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Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Riot delivered record Q3 revenue of $180.2M and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.26, driven by higher bitcoin prices, increased operational hash rate, and strong power-credit execution .
  • Results beat S&P Global consensus: Revenue $180.2M vs $172.3M*, Primary EPS $0.19* vs $0.13*, and EBITDA $134.0M* vs $76.1M*; company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $197.2M (note: different definitions) *.
  • Management advanced its data center pivot: initiated core & shell development on two Corsicana buildings (112MW), construction start Q1’26, first core/shell completion targeted Q1’27, and 600MW substation still guided to energize in Q1’26 .
  • Bitcoin mining KPIs remained strong: 1,406 BTC mined, cost to mine ex-D&A of $46,324/BTC, 86% utilization, 3.2 c/kWh net power cost, $31M in power credits; BTC holdings at quarter-end were 19,287 (~$2.2B) .
  • Potential stock catalysts: (1) first hyperscale/enterprise lease signing at Corsicana, (2) continued SG&A discipline, (3) conversion of megawatts into contracted data center leases (management expects a valuation re-rating upon lease signings) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record quarterly revenue ($180.2M) and profitability: Net income $104.5M (EPS $0.26) and Adjusted EBITDA $197.2M, supported by higher BTC price and power strategy .
    • Data center strategy milestones: initiation of 112MW core & shell; basis of design completed; 67-acre adjacent land acquisition enabling full 1GW on Riot-owned land; deepening technical engagement with hyperscalers/“NeoClouds” .
    • Management tone on demand/pricing: “Demand for power is insatiable... they keep thinking they’re going to catch up, and they’re not” and confidence that location/timelines support “very strong economics” with high-quality tenants .
  • What Went Wrong

    • BTC production dipped slightly QoQ (1,406 vs 1,426) as global network hash rate rose ~8% QoQ, outpacing Riot’s ~3% growth; cost to mine ex-D&A remained elevated at $46,324/BTC (down vs Q2 but above Q1) .
    • No signed data center leases yet; timeline requires core & shell build (start Q1’26) and target energization in 2027, pushing revenue realization beyond 2026 .
    • “Primary EPS” per S&P was below GAAP diluted EPS (0.19* vs $0.26), and S&P EBITDA actual (134.0M*) was well below company Adjusted EBITDA (197.2M), highlighting metric-definition gaps that may create investor confusion *.

Financial Results

Overall results vs prior quarters and vs S&P Global consensus (Q3 2025 only):

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q3 2025 ConsensusBeat/Miss
Revenue ($M)$161.4 $153.0 $180.2 $172.3*+$7.9M*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.90) $0.65 $0.26 n/an/a
Primary EPS ($, S&P)n/an/a$0.19*$0.13*+$0.06*
Adjusted EBITDA ($M, Company)$(176.3) $495.3 $197.2 n/an/a
EBITDA ($M, S&P)n/an/a$134.0*$76.1*+$57.9M*
Gross Margin (Overall)46% 46%56% n/an/a
Bitcoin Mining Gross Margin53% 50%59% n/an/a

Values marked with * are from S&P Global (consensus/actuals per S&P methodology).

Segment revenue mix:

Segment Revenue ($M)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Bitcoin Mining$142.9 $140.9 $160.8
Engineering$13.9 $10.6 $19.1
Total$161.4 $153.0 $180.2

Key KPIs and operating metrics:

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
BTC Produced (#)1,530 1,426 1,406
Cost to Mine ex-D&A ($/BTC)$43,808 $48,992 $46,324
Hash Rate (Ending, EH/s)33.7 35.4 36.5
Hash Rate Utilization (%)88% 87% 86%
Net Cost of Power (c/kWh)3.4 3.5 3.2
Power Credits ($M)$7.8 $8.3 $31.0
BTC Held (#)19,223 19,273 19,287

Notes: S&P “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” differ from GAAP diluted EPS and company-reported Adjusted EBITDA. Consensus comparisons use S&P conventions.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Corsicana Core & Shell capex for first two buildings (112MW)Next ~18 monthsNot previously specified~$214M total; ~$1.9M per IT MW; construction begins Q1’26; first core/shell completes Q1’27 Introduced
600MW substation expansion (Corsicana)Q1 2026“Early 2026” Energization Q1 2026 (first 400MW auto transformer on-site/installing) Maintained/refined timing
Corsicana Phase 1 campus (504MW critical IT)Multi-yearConcept in prior materials Phase 1 six 56MW + two 84MW buildings; pacing driven by lease signings Clarified scope & sequencing
PUE base case (Corsicana)Future operationsNot previously specified~1.49 base case, targeting improvement Introduced
Financial (Revenue/EPS/FCF) Guidance2025/2026NoneNoneMaintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Data center strategy & leasingFeasibility study completed; engaged advisors; building team; “secure lease with tenant” in progress Initiated 112MW core & shell; basis of design complete; heightened dialogues with hyperscalers/NeoClouds; location/timeline expected to command strong economics Accelerating
Power constraints/macroGrid bottlenecks; demand growth; long energization timelines “Demand for power is insatiable”; scarcity supports leasing terms and valuations Intensifying tailwind
Substation & timelineEarly 2026 completion communicated Q1’26 energization for expansion component; supports 2027 delivery On track
Cost discipline/SG&AHighlighted economies of scale; Rhodium settlement to reduce drag SG&A stable YoY vs revenue +110%; SBC expected to fall to ~$8M by Q3’26 Improving
Engineering backlog & synergiesGrowing backlog; capex savings since ESS Metron acquisition Record backlog $159.6M; ~90% data center; $23M cumulative capex savings Strengthening
Mining efficiencyQ1/Q2: 48–50% GM; power strategy/curtailment credits 59% mining GM; $31M credits; 3.2c/kWh net power cost Improving margins

Management Commentary

  • Strategic pivot: “We are initiating the core and shell development of the first two buildings at our Corsicana Data Center campus, representing 112 megawatts of critical IT... enabling delivery of build-to-suit data centers in 2027” .
  • Market backdrop: “Demand for power is insatiable… data center infrastructure looks likely to extend for years… they keep thinking they’re going to catch up, and they’re not” .
  • Leasing economics: “Location and readiness position us to get the best possible deal... we can command very strong economics and attract high-quality tenants” .
  • Portfolio value: “Riot currently trades at a meaningful discount despite one of the largest, fully approved, readily available power portfolios… converting MW to leases should drive re-rating” .
  • Capital & funding: “~$400M in Bitcoin and strong cash flows from mining help fund development” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Leasing path and prebuilding: Management emphasized core & shell (“core & shell plus”) de-risks timelines and provides leverage in negotiations with hyperscalers; it enables faster tenant fit-out and validates readiness for service in 2027 .
  • Site strategy beyond Corsicana: Rockdale (700MW approved, operating campus) shares attractive attributes; Corsicana near-term focus, Rockdale next logical step for future development .
  • Power pipeline: Company remains active in adding power capacity but will prioritize current high-ROI opportunity; higher hurdle for new additions near term .
  • Expected lease economics: Favorable locations (Dallas/Austin proximity) and delivery timelines support better pricing and higher-quality tenants (hyperscalers/enterprise/NeoClouds) .
  • PUE/efficiency: Base case PUE ~1.49 with efforts to improve; capex for first cores & shells ~$214M with long-lead items being secured in a capital-efficient way .

Estimates Context

Q3 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus (S&P methodologies/definitions):

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($M)180.229*172.299*+7.930*
Primary EPS ($)0.1886*0.1337*+0.0550*
EBITDA ($M)134.045*76.055*+57.990*

Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Note: S&P “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” differ from GAAP diluted EPS and company “Adjusted EBITDA” ($197.2M) .

Implications:

  • Across S&P metrics, Q3 was a broad beat; we expect upward revisions to near-term revenue/EBITDA and potential multiple support as investors frame Riot through a data center optionality lens.
  • Watch for consensus adjustments to incorporate core & shell timeline, PUE assumptions, and the cadence of potential lease signings.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Q3 delivered revenue/EPS/EBITDA beats vs S&P; mining margins benefited from power credits and higher BTC pricing; tactical trades may track BTC price and further curtailment credits *.
  • Medium-term: Core & shell initiation (112MW) and substation energization in Q1’26 underpin a 2027 delivery path, setting the stage for lease announcements that could re-rate valuation per MW .
  • Execution focus: Leasing with high-credit hyperscalers/enterprises is the critical next catalyst; management indicates strong interest and leverage from location/timelines .
  • Cost structure: SG&A discipline and SBC step-down by Q3’26 improve earnings quality; engineering synergies reduce capex and de-risk supply chain .
  • Risk factors: Absence of signed leases, BTC price/ hash-price volatility, and industry lead times for power/fiber could push monetization timing .
  • Capital resources: $330.7M cash, $75.6M restricted cash, and 19,287 BTC (~$2.2B at $114,068) provide funding for development without near-term equity needs .
  • Monitoring: Track (1) first lease signing, (2) substation energization progress, (3) BTC mining cost to mine and power credit cadence, (4) engineering backlog and deliveries .

All non-S&P figures are sourced from Riot’s Q3 2025 8‑K and earnings materials or prior-quarter filings/transcripts: record revenue, EPS, mining metrics, power strategy, engineering backlog, capex plans, and management commentary . Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.