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Ross Stores - Q3 2024

November 16, 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Ross Stores third quarter 2023 earnings release conference call. The call will begin with prepared comments by management, followed by a question-and-answer session. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Before we get started, on behalf of Ross Stores, I would like to note that the comments made on this call will contain forward-looking statements regarding expectations about future growth and financial results, including sales and earnings forecasts, new store openings, and other matters that are based on the company's current forecast of aspects of its future business. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical performance or current expectations.

Risk factors are included in today's press release and the company's fiscal 2022 Form 10-K and fiscal 2023 Form 10-Qs and 8-Ks on file with the SEC. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Barbara Rentler, Chief Executive Officer.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Good afternoon. Joining me on our call today are Michael Hartshorn, Group President and Chief Operating Officer, Adam Orvos, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Connie Kao, Group Vice President, Investor Relations. We'll begin our call today with a review of our third quarter performance, followed by an update on our outlook for the fourth quarter and fiscal year. Afterwards, we'll be happy to respond to any questions you may have. As noted in today's press release, we are pleased that both sales and earnings outperformed our expectations for the quarter, as customers responded favorably to the terrific values we offered throughout our stores. Operating margin for the period was 11.2%, up from 9.8% last year. Leverage from the same-store sales gain and lower freight costs were partially offset by higher incentives and store wages.

Earnings per share for the 13 weeks ended October 28, 2023, were $1.33, compared to earnings per share of $1 last year. Net income for the period rose to $447 million versus $342 million in the prior year period. Total sales for the quarter were $4.9 billion, up from $4.6 billion last year, with a comparable store sales gain of 5%. For the first nine months, earnings per share were $3.74 on net earnings of $1.3 billion, compared to $3.08 per share on net income of $1.1 billion for the same period last year. Sales for the year-to-date period grew to $14.4 billion, with comparable store sales up 4% over last year.

For the third quarter at Ross, cosmetics, accessories, and shoes were again the strongest performing businesses, while geographic results were broad-based. Like Ross, dd's DISCOUNTS shoppers also responded favorably to its strong value offerings, driving improved sales trends during the quarter. At quarter end, total consolidated inventories were up 5% versus last year, while average store inventories were up 2%. Packaway merchandise represents 39% of total inventories versus 41% in the same period of the prior year. During the third quarter, we also completed our expansion program for 2023, with the addition of 43 new Ross and eight dd's DISCOUNTS. For the year, we added a total of 97 locations, comprised of 72 Ross and 25 dd's DISCOUNTS.

We now expect to end the year with 1,764 Ross Stores and 345 dd's DISCOUNTS locations for a net increase of 94 stores. Now, Adam will provide further details on our third quarter results and fourth quarter guidance.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

Thank you, Barbara. As previously stated, comparable store sales rose 5% in the quarter, primarily driven by higher traffic. Operating margin increased 135 basis points to 11.2%. Cost of goods sold improved by 260 basis points in the quarter. Merchandise margin was the main driver, with a 235 basis point increase, primarily from lower ocean freight costs. Distribution expenses improved by 45 basis points, mainly due to favorable timing of packaway related costs. Domestic freight and occupancy levered by 40 and 25 basis points, respectively. Partially offsetting these benefits were higher buying costs that increased 85 basis points, mainly from higher incentives. SG&A costs for the period increased by 125 basis points, primarily driven by higher incentive costs and store wages.

During the third quarter, we repurchased 2.1 million shares of common stock for an aggregate cost of $239 million. We remain on track to buy back a total of $950 million in stock for the year. Now, let's discuss our fourth quarter guidance. We continue to face macroeconomic volatility, persistent inflation, and more recently, geopolitical uncertainty. In addition, we are up against our most difficult quarterly sales comparisons versus 2022 in the fourth quarter. As a result, and while we hope to do better, we believe it is prudent to maintain a cautious approach in forecasting our business and are reiterating our prior sales guidance for the fourth quarter. For the 13 weeks ending January 27th, 2024, we continue to plan same-store sales to be up 1%-2%.

Earnings per share for the 14 weeks ending February 3, 2024, are projected to be in the range of $1.56-$1.62, compared to $1.31 in the fourth quarter of 2022. This guidance range includes an approximate $0.02 per share unfavorable impact from the timing of expenses that benefited the third quarter. Based on our year-to-date results and our fourth quarter forecast, earnings per share for the 53 weeks ending February 3, 2024, are now expected to be in the range of $5.30-$5.36 versus $4.38 last year. Incorporated in this guidance for both the fourth quarter and full year is an estimated earnings per share benefit of $0.16 from the 53rd week in fiscal 2023.

The operating statement assumptions that support our fourth quarter guidance include the following: Total sales are projected to grow 8%-10%, including an estimated $260 million benefit from the fifty-third week. We expect operating margin to be in the range of 11.3%-11.5% versus 10.7% last year. This range includes a 65 basis point benefit from the extra week. We are planning for higher merchandise margins given lower ocean freight costs, though moderating from the improvement earlier this year. In addition, lower domestic freight and distribution costs, partially due to favorable packaway timing, are expected to benefit margin. Partially offsetting these lower costs is our forecast for higher incentive compensation. Net interest income is estimated to be about $45 million as we continue to benefit from higher interest rates on our cash balance.

Our tax rate is expected to be approximately 23%-24%, and weighted average diluted shares outstanding are projected to be about 335 million. Now I'll turn the call back to Barbara for closing comments.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Thank you, Adam. Looking ahead, despite all the challenges in the external environment, we are encouraged by our healthy, above-plan results to date this year. We also remain confident in the resilience of the off-price sector and our ability to operate successfully within it, especially given consumers' heightened focus on value and convenience. As a result, we remain optimistic about the company's future prospects and our ability to expand market share and profitability over time. At this point, we'd like to open up the call and respond to any questions you might have.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. We will now be conducting the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. The first question comes from the line of Matthew Boss with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Matthew Boss (Equity Research Analyst)

Great, thanks, and congrats on another nice quarter. So Barbara, could you elaborate on changes across categories that you've made to increase your value focus? It seems like that was a clear takeaway from, from your comments. Maybe also, if you could speak to the cadence of traffic that you saw as the third quarter progressed, and just how you see your assortments positioned in the holiday to take share?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Matthew, I'll start with the traffic. As we said in the commentary, traffic was the primary driver of comp for the quarter. On a stacked basis, the comps were fairly consistent across the quarter, with a couple of fits and starts late in the quarter, regionally, with weather, as it always is this time of year. That said, for the entire quarter, weather was neutral.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Matt, by change across categories, do you mean performance?

Matthew Boss (Equity Research Analyst)

More on the value focus—I think you talked about a greater value focus starting in the second quarter. It sounds like it resonated further in the third quarter. So just maybe changes that you've made as it relates to that.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Well, the value changes that we made are across the entire box. So the merchants are out there really looking for great branded products where they can offer compelling values. So that's really—it's not in any one area, it's across the box. Now, obviously, some businesses are further along than others, as you would expect, but that's a company-wide focus now, to offer the most compelling value to the customer at this time. And changes to the assortment for the fourth quarter or just share is really after gifting. You know, we've expanded some of our products in gifting categories, which I wouldn't talk about on the call, but it's really a focus on gifting.

Matthew Boss (Equity Research Analyst)

Great. And then maybe as a follow-up, Adam, how best to think about merchandise margin recapture opportunity in the fourth quarter, just given the environment a year ago? And any change in terms of flow-through in the model on 3%-4% same store sales as we think more multi-year?

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, on the latter part, no change in the flow through the model, right? We still expect to lever on the three to four comp. In your question on merchandise margin, was fourth quarter specific?

Matthew Boss (Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

... Yeah. So, ocean freight, which, you know, we've benefited from all year, will still be a benefit in the fourth quarter, but as we said in the call comments, will moderate considerably. We started to see pretty, significant rate reductions, about this time last year. So will it be further benefit in fourth quarter, but not like we have seen in the first three quarters of the year. Would expect that really to be the main driver on merchandise margin. All other components should be pretty consistent with last year.

Mark Altschwager (Senior Analyst in Fashion & Wellness)

Great. Best of luck.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Mark Altschwager with Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Mark Altschwager (Senior Analyst in Fashion & Wellness)

Great. Thanks for taking the question. I guess first, your plan for the fourth quarter, top line, hasn't really changed despite comps exceeding the high end of your plan by 200 basis points in the third quarter. Curious, does that give you more confidence in the upside case, or are, are there things you've seen in, in recent trends that would suggest a more material quarter-over-quarter deceleration is the right expectation?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

It's Michael again. I would say for the most part, it's there's a lot, lot going on in the external environment, whether it's a macroeconomy, we expect it to be a very promotional retail environment, and now you have geopolitics into the mix, and it is our toughest compare for the year. So given everything going on externally, we think it's prudent to remain very conservative in running the business in the fourth quarter.

Mark Altschwager (Senior Analyst in Fashion & Wellness)

Thank you. And maybe a follow-up for Barbara. The North American wholesale channel continues to be challenging for many vendors, given the dynamic macro. I'm curious what you're hearing with respect to product availability heading into calendar 2024. Thank you.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Well, currently, there's a lot of availability in the market, as I know you know that. Here's how I look at availability at this point. Vendors, in this environment, vendors are really looking for ways to increase their market share. And so they've shifted some of their business towards the growing retail channels. So if, in fact, they get less bookings, you know, we talked about them having less bookings for fall, and there's still availability. So bookings are one thing, how much they decide to bring in to drive market share or to shift channels is another thing. So I don't necessarily think you can judge just by bookings, what they say about their bookings.

Then, quite frankly, there are some vendors that are really looking to gain market share in this period in time or and are taking, you know, greater risks on bringing in more goods. So it's kind of a, it's kind of a mixed bag, but they're really looking to expand who they do business with and to shift channels. I think that's the reason why, you know, goods continue to become available.

Mark Altschwager (Senior Analyst in Fashion & Wellness)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, please limit yourself to one question. Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Paul Lejuez with Citigroup. Please proceed with your question.

Paul Lejuez (Managing Director)

Hey, thanks. Sorry if I missed it, but could you talk about performance in the home category? And then also, I was curious about store performance based on income, demographic, location. So any change in terms of how any specific income cohort behaved during the quarter? Thanks.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Well, on the income, as we said in the commentary, the comp performance was fairly broad-based across geographies, but also what I'd say is trade area demographics, including income. So, if you know, your bigger question is, are you seeing a trade down? We saw very broad-based performance across income levels.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

In terms of the home performance, home performed slightly below the chain average.

Paul Lejuez (Managing Director)

Got it. Thanks. And just a follow-up. On the merch margin, I think you mentioned freight was a big driver, but can you talk about pure merch margin, outside of freight, just IMUs, markdowns, what the out the door merch margin was on a pure product basis?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Yeah, Paul. I won't go through it component by component, but merch margin, in addition to the ocean freight, it benefited, but if you back ocean freight out of it, we were better than last year as we anniversary the markdowns that we took last year. So, yeah, third quarter last year was kind of our peak quarter for incremental markdowns last year.

Paul Lejuez (Managing Director)

Got it. Thanks. Good luck.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Lorraine Hutchinson with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

Lorraine Hutchinson (Managing Director)

Thank you. Good afternoon. What were the drivers of dd's improved sales trends during the quarter, and is that now running in line with Ross?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Sure, Lorraine. As dd's, as we said, also improved and were relatively in line with performance at Ross. We believe the improved performance here, like it is at Ross, is the customer is responding to the broad assortment of values throughout the stores. And I'd also add, easing inflation certainly doesn't hurt this customer.

Lorraine Hutchinson (Managing Director)

Thank you. And then, any update on shrink from your recent physical inventory?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Yeah. Lorraine, in third quarter... So we took our second physical inventory of the year in third quarter and trued up those results. The results were in line with our expectations and in line with last year.

Lorraine Hutchinson (Managing Director)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

... Ladies and gentlemen, just a quick reminder to please limit yourself to one question. Thank you. The next question comes from the line of John Kernan with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

John Kernan (Managing Director, Consumer & Retail Equity Research)

Excellent. Nice job in 3Q. Barbara, your buyers are obviously doing a great job, passing on value to the consumer. I'm wondering how initial markup trends are as you focus on value.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Well, obviously, we're not gonna talk about IMU. But I think as the merchants are in the market and they're really looking for compelling deals, you know, they obviously have metrics that they should hit, and I would say that they do that. But if there's a really unbelievable deal, we're gonna price it the way we think we need to price it. Our strategy now is really to continue to deliver value. And so again, there's metrics, everyone's hitting their metrics, but that's the focus. What is the right price? What is the right value to drive the customer in the store to gain market share? So that's the mindset that everyone's in.

John Kernan (Managing Director, Consumer & Retail Equity Research)

Understood. And Adam, when you look at the model, what do you think is the line item in either COGS or SG&A that has the most potential for improvement if you maintain the 3%-4% same-store sales going forward?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

You know, we're just getting into the—you know, we're working our way through the planning process. We'll come back and talk to you at the end of the year and kind of frame up how we see the go forward at that point in time. I think, you know, just to give you some generalities, feel like we've recaptured most of the ocean freight at this point. When we look at container rates now are very similar to where they were in 2019. So we're—we think by the end of the year, we'll capture all that benefit. On the domestic side of freight, you know, we've recaptured some, but certainly not at 2019 levels, given the elevated fuel costs and elevated driver wages since 2019.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

So, you know, pushing very hard on the other components. We'll come back and tell you more about the puts and takes at the end of the year.

John Kernan (Managing Director, Consumer & Retail Equity Research)

All right. Best of luck in the holiday. Thank you.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Chuck Grom with Gordon Haskett. Please proceed with your question.

Chuck Grom (Managing Director)

Hey, thanks a lot. Nice print. Congratulations. Can you provide color on the trend of basket size and the composition between AUR and UPT this quarter? And if you see that changing going forward over the next few quarters? Thanks.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Sure. And, as we said, traffic was the primary driver of the 5% comp. Average basket, was up just slightly as an increase in the units per transaction was partially offset by slightly lower average unit retails. And, you know, if we think about it going forward, you know, we'd like it to be, to be driven by traffic, but we don't plan our business around, the components. We, we plan the business on offering the best value, and, if we get traffic and a basket size increase, that's great for the business.

Chuck Grom (Managing Director)

Great. Thanks.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Brooke Roach with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Brooke Roach (VP, Equity Research)

Good afternoon, and thank you for taking our question. I was hoping you could discuss the puts and takes behind your SG&A growth now that we've moved through the periods of elevated incentive comp investment this summer. How should we be thinking about the growth of that line item going forward? And in particular, can you elaborate on what you're seeing in terms of store wage rate inflation? Thank you.

Adam Orvos (EVP and CFO)

Hi, Brooke, this is Adam. Yeah, so store wage costs, as we said in the comments, still continues to put pressure on us. That's largely driven by minimum, you know, wage changes that we need to take in the marketplace. But I would say, overall, on SG&A, the biggest moving part this year has been incentive comp, right? So as you'll remember, very little bonus incentive comp last year, and not only did we have to reset the bar this year, but we're obviously outperforming our financial plan. So that's the biggest kind of volatility in the SG&A line.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

I'll just add on the wage front. I mean, generally speaking, wages have stabilized throughout the stores and the DCs, and any increases we're seeing are really driven by minimum wages. On SG&A going forward, I think we'd expect that we'd be able to lever it between the 3 and 4 comp, as we have in the past.

Brooke Roach (VP, Equity Research)

Thank you very much.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Michael Binetti with Evercore. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Binetti (Senior Managing Director and Fundamental Research Analyst)

Hey, guys. Congrats on a great quarter. It's nice to talk to you. You know, I just want to ask you, do you think, Michael or Adam, jump ball, what do you think about, what do you look at today to inform you as to whether there's some opportunity in the, in the pure merch margin for next year, puts and takes that you're thinking about? Barbara, you mentioned seeing some, you mentioned some great comments on some of the brand availability. Is there, you know, is there an opportunity for AUR as you guys get better access to quality brands? And then I noticed you opened a handful of stores in Michigan a few months ago, and one single store in Minnesota.

These are new markets, even though, you know, we've heard you guys talk so favorably about how the Midwest has gone since you launched it maybe 12 years ago. Seems like you're starting to move into some new markets, some fairly big ones, maybe just some thoughts on, the new market strategy.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

... Sure. On merchandise margin for next year, we're in the middle of our planning process now, so I'd wait until our year-end call, and we can give you some more feedback on that. As you mentioned, we entered Michigan and Minnesota during the third quarter. It's very early on those, so hard to comment at this stage other than we're very optimistic about our new market growth.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

In terms of brands and the AUR increase, really, I know it sounds like, you know, I'm going back to the same thing. We really are looking at every deal based on the value we put out on the floor. And so obviously, if they're higher-end brands, those goods would, even at great values, have higher AUR, but it's really a mix of, you know, all brands, whether they're moderate, they're better, they're good, better, best, whether they're best. That's how we're really approaching it. So in terms of just saying, I'm gonna raise the AUR because we increased that to the total, that's not how we're thinking about it. We're thinking about it more holistically, and that's the piece the customer is responding to.

Michael Binetti (Senior Managing Director and Fundamental Research Analyst)

Thanks a lot, guys. Congrats.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Adrienne Yih with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

Great, thank you very much, and I'll add my congratulations. Barbara, I often am on the topic of your pack away and your short stay. Historically, when we have sort of disruptive weather, and kind of like the unseasonable weather in the early in the quarter, you're able to use your short stay flexibility to kind of pace into that. I'm just wondering, how advantageous has that been this season, or is the macro, kind of more challenging macro, sort of overwhelming that? Thank you very much.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

I just wanna make sure I understand what you're saying. You're saying that did we get seasonal products early and,

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

I,

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

hold it out in the fourth quarter?

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

Yeah. I think it's more that, you know, weather has not transitioned to cold for any long, permanent period of time.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Right.

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

So we're hearing, frontline retailers talk about that, lower their fourth quarters, and there's a disconnect between how much they've ordered, and what things that they need to get rid of. So I'm wondering if, if that's been of benefit to you.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

At this point in time, the goods are obviously building because the weather has been warmer than people anticipated. But there's a moment in time when vendors decide to really move the goods, and that really becomes more longer term packaway. So if you're thinking outerwear, sweaters, classifications like that-

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

Yep.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

That really would longer term versus versus shorter term deals. Could still get deals in front of us, but really, that's really more of a longer-term play that vendors at the end of the year decide what they wanna do when they're figuring out what they're gonna buy for the next year. So short term, I think people are just coming to reality, you know, having a reality check of where they are with some of those classifications of products. So the real answer, I guess, is more news to follow.

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

Okay.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

But at this moment in time, it hasn't been... They haven't had a big movement, if that's what you're looking for, a big movement on those.

Adrienne Yih (Managing Director, Consumer Discretionary Analyst)

Okay. Very, very helpful. Thanks so much. Happy Thanksgiving.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Yeah.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Alex Straton with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

Alex Straton (Equity Research Managing Director)

Great. Thanks a lot for taking the question. Nice quarter, guys. Maybe for Barbara, some peers have highlighted opportunities in new or adjacent categories. So I'm just wondering, has Ross entered any newer categories recently? Or what kind of thoughts do you have on opportunities in general and then any changes in category mix shift that you guys have done? Thanks a lot.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Sure. Yes, we have entered into some new categories. Obviously, I'm not going to talk about, talk about it on the call. But yes, for the fourth quarter, we entered some different categories for gifting, which are going on the floor now and into December. And then just opportunities in general, as we move into next year, I think we have some opportunities in expanding certain businesses and then also coming back into some businesses that we exited, I would say, sometime during COVID. So you know, I think there is an opportunity for us to have more newness on the floor, which is really what the customer... That plus value is really what the customer is responding to. So you know, every year we go in and look and say: What else could-- what else can we expand? What else can we do?

But you know, this year we have our categories in mind of where we are going for spring, so.

Alex Straton (Equity Research Managing Director)

Thanks a lot. Good luck.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Marni Shapiro with Retail Tracker. Please proceed with your question.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Hey, guys, congratulations, and if I forget, best of luck for the holiday season. But I'm curious just on dd's, if we can dig in a little bit there. Are you, you know, with people looking to trade down with their wallets a little tighter, are you finding that you are attracting more new customers into that brand? And the traffic trends that drove the comp in the quarter, was that this, was that also true for dd's? And then I recall, you know, dd's tends to have a little bit more family-focused. You tended to have a little bit more kids and, you know, a toy focus even. I'm curious how you feel about the lead-up to holiday with the assortments and values there. And is that still the case in dd's, actually?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

On Marni, on traffic, so traffic like Ross, the comp for dd's was entirely driven by traffic.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Excellent.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

And then in terms of assortment, yes, it is, you know, it is, family-focused box, and, the dd's customer does have more children. So businesses like toys in the fourth quarter become,

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Mm-hmm.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Very important to the total.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

... Also, holiday dresses, do you do that business as well in dd's?

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

We do all those businesses. All the traditional businesses you would expect. You would expect holiday dresses, you would expect toys, you expect anything applicable to family photo shoot, and then, you know, toys or other little things that they give kids.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

And could I just ask a follow-up on that? Are you seeing at dd's that the customer is now coming to dd's for these big holiday events, like for Halloween, for Christmas? Does that customer come to dd's more regularly? Is it part of their, you know, regular trip of stores to go to?

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

I think it's part of their regular stores to go to. And do they like seasonal products, Halloween, Harvest, Christmas? Obviously, Christmas is very big.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Mm-hmm.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Yes, yes.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Fantastic.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

I don't think they get up in the morning and say, "I need to go buy some Halloween." I think they're going, You know what I'm saying? They're going to the store.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Yes.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

They're seeing things that they like, and I think it's impulse purchases probably for everyone.

Marni Shapiro (Managing Partner)

Fantastic. Love that. Thank you so much. Best of luck for the holidays or Black Friday weekend time.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Dana Telsey with the Telsey Advisory Group. Please proceed with your question.

Dana Telsey (CEO and Chief Research Office)

Hi, congratulations on the nice results. Can you give some color on the regional performance and what you saw, California, maybe Texas and the, any of the other areas? And then also on categories, I think last time, on last quarter's call, you mentioned that apparel trailed but improved sequentially. What did you see this quarter? Thank you.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Regionally, Dana, our largest markets, California, was above the chain average. Texas and Florida were in line. And as we mentioned on the call, it was very broad-based across the country.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

In terms of apparel, it slightly trailed the chain average, and the comps were relatively similar between Q2 and Q3, but they did exceed plans.

Dana Telsey (CEO and Chief Research Office)

Got it. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Aneesha Sherman with Bernstein. Please proceed with your question.

Aneesha Sherman (Senior Analyst)

Thank you. So Barbara, as retailers and brands have been talking about clearing excess stock, are you seeing any change in your inventory mix and your percent of closeout, like through the year? Are you seeing more importing and more upfront buying? And I have a quick follow-up for Adam. You mentioned labor costs, and wages stabilizing. Can you talk about some of the new labor cost-saving models you've been piloting, like self-checkout and, any updates you can share on the rollout of those? Thank you.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

On the self-checkout, we're in a very small number of stores, and as you can imagine, we're going very slowly to make sure we get it right. We're in about 100 stores right now, and we're gonna continue to pilot the operating model that we have there, and we're very cognizant of the shrink environment, so we're gonna go slow.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

And then in terms of upfront versus closeouts as the year progressed, I mean, it it's pretty similar. It can peak up and down a little bit in the fourth quarter. You have more home business, some of that's more DI, so that gets bigger and, you know, versus the rest of the year. But I would say it's similar. I think closeouts have come across all year, pretty much in most businesses. And so I think, yeah, I don't see a bigger shift. It could have gone up or down two or three points, but nothing major.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

And Aneesha,

Aneesha Sherman (Senior Analyst)

Thank you.

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Just building on those comments, you know, within our CapEx, we're definitely investing in technology, more automation in our distribution centers. We're spending money in our stores just to automate a lot of our non-customer-facing tasks, just more efficient ways to take markdowns and check inventory, and also just investing in more analytics in the business.

Aneesha Sherman (Senior Analyst)

Great. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Corey Tarlowe with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Corey Tarlowe (Senior VP, Equity Research)

Great, thanks. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about what you saw in footwear. I'm not sure if you did highlight it or if I missed it, but it would be great to get color there.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Sure. Shoes, again, was one of our best-performing businesses, and that was pretty... That was broad-based across all the shoes.

Corey Tarlowe (Senior VP, Equity Research)

Got it. Thank you. And then, just as it relates to higher buying costs, I believe you highlighted, could you discuss what drove that?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

The higher buying was all incentive cost related.

Corey Tarlowe (Senior VP, Equity Research)

Got it. Understood. Thank you very much.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from the line of Laura Champine with Loop Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Laura Champine (Director of Research and Senior Consumer Analyst)

Thanks for taking my question. It's really about California wage rates, not just with the minimum wage increase, but also the fast food wage increase slated for the new year. How much of that, how much of a material impact do you think that might have on your expense lines for next year?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

Laura, obviously, we've been tracking up in California for some time with their minimum increases there. It's been a competitive market for us for a long time. I think in regards to the fast food workers, we'll have to see how that spills over, but we believe we recruit from a different pool than the fast food industry.

Laura Champine (Director of Research and Senior Consumer Analyst)

... That's helpful. But if I could get a clarification, a general sense of what percentage of your employees, of your store level employees are in California. Will that line up with your store count?

Michael Hartshorn (Group President and COO)

It will be a little higher than our store count because those tend to be higher volume stores, but slightly above our store count, I'd say.

Laura Champine (Director of Research and Senior Consumer Analyst)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The last question comes from the line of Bob Drbul with Guggenheim Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Arian Razai (VP in Equity Research)

Hi, this is Arian Razai on for Bob. It looks like inventories are up 5% on the 5% comp increase. Could you please expand on packaways, given the great brand availability, the reason packaways have been trending down a couple percentage points below last year and every quarter this year. Any changes in approach, factor of higher deployment of product? Is it, like, better inventory productivity at stores? Any additional color would be super helpful. Thank you.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Really no change to how we're running packaway. Sometimes when your business is very good, and we've chased a lot of business this year, goods that we buy to pack, we slow. So we've been in a constant chase. And the thing about packaway is when you're buying goods that you're gonna hold, you have to be absolutely sure that the values are correct. So the merchants are very discerning in what they buy when they put in packaway, because when you're bringing it back out, you wanna make sure that the value is right. So I don't think there's any way to look at packaway. There's a lot of goods out there. Could we packaway, just put more goods in, into our packaway? We could.

I think it's the merchant's job to really put the best product in there at the best possible values, and you know, we're focused, very focused on value. And so I don't think there's any, anything to read into it. We feel very, actually, we feel very good about our content of the packaway that we own this year because there's been a lot of very good deals and a lot of good products out there. So, you know, we have plenty of money to buy packaway if we'd like to buy some, but that's really... That is really comes from the merchant team. It's their call on what they believe is the right value, and then that's why, therefore, it can fluctuate. That, plus the chase that we had in sales in the quarter.

Arian Razai (VP in Equity Research)

Got it. Got it. So would you say that the product this year resonates better with the consumer, like, from the value perspective?

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

You mean the packaway product or just products in general?

Arian Razai (VP in Equity Research)

Just product in general.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

I think the customer is really responding to you know, the better values. Clearly, she's pressed, financially pressed, and even though inflation is easing, she's still you know, still under pressure. And so whenever you can give the customer a better branded bargain at an unbelievable value, she's going to respond, which is why we're highly focused on that, and that would therefore take us to you know, stronger market share.

Arian Razai (VP in Equity Research)

Got it. Thank you so much, and happy Thanksgiving.

Operator (participant)

Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to pass the call back over to Barbara Rentler for any closing comments.

Barbara Rentler (CEO)

Thank you for joining us today and for your interest in Ross Stores. Happy holidays!

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.