QC
Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- QCI reported first revenues in FY 2022 at $0.136M with 55% gross margin and transitioned from R&D to commercialization; operating expenses rose 114% to $36.7M and net loss widened to $38.6M, driven by merger-related costs and stock-based comp .
- Cash burn averaged ~$1.46M/month in 2022; year-end cash was disclosed at ~$5.3M, while audited cash and equivalents on the balance sheet show $3.79M, a discrepancy to monitor; liabilities rose to $14.4M including $8.4M in debt .
- Management guided to EBITDA breakeven at ~$30M revenue and projected cashflow breakeven within two years, expecting 2023 revenue ramp to accelerate in 2H23 .
- Strategic catalysts: QPhoton integration, launch of Dirac-1 EQC subscriptions and QAmplify, government-facing subsidiary QI Solutions, and a NASA subcontract for quantum LiDAR testing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Transition to commercialization with full-stack photonic quantum offerings; CEO highlighted photonics outperforming gate-model/annealers and cited academic validation: “There is growing industry and analyst recognition and acceptance that photonic based quantum computing is outperforming the initial quantum architectures…” .
- Product launches and milestones: Dirac-1 EQC subscription service; QAmplify expands QPU processing power up to 20x; demonstration wins including BMW sensor optimization (3,854 variables solved in 6 minutes) .
- Government go-to-market set up: formed QI Solutions for U.S. government/defense, and secured a NASA subcontract via SSAI to test photonic LiDAR for climate monitoring .
What Went Wrong
- Expense escalation and dilution: 2022 OpEx up 114% to $36.7M (stock-based comp $17.8M); net loss increased to $38.6M; ~26.8M share increase YoY from QPhoton merger; fully diluted shares ~74.3M .
- Liquidity and leverage: average cash burn ~$1.46M/month; unsecured note of $8.25M at 10% (Streeterville) introduced redemption/covenant constraints; FY debt $8.4M .
- Controls/legal overhang: disclosure controls deemed not effective due to staffing (segregation of duties); BV Advisory litigation and appraisal demand related to QPhoton create uncertainty .
Financial Results
Balance/Cash KPIs:
Notes:
- FY press release states “Cash at year-end 2022 totaled approximately $5.3 million” vs audited balance sheet cash and equivalents $3.79M; management also disclosed $7.5M cash as of March 27, 2023 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q4 2022 earnings call transcript was found in our document system; thematic comparison is based on Q2/Q3 MD&A vs FY press release.
Management Commentary
- “We… have entered the commercialization phase… becoming a full stack, comprehensive quantum enabling company… firmly established as an emerging leader in photonic quantum information processing…” – Robert Liscouski, Co-Founder & CEO .
- “We have done so and are well positioned to take orders for our Entropy Quantum Computer, Quantum LiDAR, Quantum CyberSecurity products and subscriptions… roll out a series of products… During 2023 we expect to be well on our way to delivering material revenue growth with attractive gross margins and with disciplined cost controls.” – Robert Liscouski .
- Guidance emphasis: “expects revenues to gradually increase in the first half of the year and progressively accelerate during the second half of 2023… achieves EBITDA breakeven at roughly $30 million in annual revenue and projects cashflow breakeven within 2 years” .
Q&A Highlights
No earnings call transcript was available for Q4 2022 in our document system; therefore, analyst Q&A themes and clarifications could not be assessed.
Estimates Context
Wall Street consensus (S&P Global/Capital IQ) for Q4 2022 and FY 2022 could not be retrieved due to an S&P Global API limit at the time of access; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at time of query.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial pivot is real but early: FY revenue remains de minimis; derived Q4 revenue implies minimal top-line while groundwork (products, government channel) is laid .
- Cost structure reset: 114% OpEx increase and heavy stock-based compensation drive losses; monitor OpEx discipline vs 2023 revenue ramp claims .
- Liquidity/leverage: track cash burn vs cash levels and Streeterville note redemptions/covenants; subsequent ATM raise netted $6.4M in Q1’23 .
- Photonic EQC differentiation: real-world demos (BMW) and energy efficiency claims could be a narrative driver; watch customer conversions from PoCs to paid subscriptions .
- Government exposure: QI Solutions and NASA subcontract provide potential non-dilutive revenue pathways; assess backlog and funding (e.g., CHIPS Act) .
- Guidance yardsticks: EBITDA breakeven at ~$30M revenue is a clear milestone; 2H23 acceleration commentary sets expectation — scrutinize quarterly bookings/revenue cadence vs this path .
- Legal/control risks: internal control deficiencies and BV Advisory litigation create overhang; resolution timelines matter for multiple expansion .
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