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Replimune Group, Inc. (REPL)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2026 EPS of -$0.90 missed Wall Street consensus of -$0.79*, with no revenue reported; net loss was $83.1M as operating expenses moderated sequentially while remaining elevated YoY .
- Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments fell to $323.6M from $403.3M in Q1 and $483.8M in Q4 FY2025; management reiterated a cash runway “late into the fourth quarter of 2026” .
- FDA accepted the RP1 BLA resubmission with an April 10, 2026 PDUFA target action date; Type A meeting minutes indicated IGNYTE-3 could potentially support approval, reframing the regulatory narrative post-CRL .
- Updated clinical/biomarker data at SITC showed RP1+nivolumab reversing resistance mechanisms with ORR 33.6% and median DOR 24.8 months; acral melanoma analysis presented at ESMO showed 44% ORR, supporting efficacy signals ahead of PDUFA .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- FDA accepted RP1 BLA resubmission; IGNYTE-3 “could potentially support approval.” CEO: “We are currently partnering with the agency on the ongoing review to bring this important therapy to patients.” .
- SITC late-breaking abstract: RP1+nivolumab upregulated gene signatures linked to PD-1 responsiveness; ORR 33.6% with 24.8-month median DOR, consistent responses across PD-L1 strata and resistance settings .
- ESMO acral melanoma subgroup: ORR 44% (8/18) with 11.9-month median DOR; favorable safety with mostly transient grade 1–2 TRAEs .
What Went Wrong
- EPS missed consensus; reported -$0.90 vs -$0.79*, reflecting sustained R&D and SG&A investment for IGNYTE-3 and commercialization readiness .
- YoY operating expenses rose (R&D $57.9M vs $43.4M; SG&A $26.4M vs $15.5M), widening YoY net loss ($83.1M vs $53.1M) .
- Rapid cash burn (cash down to $323.6M from $403.3M in Q1 and $483.8M in Q4), compressing balance sheet metrics (equity $263.3M vs $336.7M in Q1) .
Financial Results
KPIs and clinical signals:
Estimates comparison:
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on BLA acceptance: “We are currently partnering with the agency on the ongoing review to bring this important therapy to patients.” .
- CEO on RP1 post-CRL: “We are committed to finding an expeditious path forward with the FDA.” .
- CMO on SITC data: “RP1 plus nivolumab can potentially reprogram the tumor microenvironment and reverse mechanisms of resistance to immune checkpoint blockade.” .
- Strategic focus: Maintain IGNYTE-3 momentum and broaden RP2 program while preserving late-Q4 FY2026 runway .
Q&A Highlights
- The Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript was not accessible via our tools; MarketBeat lists the conference call as Nov 6, 2025 at 8:30am ET, but no transcript content is available to extract Q&A themes .
- No guidance clarifications beyond press release disclosures could be confirmed due to transcript unavailability .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Q2 FY2026 actual -$0.90 vs consensus -$0.79* (miss of -$0.11); Q1 actual -$0.95 vs -$0.80* (miss of -$0.15). Persistent opex investment drove underperformance vs consensus despite sequential opex moderation .
- Revenue: Company did not report revenue; consensus expected $0.50M* in Q2 and $0.00M* in Q1. The pre-revenue status remains consistent with clinical-stage profile.
- Estimates likely need to reflect: sustained SG&A for launch readiness, IGNYTE-3 costs in R&D, and the PDUFA timing shift to April 2026.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Regulatory path re-established: RP1 BLA resubmission acceptance with 4/10/26 PDUFA and FDA signaling IGNYTE-3 could support approval resets the medium-term catalyst calendar .
- Clinical momentum: SITC/ESMO data reinforce efficacy/durability claims and mechanistic rationale, supporting approval prospects and potential label discussions post-approval .
- Cash runway to late Q4 FY2026 provides operational flexibility through PDUFA and early commercialization, but burn rate warrants monitoring as SG&A and R&D remain high .
- Near-term trading lens: Expect stock sensitivity to FDA interactions, IGNYTE-3 updates, and SITC/ESMO data reception; an additional data de-risking could improve sentiment into PDUFA .
- Estimate revisions: Consensus should reflect continued opex, lack of revenue until commercialization, and timing changes in RP2 programs; EPS misses driven by investment rather than execution shortfalls .
- Watch confirmatory design clarity: Detailed IGNYTE-3 operational progress and endpoints (OS primary) may shape payer and clinician expectations post-approval .
- Risk checks: Prior CRL and compressed balance sheet necessitate tight execution on manufacturing, commercial build, and regulatory timelines; emphasis on capital discipline through 2026 .