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Rubicon Technology, Inc. (RBCN)·Q2 2016 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue was $3.535M, down 18% sequentially vs Q1 ($4.287M) and down ~50% YoY vs Q2 2015 ($7.106M), driven by a temporary reduction of wafer orders and continued pricing pressure in sapphire markets .
  • GAAP diluted EPS was ($0.31), worse than Q1 ($0.28), with ~$0.04 of incremental proxy solicitation costs tied to a contested director election impacting the quarter’s loss per share .
  • Wafer revenue fell to $1.830M (vs $2.345M in Q1), while “optical and other” contributed $0.904M; management built consignment inventory for a key wafer customer ahead of higher Q3 volume, and continued cost-reduction actions to improve cash flow .
  • Strategy pivot: Management emphasized refocusing toward optical and industrial sapphire, highlighting progress on LANCE large window growth and SapphirEX coating technologies to expand beyond LED/mobile markets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Progress on optical platform: “Continued progress was reported on its two new technologies, LANCE large window growth and SapphirEX coating technologies (patents pending), which are expected to allow the Company to introduce new products into the optical sapphire market” .
  • Anticipated Q3 demand: Built consignment inventory for a key wafer customer “in response to higher volume orders for the third quarter,” signaling near-term demand visibility .
  • Cost actions: “During the quarter the Company took additional actions to reduce operating costs which it anticipates will positively impact cash flow,” supporting liquidity improvement efforts .

What Went Wrong

  • Wafer order pause: Q2 revenue fell by $0.8M QoQ due to a temporary reduction of wafer orders (wafer revenue $1.830M vs $2.345M in Q1), pressuring top line and mix .
  • Negative gross margin: Gross loss was ($4.051M) on $3.535M revenue, reflecting severe pricing pressure and elevated unit costs relative to volume .
  • One-time costs and market headwinds: Proxy solicitation added ~$0.04 to loss per share, while excess sapphire capacity continued to depress pricing, leading the company to limit two and four-inch core sales across recent quarters .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2015Q4 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016
Revenue ($USD Thousands)$7,106 $2,456 $4,287 $3,535
Net Loss ($USD Thousands)($8,580) ($12,706) ($7,333) ($8,209)
Diluted EPS ($)($0.33) ($0.49) ($0.28) ($0.31)
Gross Loss ($USD Thousands)($5,155) ($8,988) ($5,419) ($4,051)
Gross Margin (%)(72.6%) (366.1%) (126.4%) (114.6%)

Segment/Revenue Mix

Product Group ($USD Thousands)Q2 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016
Core (2”, 4”, 6”) Total$4,029 $441 $689
Polished Wafers$840 $825 $488
PSS Wafers$902 $1,520 $1,342
Total Wafers$1,742 $2,345 $1,830
R&D$144 $97 $112
Optical & Other$1,191 $1,404 $904
Total Revenue$7,106 $4,287 $3,535

Selected KPIs (Balance Sheet/Liquidity)

KPI ($USD Thousands)Q2 2015Q1 2016Q2 2016
Cash & Cash Equivalents$22,744 $21,290 $17,067
Accounts Receivable, net$7,944 $1,938 $2,737
Inventories$22,116 $20,853 $21,210
Total Assets$177,342 $111,337 $103,579
Stockholders’ Equity$172,286 $105,025 $97,182

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ2 2016“Similar to Q1” (Q1 press release) Actual: $3.535M Lower than “similar to Q1” (miss vs qualitative guide)
GAAP EPSQ2 2016“Similar to Q1” (Q1 press release) Actual: ($0.31) vs ($0.28) in Q1 Worse than “similar to Q1” (miss vs qualitative guide)
Demand OutlookQ3 2016Not quantifiedConsignment inventory built for key wafer customer in response to higher Q3 volume orders Implied higher Q3 wafer volumes

Note: No numeric Q2 guidance ranges were provided in the Q2 release; prior guidance was qualitative (“similar to Q1”) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’15 and Q1’16)Current Period (Q2’16)Trend
Optical sapphire initiatives (LANCE, SapphirEX)Expected to move LANCE (large windows) and SapphirEX into production in 2016; milestones achieved Continued progress; positioning to introduce new optical products Advancing toward commercialization
PSS wafer growth (6”)Anticipated rebound and growth in six‑inch PSS; Q1 increase noted and further growth expected Temporary wafer order reduction in Q2; consignment built for higher Q3 volume Near-term volatility; Q3 expected improvement
Supply/demand & pricing pressureExcess sapphire capacity; limiting 2”/4” core sales due to challenging pricing Continued excess capacity; emphasis shifting away from LED/mobile to optical/industrial markets Pricing pressure persists; strategic mix shift
Legal/regulatory cash impactsAccruals/settlement activities referenced; non‑GAAP reconciliations in prior quarters Settlement payment timing affected cash flow; proxy costs lifted Q2 loss/share by ~$0.04 One-time items pressured cash/EPS
Listing/complianceNASDAQ minimum bid price deficiency notice received in April 2016 No new update inside Q2 release; company monitoring options Ongoing compliance watch

Management Commentary

  • “Given the excess capacity of sapphire serving the LED substrate and mobile device markets, we are placing more emphasis on the optical and industrial sapphire markets where we feel we have a greater competitive advantage. In addition, the Company is reviewing a variety of alternatives with a goal of providing greater value to our stockholders.” — Bill Weissman, CEO .
  • “The second quarter loss per share was impacted by increased proxy solicitation costs related to the contested director election, which added approximately $0.04 to the loss per share in the second quarter.” — Company release .
  • “The Company continues to work with developers of other new applications for sapphire outside of the traditional LED and mobile device markets.” — Company release .

Q&A Highlights

No Q2 2016 earnings call transcript was found in the document catalog; prior quarters have transcripts noted by third parties (e.g., Q1 2016), but a Q2 2016 RBCN transcript was not available via our tools or public transcript aggregators checked .

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q2 2016 could not be retrieved due to a request limit error; therefore, Wall Street consensus comparisons are unavailable. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when accessible. Without consensus, we note Q2 actuals vs the company’s qualitative guidance (“similar to Q1”) showed lower revenue and worse EPS than implied .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential decline and sharp YoY compression in revenue underscore ongoing pricing pressure and wafer demand volatility; near-term improvement hinges on execution against anticipated Q3 wafer orders .
  • EPS was adversely impacted by one-time proxy costs (~$0.04/share), obscuring underlying run-rate; however, gross margin remained deeply negative, highlighting structural challenges in cost/price dynamics .
  • Strategic pivot to optical/industrial sapphire and progress on LANCE/SapphirEX aim to diversify away from oversupplied LED/mobile markets; commercialization milestones are critical to re-rating the narrative .
  • Cash usage increased with consignment build and settlement/payment timing; continued cost actions and Q3 volume should be monitored for liquidity trajectory .
  • Revenue mix is shifting: core (2”/4”) significantly curtailed due to pricing, while PSS remains relatively more resilient; sustained growth in 6” PSS is a key operational lever .
  • Absent consensus estimates, treat Q2 as a miss vs qualitative guide (“similar to Q1”); investors should seek updated external coverage or company quantitative guidance to recalibrate models .
  • Corporate governance and listing compliance remain watch items (NASDAQ minimum bid price notice in April 2016); any corporate actions could be near-term catalysts .