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Reliance - Q2 2023

July 27, 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Greetings, and welcome to Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. second quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Kim Orlando, with ADDO Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.

Kim Orlando (Senior Managing Director)

Thank you, operator. Good morning, thanks to all of you for joining our conference call to discuss Reliance's second quarter 2023 financial results. I am joined by Karla Lewis, President and Chief Executive Officer, Steve Koch, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and Arthur Ajemyan, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. A recording of this call will be posted on the investors section of our website at investor.rsac.com. Please read the forward-looking statement disclosures included in our earnings release issued this morning, and note that it applies to all statements made during this teleconference. The reconciliations of the adjusted numbers are included in the non-GAAP reconciliation part of our earnings release. I will now turn the call over to Karla Lewis, President and CEO of Reliance.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Good morning, everyone, thank you for joining us today to discuss our second quarter 2023 financial results. Reliance's business model is designed to provide resilient performance throughout economic cycles, including both pricing and end market demand fluctuations present in the metals industry. The unique facets of our business model, highlighted by diversification, small order sizes, quick delivery, and increased value-added processing, combined with strong execution by our full Reliance team, support our ability to deliver consistent, profitable results. Overall activity at Reliance has remained healthy, as evidenced by solid volume growth year-over-year. We are excited by the continued onshoring and infrastructure spend activities that are creating new opportunities for us.

Turning to our results, our second quarter net sales of $3.88 billion declined by 2.1% from the first quarter of 2023, with our tons sold down slightly more than anticipated and relatively flat selling prices that remain elevated by historical standards. Customer activity in most of the end markets we serve remained healthy, with solid underlying demand and customer activity levels, driven in part by our investments in organic growth. We continue to focus on growing the business organically and through acquisitions while maintaining our pricing and margin discipline. We deliver diluted earnings per share of $6.49, which is within our expected range. Our strong profitability, along with effective working capital management, produced significant operating cash flow of $295.1 million in the second quarter.

Investing for growth remains our top capital allocation priority, with approximately $154.3 million invested in both capital expenditures and M&A in the second quarter. We increased our capital expenditure budget for the full year 2023 from $500 million to a record $520 million. Approximately two-thirds of our CapEx budget is focused on growth projects, including investments in advanced value-added processing capabilities, facility upgrades to enhance safety and efficiencies, and expansion into new markets. Our expected total cash outlay for capital expenditures in 2023 is approximately $425 million-$475 million. We completed the acquisition of Southern Steel Supply, LLC, on May 1st, increasing the total number of businesses we have acquired since our 1994 IPO to 72.

Southern Steel is a highly regarded, 60+ year-old metal service center in Memphis, Tennessee, that expands our geographic reach in the southern U.S. and extends our value-added processing services. Our M&A pipeline remains healthy. We continue to evaluate various prospective opportunities. Our strong balance sheet and cash generation positions us well to pursue acquisitions that meet our discipline criteria for high-quality growth. Our cash flow also continues to fuel our strategy of returning capital to our stockholders. During the second quarter, we returned $132.5 million to our stockholders through dividends and share repurchases. Since 2018, we have invested nearly $2.2 billion in organic growth and acquisitions and returned $2.9 billion to our stockholders through dividends and share repurchases.

In summary, we are very pleased with the continued strong operating performance of our entire Reliance team to execute Reliance's consistent and resilient strategy on a day-to-day basis, operating safely and producing profitable results through all operating environments. We remain in a position of strength to continue investing in and profitably growing our company, including new opportunities that include spending from the Infrastructure Bill, the CHIPS Act, the Inflation Reduction Act, and onshoring activities. Thank you all for your time today. I'll now turn the call over to Steve, who will review our second quarter demand and pricing trends.

Steve Koch (EVP and COO)

Thanks, Karla. Good morning, everyone. I'd also like to thank the entire Reliance team for their outstanding individual and collective efforts and unwavering commitment to safety. I'll now turn to our second quarter demand and pricing trends. Our tons sold decreased 2.4% compared to the first quarter of 2023, predominantly due to lower carbon flat-rolled shipments following the first quarter demand pull-forward impact from rising prices. Despite the sequential decline in volume, our Q2 tons sold were up 1.9% from the prior year and up 4.5% from 2022 on a year-to-date basis. This reflects solid underlying demand in key markets, including non-residential construction, aerospace, and certain general manufacturing sectors, along with contributions from our organic growth activities, enabling outperformance of broader service center shipment levels across the majority of our products.

Our second quarter average selling price per ton sold of $2,626 was relatively flat compared to the first quarter of 2023 and in line with our expected range of flat to up 2%, as anticipated carbon flat-rolled product price increases were offset by a downturn in stainless and aluminum commodity product prices. I'll now turn to a high-level overview of the trends we saw within our products and key end markets. Our three largest product groups, carbon steel tubing, plate, and structurals, represented about one-third of our second quarter sales, and all of these products experienced stable or improved shipments compared to the first quarter of 2023 due to strength in the non-residential construction market.

We continue to believe new public infrastructure projects under the Infrastructure Bill and various other federal and state programs will provide continued support for non-residential construction and infrastructure demand in the medium to long term. Aluminum and stainless products also represented just over 30% of our total second quarter sales, with aluminum and stainless aerospace products comprising approximately 9%. Although common alloy, aluminum, and stainless shipments and pricing fell in the second quarter, aerospace product demand and pricing remained robust. We primarily service the automotive market through our toll processing operations, which, as a reminder, are not reflected in our tons sold. Our tolling business in the second quarter of 2023 improved both year-over-year and sequentially on increased processing demand from the automotive market. Within the general manufacturing market, we sell a diverse set of products to a diverse group of sectors.

Shipments fell sequentially, partly due to the carbon flat-rolled demand pull-forward impact in the first quarter of 2023, but nevertheless, were up from the second quarter of 2022. While sales to the semiconductor industry declined both sequentially and year-over-year, our long-term outlook for this market remains positive as a result of the CHIPS Act and active reshoring. We continue to make investments to increase Reliance's capacity in the semiconductor space to support this anticipated growth. Please refer to our earnings release for additional commentary on our end markets and product diversification. Overall, we expect that end market demand will remain healthy in the third quarter of 2023. I will now turn the call over to Arthur to review our financial results and outlook.

Arthur Ajemyan (SVP and CFO)

Thanks, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Our sales of $3.88 billion in the second quarter declined by a modest 2.1% from the first quarter on relatively flat pricing. While carbon flat-rolled products drove the vast majority of the quarterly volume decline, their impact on sales dollars was relatively neutral, as higher selling prices for carbon flat-rolled products offset the impact of volume declines on our revenues. Declines in stainless and common alloy aluminum product sales in the second quarter drove the 2.1% sequential decline in revenues. Our FIFO gross profit margins, which exclude the effect of our LIFO inventory valuation method, remained relatively flat at 30.3% in the second quarter, compared to 30.5% in the first quarter.

The entry point into the second quarter was higher than the exit point due to temporary pressure on margins from declining stainless and aluminum product selling prices. The higher-than-anticipated declines in nonferrous product prices contributed to a revision to our annual LIFO estimate from $60 million of income to $120 million of income. As a result, we recorded LIFO income of $45 million in the second quarter to reflect our revised annual estimate. Our first quarter 2023 results included LIFO income of $50 million, bringing our six-month total to $60 million of income, or half of our current $120 million annual LIFO income estimate. Our reported gross profit margins, which are on a LIFO basis, came in at 31.5% for the second quarter, up from 30.9% in the first quarter.

As of June 30, 2023, the $683.8 million LIFO reserve on our balance sheet remains available to mitigate the impact of possible further declines in metal prices and benefit future period operating results. Moving on to expenses. Our second quarter same-store non-GAAP SG&A expenses modestly declined by $6.7 million, or 1%, compared to the first quarter from lower variable costs associated with lower tons shipped. On a year-over-year basis, our expenses were less relatively consistent, as incremental variable costs associated with higher tons shipped and inflationary wage adjustments were mostly offset by lower incentive-based compensation, resulting from lower FIFO profitability.

Overall, our second quarter pre-tax income of $510.9 million and pre-tax income margin of 13.2%, were consistent with our first quarter results, and our diluted earnings per share of $6.49 for the second quarter were in line with our guidance of $6.40-$6.60 per share. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. We generated cash flow from operations of $295.1 million, down from $384.6 million for the first quarter, mainly due to timing of estimated income tax payments.

For the six-month period ended June 30, 2023, our operating cash flow of $679.7 million was consistent with the same six-month period in 2022, as the impact of lower profitability was offset by lower working capital investments in 2023. Our inventory turn rate, based on tons, improved to 4.8x, or 2.5 months on hand in 2023, compared with 4.4x in the same six-month period in 2022. Overall, operating cash flow generation remains strong, and our working capital management metrics are at healthy levels. Our operating cash flow for the six-month period in 2023 and cash on hand funded $257.2 million of growth initiatives in the form of CapEx and acquisitions.

The return of $233.4 million to our stockholders in the form of $120.6 million of cash dividends and $112.8 million of share repurchases, and the repayment of $500 million of senior notes. Approximately $568 million remained available on our $1 billion share repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2023. I'll now turn to our third quarter outlook. While we anticipate underlying demand will remain healthy in the third quarter of 2023, we expect our tons sold will be down 2%-4% compared to the second quarter due to normal seasonal patterns, including a decline in shipping volumes resulting from planned customer shutdowns and vacation schedules, along with one less shipping day.

Compared to the third quarter of 2022, this guidance implies growth in tons sold of 1.5%-3.5%. We expect our average selling price per ton sold for the third quarter to be down 2%-4% compared to the second quarter, primarily driven by declining prices for flat-rolled products across our major commodity, along with carbon steel tubing products, which collectively represent about 35% of our sales. We also anticipate temporary downward pressure on our gross profit margin from these declining price trends. Based on these expectations, we anticipate non-GAAP earnings per diluted share in the range of $4.90-$5.10 for the third quarter of 2023. Thank you. We'll now open the call up to questions. Operator?

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, you may press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. Our first question comes from the line of Katja Jancic with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Katja Jancic (Research Analyst)

Hi, thank you for taking my question. Karla, in your prepared remarks, I think you mentioned that some of your growth CapEx is dedicated to expanding into new markets. Can you elaborate on that, please?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah. Hi, Katja. Reliance, you know, I, I think we've talked about many times before, where we've been very active in growing our businesses across our whole portfolio of companies. A lot of times we're adding processing capabilities or expanding existing locations. Part of the, the growth in new markets, that can be a new geographic market. It can be, you know, like I said, adding processing, equipment, et cetera. You know, a couple of things we have going on in particular, and we talked about this fourth quarter, is we're currently experiencing the ramp-up of our flat-roll operations that we have put on campus with some of the mills. As they ramp, we're seeing some good growth there. We had acquired.

facilities in the Michigan area for one of our toll processing companies a few years ago. Now we're in the process of installing some new lines in there. In addition to their storage services, they'll be generating revenue off of their processing capabilities there, like they do in their other locations. You know, geographically, we've opened up, you know, a small facility in Iowa recently, where we've got some expansions going on in the Atlanta area. Houston area, we expanded some facilities. You know, there's a little going on everywhere.

One of our bigger CapEx projects currently in the works that we've talked about before, is our one company that focuses on the semiconductor industry. With all of the build going on, to expand capacity in the U.S., we are building a new facility in Texas, so that company can support the many different new chip manufacturing facilities being constructed in the U.S. You know, we've got a very specialty-type company participating in that, but we also have some of our more non-residential construction-type businesses that are benefiting from the more foundational, you know, traditional build of those facilities. You know, a lot of different activity going on throughout the company.

Katja Jancic (Research Analyst)

Can you just remind us, when is the semiconductor facility expected to be completed?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

We actually have two new facilities going up in Texas. The smaller of the two is operational now, and it's, you know, it's early, it's just ramping up. The larger facility should be operational Q2 of 2024. That's currently in the build phase.

Katja Jancic (Research Analyst)

Okay, maybe just last one. On the M&A, you have very strong balance sheet. Can you talk about how the pipeline looks like right now and what size deals you're seeing potentially?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah, yeah, sure, Katja. We do continue. For the last couple of years, it's been a pretty set, steady stream of opportunities. We have a lot of different teasers and opportunities to look at. You know, there are, and we really focus on what opportunity is in front of us and do we think that meets our criteria and really fits within the Reliance family. You know, we buy many different size companies. We still will buy smaller companies, although certainly we would rather, you know, put our efforts behind some larger efforts that would contribute more to the company, and there are some large opportunities out there. You know, we generally wait for the sellers to be ready. It's friendly acquisitions.

It's when they're making a decision to exit the business, typically. We do maintain relationships so that we have an opportunity to see those opportunities. We think we're in a good position for that. We've seen a lot of smaller, more fabrication-type opportunities. You know, on the teasers we've seen some smaller service centers, but over the last year to year and a half, we've seen some, you know, more medium-sized to larger, more traditional-type service center companies. As we talked about on prior calls, you know, for a period of time, there was a disconnect, people trying to sell off the peak, and so there were some value differences, but we're seeing that, you know, start to come more in line. We're still excited about the opportunities that are out there.

I think at the same time, you know, we haven't been quite as active on completing acquisitions, although we're still evaluating quite a few. You know, we've also stepped up from historical standards, our organic growth. You know, I think we're kind of hitting it in supplementing growth a little, on a little more balanced approach currently.

Katja Jancic (Research Analyst)

Perfect. Thank you.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Thank you, Katja.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from the line of Phil Gibbs with KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Phil Gibbs (Director, Metals Equity Research Analyst)

Hey, good morning.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Morning, Phil.

Steve Koch (EVP and COO)

Morning, Phil.

Phil Gibbs (Director, Metals Equity Research Analyst)

Just regarding some of the public and federal infrastructure projects that are likely to hit the books later this year in 2024, 2025, do you have any visibility to those projects happening within some of the things that you're working on? When you fabricate certain things for beams and plate, and maybe even tubular, do you know what specific projects it's going into? Just curious if you have that level of visibility. Anything that you could share would be helpful.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Hey, Phil. You know, I would say at a high level, kind of, you know, from a corporate view, we don't have a significant amount of visibility, but certainly our companies out in the field who are servicing their customers on these projects, you know, they have a much better feel. As we've talked about in the past, you know, Reliance, you know, we're not usually the largest, on the largest projects with the largest tons, but we're involved in a lot of projects, some as the primary, and then some as kind of fill in and certain products and processing services. Our folks in the field generally know, where the product's going, but it's really hard for us to keep track of it.

Part of the beauty when we talk to our people in the field is, we're involved in so many different types of projects. It's really hard to kind of, you know, roll it up to something to talk about. I think Steve can give you a little more visibility on that.

Steve Koch (EVP and COO)

Just when we did a channel check with a lot of our companies that service the non-res and infrastructure throughout the United States. They're seeing a lot of activity in the bridge, space, rail, ports, a lot of airport projects going on. An ongoing project has been the onshore infrastructure to support the planned offshore farms that are going up and down the East Coast.

Phil Gibbs (Director, Metals Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you. As it relates to M&A, I know you recently got back into the market in the second quarter with Southern Steel. If I kind of look ahead in the next, call it 2, 3, 4 quarters, you could find yourself in a net cash position, even with the CapEx that you're spending pretty aggressively in the back half and maybe into next year. Is there any thought to doing more larger scale acquisitions, or do you feel like your internal pipeline is kind of robust enough to cover, you know, some of the higher projects you're looking at right now?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah, we're always ready to do larger scale acquisitions if it's the right company and we can make it work. That hasn't changed. As I mentioned earlier, I mean, we look at opportunities of all sizes. It just depends what's actionable at the time. That appetite has not changed. Even before we were in the cash position, you know, had cash on our balance sheet as we do right now. We are continuing to actively consider and look at any of those opportunities we see. Certainly, if we find the right company, we would love to execute on that. At the same time, you know, we, you know, we've always been a growth company. As I mentioned earlier, we're a little more aggressive on the organic growth side.

For the last several years, we also, I think have been a little more active on a more consistent basis on shareholder return activity. We expect to continue to deploy our capital wisely in all those areas. At the same time, we don't think it's the worst thing in the world to have a strong balance sheet and, you know, be prepared for whatever may come.

Phil Gibbs (Director, Metals Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Thanks, Phil.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Our next question comes from the line of Martin Englert with Seaport Research Partners. Please proceed with your question.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Hello, good morning, everyone.

Steve Koch (EVP and COO)

Morning.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Morning.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Looking beyond the construction of facilities related to onshoring, what are the customers discussing with you, regarding their future metals needs once these facilities are ramped in future years here, if you're having any discussions around that just yet?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah, you know, Martin, I don't know that. Certainly, I think some of our companies who are very focused on certain of those industries and end markets, if you take semiconductor chips, for instance, you know, our people running our businesses, selling into those markets are very engaged, you know, with their customers there, talking about both the build, but then, you know, future capacity. I think, again, we serve so many different markets. There are discussions. I think for us, the fact that different mills are ramping up, domestic mills are ramping up capacity, will allow us to, you know, better serve the increased volumes that our customers will need in the future. You know, that's our spot in the supply chain.

We continue to have customers, you know, asking us to do more for them on a value-added processing standpoint and really partnering with our customers. There are many different discussions going on. Again, you know, our business, while we and our customers do look at the long term, you know, we're really servicing on a day-to-day basis, and I think we've done a good job of being a leader in investing in increased capabilities for our customers, and that's something that we'll incrementally continue to do to support that future increased demand.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you for that. Appreciate it. I believe you called out Common alloy sheet as a point of weakness in the press release. Is there any color that you could offer there as to what's happening in the market?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Well, I think, you know, from a common alloy standpoint, I think our comments were, you know, kind of focused on just some pricing erosion, that you've seen. You know, that, that product follows, the LME a bit, and we've just seen, a little downward pricing pressure on those products.

Steve Koch (EVP and COO)

Ample supply in the supply chain.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, really, from a price perspective, it's more of a function of the surcharge as opposed to, like, a base price erosion or something along those lines, yeah?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah.

Martin Englert (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, excellent. All right. I appreciate your time. Thank you very much.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Thanks, Martin.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from the line of Alex Hacking with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

Alex Hacking (Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah, morning, Karla and team. Thanks for the call. I guess the first question, I'm not sure if you've disclosed this, but how many tons are you co-locating at the new mill in Texas?

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Hi, Alex. You are correct. We have not disclosed that. Yeah, and we, you know, at both of those operations, we're supporting, you know, our customers, but also partnering with the mills and doing both toll processing on some of the volume as they request, and then also direct sales of the metal. You know, we're ramping as the mills ramp and, you know, it's nothing, you know, specific, committed, but we certainly will benefit as the mills continue to ramp and produce more tons. We certainly expect our volumes there to grow with them.

Alex Hacking (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, thanks. Just following up on that, are you, I mean, are you specifically targeting Mexico as an end market there, you know, as the mills are? I know the mills have commented that, you know, Mexico's been very strong recently, right, with AHMSA being out. I don't know if that kind of flows into what you're doing or not. Thanks.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

We try to sell metal to people wherever they are, if they want metal. If there's more demand for metal in Mexico, we certainly want to service those markets. You know, we acquired a company back in 2008 that had some, you know, very strong toll processing capabilities, three locations in Mexico. We've added a fourth and expanded all of those over the years. We're in the process of doing further expansions down there because we see, you know, growth in that market. We also have some of our U.S. companies selling more metal down into Mexico. One of our on-campus opportunities, I think that mill has directed more metal there. In support of them, we're pushing some more tons down there.

You know, we continue to look at opportunities, to meet our customers' needs, both existing and new customers, as we see opportunities grow down there. Certainly look at it as a potential favorable market for growth right now.

Alex Hacking (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, thanks. Then just one final one, if I may. you know, I, I think, you know, you previously have mentioned, you know, you know, skilled labor shortage is a challenge for both you and your customers, and, you know, a lot of companies continue to report that. Obviously, it's a lot less acute or it's less acute now than it was. you know, could you maybe discuss, are you being constrained by lack of skilled labor, or it's, it's manageable now? Thank you.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Yeah, I think, you're right. It's not as acute at most of our operations now, Alex. I think we've been, you know, more successful in probably having more people available. I think where we've done a really good job is retaining our existing employees. We appreciate those employees being with us. Some of them have had to work a little harder, a little longer hours than maybe they had historically because of some of those issues. We've also, I think, had to, you know. I think with newer employees, most people are seeing higher turnover levels, so more of an investment in training, especially from a safety perspective. A lot more effort being put there.

There, there are still some constraints, I think, you know, for us, but we've seen more at certain of our customers, which does impact some of the, you know, shipment flow and end demand is still there, but how fast can you fill that? I think still a factor, not as much as it was, but that also has been an opportunity for Reliance where, you know, as our customers may struggle with being able to get the skilled labor, they're asking us to support them more, which has given us, you know, the opportunity to do more value-added processing for them. You know, we try to kind of spoil them, service them well so that we make it easy for them, and they want to continue to retain that business with us.

We've certainly seen success in, in that area over the past few years.

Alex Hacking (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, thank you very much. Appreciate the time.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Absolutely. Thanks, Alex.

Operator (participant)

There are no further questions in queue. I'd like to hand the call back to management for closing remarks.

Karla Lewis (President and CEO)

Thank you. Thanks again to all of you for your time and attention in joining our call today and for your continued support of Reliance. We look forward to speaking with you again on our third quarter call in October. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.