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RCM TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (RCMT)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2026 primary-source materials (8‑K/press release and earnings call) were not available in our document set; therefore, this recap anchors on the most recent reported quarters (Q1–Q3 2025) and S&P Global consensus for Q2 2026, noting limited Street coverage (one estimate)* .
- Recent trajectory: revenue grew 17% YoY in Q1 2025 to $84.5M , 13% YoY in Q2 2025 to $78.2M , and 16% YoY in Q3 2025 to $70.3M ; engineering logged “best-ever” quarterly gross profit in both Q2 and Q3 2025, with record 2026 backlog just over $70M as of late October .
- Profitability mixed near term: adjusted EBITDA was $7.8M (Q1), $8.1M (Q2), and $5.5M (Q3) as seasonal healthcare softness and $0.8M excess medical claims in Q3 contributed to dip; management reiterated that Q4 2025 should be the strongest of the year .
- Management reiterated FY2025 guideposts: at least low double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth and FY cash from operations approximating net income, with Q4 targeted as peak gross profit and adjusted EBITDA; engineering demand/backlog and K‑12 healthcare penetration remain core growth drivers .
- Potential stock catalysts into Q2 2026: visibility from record 2026 engineering backlog, continued K‑12 share gains and foreign nurse pipeline progress, normalization of medical claims costs, and delivery of Q4 2025 “peak” profitability commentary .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Engineering momentum: “best engineering gross profit quarter in our entire history” in Q2 and again in Q3; record 2026 energy services backlog “just over $70M” as of late October .
- K‑12 healthcare execution and share gains: school revenue up 21% YoY in Q2; management noted “another dozen or so new contracts” for 2025–2026 school year and confidence in continued share capture .
- Strategic positioning: increased brand visibility, improved talent inflow, and integrated EPC model in energy services; management emphasized secular grid modernization and data center interconnect tailwinds .
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What Went Wrong
- Medical cost headwinds: $0.8M over budget in Q3 and $1.8M YTD pressured profitability; management does not expect radical change until 2026 .
- Cash collections timing: Q2 operating cash flow negative ($7.9M) due to delayed payments from two large school clients (since ~80%+ collected shortly after); Q3 operating cash flow also negative ($1.3M) .
- Margin variability: engineering gross margin volatile quarter-to-quarter due to mix and subcontractor pass‑through on EPC work; life sciences/data saw slight year‑over‑year GP pressure in Q3 .
Financial Results
Recent actuals vs S&P Global consensus for Q2 2026 (limited coverage; one estimate)*
Note: Asterisked estimates are from S&P Global; values may reflect limited analyst coverage and are subject to revision. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (Revenue and Gross Margin)
KPIs and operating items
Guidance Changes
No formal quantitative revenue/EPS margin ranges were issued in the reviewed materials; guidance was directional and qualitative .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our best engineering gross profit quarter in our entire history” (Q2), with record 2026 energy services backlog “just over $70 million” by late October (Q3) .
- “We’ve added another dozen or so new [K‑12] contracts… half… with meaningful impact to revenue for the 2025–2026 school year” .
- “We expect Q4 [2025] will yield our highest quarterly gross profit and adjusted EBITDA” .
- On dividend and capital allocation: “With a completely debt free balance sheet… it probably makes as much sense as ever… it’s something we’ll continue to evaluate,” while preserving flexibility for large opportunities .
Q&A Highlights
- Engineering margins and mix: Management reiterated normalized engineering GM range 22–26% and explained variability from subcontractor pass‑through and mix; focus remains on gross profit dollars .
- K‑12 healthcare growth and training: Company runs internal training programs to scale qualified staff; pipeline robust; intent to take share from competitors while market itself grows .
- Foreign nurse pipeline: Visa retrogression is gating; 50–60 could arrive if dates move modestly, 300+ fully ready, 500+ broader pipeline; uplift could turn a “good 2026” into “incredible” .
- Cash collections & seasonality: Q2 CFO hit by PO timing from school districts (since largely collected); Q3 seasonally soft due to summer; expect FY CFO ≈ NI .
- Capital returns: Discussion around potential dividend introduction versus maintaining low share count and strategic balance sheet flexibility; buyback track record noted .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2026 S&P Global consensus (limited coverage: one estimate): revenue $88.68M*, EPS $0.68*, EBITDA $8.39M*. Values may change as coverage updates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- FY 2026 S&P Global consensus: revenue $339.36M*, EBITDA $32.05M*, EPS $2.565*, target price $31 (2 estimates)*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Engineering is the primary multi‑year engine: record 2026 backlog and tier‑one utility/data‑center interconnect positioning support continued revenue/GP growth .
- K‑12 healthcare remains durable with rising penetration; watch FY Q4 ramp into the 2025–2026 school year and training-led capacity additions .
- Near‑term profitability swing factors: medical claims ($0.8M Q3; $1.8M YTD) and EPC/subcontractor mix; Q4 2025 guided as peak profitability .
- Cash flow timing improves as school PO issues clear; mgmt expects FY 2025 CFFO ≈ net income .
- Optionality from international nurse pipeline could amplify 2026 healthcare growth if visa retrogression eases .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder‑friendly and flexible (historical repurchases; evaluating dividend), with emphasis on a “clean balance sheet” as a strategic asset for larger opportunities .
- For Q2 2026, given limited Street coverage*, watch for delivery vs consensus (rev ~$88.7M*, EPS ~$0.68*) and qualitative updates on backlog conversion, K‑12 contract wins, and medical cost normalization. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Sources and notes:
- Q1 2025: 8‑K and call .
- Q2 2025: 8‑K/press release and call .
- Q3 2025: press and 8‑K and call .
- Index inclusion (context): Russell 2000/3000 addition (July 2025) .
- Q2 2026 primary-source docs were not available in the document set searched (no 2026 8‑K/press release/transcript returned). We will update this recap when those are released .
- S&P Global consensus estimates marked with an asterisk (*) and accompanied by this disclaimer: Values retrieved from S&P Global.