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Rubicon Technologies, Inc. (RBT)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 revenue was $166.1M, down 8.3% year-over-year, while gross profit increased 8.2% and Adjusted EBITDA loss improved 20.9% to $(11.0)M, evidencing continued margin progress despite lower topline .
  • The quarter was defined by a transformative divestiture: Rubicon sold its fleet technology (SaaS) business and issued $20.0M preferred stock to Rodina Capital; total transaction value $94.2M (including $61.7M cash and a $12.5M earnout), intended to accelerate its path to profitability and shore up liquidity .
  • Management highlighted a new grocery-sector customer contract covering 500+ stores in the U.S. and Canada as a growth proof point for RUBICONConnect and Technical Advisory Services .
  • No formal quantitative guidance was provided; near-term narrative catalysts are margin progression and execution on core marketplace services post-SaaS divestiture, tempered by internal controls matters and going-concern disclosures referenced separately in May 17 non-reliance filing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and mix: Gross profit margin rose 93 bps YoY to 6.1% and Adjusted Gross Margin rose 138 bps to 10.3% in Q1 2024, reflecting portfolio optimization and platform efficiency .
  • Strategic focus and liquidity: Completed sale of the fleet technology business, secured $61.7M cash and $20.0M preferred capital; management underscored “transformational” impact on balance sheet and journey to profitability .
  • Commercial traction: Won a significant grocery customer contract (500+ stores), aligning with RUBICONConnect and TAS solutions to reduce costs and increase diversion rates .
    • Quote: “We are excited to leverage this newfound financial agility to drive growth, enhance our competitive edge, and deliver exceptional value to our shareholders and customers alike.” — CEO Phil Rodoni .

What Went Wrong

  • Topline decline: Revenue fell 8.3% YoY in Q1 as the company exited less-profitable relationships and contended with commodity softness; near-term scale effects weighed on GAAP gross margin vs recent quarters .
  • Adjusted EBITDA remained negative: Despite improvement, Adjusted EBITDA was $(11.0)M (−6.6% of revenue), indicating continued operating loss and the need for further cost actions and scale .
  • Internal controls and going concern: Board concluded certain prior financial statements should no longer be relied upon due to an error, and the company expects to disclose a material weakness and substantial doubt regarding going concern in amended filings (separate from Q1 press release) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$171.3 $170.7 $166.1
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$13.4 $13.2 $10.1
Gross Profit Margin %7.8% 7.7% 6.1%
Adjusted Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$19.8 $18.3 $17.1
Adjusted Gross Margin %11.6% 10.7% 10.3%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(8.9) $(0.4) $(11.0)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %(5.2)% (0.3)% (6.6)%
GAAP EPS (Basic & Diluted)$(0.85) $(0.34) $(0.34) comprised of $(0.33) continuing ops + $(0.01) discontinued ops

Segment/line item breakdown (revenues):

Revenue Line ($USD Thousands)Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Service159,119 158,511 147,252
Recyclable Commodity12,138 12,152 15,810
Total (Statements of Operations)171,257 170,663 163,062

KPIs and cost components (non-GAAP tables):

KPI ($USD Thousands unless stated)Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Adjusted Gross Profit19,850 18,292 17,103
Platform Support Costs5,883 4,620 6,430
Marketplace Vendor Costs151,407 152,371 148,972

Note: Q1 totals differ between GAAP statements of operations (continuing ops) and reconciliations including discontinued operations; the press release highlights and non-GAAP tables reflect total revenue including discontinued operations .

Vs Estimates: No S&P Global consensus data was available for RBT Q1 2024 due to missing SPGI mapping; thus, beats/misses vs consensus cannot be determined (Values not available from S&P Global).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q1 2024Not providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Margins / OpEx / OtherFY/Q1 2024Not providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)

Rubicon did not issue quantitative guidance ranges in the Q1 2024 press release or associated SEC furnished materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023 and Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Margin expansion & portfolio optimizationRecord GP and AGP, margin gains; Bridge to Profitability progress Continued AGP margin improvement to 10.3%; GP margin 6.1% Mixed: AGP margin up YoY; GAAP GP margin down vs Q4
Commodity exposure (OCC)Softness in commodities cited for YoY revenue decline Limited explicit commodity color in press release; focus on core services Commodity sensitivity persists, less emphasized
Strategic transactions / capitalDebt maturity extensions; term loan; equity raise (2023) Sale of SaaS business; $61.7M cash; $20M preferred; earnout potential Strong strategic repositioning
Customer wins / RUBICONConnectAdded/extended marquee clients (Neiman Marcus, Gap, Goodyear, Americold) New grocery sector contract (>500 stores) and TAS launch momentum Execution positive
Internal controls / going concernNot flagged in Q4 press; standard cautionary language Non-reliance 8-K, material weakness expected; going concern substantial doubt disclosures planned Negative risk factor

Sources for call content summary: market coverage summaries and transcript listings .

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus post-divestiture: “The recent sale of the fleet technology business unit aligns with our strategic vision to lead our industry by innovating and investing in sustainable practices that meet the evolving needs of both our hauler network and customer base.” — CEO Phil Rodoni .
  • Profitability path: Management emphasized Adjusted EBITDA improvement YoY and the transaction’s role in “accelerate[ing] its journey to profitability” .
  • Commercial execution: The grocery sector win highlights the platform’s ability to scale waste/recycling services, reduce costs, and increase diversion .

Q&A Highlights

  • Focus areas: Management discussed core business execution after the SaaS sale, utilization of proceeds for working capital and debt reduction, and continued cost discipline, per third-party call summaries .
  • Demand signals: The new grocery customer was framed as a key validation of RUBICONConnect and TAS, with potential incremental growth opportunities .
  • Guidance clarifications: No formal numerical guidance ranges were provided; management reiterated margin progression and operational focus .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for Q1 2024 was unavailable for RBT in the SPGI tool due to missing company mapping, so beats/misses cannot be assessed. Values not available from S&P Global.

Where estimates may need to adjust: Given revenue contraction but persistent AGP margin gains, Street models (where maintained externally) may need to reflect a more margin-led thesis with lower revenue scale short term, offset by portfolio optimization and cost actions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The SaaS divestiture and $20M preferred issuance are strategically significant, improving liquidity and sharpening focus on the core marketplace; monitor debt reduction and cash runway impact from $61.7M cash inflow and earnout potential .
  • Margin progression remains the core equity story; AGP margin reached 10.3% YoY, but GAAP gross margin dipped sequentially—execution on vendor efficiency and platform support costs is critical .
  • Topline pressure is evident; scaling high-margin accounts (e.g., grocery customer) and exiting lower-margin relationships are key to pivoting from revenue scale to unit economics .
  • Internal controls and going-concern disclosures introduce risk; track remediation steps and any financing developments following the non-reliance 8-K and anticipated amendments .
  • Near-term trading lens: Stock likely reacts to liquidity/capital actions and margin prints rather than revenue beats; watch for further portfolio optimization and cost-down commentary.
  • Medium-term thesis: A focused marketplace model with improving AGP and reduced platform costs can compress losses toward breakeven; successful onboarding of large accounts and maintaining commodity exposure discipline are pivotal .
  • No formal guidance—investors should triangulate progress via quarterly AGP, Adj. EBITDA trajectory, and contract wins; monitor any future updates via IR events .

Sources Read

  • Q1 2024 8-K 2.02 and Press Release: full financial highlights, tables, and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q4 2023 8-K and Press Release: prior-quarter benchmark, margin trends, and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q3 2023 8-K and Press Release: two-quarters-back benchmark, commodity softness note, and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Transaction 8-K (May 7, 2024): SaaS sale details and preferred stock issuance .
  • Non-Reliance 8-K (May 17, 2024): material weakness, going concern statements anticipated in amendments .
  • Company press release and coverage listing for Q1 2024 financials and call logistics .