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RBC Bearings (RBC)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

RBC Bearings Beats EPS as Aerospace Surges 42%, Stock Rallies 6%

February 5, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

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RBC Bearings (NYSE: RBC) posted a strong Q3 FY2026 with adjusted EPS of $3.04, beating consensus by 6.3%, while revenue of $461.6 million came in essentially in-line with the $460.4M estimate . The precision bearings manufacturer saw its Aerospace/Defense segment surge 41.5% YoY, driven by robust defense demand and the VACCO acquisition . Industrial grew a more modest 3.1% but management signaled improving trends into calendar 2026 . Shares rallied 6% to new highs on the earnings beat and bullish outlook.

Did RBC Bearings Beat Earnings?

MetricQ3 FY2026ConsensusSurpriseQ3 FY2025YoY Change
Revenue$461.6M$460.4M+0.3%$394.4M+17.0%
Adj. EPS$3.04$2.86+6.3%$2.34+29.9%
GAAP EPS$2.13$1.82+17.0%
Adj. EBITDA$149.6M$122.6M+22.0%
Adj. EBITDA Margin32.4%31.1%+130 bps

Revenue and EPS estimates from S&P Global. Actuals from company filings .

RBC delivered its 9th consecutive quarter of EPS beats. The VACCO acquisition (closed July 2025) contributed $29.2 million to net sales this quarter .

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What Is Driving the Aerospace/Defense Surge?

The standout story is A&D, which now represents 44% of revenue vs. 36% a year ago:

SegmentQ3 FY2026Q3 FY2025YoY Growth
Aerospace/Defense$202.5M$143.2M+41.5%
Industrial$259.1M$251.2M+3.1%
Total$461.6M$394.4M+17.0%

Source: Company filings

The A&D growth reflects:

  • VACCO acquisition (July 2025): Added $29.2M in Q3 sales
  • Organic A&D growth: ~20%+ excluding VACCO
  • Defense contract wins: Driving backlog expansion

Backlog exploded to $2.1 billion as of December 27, 2025—up from $1.6B in September and just $0.9B a year ago, a 133% YoY increase .

What Did Management Guide?

MetricQ4 FY2026 GuidanceQ4 FY2025 ActualImplied YoY Growth
Revenue$495M - $505M$437.7M+13% to +15%
Adj. Gross Margin45.0% - 45.25%44.2%+80 to +105 bps
SG&A % of Sales16.0% - 16.25%15.9%~flat

*Source: Company outlook *

Excluding VACCO, organic revenue growth is guided at 6.4% to 8.7% for Q4 .

CEO Dr. Michael J. Hartnett commented:

"We are well-positioned for growth in calendar year 2026 and beyond, given our robust, growing backlog, which has continued to benefit from recent contract wins within the A&D space."

What Changed From Last Quarter?

MetricQ2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Change
Revenue$455.3M$461.6M+1.4%
Adj. Gross Margin44.9%45.1%+20 bps
Adj. EBITDA Margin32.2%32.4%+20 bps
FCF$71.7M$99.1M+38%
Backlog$1.6B$2.1B+31%

The sequential improvement in free cash flow (+38% QoQ) and accelerating backlog (+31% QoQ) are notable. FCF conversion hit 147% vs. 127% a year ago .

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How Did the Stock React?

TimeframePriceChange
Pre-earnings close (Feb 4)$516.78Near 52-week high
Earnings day close (Feb 5)$523.94+6.2%
52-week range$297.28 - $528.74+76% from low

Shares rallied on the earnings beat, touching intraday highs of $528.74. The positive reaction reflects:

  1. EPS beat: $3.04 vs. $2.86 expected (+6.3%)
  2. Record backlog: $2.1B with defense contract momentum
  3. Improving industrial outlook: Management bullish on calendar 2026
  4. Conservative guidance: Management signaled Q4 guide is conservative

Margins and Capital Allocation

MetricQ3 FY2026Q3 FY2025Change
Gross Margin (GAAP)44.3%44.3%flat
Adj. Gross Margin45.1%44.3%+80 bps
Operating Margin22.3%21.7%+60 bps
Adj. EBITDA Margin32.4%31.1%+130 bps

*Source: Company filings *

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:

Metric9M FY20269M FY2025
Cash from Operations$330.5M$224.4M
Capital Expenditures($55.4M)($35.6M)
Free Cash Flow$275.1M$188.8M
Net Debt~$883M~$859M

Source: Company filings

The company is investing in capacity expansion while maintaining strong FCF. Debt reduction efforts lowered interest expense to $13M from $14.2M YoY .

Q&A Highlights: What Did Analysts Ask?

Defense Program Exposure:

Dr. Hartnett provided extensive color on defense end markets :

  • Submarines: "Number one defense priority today" — 66 Virginia-class ships planned (25 commissioned), 12 Columbia-class ships planned
  • Missiles: Exposure across HIMARS, JDAMs, and hypersonics; hypersonics will go on Columbia-class and Virginia-class submarines
  • Europe: NATO's 5% GDP initiative driving demand from European ground warfare system builders

"Today, the strength and outlook on the A&D sector can only be described as extremely robust. Clearly, we are at a national inflection point in the commercial aircraft and defense industries."

Boeing/Airbus Production Rates:

Management detailed OEM production expectations :

  • 737: At 38/month → 42 → 50, with objective of 60
  • 787: 6/month → 8/month (significant for one RBC plant)
  • 777X: "Coming into its own" but only a few ships/month in distant future
  • Airbus: New contract adds ~20% content increase, starting this quarter

One smaller plant has Boeing working off inventory until July; all others are lockstep with Boeing production .

Industrial Outlook:

On FY2027 industrial expectations :

  • Expecting "high single digits" growth vs. peers guiding "low single digits"
  • Semiconductor came back "in a significant way" after being "dormant for a long period"
  • Broad industrial demand strengthened "measurably in late December and continued throughout January"
  • Opening new service center in Midwest to serve more customers

Space Opportunity:

VACCO has a satellite staples business with potential to "guide the industry" by stocking key components . Sargent Aerospace products are specifically for submarines, while VACCO has both submarine and space applications .

Margin Outlook:

A&D margins (42.2% adjusted in Q3) should continue to "chase up towards industrial margins" (47.4% adjusted), though management doesn't expect them to fully converge .

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Key Risks and Concerns

  1. Industrial segment deceleration: Only +3.1% growth suggests macro softness in traditional industrial end markets
  2. Acquisition integration: VACCO adds revenue but also integration complexity
  3. Valuation: Trading near all-time highs with elevated multiples
  4. Defense budget dependency: Growing A&D concentration increases exposure to government spending

Forward Catalysts

  • Q4 FY2026 earnings (expected late May 2026): Full-year results and FY2027 outlook
  • VACCO integration milestones: Synergy realization updates
  • Defense contract awards: Backlog momentum continuation
  • Industrial recovery: OEM destocking completion could reaccelerate growth
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Earnings call held February 5, 2026. View full transcript | View 8-K filing

Related: RBC Bearings Company Profile | Q2 FY2026 Earnings