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RL

RALPH LAUREN CORP (RL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Delivered a high-quality holiday quarter: revenue up 11% to $2.14B, adjusted EPS $4.82 (+16% YoY), and adjusted operating margin up 230 bps to 18.7%, with broad-based strength across DTC and wholesale and outperformance in all regions .
  • Management characterized results as “above expectations” and raised FY25 outlook: constant-currency revenue growth to 6–7% (from 3–4%), and operating margin expansion to +120–160 bps (from +110–130 bps), though FX headwinds increased; FY25 capex cut to $200–$250M (from $250–$300M) .
  • Key drivers: +12% AUR on lower promotions (>500 bps discount reduction), strong full-price sell-through, and improving North America wholesale; Europe and Asia grew mid-teens with China up >20% .
  • Balance sheet robust (cash + ST investments $2.14B vs. total debt $1.14B), inventory down 5% YoY; YTD CFO $1.11B supports returns to shareholders ($500M YTD) and strategic investments .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Broad-based top- and bottom-line beat with double-digit comps and margin expansion; adjusted operating margin reached 18.7% (+230 bps YoY) on strong AUR and lower promotions .
    • Europe and Asia led growth (Europe +16% to $604M; Asia +14% to $507M), with China up >20%; NA accelerated to +7% and wholesale returned to growth (+6%) .
    • Pricing power and brand elevation: +12% AUR, with global discount rate reduced by >500 bps; management cited durability of AUR drivers and full-price selling .
    • Quote: “Third quarter results…exceeded our expectations in every geography across the top and bottom line.” — Patrice Louvet .
  • What Went Wrong
    • FX headwinds increased: FY25 revenue headwind now -100 to -150 bps (prior -40 to -60 bps); FY25 gross/operating margin headwind now -30 to -50 bps (prior -20 bps) .
    • Higher freight to mitigate East Coast port disruptions pressured gross margin; net impact offset by mix and AUR, but logistics risk persists .
    • Macro/tariff overhang and promotional environment remain watch items; management expects minimal annual impact from newly announced U.S. tariffs but continues to monitor .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.93 $1.51 $1.73 $2.14
Diluted EPS (Reported) ($)$4.19 $2.61 $2.31 $4.66
Diluted EPS (Adjusted) ($)$4.17 $2.70 $2.54 $4.82
Gross Margin (%)66.5% 70.5% 67.0% 68.4%
Operating Margin (Reported, %)16.4% 13.8% 10.4% 18.2%
Operating Margin (Adjusted, %)16.4% 14.3% 11.4% 18.7%
Consensus RevenueUnavailable*Unavailable*Unavailable*Unavailable*
Consensus EPSUnavailable*Unavailable*Unavailable*Unavailable*

*S&P Global consensus data unavailable at time of retrieval (API limit). Values intended to be sourced from S&P Global.

Segment performance (Q3 FY2025 vs. Q3 FY2024):

SegmentRevenue Q3 FY2024 ($M)Revenue Q3 FY2025 ($M)YoY % (as reported)Adj Operating Margin Q3 FY2025 (%)
North America933.3 997.7 6.9% 26.4%
Europe521.5 604.4 15.9% 27.9%
Asia446.4 506.7 13.5% 26.9%
Other32.8 34.7 5.9% 86.8%

Key KPIs and comps

  • KPI trend
KPIQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
AUR Growth (DTC)+6% +10% +12%
Global DTC Comparable Sales (cc)+5% +10% +12%
  • Q3 FY2025 comps (constant currency)
RegionBrick & MortarDigitalTotal
North America+10% +3% +8%
Europe+18% +14% +17%
Asia+13% +29% +14%
Global DTC+12%

Balance sheet and cash flow highlights (Q3 FY2025)

  • Cash + ST investments: $2.14B; Total debt ~$1.14B; Inventory $1.00B (-5% YoY) .
  • Nine-month CFO: $1.113B; share repurchases ~$74M in Q3 and ~$500M YTD returns to shareholders .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth (cc)FY2025+3% to +4% +6% to +7% Raised
Operating Margin Expansion (cc)FY2025+110 to +130 bps +120 to +160 bps Raised
Gross Margin Expansion (cc)FY2025+80 to +120 bps +130 to +170 bps Raised
FX Impact on RevenueFY2025-40 to -60 bps -100 to -150 bps More Negative
FX Impact on MarginsFY2025~-20 bps -30 to -50 bps More Negative
Tax RateFY202522%–23% 22%–23% Maintained
CapExFY2025$250–$300M $200–$250M Lowered
Revenue Growth (cc)Q4 FY2025+6% to +7% New
FX Impact on RevenueQ4 FY2025~-300 bps New
Operating Margin Expansion (cc)Q4 FY2025+120 to +140 bps New
Gross Margin Expansion (cc)Q4 FY2025+80 to +120 bps New
FX Impact on MarginsQ4 FY2025-60 to -80 bps New

Q3 FY2025 actual vs. prior guidance:

  • Revenue growth (cc): guided +3% to +4% vs. actual +11% — beat.
  • Operating margin expansion (cc): guided +100 to +140 bps vs. actual +230 bps (to 18.7% adj) — beat.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q1)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Marketing intensity/ROIContinued step-up; marketing timing drove higher OpEx rate; maintaining ~7% of sales framework Marketing 7.1% of sales; ROI strong; “7% is not a ceiling” (will invest with ROI discipline) Increasing, ROI-backed
AUR and promotionsAUR +6% (Q1), +10% (Q2); elevation and mix drove GM AUR +12%; global discount rate -500+ bps; durable AUR levers Strengthening
Supply chain/logisticsMonitored Red Sea/global disruptions; balanced inventories Higher freight to mitigate East Coast port disruptions; agile supply chain cited Managed with cost
AI/technologyInvesting in digital capabilities (implicitly referenced) GenAI for search/contact center/creative; predictive buying & allocation; next-gen ERP Expanding use cases
Wholesale (NA)Q1 planned declines; Q2 modest decline but improving Return to growth (+6%); pruning 60 lower-tier doors; alignment of sell-in/out Stabilizing/Improving
Regional trendsQ1: EU +6%, Asia +4% (cc +9%), NA -4%; Q2: EU +7%, Asia +9%, NA +3% EU +16%, Asia +14% (China >20%), NA +7% Accelerating
Tariffs/macroMacro headwinds cited in outlook Newly announced U.S. tariffs seen as minimal annual impact Watch, manageable
Next Gen Transformation (ERP)Project referenced in adjustments Staged implementations likely starting FY27; cost update next quarter Planning stage

Management Commentary

  • “Third quarter results…exceeded our expectations in every geography across the top and bottom line.” — Patrice Louvet .
  • “AUR increased 12%… we reduced our global discount rate by more than 500 basis points.” — Justin Picicci .
  • “Our China market grew more than 20% to last year… North America wholesale revenues increased 6%… above our expectations.” — Management remarks .
  • “With regards to the recently announced U.S. tariffs… we currently anticipate a minimal annual impact.” — Justin Picicci .
  • “AI is a big opportunity… leveraging generative AI for search and consumer navigation… predictive buying… allocation tools.” — Patrice Louvet .

Q&A Highlights

  • Drivers of outperformance are durable: brand strength via “rolling thunder” marketing, breadth of lifestyle portfolio (women’s/handbags/outerwear up ~20%), and key-city ecosystem; inventory agility noted (top line +11% vs inventory -5%) .
  • North America trajectory: DTC has delivered six consecutive quarters of solid comp growth; wholesale returned to growth faster than expected; pruning ~60 department store doors continues .
  • Margins/promotions: Discount pullback across regions/channels has “runway” as full-price acquisition improves; AUR drivers include mix and reduced promotions .
  • Marketing spend: ~7% is not a ceiling; will increase with ROI justification .
  • Transformation and tech: Next-gen ERP staged from FY27; predictive buying and allocation already improving inventory efficiency .

Estimates Context

  • Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 FY2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of retrieval due to API limits; management characterized results as above expectations and raised FY25 outlook accordingly .
  • Implications for sell-side models: need to reflect raised FY25 cc revenue growth (6–7%), higher FY25 gross/operating margin expansion, lower FY25 capex, and Q4 cc growth of 6–7% with FX headwinds .
  • Note: S&P Global consensus data unavailable at time of retrieval; values intended to be sourced from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Broad-based beat with powerful holiday execution: double-digit comps, +12% AUR, and 230 bps adj operating margin expansion; strength across Europe/Asia, and NA wholesale inflecting positive — a multi-year narrative shift .
  • Guidance raised meaningfully on both revenue and margins; however, FX headwinds intensified — monitor USD trends into Q4 and FY26 .
  • Structural levers (brand elevation, mix, reduced promotions) appear durable; management confident in continued AUR and margin runway .
  • Wholesale stabilization in North America (with continued door pruning) supports multi-channel growth while preserving brand elevation .
  • Tech enablement (AI, predictive buying/allocation) should enhance inventory turns and full-price sell-through; ERP implementation staged from FY27 offers medium-term productivity upside .
  • Near-term trading: Q4 set up for +6–7% cc revenue growth and +120–140 bps OM expansion (cc), offset by FX (-300 bps on revenue); watch Easter timing headwind (~1 pt) and freight/logistics costs .
  • Capital deployment remains supportive (robust CFO, buybacks, dividend), with FY25 capex lowered to $200–$250M providing flexibility .

Appendix: Additional Detail and Data Sources

  • Press release (Q3 FY2025): results, comps, margins, guidance .
  • Form 8-K (Item 2.02) with exhibit and detailed financials .
  • Earnings call transcript: strategy, drivers, promotions, AI/tech, wholesale pruning, tariffs, FY27 ERP timeline .
  • Prior quarters’ press releases for trend/guidance baseline and .