RC
Rallybio Corp (RLYB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 printed a headline EPS of $0.36 driven by $22.5M “Gain on sale of joint venture and other income,” producing net income of $16.0M despite minimal revenue of $0.21M; the beat vs consensus EPS -$0.21* and revenue $0.07M* was material and largely non-recurring .
- Corporate actions strengthened liquidity: $20M received from Recursion ($7.5M upfront equity + $12.5M milestone) extended cash runway to 2027; quarter-end cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $59.3M .
- RLYB116 execution advanced: Cohort 1 dosing completion and continued progress toward 4Q 2025 data; note timing shift from prior guidance (Cohort 1 readout moved from 3Q to 4Q 2025) .
- Narrative drivers: non-dilutive capital, portfolio focus on complement-dysregulation, and upcoming RLYB116 PK/PD readouts; watch for confirmation of complete/sustained complement inhibition and tolerability in Cohort 1/2 data .
Values with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-dilutive capital strengthened balance sheet: $20M from Recursion (upfront $7.5M equity and $12.5M milestone) and runway extended through 2027 .
- RLYB116 progressed: Cohort 1 dosing completed; management reaffirmed confidence in efficacy and differentiation, aiming for hematologic indications PTR and refractory APS. CEO: “we remain on track to report data in the fourth quarter of 2025 and are increasingly confident in RLYB116's potential to be an effective therapeutic” .
- Expense discipline: R&D and G&A fell meaningfully YoY due to program reprioritization (RLYB212 discontinuation) and workforce actions, improving operating loss vs prior year .
What Went Wrong
- Timing slippage: prior guidance targeted Cohort 1 data in 3Q 2025, now expected 4Q 2025; investors should watch for whether Cohort 2 remains on schedule .
- Revenue softness: collaboration revenue declined YoY (Q3 2025 $0.21M vs $0.30M), reflecting prior-year J&J collaboration recognition; continued minimal top-line constrains traditional margin analysis .
- Headline profitability driven by one-time other income (JV sale); core operating loss persisted (-$6.9M in Q3), underscoring dependence on external funding and milestones pre-clinical readouts .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods
KPI Detail
Q3 2025 Actuals vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
(Full Q3 2025 call transcript not available; themes derived from press releases and filings.)
Management Commentary
- CEO focus on disciplined execution and confidence in RLYB116: “we remain on track to report data in the fourth quarter of 2025 and are increasingly confident in RLYB116's potential to be an effective therapeutic” .
- Strategic capital allocation: monetization of REV102 interest delivered $20M in Q3, providing non-dilutive support for development priorities .
- R&D prioritization: continued emphasis on complement-mediated hematologic conditions; Cohort 1 data intended to demonstrate complete/sustained terminal complement inhibition with favorable tolerability .
Q&A Highlights
- The Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available via our document tools or IR site at the time of analysis; no Q&A content to report (search returned no transcript documents) .
Estimates Context
- Rallybio materially beat Street EPS and revenue in Q3 2025, but the beat was driven by the $22.5M gain on JV sale rather than operating performance; core revenue remained ~$0.21M .
- Consensus EPS was -$0.21* vs actual $0.36; consensus revenue was $0.067M* vs actual $0.212M. Expect models to adjust for non-recurring other income and maintain focus on RLYB116 clinical milestones rather than near-term revenue.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Headline profitability is not reflective of recurring operations; the JV sale gain produced the EPS beat—monitor sustainability of cash runway and upcoming clinical catalysts, not GAAP EPS momentum .
- RLYB116 remains the core value driver; Cohort 1 readout shifted to 4Q 2025—near-term stock reaction likely tied to strength of PD/PK and tolerability signals .
- Balance sheet improved without dilution; $59.3M cash, equivalents & marketable securities and runway through 2027 reduce immediate financing overhang, enhancing optionality for BD or trial expansion .
- Expense discipline is evident; continued R&D/G&A reductions tighten operating loss, but revenue remains minimal—expect valuation to be catalyst-driven rather than fundamentals-driven until pivotal clinical data .
- Watch Recursion milestones around REV102 for any additional proceeds and potential read-through to non-dilutive funding capacity .
- Risk factors: timing risk on PK/PD data, competitive C5 landscape, and need for robust tolerability to differentiate—position sizing should reflect binary catalyst risk .
Appendix: Additional Q3-Related Company Communications
- Rallybio completes dosing of first cohort in RLYB116 PK/PD study (Sep 25, 2025) .
- Rallybio receives $12.5M equity milestone payment from Recursion for REV102 (Sep 3, 2025) .