RI
Root, Inc. (ROOT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Root delivered a second consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability, with Q4 total revenues of $326.7M, net income of $22.1M, and diluted EPS of $1.30; adjusted EBITDA was $43.1M, and gross/net combined ratios improved to 90.6%/91.5% .
- Versus prior quarter, revenue and EPS increased (Q3 revenue $305.7M; EPS $1.35), with continued underwriting strength despite a modest uptick in accident-period loss ratio (61.4% in Q4 vs. 58.4% in Q3) .
- Management highlighted reinsurance cession down to ~9% of gross earned premium in Q4 with tail-risk covers maintained; interest expense run-rate expected to be reduced ~50% in 2025 following the BlackRock refinancing .
- Strategic catalysts: accelerating partnerships (about one-third of Q4 new business), measured state expansion (launch of Minnesota; reach 76% of U.S. population), and disciplined rate reductions in select states supported by sub-target gross loss ratio performance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Sustained profitability with strong operating leverage: net income $22.1M and adjusted EBITDA $43.1M in Q4; operating income $34.9M (vs. prior-year loss), driven by net earned premium growth and disciplined expenses .
- Reinsurance optimization: cession of earned premium around 9% in Q4; plan to keep cession materially consistent while focusing on per-risk and CAT covers, enhancing retained economics .
- Strategic distribution momentum: partnerships represent roughly one-third of Q4 new writings; embedding (e.g., Carvana Insurance “3‑click bind”) and agency investments support longer retention and higher average premiums; “we more than doubled our new writings in 2024” .
Quotes:
- “2024 was a landmark year for Root… generating GAAP net income of $31 million and adjusted EBITDA of $112 million” .
- “We see longer retention [in partnerships]… higher average premiums… [and] we incur [commissions] over a longer period of time” .
- “Because our gross loss ratio continues to trend below our long-term target of 60% to 65%, we are able to reduce rates in select states” .
What Went Wrong
- Accident-period loss ratio ticked higher sequentially (61.4% Q4 vs. 58.4% Q3), with severity up ~2% YoY and frequency down ~2%; moderation expected, but slight loss ratio increases possible with rate decreases .
- Marketing spend moving more mid-/upper-funnel may drive near-term P&L pressure; management will invest at targeted IRRs but acknowledged possible quarterly EPS variability .
- Competition increased modestly in Q4; management expects stability but remains vigilant on acquisition efficiency .
Financial Results
*Estimates unavailable due to S&P Global access limits. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.
Reinsurance/Written & Earned Premium breakdown:
KPIs and Ratios:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered… our first full year of net income profitability… gross combined ratio of 95% on $1.3 billion of gross premiums written” (CEO) .
- “In Q4… we delivered net income of $22 million… operating income of $35 million and adjusted EBITDA of $43 million” (CFO) .
- “We are able to reduce rates in select states… we do not set prices with the primary goal to gain market share” (CEO) .
- “Our session levels… were around 9%. We… expect… materially consistent with where they were in Q4” (CFO) .
- “Refinancing… we expect to reduce our run rate interest expense in 2025 by ~50%” (CFO) .
- “Partnerships… roughly 1/3 of our overall new business… Carvana Insurance… 3‑click bindable purchase experience” (CEO) .
- “Minnesota launch… reach 76% of the U.S. population” (CEO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Premium per policy outlook: modest rate decreases may pressure averages, offset by “fatter” partnership/agency policies; net effect flat to modestly increasing (CEO) .
- Reinsurance cession: Q4 ~9% of earned premium; expect consistency; focus on CAT and per-risk covers (CFO) .
- Retention: hypergrowth churn normalizing; tailwind to PIF growth; cohorts broadly consistent; no new metrics disclosed (CEO) .
- Loss trend: low-to-mid single-digit for 2025; slight loss ratio increases possible with rate cuts, “nothing material” (CEO) .
- Tariffs: no current impact assumed; platform enables rapid response if macro shifts (CEO) .
- Ad spend: shift to mid-/upper-funnel channels with rigorous IRR discipline; potential quarterly P&L pressure (CEO) .
- Channel returns: both direct and partnerships operating at target returns; partnerships have longer retention and higher average premiums (CEO) .
- Competition: increased a bit in Q4; expected to be fairly stable (CEO) .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS/Revenue/EBITDA was unavailable due to access limits; no estimate comparison is provided here. Estimates would be retrieved from S&P Global if available.
- Given Root’s second consecutive quarterly profitability, estimate revisions may focus on: sustained net income trajectory, lower interest expense run-rate, and retained premium economics from lower cession levels .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profitability inflection sustained: Q4 net income $22.1M, diluted EPS $1.30; adjusted EBITDA $43.1M—supported by underwriting discipline and operating efficiency .
- Reinsurance cession lowered to ~9% and expected to remain consistent—driving higher net retention while maintaining tail-risk coverage (CAT/per-risk) .
- Interest expense run-rate expected down ~50% in 2025 post BlackRock refinance—structural tailwind to earnings power .
- Rate actions: selective reductions in states supported by sub-target gross loss ratio; management expects only slight loss ratio increases—watch for growth-earnings tradeoffs .
- Distribution mix: partnerships now ~1/3 of new business with longer retention/higher premiums; embedded integration is an incremental advantage (Carvana) .
- Marketing pivot: increased mid-/upper-funnel testing may introduce quarterly EPS volatility; management emphasizes rigorous IRR discipline .
- Execution priorities: state expansion (76% of U.S. now), continued pricing model upgrades (expected ~7% predictive power improvement), and automation across underwriting .
Press releases and filings reviewed:
- Q4 2024 8‑K Item 2.02 and Shareholder Letter (full financials, KPIs, non‑GAAP reconciliations) .
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript ; alt copy corroboration .
- Q4 2024 press release and scheduling .
- Prior quarters: Q3 2024 8‑K and call ; Q2 2024 8‑K and call .
Footnote: Estimates from S&P Global were not retrievable at the time of analysis due to access limits; comparisons to consensus therefore are not included.