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Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2025 reflected minimal revenue and materially higher operating loss as RFL consolidated Cyclo Therapeutics, Cornerstone and Day Three; net loss widened to $12.1M ($0.28) vs $4.5M ($0.19) YoY, with revenue of $0.35M vs $0.17M YoY . Cash ended the quarter at $52.8M, bolstered by a $25M rights offering in June (backstopped by the Jonas family) .
  • Clinical catalyst progressed: the independent DMC recommended continuing the 96-week Phase 3 TransportNPC study at the 48‑week interim analysis, and FDA accepted the study’s statistical analysis plan—both supportive of program momentum .
  • Operating expenses rose sharply (R&D $7.5M; G&A $5.5M) on Cyclo integration and consolidated subsidiaries; management reiterated focus on Trappsol Cyclo for NPC1 and strengthening the balance sheet post-rights offering .
  • No formal financial guidance or transcripted earnings call was available; near-term stock catalysts center on ongoing Phase 3 execution and regulatory interactions (e.g., readouts, SAP-driven analysis milestones) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Phase 3 momentum: DMC recommended TransportNPC continue through 96 weeks upon 48-week interim review; FDA accepted the SAP—key de-risking steps for late-stage execution .
    • Balance sheet strengthened: $25M rights offering closed in June; Q4 cash and equivalents at $52.8M support continued development and potential regulatory readiness .
    • Strategic focus reinforced: “We enhanced our financial position with the closing of a $25 million rights offering in June…positions our Company well to advance the Trappsol Cyclo program and invest in additional opportunities we may identify,” — Howard Jonas, CEO .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Losses widened materially: Q4 operating loss ($12.8M) and net loss ($12.1M) increased vs prior periods due to consolidation of Cyclo, Cornerstone, and Day Three .
    • OpEx escalation: R&D rose to $7.5M (from $1.5M YoY) and G&A to $5.5M (from $2.3M YoY), reflecting integration and expanded clinical operations .
    • No earnings call transcript or quantitative guidance, limiting visibility on runway burn cadence or timing of future milestones; year-over-year revenue remains de minimis ($0.35M) relative to expenses .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L and cash (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
Revenues ($USD ‘000s)$77 $362 $350
Operating Loss / EBIT ($USD ‘000s)$(6,639) $(5,913) $(12,763)
Net Loss Attributable to RFL ($USD ‘000s)$(4,641) $(4,779) $(12,094)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.19) $(0.19) $(0.28)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD ‘000s)$48,319 $37,936 $52,769

Q4 YoY comparison

MetricQ4 2024Q4 2025YoY Δ
Revenues ($USD ‘000s)$165 $350 +$185
Operating Loss / EBIT ($USD ‘000s)$(3,845) $(12,763) $(8,918)
Net Loss Attributable to RFL ($USD ‘000s)$(4,468) $(12,094) $(7,626)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.19) $(0.28) $(0.09)

Operating expense KPIs

OpEx ($USD ‘000s)Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
R&D$947 $3,003 $7,547
G&A$2,591 $3,170 $5,497

Notes:

  • YoY and QoQ operating loss expansion driven by consolidation of Cyclo Therapeutics (March 2025), Cornerstone, and Day Three .
  • Revenue remains modest relative to program scale; no segment reporting disclosed. COGS lines reflect infusion technology/product costs but do not indicate material gross margin structure .

Guidance Changes

RFL did not issue quantitative financial guidance for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rate in Q4 FY2025 materials. Program milestones disclosed (not guidance): DMC continuation to 96 weeks and FDA SAP acceptance for TransportNPC; $25M rights offering closed to support program and potential regulatory readiness .

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial guidance (Revenue, Margins, OpEx, EPS)FY/Q4 2025NoneNoneMaintained (no guidance)
Program milestone (TransportNPC DMC/SAP)2025N/AContinue to 96 wks; SAP acceptedUpdate (positive milestone)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; themes below are drawn from Q2–Q4 press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2025, Q3 2025)Current Period (Q4 2025)Trend
TransportNPC Phase 3 statusAnticipated 48-week interim in mid-2025; merger to focus on Trappsol Cyclo DMC recommended continuation to 96 weeks; FDA accepted SAP Positive execution momentum
Balance sheet / financingCash $48.3M; proposed $25M rights offering Rights offering closed; cash $52.8M at Q4-end Strengthened
Corporate actionsMerger with Cyclo closed Mar 26; integration underway COO appointment (Aug 4); Board/Audit changes; leadership condolences for Lead Independent Director Organizational buildout
R&D expense trajectoryR&D $0.9M in Q2; $3.0M in Q3 R&D $7.5M in Q4 with Cyclo consolidation Scaling with program
Regulatory positioningPreparing for interim analysis FDA accepted SAP; ongoing global Phase 3 and OLE Advancing

Management Commentary

  • “We enhanced our financial position with the closing of a $25 million rights offering in June, which positions our Company well to advance the Trappsol Cyclo program and invest in additional opportunities we may identify.” — Howard Jonas, CEO .
  • “We are pleased with the continued progress of our pivotal Phase 3 TransportNPC study evaluating Trappsol Cyclo for the treatment of Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1…” — Howard Jonas .
  • “The recommendation made by the independent DMC to continue the study to 96 weeks, boosts our determination to the continued clinical evaluation of the potential of Trappsol Cyclo as a systemic and neurological treatment option…” — Howard S. Jonas .

Q&A Highlights

No Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, no public Q&A to summarize [ListDocuments returned none for earnings-call-transcript].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus: S&P Global showed no published EPS or revenue consensus for RFL for Q2–Q4 FY2025, likely reflecting limited analyst coverage of this development-stage biotech. As a result, beat/miss analysis vs consensus is not available. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • TransportNPC de-risking milestones (DMC continuation, FDA SAP acceptance) are constructive, with the pivotal program advancing on schedule; this remains the primary value driver and near-term stock catalyst .
  • Balance sheet runway improved post-$25M rights offering; Q4 cash $52.8M provides funding visibility for trial completion and regulatory workstreams, though OpEx is rising with trial scale-up .
  • Losses will remain elevated absent commercial revenue; increased R&D and G&A reflect consolidation of Cyclo and other subsidiaries and late-stage trial costs .
  • No quantitative financial guidance and no call transcript limit near-term visibility; monitoring future clinical disclosures, regulatory updates and cash burn cadence is critical .
  • Governance and management changes (COO appointment; Audit Chair change) indicate continued organizational alignment toward late-stage development and potential commercialization readiness .
  • In the near term, trading likely hinges on TransportNPC execution signals and any interim analyses or regulatory feedback; medium term depends on pivotal outcomes and regulatory path-to-market for NPC1 .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

Select quarterly details

ItemQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
R&D ($USD ‘000s)$947 $3,003 $7,547
G&A ($USD ‘000s)$2,591 $3,170 $5,497
Shares outstanding (weighted avg, basic & diluted)24.15M 25.24M 43.01M

Corporate and program milestones

  • Rights offering finalized June 4, 2025; net proceeds ~ $24.9M after expenses; post-transaction ~50.9M Class B shares outstanding .
  • Cyclo Therapeutics merger closed Mar 26, 2025; RFL identified Trappsol Cyclo as lead clinical asset .
  • DMC continuation and FDA SAP acceptance for TransportNPC announced Jun 18, 2025 .
  • Governance updates: Passing of Lead Independent Director Stephen Greenberg; Alan Grayson appointed to Board; Markus Sieger named Audit Committee Chair and Lead Independent Director (Oct 28, 2025) .

All referenced financial statements and disclosures are from the company’s 8-Ks and press releases for Q2–Q4 FY2025: March 13–14, 2025; June 11, 2025; and October 28–29, 2025 .