RG
Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $419.5M, up 25% year over year; adjusted EBITDA was $61.2M (15% margin), and GAAP net income was $8.8M, exceeding Q3 guidance midpoints by ~$7M on both revenue and adjusted EBITDA .
- Wall Street consensus: revenue beat ($419.5M vs $413.7M*), and Primary EPS (normalized) modestly beat (0.1812 vs 0.177*); management raised FY 2025 revenue guidance to $1.619–$1.621B and FY adjusted EBITDA to $234–$236M . Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
- Operational momentum: send volume +35% to $19.5B; quarterly active customers +21% to ~8.9M; strong traction in high-amount senders (+40% YoY send volume) and Remitly Business (active businesses ~10,000; send volume nearly doubled sequentially) .
- Near-term catalysts: increased FY guidance, Q4 outlook ($426–$428M revenue; $50–$52M adjusted EBITDA), and Investor Day on Dec 9, 2025; medium-term tailwinds include the 1% tax on cash remittances starting Jan 1, 2026, favoring digital channels .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Trust and reliability metrics strengthened: 99.99% uptime, >94% of transactions disbursed in under an hour, >97% completed without customer support contact; underscores product reliability and cost leverage from AI-driven operations .
- New customer categories and product momentum: Remitly Business expanded to UK and Canada, active businesses ~10,000, average transaction sizes ~2x consumer, send volume nearly doubled sequentially; high-amount senders saw +40% YoY send volume and +200 bps mix shift for $1K+ transfers .
- Flex (send-now-pay-later) scaling: >100,000 active users; revenue nearly doubled sequentially; ~90% of $20.8M receivables current with immaterial charge-offs since inception, indicating prudent underwriting and capital efficiency .
Quote (CEO): “We deliver trust by mastering complexity on the inside so we can deliver radical simplicity on the outside.”
What Went Wrong
- Take rate compression amid customer mix/pricing investments, offset by RLTE dollar growth (+23.4% YoY to $272.8M) as management focuses investors on RLTE over gross take rate; implies some near-term margin trade-offs in certain corridors/customer segments .
- Rest of world revenue growth decelerated sequentially (toughest comp: Q3 2024 +58% YoY), highlighting base effects and corridor-specific dynamics despite ongoing outperformance in Mexico receive .
- 2026 preliminary outlook “high teens” revenue growth acknowledges immigration headwinds in key send countries (U.S., Canada), tempering near-term contribution from new products and tax tailwinds .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Operating Metrics (Quarterly)
Notes: Adjusted EBITDA and margin are non-GAAP measures per company definitions .
Q3 2025 KPI Detail
Geographic and Category Highlights (YoY Growth)
Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global. Company reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.04 in Q3 2025; S&P “Primary EPS” reflects normalized EPS and is not directly comparable to GAAP diluted EPS .
Guidance Changes
Note: Company expects positive GAAP net income for Q4 and full-year 2025 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on trust and platform reliability: “We deliver trust by mastering complexity on the inside so we can deliver radical simplicity on the outside… 99.99% uptime… over 94%… under an hour… over 97%… without customer support contact.”
- CEO on customer categories: “Raised send limits… up to $100,000 per transfer… +40% YoY send volume growth for customers sending more than $1,000… +200 bps mix shift.”
- CFO on focus metric: “RLTE dollars grew 23.4% to $272.8 million… RLTE, as a percentage of revenue… 65%… focusing on long-term RLTE dollar growth.”
- CEO on stablecoins and treasury: “Tokenized portions of our U.S. dollar liquidity to move funds across markets in near real time… integrated stablecoins into our payout network… in Nigeria and Argentina.”
- CEO on 2026 policy tailwind: “The One Big Beautiful Bill… imposes a 1% tax on cash… exempts digitally funded transactions… significantly amplifies the advantage of our digital-first model.”
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 outlook: Management guided to “high teens” revenue growth, citing immigration headwinds and early-stage contributions from new products and remittance tax tailwind; prioritizes balanced growth and margin expansion .
- Incremental margins and investment mix: Balanced capital deployment to drive productivity gains and efficiencies while investing in future bets (AI, stablecoins, products) .
- Take rate vs RLTE: Management emphasized RLTE dollars as the “North Star” due to mix/pricing effects; acknowledged experimental price investments for high-amount senders .
- Flex credit quality: ~90% of receivables current; negligible >90-days past due balances; immaterial charge-offs since inception; charge-offs beyond 120 days; cohort aging encouraging .
- Business vs high-dollar economics: Business average transaction sizes ~2x consumer; sequential send volume nearly doubled; KYB and risk checks improved approvals and reduced friction .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: $419.5M actual vs $413.7M* consensus; consistent with beat vs Q3 guidance midpoint .
- Primary EPS (normalized) modestly beat: 0.1812 actual vs 0.177* consensus; note company’s GAAP diluted EPS was $0.04, reflecting different definitions vs SPGI normalized EPS .
- EBITDA/Adjusted EBITDA: SPGI’s EBITDA consensus may reflect GAAP EBITDA; company reports non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $61.2M. Use caution comparing these metrics; investor communication anchors on adjusted EBITDA .
Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Durable growth with profitability: Q3 delivered 25% revenue growth and 15% adjusted EBITDA margin, beating guidance; RLTE growth underscores scalability even with customer mix shifts .
- Structural share gains: High-amount senders and Remitly Business are expanding TAM and transaction sizes, supporting send-per-customer growth and long-term margin leverage .
- Product-led engagement: Flex and Remitly One deepen relationships and diversify revenue (fees, membership, interchange) with disciplined credit risk management .
- Digital-first advantage into 2026: The 1% tax on cash remittances should accelerate digital migration, benefiting Remitly’s model; monitor immigration policy headwinds in U.S./Canada .
- Q4 setup: Revenue $426–$428M and adjusted EBITDA $50–$52M; expect slightly higher transaction expenses as % of revenue and continued ROI-focused marketing investments .
- Focus metric: Track RLTE dollars and adjusted EBITDA margins rather than gross take rate given corridor/pricing mix; continued AI/stablecoin efficiencies should support opex leverage .
- Near-term action: Raised FY guidance and upcoming Investor Day (Dec 9) are potential stock catalysts; watch disclosures on Flex unit economics, Business scaling, and 2026 formal guide .