RC
Ready Capital Corp (RC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- GAAP EPS was $0.47, driven by a $102.5M bargain purchase gain from the UDF IV acquisition, while distributable EPS was a loss of $(0.09); book value per share held flat at $10.61 .
- Management reiterated a defensive, late‑cycle posture: accelerated liquidation of non‑core CRE assets, collapse of static CLOs to raise liquidity, and reinvestment into core multifamily to rebuild net interest margin; dividend expected to remain at $0.125 until earnings improve .
- SBL originations were $387M (including $343M SBA 7(a)), with gain‑on‑sale premiums around 10%; core CRE levered yield of ~10% and cash yield ~6.7% underpin expected NIM recovery post reinvestment .
- Street consensus (SPGI) for Q1 2025 “Primary EPS” was +$0.12*, while “actual” was −$0.09*; “Revenue” estimate $207.4M* vs “actual” $42.0M*—a significant miss on these SPGI-defined metrics. Note: GAAP EPS of $0.47 was not the Street “Primary EPS” basis here* [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Book value per share stabilized QoQ at $10.61; accretion from share repurchases (+$0.11) and UDF IV merger (+$0.14) offset dividend shortfall: “book value per share quarter‑over‑quarter was flat at $10.61 per share” .
- Non‑core bridge loan liquidation exceeded targets (2x): $51M liquidated at 102% of mark, generating $28M liquidity; plan to reduce non‑core portfolio to ~$270M in Q2 and ~$210M by YE 2025 .
- Closed $220M senior secured notes (9.375% due 2028) and subsequently upsized by $50M, extending maturities and enhancing liquidity; collapsed three CRE CLOs generating $78M liquidity .
Management quotes:
- “Despite this challenging macroeconomic environment, the Company continues to take decisive actions to reset the balance sheet and restore profitability.”
- “We believe the plan will be executed in 2025 with accretion in 2026.”
What Went Wrong
- Distributable EPS loss of $(0.09) as net interest income fell to $14.6M; movement of non‑core assets to non‑accrual produced cash yield of 1.3% and realized losses of $20.1M on asset sales (reserved previously) .
- Core portfolio delinquency increased: 60+ day DQ rose to 4.1% (from 2.0% in Q4’24); non‑accrual ticked up to 3.7% in core .
- Continued pressure in static CLOs: three deals currently failing interest coverage tests; leverage shifted slightly from non‑recourse to recourse as warehouse advance rates replaced lower CLO advance rates .
Financial Results
Income Statement Snapshot and EPS
Notes: Bargain purchase gain of $102.5M recognized in Q1 2025 (UDF IV) . Dividend declared $0.125 in Q1 .
Segment Breakdown (Q1 2025)
KPIs and Portfolio Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Book value per share quarter‑over‑quarter was flat at $10.61 per share… we benefited this quarter from an $0.11 per share increase from repurchase of 3.4 million shares and $0.14 per share from closing of the UDF merger.”
- “We surpassed first quarter liquidation targets by close to 2x… liquidated $51 million at a 102% premium to our mark, generating $28 million of liquidity.”
- “Absent further material deterioration… we expect our dividend to remain at its current level until the earnings profile warrants an increase.”
- “Net interest income declined to $14.6 million… movement of non‑core assets to nonaccrual generated a cash yield of 1.3%… Realized losses… $20.1 million, all adequately reserved previously.”
Q&A Highlights
- Non‑core exits on track despite April volatility; multiple PSAs in progress; pricing/timeline intact .
- Near‑term earnings to resemble Q1; improvement to begin after reinvestment of equity from liquidations; OpEx right‑sizing a lever; debt refi costs a headwind .
- CLO collapses increase advance rates and liquidity; slight leverage uptick; NOI pressures and portfolio modifications drove interest coverage test failures .
- Portland asset to remain levered; sequential exit plan: hotel/office first, condos over 2–3 years; basis supports recoveries .
- SBA volumes expected $1.0–$1.2B near term; gain‑on‑sale premiums around ~10%; policy changes constructive; warehouse approvals pending .
- Debt markets receptive; balanced unsecured/secured refi strategy; ample unencumbered collateral .
Estimates Context
Additional context:
- Target Price Consensus Mean*: $3.69 (FY 2024/2025) with 4 estimates [GetEstimates].
- FY 2025 EPS Normalized Consensus Mean*: −$0.96; FY 2025 Revenue Consensus Mean*: $513.5M [GetEstimates].
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implication: RC significantly missed SPGI’s “Primary EPS” and “Revenue” consensus in Q1 2025 on this definition, while GAAP EPS benefited from one‑time bargain purchase gains .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term earnings likely remain subdued until equity from non‑core liquidations is redeployed into high‑yield core CRE; watch Q2 liquidation progress and reinvestment cadence as the primary NIM catalyst .
- Dividend at $0.125 appears supported near term; management intends to hold at this level until earnings improve—monitor asset sale execution and SBA volumes for inflection .
- Liquidity actions (CLO collapses, secured notes) are de‑risking the liability stack; next CLO collapses (late Q2/early Q3) and corporate refi timeline are key events .
- Core multifamily fundamentals are stabilizing, but core 60+ DQ increased to 4.1%; credit migration and modification efficacy will influence future NIM recovery .
- SBL remains a structural earnings lever with ~10% premiums; near‑term volume moderation likely, but platform capacity and policy tailwinds support medium‑term growth .
- UDF IV integration boosted equity and GAAP EPS via bargain purchase; ongoing liquidity generation and credit performance from the portfolio will determine sustained contribution .
- Trading setup: execution on asset sales, CLO/liability milestones, and SBA volume updates are near‑term catalysts; tone remains constructive but execution‑dependent amid macro volatility .
Appendix: Additional Balance Sheet and ROE
Citations: