Sign in
RG

Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 revenue was $419.5M, up 25% year over year; adjusted EBITDA was $61.2M (15% margin), and GAAP net income was $8.8M, exceeding Q3 guidance midpoints by ~$7M on both revenue and adjusted EBITDA .
  • Wall Street consensus: revenue beat ($419.5M vs $413.7M*), and Primary EPS (normalized) modestly beat (0.1812 vs 0.177*); management raised FY 2025 revenue guidance to $1.619–$1.621B and FY adjusted EBITDA to $234–$236M . Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Operational momentum: send volume +35% to $19.5B; quarterly active customers +21% to ~8.9M; strong traction in high-amount senders (+40% YoY send volume) and Remitly Business (active businesses ~10,000; send volume nearly doubled sequentially) .
  • Near-term catalysts: increased FY guidance, Q4 outlook ($426–$428M revenue; $50–$52M adjusted EBITDA), and Investor Day on Dec 9, 2025; medium-term tailwinds include the 1% tax on cash remittances starting Jan 1, 2026, favoring digital channels .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Trust and reliability metrics strengthened: 99.99% uptime, >94% of transactions disbursed in under an hour, >97% completed without customer support contact; underscores product reliability and cost leverage from AI-driven operations .
  • New customer categories and product momentum: Remitly Business expanded to UK and Canada, active businesses ~10,000, average transaction sizes ~2x consumer, send volume nearly doubled sequentially; high-amount senders saw +40% YoY send volume and +200 bps mix shift for $1K+ transfers .
  • Flex (send-now-pay-later) scaling: >100,000 active users; revenue nearly doubled sequentially; ~90% of $20.8M receivables current with immaterial charge-offs since inception, indicating prudent underwriting and capital efficiency .

Quote (CEO): “We deliver trust by mastering complexity on the inside so we can deliver radical simplicity on the outside.”

What Went Wrong

  • Take rate compression amid customer mix/pricing investments, offset by RLTE dollar growth (+23.4% YoY to $272.8M) as management focuses investors on RLTE over gross take rate; implies some near-term margin trade-offs in certain corridors/customer segments .
  • Rest of world revenue growth decelerated sequentially (toughest comp: Q3 2024 +58% YoY), highlighting base effects and corridor-specific dynamics despite ongoing outperformance in Mexico receive .
  • 2026 preliminary outlook “high teens” revenue growth acknowledges immigration headwinds in key send countries (U.S., Canada), tempering near-term contribution from new products and tax tailwinds .

Financial Results

Core P&L and Operating Metrics (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$361.6 $411.9 $419.5
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$58.4 $64.0 $61.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)16.2% 15.5% 14.6%
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$11.4 $6.5 $8.8
Send Volume ($USD Billions)$16.2 $18.5 $19.5
Quarterly Active Customers (Millions)~8.0 ~8.5 ~8.9
RLTE ($USD Millions)$240 $268 $273

Notes: Adjusted EBITDA and margin are non-GAAP measures per company definitions .

Q3 2025 KPI Detail

KPIQ3 2025
Day Rate (%)2.15%
Transaction Expenses ($USD Millions)$146.7
Provision for Transaction Losses ($USD Millions; bps of send volume)$25.0; 12.8 bps
Marketing Spend (GAAP) ($USD Millions)$91.8
Marketing (Non-GAAP) ($USD Millions)$87.5
Technology & Development (GAAP) ($USD Millions)$80.4
G&A (GAAP) ($USD Millions)$56.0

Geographic and Category Highlights (YoY Growth)

CategoryQ3 2025 YoY
U.S. send-side revenue growth+28%
Rest of world send-side revenue growth+20% (decelerating given tough prior-year comp)
Receive revenue outside India/Philippines/Mexico+31%
Mexico receive corridorOutpaced overall revenue; share gains with localized innovation (e.g., QR-code cash pickup)
High-amount senders (> $1K) send volume growth+40%; +200 bps mix shift
Remitly Business~10,000 active businesses; send volume nearly doubled sequentially

Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 ActualDelta
Revenue ($USD)$413,725,830*$419,494,000 +$5,768,170 (beat)
Primary EPS (Normalized) ($)0.177*0.1812*+0.004 (beat)

Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global. Company reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.04 in Q3 2025; S&P “Primary EPS” reflects normalized EPS and is not directly comparable to GAAP diluted EPS .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025$1.610–$1.620 $1.619–$1.621 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$225–$230 $234–$236 Raised
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$426–$428 Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$50–$52 Initiated
GAAP Net IncomeQ4 2025Positive expected Initiated

Note: Company expects positive GAAP net income for Q4 and full-year 2025 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiativesAgentic AI driving lower cost-to-serve and higher conversion; WhatsApp onboarding; strong reliability metrics (93% <1 hr; 95% no support) 99.99% uptime; >94% disbursed <1 hr; >97% completed without support; AI virtual assistant reduces contact rates Strengthening operational leverage
StablecoinsStrategy preview; treasury efficiencies; planned wallet USDC; payout via Bridge (Stripe) Tokenized USD liquidity for near real-time treasury; USDC wallet in U.S.; payout rails in Nigeria/Argentina Scaling across treasury and customer rails
Remitly One / FlexProduct announced; Remitly One membership, Wallet, Card; Flex “send now, pay later” Flex >100k active users; revenue nearly doubled sequentially; ~90% receivables current; immaterial charge-offs Rapid adoption with prudent credit performance
Remitly BusinessLarge TAM expansion (2T→22T); strong retention/LTV; launch momentum Expanded to UK/Canada; ~10k active businesses; average transaction ~2x consumer; send volume nearly doubled sequentially Accelerating with market expansion
Macro/regulatoryResilience in remittances; FX management Preliminary 2026 growth “high teens” with immigration headwinds; expected tailwind from 1% tax on cash remittances starting Jan 1, 2026 Mixed: near-term headwinds vs policy tailwind

Management Commentary

  • CEO on trust and platform reliability: “We deliver trust by mastering complexity on the inside so we can deliver radical simplicity on the outside… 99.99% uptime… over 94%… under an hour… over 97%… without customer support contact.”
  • CEO on customer categories: “Raised send limits… up to $100,000 per transfer… +40% YoY send volume growth for customers sending more than $1,000… +200 bps mix shift.”
  • CFO on focus metric: “RLTE dollars grew 23.4% to $272.8 million… RLTE, as a percentage of revenue… 65%… focusing on long-term RLTE dollar growth.”
  • CEO on stablecoins and treasury: “Tokenized portions of our U.S. dollar liquidity to move funds across markets in near real time… integrated stablecoins into our payout network… in Nigeria and Argentina.”
  • CEO on 2026 policy tailwind: “The One Big Beautiful Bill… imposes a 1% tax on cash… exempts digitally funded transactions… significantly amplifies the advantage of our digital-first model.”

Q&A Highlights

  • 2026 outlook: Management guided to “high teens” revenue growth, citing immigration headwinds and early-stage contributions from new products and remittance tax tailwind; prioritizes balanced growth and margin expansion .
  • Incremental margins and investment mix: Balanced capital deployment to drive productivity gains and efficiencies while investing in future bets (AI, stablecoins, products) .
  • Take rate vs RLTE: Management emphasized RLTE dollars as the “North Star” due to mix/pricing effects; acknowledged experimental price investments for high-amount senders .
  • Flex credit quality: ~90% of receivables current; negligible >90-days past due balances; immaterial charge-offs since inception; charge-offs beyond 120 days; cohort aging encouraging .
  • Business vs high-dollar economics: Business average transaction sizes ~2x consumer; sequential send volume nearly doubled; KYB and risk checks improved approvals and reduced friction .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue beat: $419.5M actual vs $413.7M* consensus; consistent with beat vs Q3 guidance midpoint .
  • Primary EPS (normalized) modestly beat: 0.1812 actual vs 0.177* consensus; note company’s GAAP diluted EPS was $0.04, reflecting different definitions vs SPGI normalized EPS .
  • EBITDA/Adjusted EBITDA: SPGI’s EBITDA consensus may reflect GAAP EBITDA; company reports non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $61.2M. Use caution comparing these metrics; investor communication anchors on adjusted EBITDA .

Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable growth with profitability: Q3 delivered 25% revenue growth and 15% adjusted EBITDA margin, beating guidance; RLTE growth underscores scalability even with customer mix shifts .
  • Structural share gains: High-amount senders and Remitly Business are expanding TAM and transaction sizes, supporting send-per-customer growth and long-term margin leverage .
  • Product-led engagement: Flex and Remitly One deepen relationships and diversify revenue (fees, membership, interchange) with disciplined credit risk management .
  • Digital-first advantage into 2026: The 1% tax on cash remittances should accelerate digital migration, benefiting Remitly’s model; monitor immigration policy headwinds in U.S./Canada .
  • Q4 setup: Revenue $426–$428M and adjusted EBITDA $50–$52M; expect slightly higher transaction expenses as % of revenue and continued ROI-focused marketing investments .
  • Focus metric: Track RLTE dollars and adjusted EBITDA margins rather than gross take rate given corridor/pricing mix; continued AI/stablecoin efficiencies should support opex leverage .
  • Near-term action: Raised FY guidance and upcoming Investor Day (Dec 9) are potential stock catalysts; watch disclosures on Flex unit economics, Business scaling, and 2026 formal guide .