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RadNet, Inc. (RDNT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue rose 9.2% year over year to $471.4M; Adjusted EBITDA fell 20.6% to $46.4M, primarily due to severe winter weather in the Northeast/Houston and Southern California wildfires that reduced revenue by ~$22M and Adjusted EBITDA by ~$15M in Q1. Management reported recovery in March and through April/early May.
  • RadNet raised full-year 2025 guidance ranges for Imaging Center segment Revenue (+$10M) and Adjusted EBITDA (+$3M), and increased capex by $5M; Digital Health guidance was maintained.
  • Wall Street consensus: Q1 revenue beat by ~6.4% ($471.4M actual vs $443.0M*), but EPS missed (−$0.35 actual vs −$0.136*), reflecting seasonality and extraordinary events; revenue and volume strength resumed post-February.
  • Strategic catalysts: accelerating AI adoption (EBCD blended adoption >40%), TechLive remote scanning on ~255 MRIs, and announced iCAD acquisition to add >1,500 provider locations globally to DeepHealth.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Advanced imaging mix and PET/CT volumes surged: PET/CT +22.9% YoY; MRI +8.4% and CT +8.3%, supporting stronger revenue per scan and margin mix longer-term.
  • Digital Health momentum: Revenue +31.1% to $19.2M; Adjusted EBITDA +5.4% to $3.7M; EBCD adoption >40% blended and AI revenue growth key drivers.
  • Guidance raised: Imaging Center segment total net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA ranges increased, reflecting post-weather rebound and demand trends; capex raised to fund growth.
  • Management quote: “The cumulative strength of these trends has provided us the confidence to increase 2025 guidance ranges for Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA(1).” — Dr. Berger.

What Went Wrong

  • Weather/wildfire impact: ~$22M revenue and ~$15M Adjusted EBITDA lost in Q1; Adjusted diluted EPS swung to −$0.35 from +$0.07 YoY (GAAP diluted −$0.51 vs −$0.04).
  • Same-center volumes down slightly (−0.3%) overall despite March recovery, reflecting January–February disruptions.
  • Elevated stock-based compensation ($28.5M) and implementation/one-time charges (lease abandonment $5.4M; non-capitalized R&D $3.6M; de novo rent $1.3M) weighed on profitability in the seasonally weakest quarter.

Financial Results

Consolidated performance and trend

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$461.1 $477.1 $471.4
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$73.7 $75.0 $46.4
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.04 $0.07 $(0.51)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.18 $0.22 $(0.35)
DSO (Days)35.7 32.3 33.3
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)$748.9 $740.0 $717.3

Year-over-year comparison (Q1)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$431.7 $471.4
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$58.5 $46.4
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.04) $(0.51)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.07 $(0.35)
Total Procedures (Units)2,646,951 2,742,973

Segment breakdown

SegmentQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Digital Health Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.4 $18.9 $19.2
Adjusted EBITDA – Digital Health ($USD Millions)$3.2 $4.5 $3.7
Adjusted EBITDA – Imaging Centers ($USD Millions)$70.4 $70.5 $42.7

KPIs and modality/payor mix

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
MRI Procedures (Units)412,821 447,330
CT Procedures (Units)250,365 271,170
PET/CT Procedures (Units)16,594 20,389
Mammography Procedures (Units)472,514 476,378
Ultrasound Procedures (Units)639,221 656,427
X-ray & Other (Units)846,841 861,702
Commercial Insurance (% of payments)58.0%
Medicare (% of payments)23.0%
Capitation (% of payments)6.8%
PET/CT share of payments (%)8.5%
EBCD Adoption (blended)>40%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Imaging Centers: Total Net Revenue ($)FY 2025$1,825–$1,875M $1,835–$1,885M Raised
Imaging Centers: Adjusted EBITDA ($)FY 2025$265–$273M $268–$276M Raised
Imaging Centers: Capital Expenditures ($)FY 2025$140–$150M $145–$155M Raised
Imaging Centers: Cash Interest Expense ($)FY 2025$35–$40M $35–$40M Maintained
Imaging Centers: Free Cash Flow ($)FY 2025$70–$80M $70–$80M Maintained
Digital Health: Total Net Revenue ($)FY 2025$80–$90M $80–$90M Maintained
Digital Health: Adj. EBITDA (before non-cap R&D) ($)FY 2025$15–$17M $15–$17M Maintained
Digital Health: Non-cap R&D ($)FY 2025$16–$18M $16–$18M Maintained
Digital Health: Capital Expenditures ($)FY 2025$3–$5M $3–$5M Maintained
Digital Health: FCF before non-cap R&D ($)FY 2025$11–$13M $11–$13M Maintained
Digital Health: FCF after non-cap R&D ($)FY 2025$(5)–$(8)M $(5)–$(8)M Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prior-2)Q4 2024 (Prior-1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/Technology (DeepHealth OS, TechLive, SmartMammo)Announced RSNA launch; GE/Siemens collabs; advanced imaging mix rising DeepHealth OS commercialization; DSO progress; guidance laid out TechLive ~255 MRIs; EBCD blended adoption >40%; iCAD acquisition announced Accelerating
Advanced Imaging & PET/CTPET/CT +23.8% YoY; advanced imaging share up 142 bps Continued elevated advanced imaging; record revenue PET/CT +22.9% YoY; advanced imaging share up 126 bps YoY Strong momentum
Labor/Staffing & CostsIndustry-wide pressure; margin expansion despite costs 2025 includes wage/benefit increases; DSO at ~32 days $45M labor headwind embedded in ’25; TechLive and hiring easing reliance on outside staffing Improving operationally, cost pressure persists
Medicare/Reimbursement2025 proposal/mitigation risks discussed 2025 final rule consistent with proposal; potential congressional relief Awaiting 2026 prelim; pursuing payer reimbursement for EBCD (commercial first) Mixed—policy uncertainty, commercial momentum
Capitation vs FFS mixCapitation ~7.3% payments; shift toward FFS Capitation down; revenue overall up Continued pivot to FFS; renegotiations ongoing Transitioning
Regional Trends/Exogenous EventsStrong demand across markets; JV expansion De novo pipeline; JV growth Severe weather/wildfires impacted Jan–Feb; recovery in Mar–May One-off disruption, resolved

Management Commentary

  • “Advanced imaging…grew 1.26% relative to last year’s first quarter. Most notably, PET/CT procedural volume grew…almost 23%…The cumulative strength of these trends has provided us the confidence to increase 2025 guidance ranges for Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA(1).” — Dr. Berger (Q1 PR)
  • “We…have approximately 255 of our MRIs enabled [with TechLive]…EBCD…is now experiencing a blended adoption rate of over 40% nationwide…we remain confident…we will see adoption by some third-party payors by year end.” — Dr. Berger (Q1 PR)
  • “Adding back…the $22 million impact…revenue would have increased 14.3%…Adding back…the $15 million impact…adjusted EBITDA would have increased 5%…As a reminder…the first quarter…is always our most challenged quarter.” — CFO Stolper (Call)
  • “We ended the first quarter with a cash balance of $717 million and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of slightly more than 1.” — Dr. Berger (Call)

Q&A Highlights

  • Advanced imaging growth durability: Management expects sustained growth aided by AI tools and newer techniques (cardiac CT angiography), with PET/CT up ~23% YoY even in a disrupted quarter.
  • JVs/M&A pipeline robust: Strategic focus on hospital partnerships and selective acquisitions; significant cash available to deploy across Imaging and Digital Health.
  • Labor headwinds: ~$45M added labor costs embedded in ’25 guidance; TechLive rollout (~255 MRIs) expected to mitigate outside staffing costs over time; hiring environment improving.
  • Revenue vs consensus: Barclays noted revenue ~6.5% above consensus; management attributed profitability softness to Q1 seasonality and Jan–Feb disruptions, with strong March–May.
  • PET/CT tracer economics: Pricing pass-through limits margin sensitivity; expect lower tracer prices over time as usage scales, but limited direct profitability impact.
  • Capitation cadence: Continued migration to fee-for-service at higher rates where appropriate; expect some contracts to return at improved capitation terms later.

Estimates Context

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)433.9459.4443.0
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)461.1 477.1 471.4
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)0.170.1875−0.136
Primary EPS Actual ($USD)0.18 0.22 −0.35

Values with asterisks are from S&P Global consensus. Results indicate revenue beats in Q3, Q4, and Q1; Q1 EPS missed consensus due to seasonality and extraordinary weather/wildfire impacts embedded in Q1.
Disclaimer: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 headwinds were transitory; underlying demand and volumes resumed in March with guidance raised for FY25 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, supporting medium-term trajectory.
  • Advanced imaging and PET/CT growth, plus Digital Health/AI adoption (EBCD >40% blended) are structural drivers of revenue/margins over 2025–2026.
  • TechLive remote scanning and DeepHealth OS implementations should improve staffing efficiency and throughput, mitigating labor inflation into 2026.
  • Strategic iCAD acquisition is a meaningful accelerator for global AI distribution and installed base (>1,500 providers across 50+ countries), enhancing DeepHealth’s commercialization.
  • Reimbursement path: Commercial payer adoption for EBCD appears likely near year-end; Medicare trajectory remains uncertain but 2026 outlook to be clarified mid-2025.
  • Mix shift away from capitation toward higher-rate fee-for-service in select markets could support pricing and margins despite labor cost headwinds.
  • Near-term trading: Expect sentiment to focus on execution vs raised guidance, AI adoption milestones, TechLive rollout progress, and iCAD close/integration; watch any updates on payer reimbursement for EBCD as a catalyst.