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PROVECTUS BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (PVCT)·Q2 2016 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Provectus reported no revenue and a net loss of $5.04M for Q2 2016; diluted EPS improved sequentially to $(0.02) from $(0.04) in Q1, as G&A fell vs Q1; cash declined to $4.89M and management disclosed going-concern risk given the cash burn .
  • Management emphasized near-term financing needs, stating they will need to raise money “this quarter,” while targeting at least one quarter’s burn and maintaining NYSE MKT stockholders’ equity >$6M (equity was $9.14M at quarter-end) .
  • Clinical pipeline updates: Phase 3 melanoma trial continued with expanded eligibility and six sites recruiting; interim analysis will be triggered at 81 progression events with timing clarity targeted for November, earliest by end of 2016 for the interim assessment .
  • Combination strategy advanced: PV-10 + Keytruda Phase 1b added a fourth center; liver programs progressed (HCC and NET studies), and new IP was allowed covering synthesis/use of Rose Bengal analogs .
  • Key stock catalysts: clarity on Phase 3 interim timing in November, initial Phase 1b combo data (likely early 2017), PH‑10 mechanism-of-action readout, and financing announcements to address liquidity risk .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential cost moderation: G&A dropped vs Q1 (absence of prior warrant incentive expense), improving EPS to $(0.02) from $(0.04) .
    • Pipeline breadth and momentum: six Phase 3 sites recruiting; eligibility broadened (incl. Imlygic comparator), with CTO noting careful design to maximize success .
    • Scientific validation and combination thesis: “Our results show that combining intralesional PV‑10 with anti‑PD‑1… yields marked increases in tumor‑specific T cell activation” (Moffitt data referenced by management) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Liquidity tightened: Cash fell to $4.89M; management highlighted going-concern risk and the need to raise capital promptly .
    • Timeline uncertainty: Interim analysis timing remains uncertain; earliest at year-end, with update promised in November, reflecting prior delays acknowledged in Q1 .
    • Elevated legal/compliance costs and internal control weaknesses persisted, inflating G&A vs prior year and requiring remediation efforts .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016
Revenue ($USD)$0 $0 $0
R&D Expense ($USD)$2,224,623 $2,407,984 $2,004,962
G&A Expense ($USD)$2,367,041 $6,099,232 $3,039,874
Operating Loss ($USD)$(4,591,664) $(8,507,216) $(5,044,836)
Net Loss ($USD)$(4,544,949) $(8,506,303) $(5,044,082)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.02) $(0.04) $(0.02)
Net Income Margin %N/M (no revenue) N/M (no revenue) N/M (no revenue)

KPIs (balance sheet/operational):

KPIQ2 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016
Cash & Equivalents ($USD)N/A$9,760,997 $4,891,313
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD)N/A$14,184,248 $9,140,166
Weighted Avg Shares187,792,643 205,278,509 212,829,352

Segment breakdown: Not applicable; company had no revenue and reports as a single clinical-stage entity .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Phase 3 Interim Analysis TimingMelanomaMid/end of 2016 or early 2017 (Q1 call) Earliest by end of 2016; update expected on November call Delayed/clarified timeline
Liquidity/Capital RaiseNear-termAdequate funds into 2017 per Q1 10‑Q (absent further injections) Will need to raise money “this quarter”; aim to cover at least one quarter burn Tightened; immediate raise
NYSE MKT Equity ThresholdOngoingMaintain >$6M equity Equity $9.14M at 6/30; maintain compliance focus Maintained

No formal quantitative revenue/margin/OpEx guidance was issued; management commentary focused on financing plans and clinical timelines .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2015, Q1 2016)Current Period (Q2 2016)Trend
Phase 3 Melanoma InterimQ4: interim could come in 2016; protocol amended; Imlygic comparator added Interim trigger at 81 events; earliest year-end; clarity in November Timing pushed; process clarified
Combination Therapy (PV‑10 + Keytruda)Initiated Phase 1b/2; plan 5–7 sites; strategy to pave broader combos Fourth center opening; data likely first half 2017 Steady progress; data timing set
HCC/Asia StrategyPlan to move to Asia; KOL meetings; sorafenib combo contemplated Continuing expansion; Asia studies in planning; U.S. centers added Advancing regionally
PH‑10 MOAClinical work completed; analysis pending; FDA meeting planned Initial analysis nearing; aim to fast-track publication/partner discussions Nearing readout
Financing/LiquidityWarrant exchange; minimize dilution; adequate funds into 2017 “Will need to raise money this quarter”; cover quarter burn; focus on non-dilutive options Urgency increased
Legal/ControlsAddressed former CEO issues; audit committee investigation Material weakness persists; remediation ongoing; higher legal costs Ongoing remediation

Management Commentary

  • Interim CEO on Phase 3 timing: “We should have a better handle… on communicating more precisely on the November call… interim assessment would by the end of the year at the earliest” .
  • CTO on combination strategy: “Non‑clinical data strongly supports the strategy and [we] have a high degree of confidence this study will be successful” .
  • Moffitt data cited by management: “Combining intralesional PV‑10 with anti‑PD‑1… yields marked increases in tumor‑specific T cell activation” (Shari Pilon‑Thomas, Ph.D.) .
  • IP strengthening: “Notice of Allowance… covering additional aspects of our process for synthesizing halogenated xanthenes… provides a significant potential commercial lifetime” .
  • Liquidity stance: “We will need to raise money this quarter… focused on doing the kinds of financing that is the least dilutive possible” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Interim analysis mechanics/timeframe: Interim at 50% of required events (81 progressions); earliest by year-end; detailed protocol sections explained by CTO .
  • Financing needs and approach: Management expects to raise funds in the current quarter; targeting at least a quarter of burn; striving for least dilutive structures (including warrant exchanges) .
  • Combination trial status: Fourth center opening; Phase 1b readout likely first half of next year; potential to share early data confidentially with partners .
  • Partnerships and regional strategy: Continued work with Boehringer Ingelheim in China; ongoing discussions with Sinopharm; broader Asia HCC plans .
  • Listing compliance and governance: Focus on NYSE equity threshold; material weaknesses acknowledged; remediation steps outlined .

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus EPS/revenue estimates via S&P Global for Q2 2016 were not available in our session; management did not provide formal quantitative guidance. As a result, no beat/miss vs estimates can be assessed .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity risk elevated: Cash dropped to $4.89M, with going-concern language and an explicit plan to raise funds this quarter—near-term financing headlines are likely .
  • Sequential P&L improvement: Net loss narrowed from $8.51M (Q1) to $5.04M (Q2) as G&A normalized without warrant incentive cost, improving EPS to $(0.02) .
  • Clinical catalysts: November update on Phase 3 interim timing; earliest interim assessment at year-end, plus early-2017 combo readout potential .
  • Combination thesis gaining support: Moffitt’s data and management’s strategy reinforce PV‑10’s role alongside checkpoint inhibitors, a potential partnering narrative .
  • Regional expansion: HCC/NET liver programs advancing with Asia emphasis and added U.S. centers—watch for conference publications and site activations .
  • Governance/legal tail risk: Material weakness remediation and legal/compliance costs continue; monitor for resolution and expense normalization .
  • Listing compliance stable for now: Equity at $9.14M (> $6M requirement) but dependent on timely financing and execution .