$300k–$400k EBITDA per MW per year and indicated most impact in 2026; deliveries begin mid-2025 and continue into early 2026 .
- Pricing/Permian dynamics: High-end Permian pricing stable; management highlights attrition among lower-end providers as a tightening force even in a flat activity market .
- Activity outlook: Expect flat industry activity; ProPetro to operate 14–15 fleets in Q1 2025, with potential share gains via performance .
- Wireline & cementing: Cementing outlook “brightest spot”; wireline pricing weaker; integration focus to lift performance .
- Contracts: PROPWR contracts expected to be 3–5 years; majority of asset base could be under LT contracts by 2026, enhancing earnings stability .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were not retrievable due to a daily request limit being exceeded at the time of analysis; as such, we cannot provide an estimate comparison for this quarter. We will update beat/miss analysis once S&P Global data is accessible.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential FCF and liquidity improved despite seasonal utilization headwinds; the model demonstrates durability with lower capital intensity from electrification and supply chain optimization .
- Next-gen mix and contracting: Four FORCE fleets under terms and a fifth in 2025 position margins and utilization defensively vs diesel exposure; management cites stable pricing with high-end Permian customers .
- PROPWR is a new growth vector with scalable, financeable capex and multi-year contracts; EBITDA/MW guidance suggests compelling returns as deliveries hit 2H25–2026 .
- Wireline remains mixed (goodwill impairment signals reset), while cementing strength and AquaProp integration support broader completions performance .
- 2025 capex plan is sizable ($300–$400M) but structured (split between completions and PROPWR; financing expected), preserving balance sheet flexibility .
- Tactical implication: Near-term trading sensitive to utilization/seasonality normalization in Q1 and traction on PROPWR contracts; medium-term thesis hinges on electrification-led margin sustainability and power segment scaling .
- Monitor: Confirmation of PROPWR customer contracts, deliveries/commissioning cadence, FORCE fleet #5 deployment, and any updates to capex guidance and contract coverage across the asset base .
Additional details and disclosures:
- Q4 2024 reported revenue $320.6M; cost of services (ex-D&A) $243.5M; D&A $47.7M; operating loss -$18.4M; interest expense $1.9M; net loss -$17.1M; diluted EPS -$0.17 .
- Adjusted net loss was $0.6M; adjusted EBITDA $52.7M; free cash flow $13.4M .
- Liquidity: Cash $50.4M, ABL borrowings $45.0M, available ABL capacity $111.0M; total liquidity $161.0M .
- Segment revenue (Q4): Hydraulic fracturing $236.9M; wireline $45.2M; cementing $38.5M .
- Operating lease expense (FORCE fleets) was disclosed as $14.5M in segment detail, while scripted remarks cited $15.0M—minor disclosure variance likely due to rounding/presentation .
- PROPWR orders: ~110 MW announced Dec 10, 2024; later expanded to ~140 MW with mix of turbines (≥5 MW) and reciprocating units (≥3 MW) ; management highlighted ~150–200 MW deliveries expected across 2025–2026 .
*Estimates unavailable disclaimer: Values compared to Wall Street consensus could not be retrieved due to an S&P Global daily request limit being exceeded at analysis time. We will refresh with S&P Global consensus when accessible.