Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Riot delivered record Q3 revenue of $180.2M and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.26, driven by higher bitcoin prices, increased operational hash rate, and strong power-credit execution .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: Revenue $180.2M vs $172.3M*, Primary EPS $0.19* vs $0.13*, and EBITDA $134.0M* vs $76.1M*; company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $197.2M (note: different definitions) *.
- Management advanced its data center pivot: initiated core & shell development on two Corsicana buildings (112MW), construction start Q1’26, first core/shell completion targeted Q1’27, and 600MW substation still guided to energize in Q1’26 .
- Bitcoin mining KPIs remained strong: 1,406 BTC mined, cost to mine ex-D&A of $46,324/BTC, 86% utilization, 3.2 c/kWh net power cost, $31M in power credits; BTC holdings at quarter-end were 19,287 (~$2.2B) .
- Potential stock catalysts: (1) first hyperscale/enterprise lease signing at Corsicana, (2) continued SG&A discipline, (3) conversion of megawatts into contracted data center leases (management expects a valuation re-rating upon lease signings) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record quarterly revenue ($180.2M) and profitability: Net income $104.5M (EPS $0.26) and Adjusted EBITDA $197.2M, supported by higher BTC price and power strategy .
- Data center strategy milestones: initiation of 112MW core & shell; basis of design completed; 67-acre adjacent land acquisition enabling full 1GW on Riot-owned land; deepening technical engagement with hyperscalers/“NeoClouds” .
- Management tone on demand/pricing: “Demand for power is insatiable... they keep thinking they’re going to catch up, and they’re not” and confidence that location/timelines support “very strong economics” with high-quality tenants .
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What Went Wrong
- BTC production dipped slightly QoQ (1,406 vs 1,426) as global network hash rate rose ~8% QoQ, outpacing Riot’s ~3% growth; cost to mine ex-D&A remained elevated at $46,324/BTC (down vs Q2 but above Q1) .
- No signed data center leases yet; timeline requires core & shell build (start Q1’26) and target energization in 2027, pushing revenue realization beyond 2026 .
- “Primary EPS” per S&P was below GAAP diluted EPS (0.19* vs $0.26), and S&P EBITDA actual (134.0M*) was well below company Adjusted EBITDA (197.2M), highlighting metric-definition gaps that may create investor confusion *.
Financial Results
Overall results vs prior quarters and vs S&P Global consensus (Q3 2025 only):
Values marked with * are from S&P Global (consensus/actuals per S&P methodology).
Segment revenue mix:
Key KPIs and operating metrics:
Notes: S&P “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” differ from GAAP diluted EPS and company-reported Adjusted EBITDA. Consensus comparisons use S&P conventions.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic pivot: “We are initiating the core and shell development of the first two buildings at our Corsicana Data Center campus, representing 112 megawatts of critical IT... enabling delivery of build-to-suit data centers in 2027” .
- Market backdrop: “Demand for power is insatiable… data center infrastructure looks likely to extend for years… they keep thinking they’re going to catch up, and they’re not” .
- Leasing economics: “Location and readiness position us to get the best possible deal... we can command very strong economics and attract high-quality tenants” .
- Portfolio value: “Riot currently trades at a meaningful discount despite one of the largest, fully approved, readily available power portfolios… converting MW to leases should drive re-rating” .
- Capital & funding: “~$400M in Bitcoin and strong cash flows from mining help fund development” .
Q&A Highlights
- Leasing path and prebuilding: Management emphasized core & shell (“core & shell plus”) de-risks timelines and provides leverage in negotiations with hyperscalers; it enables faster tenant fit-out and validates readiness for service in 2027 .
- Site strategy beyond Corsicana: Rockdale (700MW approved, operating campus) shares attractive attributes; Corsicana near-term focus, Rockdale next logical step for future development .
- Power pipeline: Company remains active in adding power capacity but will prioritize current high-ROI opportunity; higher hurdle for new additions near term .
- Expected lease economics: Favorable locations (Dallas/Austin proximity) and delivery timelines support better pricing and higher-quality tenants (hyperscalers/enterprise/NeoClouds) .
- PUE/efficiency: Base case PUE ~1.49 with efforts to improve; capex for first cores & shells ~$214M with long-lead items being secured in a capital-efficient way .
Estimates Context
Q3 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus (S&P methodologies/definitions):
Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Note: S&P “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” differ from GAAP diluted EPS and company “Adjusted EBITDA” ($197.2M) .
Implications:
- Across S&P metrics, Q3 was a broad beat; we expect upward revisions to near-term revenue/EBITDA and potential multiple support as investors frame Riot through a data center optionality lens.
- Watch for consensus adjustments to incorporate core & shell timeline, PUE assumptions, and the cadence of potential lease signings.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Q3 delivered revenue/EPS/EBITDA beats vs S&P; mining margins benefited from power credits and higher BTC pricing; tactical trades may track BTC price and further curtailment credits *.
- Medium-term: Core & shell initiation (112MW) and substation energization in Q1’26 underpin a 2027 delivery path, setting the stage for lease announcements that could re-rate valuation per MW .
- Execution focus: Leasing with high-credit hyperscalers/enterprises is the critical next catalyst; management indicates strong interest and leverage from location/timelines .
- Cost structure: SG&A discipline and SBC step-down by Q3’26 improve earnings quality; engineering synergies reduce capex and de-risk supply chain .
- Risk factors: Absence of signed leases, BTC price/ hash-price volatility, and industry lead times for power/fiber could push monetization timing .
- Capital resources: $330.7M cash, $75.6M restricted cash, and 19,287 BTC (~$2.2B at $114,068) provide funding for development without near-term equity needs .
- Monitoring: Track (1) first lease signing, (2) substation energization progress, (3) BTC mining cost to mine and power credit cadence, (4) engineering backlog and deliveries .
All non-S&P figures are sourced from Riot’s Q3 2025 8‑K and earnings materials or prior-quarter filings/transcripts: record revenue, EPS, mining metrics, power strategy, engineering backlog, capex plans, and management commentary . Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.