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RI

REED'S, INC. (REED)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 net sales rose 4.5% to $10.0M, with gross margin at 33.9% (down 170 bps YoY), reflecting improved fulfillment but higher COGS from capacity and inventory build; operating loss narrowed to $1.7M and net loss to $2.0M .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly beat, while EPS and EBITDA missed due to elevated SG&A and delivery costs tied to growth investments; management expects seasonal gross margin compression in Q2 from promotions/trade spend .
  • Operational execution improved materially: short shipments reduced from ~20% in early Q1 to ~2% by April; production now keeping pace with demand, enabling distribution gains at Albertsons, Sprouts, Costco, and Trader Joe’s .
  • No formal revenue guidance provided; near-term focus on growth and efficiency with continued investment in inventory and marketing to support new functional beverage line and broader retail resets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Fulfillment and supply chain execution improved: short shipments reduced from ~20% at quarter start to ~2% by April; “for the first time in years, production is keeping pace with demand” .
  • Distribution wins across major retailers: +1,100 new points for Reed’s Ginger Ale at Albertsons/Safeway; national off-shelf program for Flying Cauldron; Sprouts and Costco resets; Trader Joe’s state additions .
  • Functional beverage launch underway (SodaSmarter)—national availability at Sprouts (with functional ingredients, 5g sugar, 30–45 calories), positioning the brand in the growing better-for-you category .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin fell to 33.9% (35.6% prior year), driven by higher COGS as capacity and inventory were ramped; delivery/handling costs per case increased to $3.13 ($3.01 prior year) .
  • Operating expenses rose: SG&A increased to $3.5M ($2.6M prior year) as the company invested in personnel and marketing to support growth, widening modified EBITDA loss to $(1.6)M (vs. $(0.4)M) .
  • Cash used in operations increased to $(5.4)M (vs. $(2.4)M), largely due to inventory purchases to improve service levels ahead of demand .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$6.752 $9.733 $10.029
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$1.215 $2.917 $3.402
Gross Margin (%)18.0% 30.0% 33.9%
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(3.138) $(2.909) $(1.742)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(4.150) $(3.367) $(2.031)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.82) $(0.23) $(0.04)
Modified EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(2.998) $(0.748) $(1.634)
Delivery & Handling per Case ($USD)$2.99 $3.00 $3.13
SG&A ($USD Millions)$3.1 $4.1 $3.5

Note: The Q4 2024 earnings call referenced operating loss and SG&A figures that differ from the press release totals (call: op loss $(3.7)M and SG&A $4.8M) vs press release $(2.9)M and $4.1M. We anchor to the press release and flag the discrepancy from call commentary .

Segment breakdown: Not disclosed as formal segments in Q1 2025 materials .

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Short shipments (%)N/AN/A~20% at start → ~2% by April
New points of distribution (select highlights)Post-Q2 constraints re-emerged; liquidity fixes announced >8,000 functional points secured for launch (expected Apr–Aug) +1,100 Albertsons/Safeway (Ginger Ale); Sprouts programs; Costco CA/HI; Trader Joe’s multi-state
Packaging transition (glass→cans)In progress; targeted to reduce costs Transition accelerating (Whole Foods, HEB) Ongoing; well-received by retailers/consumers

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025Company historically does not provide guidance No guidance provided Maintained “no guidance”
Gross MarginQ2 2025N/AExpect modest seasonal compression due to promotions/trade spend Lower (qualitative)
Operating Efficiency / OpExFY 2025Focus on growth and efficiency reiterated Continued discipline; upfront SG&A investments to support growth Maintained focus; near-term investment
Inventory / FulfillmentFY 2025Capital raised in Dec’24 to rebuild inventory Short shipments reduced; production keeping pace with demand Positive operational shift

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prev Q-2)Q4 2024 (Prev Q-1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Supply chain & inventoryInventory shortfalls re-emerged; liquidity constrained; sales impacted by ~$4.4M Capital raise and debt restructuring to rebuild inventory; aiming for steady cadence Fulfillment rates materially improved; short shipments from ~20% to ~2% by April Improving execution
Packaging (glass→cans)Efficiency gains targeted Transition accelerating at Whole Foods/HEB; expected cost and price benefits Transition ongoing; well received; supports scalable GTM Structural cost tailwind
Functional beverage innovationAnnounced intent to expand; constraints delayed execution Detailed formulation and retailer commitments; 8,000+ points Launched SodaSmarter; national at Sprouts; functional ingredients messaging New growth vector
Tariffs/macroNot a primary factor cited; debt burden noted Focus on retailer resets; category dynamics Minimal direct tariff exposure; diversified sourcing; monitoring packaging/ginger Limited near-term impact
Distribution expansionOrders strong but constrained by inventory Costco rotations, Walmart mini cans, multiple chains added Albertsons/Safeway +1,100 PDs; Sprouts national programs; Costco; Trader Joe’s Broadening footprint
Uplisting/major exchangeNot discussedManagement outlined multi-quarter path to uplisting criteria No comment on listing in Q1 call Deferred until sustained performance
SG&A & delivery costsSG&A elevated vs sales; liquidity constrained promotions SG&A up; non-cash items in Q4 noted SG&A up to support growth; delivery cost per case higher YoY Near-term pressure, longer-term discipline

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Cyril Wallace): “We materially improved fulfillment rates, reducing short shipments from ~20% at the start of the quarter to ~2% in April… For the first time in years, production is now keeping pace with demand.”
  • CFO (Doug McCurdy): “Net sales… increased 4.5% to $10 million… Gross margin was 33.9% vs 35.6% last year, impacted by higher COGS as we increased capacity and inventory… SG&A was $3.5 million, driven by investment in people and marketing.”
  • Strategy & portfolio: Launch of multifunctional SodaSmarter line (organic ginger, prebiotic fiber, adaptogenic mushrooms; 5g sugar per can) with national availability at Sprouts and broader rollout .
  • Distribution: +1,100 new PDs at Albertsons/Safeway; national off-shelf program with Flying Cauldron; Costco California/Hawaii; Trader Joe’s multi-state additions .

Q&A Highlights

  • OpEx trajectory: SG&A elevated due to upfront investments; management expects continued discipline while supporting growth; delivery/handling and SG&A remain a focus .
  • Gross margin outlook: Expect seasonal compression in Q2 due to promotions/trade spend tied to functional beverage launch .
  • Guidance: Company did not provide revenue guidance and historically does not provide guidance .
  • Listing: No comment on relisting in Q1; prior quarter indicated multi-quarter operating performance needed before uplisting application .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 Consensus*Q1 2025 ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$9.847M*$10.029M Beat (~$0.182M; +1.8%)*
Primary EPS ($USD)$(0.18)*$(0.04) (company-reported diluted) Miss vs consensus Primary EPS (definitions differ)*
EBITDA ($USD)$(0.552)M*$(1.634)M (Modified EBITDA) Miss (company’s Modified EBITDA vs consensus EBITDA)*

Notes: Company-reported EPS is diluted net loss per share; S&P “Primary EPS” and consensus “EBITDA” may use differing definitions and share bases versus company-reported diluted EPS and Modified EBITDA, contributing to divergence.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution turning the corner: Fulfillment and inventory rebuild are supporting revenue stabilization and margin recovery; watch Q2 margins given planned promotions .
  • Growth investments: SG&A and delivery/handling costs elevated to support resets and innovation; track opex discipline and leverage as revenue scales .
  • New product catalyst: SodaSmarter functional line positions REED in a faster-growing category; monitor adoption beyond Sprouts and incremental points of distribution .
  • Distribution breadth: Stronger presence at Albertsons/Safeway, Costco, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts should aid top-line momentum if in-stock remains high .
  • Estimate revisions: Revenue beat may nudge top-line estimates higher, but EPS/EBITDA misses likely temper near-term profitability expectations; emphasize mix of promotional activity and opex strategy in modeling*.
  • Cash dynamics: Elevated operating cash use tied to inventory build; liquidity position improved with prior private placement—track working capital trends through 2H’25 .
  • Medium-term thesis: If operational improvements persist and innovation gains traction, REED can expand margins in 2H and demonstrate scalability; uplisting conversation returns after sustained performance .