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Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue of $0.384M, up sharply sequentially from $0.061M in Q2 and up 280% YoY, with 33% gross margin as the company began recognizing cloud revenue from Dirac-3 and increased R&D services/custom hardware deliveries .
  • GAAP net income was $2.4M (basic EPS $0.01) versus $(5.7)M a year ago, driven by a $9.2M non‑cash gain on derivative liability revaluation and $3.5M interest income; operating loss remained sizable at $(10.4)M as OpEx scaled to $10.5M .
  • Balance sheet transformed by equity financings: cash $352M and investments $461M at 9/30; total assets $898M, liabilities $20M, equity $878M; subsequent $750M raise in Oct reinforces >$1.5B liquidity to fund foundry scale-up, product roadmap, and potential M&A .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, Q3 beat on EPS and revenue: EPS est. −$0.06 vs actual $0.01; revenue est. $0.117M vs actual $0.384M; only three estimates, highlighting low coverage and potential volatility in expectations (see Estimates Context) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Liquidity and capital access: Raised $500M in Sept and $750M post‑quarter; ended Q3 with $352M cash and $461M investments, positioning QUBT to fund Fab 2 planning, hiring, and product programs .
    • Commercial traction milestones: First U.S. commercial sale of quantum cybersecurity to a top‑5 U.S. bank; recognition of Dirac‑3 cloud revenue; continued NASA work applying Dirac‑3 to LiDAR noise removal .
    • Non‑cash items supported profitability: $9.2M derivative liability gain and $3.5M interest income swung GAAP bottom line positive for the quarter .
    • Quote: “Revenues increased 280% year-over-year… including a recent sale to a top 5 U.S. bank.” – Dr. Yuping Huang, Interim CEO .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Core operating performance still deeply negative: Operating loss $(10.4)M on $0.384M revenue; OpEx nearly doubled YoY to $10.5M as the company scales R&D, engineering, and manufacturing .
    • Gross margin volatility at low revenue base (33% vs 43% in Q2, 9% YoY), with management cautioning variability given custom work and few active contracts .
    • Limited disclosure of forward financial guidance; no explicit revenue/margin outlook provided, which may challenge near‑term modeling; growth depends on manufacturing execution, customer adoption, and potential M&A timelines .

Financial Results

P&L and Margins (chronological: YoY → prior qtr → current)

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$101,000 $61,000 $384,000
Gross Margin (%)9% 43% 33%
R&D Expense ($USD)$2,244,000 $5,975,000 $4,509,000
Sales & Marketing ($USD)$363,000 $680,000 $787,000
G&A ($USD)$2,840,000 $3,542,000 $5,234,000
Total OpEx ($USD)$5,447,000 $10,197,000 $10,530,000
Operating Income ($USD)$(5,438,000) $(10,171,000) $(10,404,000)
Interest & Other Income ($USD)$70,000 $1,843,000 $3,544,000
Derivative Liability Fair Value (gain+/loss−)$(28,096,000) $9,246,000
Net Income ($USD)$(5,675,000) $(36,482,000) $2,382,000
Basic EPS ($)$(0.06) $(0.26) $0.01

Notes: Sequential revenue increased from $0.061M to $0.384M as Dirac‑3 cloud revenue commenced and services/custom hardware scaled . GAAP profitability in Q3 was driven by non‑operating items (derivative revaluation and interest income) .

Balance Sheet (prior qtr → current)

MetricQ2 2025 (6/30)Q3 2025 (9/30)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD)$348,758,000 $352,436,000
Short‑Term Investments ($USD)$203,136,000
Long‑Term Investments ($USD)$257,473,000
Total Assets ($USD)$426,084,000 $898,170,000
Total Liabilities ($USD)$30,102,000 $20,320,000
Derivative Liability ($USD)$24,594,000 $14,743,000
Shareholders’ Equity ($USD)$395,982,000 $877,850,000

Actual vs. Estimates (Q3 2025)

MetricS&P Global ConsensusActual Reported
Revenue ($USD)$116,670*$384,000
EPS (Primary EPS)−$0.0567*$0.01 (GAAP basic)

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment/KPI notes: No formal segment reporting. Revenue drivers cited: R&D services, custom hardware, and Dirac‑3 cloud access; margin variability expected at current scale . Foundry (Fab 1) operational with 10+ service orders; planning for Fab 2 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal financial guidance (revenue/margins)FY/Q4 2025None disclosedNone disclosedMaintained lack of formal guidance
Capex – Fab 1 high‑speed test equipment2025–2026N/A~ $2M planned for measurement gearNew operational detail
Share count (basic shares outstanding)Q4 2025 exitN/A~224M outstanding post‑Oct offeringNew detail
Financing outlookNear termN/A“Not expecting to do another financing”Qualitative color

Management provided operational details but no numeric revenue/margin/tax/OpEx guidance.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Capital and liquidityQ1 raised $93.6M; Q2 net $188M; cash $349M Q3: cash $352M, investments $461M; $500M Sept raise; $750M in Oct Stronger balance sheet
Product commercialization (Dirac‑3, reservoir computing)Q1: Dirac‑3 collaboration in biomed; Q2: EmuCore sold to global OEM Started recognizing Dirac‑3 cloud revenue; unveiling Neurawave PCIe photonic reservoir computer Expanding products/use cases
Foundry scale‑up (TFLN)Q1: Fab completed; 5 initial orders; Q2: Fab operational Fab 1 fulfilling 10+ service orders; planning Fab 2 for higher volume Advancing toward volume
Government programs (NASA)Q1–Q2: NASA Langley subcontract (~$406k) Continued progress on NASA LiDAR noise removal using Dirac‑3 Ongoing execution
Cybersecurity/commsQ2: first U.S. commercial order announced (top‑5 bank) Bank order reiterated; discussions on photonic IC shrink of comms stack Early traction
Partnerships/ecosystemStrategic collaboration with POET on 400G/lane TFLN modulators; target H2’26 Broadening ecosystem
M&A roadmapQ2: evaluating opportunities Active evaluation; no announcements Monitoring/opportunistic
International reachQ2: Delft vibrometer; Korea entangled photon source Q3: references to TU Delft, Singapore, Korea users Building globally

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “The challenge ahead is one of engineering and manufacturing execution… move from prototype and small-batch manufacturing towards volume production… planning for Fab 2” – Dr. Yuping Huang .
  • Capital deployment: “We now have substantial resources to implement our TFLN fabrication and quantum machine development initiatives… evaluating acquisition opportunities” – CFO Chris Roberts .
  • Commercial validation: “The first U.S. commercial sale of its quantum cybersecurity solutions… purchase order from a top 5 U.S. bank” – Press release .
  • Product roadmap: “Upgrading our current Dirac‑3… building the next version… increased speed by orders of magnitude… roadmap to gate-based machines” – Dr. Huang .

Q&A Highlights

  • Foundry capex and capacity: Fab 1 largely built out; plan ~$2M for high‑speed test equipment; Fab 2 scoped to support both internal quantum systems and external TFLN demand targeting hundreds‑to‑millions chips/year .
  • Share count modeling: ~224M shares outstanding post‑Oct offering; 250M authorized; options/warrants outstanding but timing uncertain .
  • Cybersecurity demand: Management sees rising urgency given advances in quantum threat models; advocates quantum‑secured internet compatible with existing fiber .
  • M&A: Pursuing targets to add customers/revenue and fill roadmap gaps; no specifics disclosed .
  • Partnerships: POET collaboration validates Fab 1’s role in advanced TFLN prototyping ahead of Fab 2 scaling .

Estimates Context

  • Coverage is thin (3 estimates). Q3 consensus: Revenue $0.117M*, EPS −$0.0567*; Actuals: Revenue $0.384M and GAAP basic EPS $0.01, resulting in headline beats on both lines .
  • Given non‑operating drivers (derivative liability revaluation, interest income), we expect models to adjust OpEx run‑rate higher and incorporate higher interest income while treating the derivative mark‑to‑market as non‑core .

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity is now a core asset: with >$1.5B pro‑forma capital raised since late 2024, QUBT can fund multi‑year foundry and product roadmaps and consider M&A; execution pacing, not funding, becomes the key debate .
  • Revenue base is still nascent but broadening (services, custom hardware, Dirac‑3 cloud, early devices); margin volatility likely persists until volumes rise .
  • Q3 profitability was non‑operationally driven; monitor operating loss trajectory and gross margin stabilization as a truer indicator of progress .
  • Foundry is a potential medium‑term catalyst: Fab 1 is fulfilling 10+ orders; Fab 2 planning underway; ecosystem tie‑ups (e.g., POET) expand TAM into AI/datacom .
  • Early cybersecurity and sensing sales plus NASA engagement validate product‑market fit; watch for repeat orders and scaled deployments (banks, aerospace, government) .
  • Near‑term trading setup: low sell‑side coverage and binary non‑cash items can create volatility; catalysts include additional commercial wins, Fab 2 milestones, and product launches (e.g., Neurawave/Dirac updates) .

Citations

  • Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and financials:
  • Q3 2025 earnings call transcript:
  • Q2 2025 press release and call:
  • Financing and partnerships:

S&P Global estimates disclosure

  • Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.